What the Minister said is reported in Volume 155 and the quotation I am going to give now is at column 216. Having announced that he had decided not to go on with the Bill the Minister gave this reason for his decision:—
"It would be most unfortunate if any price control arrangements became, at the outset, associated in the public mind with the rising costs inseparable from a general inflationary situation..."
First he had decided there was to be a Bill and the only thing he knew about it was that it was not going to be a Fianna Fáil Bill. Then he decided he was not going to have a Bill and his reason for doing so was that whatever Bill was introduced would not be effective in preventing rises in costs and would be associated in the public mind with failure. That may be a good reason or a bad reason but apparently he thinks now that the arrangements which we operated before 1954 are as suitable as could be devised. Personally I do not think they are and I had intended to change them.
The Minister said last night, and other Ministers have repeatedly stated this year, that prices rose last year because of international factors which were incapable of being controlled. That argument will not stand up for one moment under examination. I think it is desirable that that contention should be discredited because, again, it is merely a carry-over of the 1954 election campaign. No doubt there is a desire for Ministers to excuse themselves, but it is wrong to attempt to excuse themselves by misleading the public and it is misleading the public to induce them to believe now that the rises in prices which have occurred in the past year were due solely to international factors. The facts show that to a far greater extent that rise in prices occurred because of internal factors. Why should not the public be told the truth? This practice of protecting the people against the realities of life and against knowledge of the consequences of their own actions is surely undesirable.
Since February, 1955—and that is not going back to the time when the Minister took office—the consumer price index shows an increase in retail prices averaging 6.5 per cent. That is the increase which the Minister is trying to lead the House and the public to believe is due mainly, if not solely, to international factors. We can check it. If it is due solely to international factors then one would expect to find a corresponding increase in the price index for the materials used in manufacturing industry or capital goods acquired by industry.
What are the facts? In 1955, the price index for materials imported for use in industry rose by 1.2 per cent. over 1954. The price index for capital goods required by industry rose in 1955 by 3 per cent. over 1954. The price index for all imports, whether materials for industry, capital goods, or goods for consumption, showed an increase of 2 per cent. in 1955 over 1954.
There is another aspect of prices of which the Dáil and the public should be aware. The increase in retail prices during that period was 6.5 per cent.; the increase in wholesale prices was only 3 per cent. Between February, 1955, and February of this year, the index number for retail food prices showed an increase of 4 per cent. During the same period, the index number for agricultural prices—the prices paid to farmers for the goods sold in the shops—fell by 6½ per cent. Relate all these statistics, one to the other, and they show without doubt that the main factors causing this upsurge in retail prices in this country were internal. Increased production costs on the one hand, and increased distribution costs on the other, were far more important than any international changes that may have taken place.
People were at one time told they could vote themselves lower prices; they are now being told the reverse by some Ministers and they have not all begun to believe it yet. I think it is time that all of us—Deputies on all sides of this House, trade union leaders, everybody, whose opinions can influence the course of events—agreed that we should tell the truth about the factors that influence prices. All of us should tell the workers and the farmers that no increase in wages or in farm prices will be of any real benefit to them, that it must, in due course, be negatived by rising prices, higher taxation and unemployment, unless it is associated with increased productivity.
The Minister is doing the country a real disservice in trying to mislead the public into this fallacious idea that the rise in prices could not be influenced by anything that could take place here, that it is due only to international causes. That is untrue, and if we are to have any practical approach to the solution of our national difficulties, any serious effort to prevent a continuing rise in prices, the first thing to do is to tell the public the truth.
I shall refer now to the E.S.B. During the course of the year, a member of the Government alleged that the E.S.B. deliberately misled me, as Minister for Industry and Commerce, on a matter on which the Government have the final responsibility for policy—that is to say, the adequacy of the board's charges to yield sufficient revenue to meet their outlay. On another occasion, the Minister for Industry and Commerce implied that I was misled by inaccurate information supplied by the E.S.B. regarding the capital programme needed to keep production capacity ahead of the demand for current. If that allegation—that I was deliberately misled by the board—is true, it is a serious matter. If the Government believe the allegation is true and intend to do nothing about it, it is a much more serious matter.
The Minister for Industry and Commerce, or any other member of the Government, can have no really reliable source of information concerning any statutory undertaking of that kind except from the board of directors he appoints in charge of it, and if that board of directors deliberately mislead him by inaccurate information or doctored accounts or wrong forecasts, then it is certain serious mistakes will be made, and if they go further, and mislead the Dáil and the public by repeating these inaccurate forecasts and doctored accounts in their published reports to the Dáil, it is obvious something must be done about it.
When the Electricity (Supply) (Amendment) Bill was being debated here last year, the Minister for Industry and Commerce said, as reported at Volume 152, column 88 of the Official Report:—
"...what they said to you when you were in office is a matter between you and them."
The Minister for Industry and Commerce was addressing me at that time. That is a completely mistaken viewpoint. The Minister for Industry and Commerce is an institution, and what the E.S.B. said to the Minister for Industry and Commerce, whoever he may be, is the concern of every Minister for Industry and Commerce, of the Dáil and the public, and if they said something to me as Minister, which was not correct, with intent deliberately to mislead me, then there is only one possible remedy—to clear out from that board those responsible for the deception.
Just to quote precisely what was said, I would refer the House to a statement by the Attorney-General in this House when he said:—
"I do not know whether I should say this in praise of them, but the fact is the E.S.B. poked their finger in Deputy Lemass's eye in 1953 when they got him to increase the charge."
That is the quotation which is the basis of my assertion that the Government appear to believe that I, as Minister for Industry and Commerce, was deliberately misled by the board. In 1953, the board came to me with their accounts for the previous year, accounts audited and checked, and if there was any doctoring of these accounts, the auditors must have been in on the job. These accounts showed there was a deficit in that year of £488,000.
On the strength of these accounts and of what the board said as to the cause of the deficit, I authorised them to increase their charges. Because of that increase and other factors, the board's revenue rose in the following year—1953-54—and showed a surplus of £233,000. By way of explanation of that surplus, the board, in their report to the House for that year, said that expenditure on fuel was less than in the previous year by £537,508, mainly because of more favourable weather conditions.
At that stage, there was a change of Government. Whether the Minister thinks the board is trying to deceive him or not, I do not know, but a board that would deceive one Minister for political or other reasons would not hesitate to do it with another. We know that in the following year the board's accounts showed the substantial surplus of £883,000. Again, they explained that surplus by referring to the favourable weather conditions which involved a further reduction in their total expenditure on fuel. Indeed, the suggestion is that, between 1952 and 1954, weather conditions were such that the whole of the board's outlay on fuel fell by nearly £1,000,000, notwithstanding the fact that the prices of coal and other fuels were up. On the basis of these figures, I cannot be certain that I was not misled, that they did not poke their finger in my eye.
It seems clear from the accounts that if the board sold current in 1954 at the same average price per unit as they realised in 1952-53, the diminution in their revenue would not have been more than £150,000—well within their surplus. The consumers of electricity are entitled to an explanation. Did the board give me, as alleged, misleading accounts and forecasts to get an increase in the charges of electricity to which the circumstances did not entitle them or, if not, what is the explanation? We know that the Government, seeing that surplus in the E.S.B. revenue, decided to raid it for the benefit of the Exchequer and, by altering the whole basis of the rural electrification scheme, to cut down on the surplus. I told the Dáil at the time that the effect of the change in the rural electrification scheme would be to produce a deficit on the board's revenue of £1,000,000 a year. The board have apparently found that I was correct and the Minister was wrong; at least the Press now report that the board is seeking an increase in its charges of 10 per cent. which will bring in an additional £1,000,000 per year.
When I made that forecast and tried to justify it by reference to facts in the board's accounts, the Minister scoffed at the idea. It was only in July last that this matter was being discussed, and I am quoting from Volume 152, column 90, of the Official Debates of 5th July, 1955, where, when I said the board would have to increase its charges because of the change in the rural electrification scheme, the Minister said:—
"They will not. I am putting on record now that they will not go up. I have said already that they will not go up. There is no justification for their going up."
Later on, at column 96, the Minister said:—
"Take note of what I am saying to-day: Next year the board will have another surplus..."
Did they have another surplus? The Minister, no doubt, had to make the best case he could to the Dáil in justification of a decision forced on him by the Minister for Finance, but it is a matter of which the Deputies sitting behind the Minister should take note, that that case was a "phoney" case and that they voted for an alteration in the rural electrification scheme on the basis of wrong information supplied to them by the Minister.
The board's application for an increase in charges is being sent to the Prices Advisory Body. I do not know if the House thinks that the personnel of the Prices Advisory Body is such that they are more competent to advise the Government on matters affecting the E.S.B. than the members of the E.S.B. itself appointed by the Government. Is there not something ridiculous in having one body of people, set up by the Government, investigating the accuracy of the information supplied to the Government by another body set up in the same way? Again, there has been a remarkable change of mind on the part of the Minister in that regard. Last year, he did not agree that the proposals of the board should be investigated by the Prices Advisory Body. He said at column 98 in the same volume:—
"I think it would be a bad thing for the Minister to have the power to intervene in fixing the charges because that is capable of manipulation in times of difficulty or times of emergency for a political Party. I think it is better for the board to fix it."
Why was the board not allowed to fix the charges? The Minister, having changed his mind in that regard, decided he would require the cover of a report from the Prices Advisory Body because this is a time of emergency for a political Party.
Let us turn from the question of charges to the question of the generating programme. The Minister gave some additional information yesterday to justify the decision that has been taken to cut down the E.S.B.'s development programme. He referred to the White Paper which was published in connection with the Bill I submitted to the Dáil in March, 1954, a White Paper which contained estimates of the growth of the demand for current and indicated the proposals of the board to build up generating capacity to meet that demand. The Minister told us last year that the estimate for 1955-56 which was published in that paper was corrected downward by the board in January, 1955, and again corrected downward by the board later in the year. He alleged that the estimate of the growth in demand which appeared in that White Paper was not based upon information given to me by the E.S.B. That is not true. I do not know if the Minister really believed that when he said it, but it is important he should know it is not true. I know of no reason why the board should have attempted to mislead me in that regard by furnishing false estimates.
The Minister said the board has installed generating capacity in excess of what is required to produce the current that it could sell to-day or in the immediate future. As it stands, that statement is meaningless. The board must have installed generating capacity in excess of the immediate demand for current. It would be an impossible situation if the maintenance of the supply of current depended upon the 24-hour operation of every generating unit in the country, so that the need to shut off one unit would also involve an obligation to shut off power in some district. There must be generating capacity in excess of the immediate demand.
Furthermore, the generating capacity of the board is based upon various estimates. About 40 per cent. of its installed capacity is based upon water and the output capacity of a hydro-unit is calculated upon the average rainfall experience. In a wet year, its output will be higher; in a dry year, its output will be lower. It is obviously prudent, therefore, to keep stand-by plant to supplement the production of hydro-stations in a dry year when they cannot work to their average capacity. Indeed, having regard to the debates that were conducted in the Dáil when the Shannon scheme was being launched and the calculations that were then made as to the amount of stand-by plant required it would seem that in 1954 the board were not providing for sufficient stand-by plant because of the favourable weather experience which they had in 1953 and which continued in 1954.
The Minister, on the last occasion he spoke here, made his estimate of the growth of demand and justified it by reference to the chief mechanical engineer of the board. The chief mechanical engineer is a man for whom I have the highest regard as a mechanical engineer, but, in this matter of estimating the growth in the demand for current, the opinion of the chief mechanical engineer or any other engineer is no better than that of any other person who examines the trend of national affairs. It is not better than the Minister's or mine, or that of any other Deputy in this House.
The demand for current depends upon the level of economic activity and social conditions prevailing in the country. Why the chief mechanical engineer should be regarded as having some special competence to forecast the development of economic activity generally or changes in social conditions, I do not know, but in making his forecast in 1954, he had before him the same information as I have, the same information as other Deputies have, and it is this: since 1946, the average annual increase in sales of current was 12 per cent. In each year, the sales of current by the E.S.B. exceeded the sales in the previous year by an average of 12 per cent. Indeed, the rate of increase in sales was accelerating. Taking the past three years for which we have the information—1953, 1954 and 1955—the average rate of increase in the demand would be nearer to 13 per cent.