I move:—
That a supplementary sum not exceeding £675,000 be granted to defray the charge which will come in course of payment during the year ending on the 31st March, 1965, for the Salaries and Expenses of the Office of the Minister for Agriculture, including certain Services administered by that Office, and for payment of certain subsidies and sundry Grants-in-Aid.
The net amount of this Supplementary Estimate, together with the previous Supplementary Estimate, added to the original Estimate for 1964/65, brings the total net expenditure from the Vote for my Department to £30,999,700.
As is customary in the case of Supplementary Estimates relating to a limited number of subheads, I shall confine my remarks to the items covered in the present Estimate.
I shall deal first with Subhead K.11, the Bovine Tuberculosis Eradication Scheme, for which an additional provision of £200,000 is proposed. This is, however, more than offset by the additional £260,000 expected in receipts under the Scheme and shown under Subhead P, Appropriations-in-Aid.
The progress in the past few months has been greater than we had anticipated, even in November last when I asked for an additional sum of nearly £600,000. When the Supplementary Estimate was then under discussion, we expected that the total number of reactors which would be sold to the Department within this financial year would be 31,000. It now seems that, by the end of March, a total of 33,700 will have been taken up. This compares with a total of 115,000 reactors taken up in 1963/64. In addition, the higher market prices for cattle have been reflected in the compensation that we are paying. On the average, the compensation paid since 1st April last has been £68 for cows and £59 for other cattle. The corresponding figures for the previous year were £58 for cows and £47 for other cattle.
The momentum of the BTE Scheme is increasing steadily in the six southern counties according as we draw near our goal of total eradication. It will be recalled that at the beginning of 1964 my Department envisaged the attestation of the south in two stages. It is now clear that, if the progress at present being achieved can be maintained, we can bring all these southern counties along together and have the whole country attested by the autumn. The completion of the eradication scheme in just 11 years from its commencement in September, 1954, will be no small achievement.
Under Subhead K.14 we are looking for an additional £200,000 for the Scheme of Grants for Calved Heifers. Added to the provisions already made for this purpose in the original Estimate and the previous Supplementary Estimate, this will bring the total provision in 1964/65 to £3,155,000.
The response by herdowners to the Calved Heifer Subsidy Scheme has far exceeded expectations. When the previous Supplementary Estimate for this scheme was taken last November, it was expected that there would be a considerable seasonal drop in the numbers of applications for grants during the winter months, but in fact the demand for grants has continued at a high level. The total number of heifers on which the grant of £15 will be allowed up to 31st March, 1965, is now estimated at about 203,500 as compared with the estimate of 190,000 heifers last November. The benefits of the scheme have been widely diffused throughout the country, including the western counties and the smaller holdings in particular have benefited. The average individual grant works out at £37 representing over two animals per herdowner.
The target for increased cattle production in the Second Programme for Economic Expansion would require an average annual increase in cow numbers of 75,000 up to 1968. This figure has been exceeded in the past year.
Next we come to Subhead K.19 which is the new subhead to provide for the temporary scheme of payments, announced in January last in respect of good quality fat bullock and heifer beef exported to the United Kingdom. Payment is at the rates currently payable in the United Kingdom under the British Fatstock Deficiency Payments Scheme. Our new scheme was introduced in order to arrest the serious decline which was taking place in the trade of the meat export premises due to lack of supplies of finished cattle. Total slaughterings of fat cattle and cows at meat export premises declined from 403,700 in 1963 to 302,000 in 1964. Exports of store cattle increased from 565,200 in 1963 to 637,000 in 1964. A falling-off in the number of cows slaughtered, arising from a number of factors, led to a serious decline in the export of boneless beef to the United States.
The Government decided that steps should be taken to increase the numbers of cattle fattened at home. This would benefit both the feeders and the industry. Its advantage to producers is that any farmer who is in a position to finish cattle, but who might ordinarily consider it more prudent to dispose of his cattle at the attractive store prices prevailing, can now hold on to the cattle in the knowledge of getting a satisfactory price for them when they come to be sold for beef.
The scheme is not, of course, and should not be regarded as in any way directed against the store trade. The export of store cattle to Britain is a traditional and very necessary part of our cattle economy and the link with the British Deficiency Payments Scheme is of very great importance to us. However, this store cattle arrangement does militate against the finishing of cattle here and makes it difficult for the meat processing industry to get sufficient supplies of raw material. As our total cattle production expands, however, there should be plenty of scope both for the store and the dead meat trade.
We are hoping that the present scheme will arrest the decline in activity which took place in 1964, particularly in the latter half of that year, in our meat export industry. This is one of our most important and efficient agricultural processing industries, giving considerable employment and contributing substantially to our export earnings; and it developed without State assistance. In 1964 our exports of beef, mutton and lamb in carcase and processed forms and of offals and by-products earned this country about £23 million. We estimate that this figure will have declined to about £21 million in 1964 in spite of higher prices in that year. The industry enjoys farmer confidence and the survey team which examined its activities a couple of years back confirmed its efficiency.
Payments under this scheme arise only when deficiency payments are made in Britain. The British scheme provides for the breaking down of the guaranteed price there into a series of weekly standard prices, the weekly price being highest in the earlier months of the year when cattle are scarce and lowest during the late summer and autumn periods of heavy supplies. The subsidy rate payable is broadly the difference between the weekly market price and the weekly standard price. Because of the strong market for beef last year and the consequently high market prices for cattle in Britain, no guaranteed payments were made there from June to the middle of January with the exception of small payments for one or two weeks in November. Payments having now resumed seem likely to continue for the time being. Because of the continuing relatively satisfactory prices for beef in Britain, it is not expected that these payments will be high. We accordingly estimate that our commitment up to the end of March will be of the order of £50,000. From April to June the estimated expenditure is £150,000. What the situation in the trade will be by the end of June. when this Scheme is due to end, I could not at present attempt to predict. We can only judge the situation as we see it then and decide what measures, if any, are necessary for the continued well-being of our cattle and beef industries.
A sum of £700,000 is included to meet the cost of the ninth-round wage increases and status claims in respect of the staff of my Department. For convenience the total estimated cost, which covers several subheads of the Vote, is provided for under a single subhead (A).
The favourable trend in prices being received for our butter on the export market has resulted in a smaller demand being made by Bord Bainne on the Exchequer than was estimated. A saving of £215,000 on Subhead N is anticipated and this reduces the total net additional amount required to £675,000. This is a matter for congratulation and I would like to commend Bord Bainne on their continuing endeavours to improve the position in regard to our exports of dairy produce.