In the very near future happily, in the forthcoming general election, when the political correspondents are examining the causes for the rejection by the electorate of the Coalition, one gigantic blunder will in my opinion be pointed to and that is the January, 1976, budget and this Finance Bill which gives legislative effect to that budget. The record of the term of office of this Coalition if examined by some future historian, if he has nothing better to do, which I doubt, will be of an Administration which came to power through the proportional representation system, with the backing of a favourable Press which speculated on the overall wealth of talent available to the incoming Taoiseach in his choice of Cabinet. The last three years have shown that the brilliance, if it was ever there, which I doubt, is akin to a lighthouse in a bog, brilliant but useless. The Irish people have suffered three years of mismanagement and lame excuses all building up to the present position where different Ministers and Parliamentary Secretaries, not forgetting the occasional assistant Whip, make diametrically opposed guesses as to the direction in which they should lead the Irish nation.
All the miscalculations over the last three years are typified by this Bill now before us. At a time of rapid inflation, massive unemployment and a complete breakdown in confidence by the business community in general in the ability of this Coalition Government, the country's greatest fears are confirmed in the budget proposals and the provisions of this Bill. The Minister in his budget statement called for a wage pause and simultaneously introduced a budget which increased the inflation rate in the ensuing three months by 7.3 per cent. The figure was announced last week. If this were an end of it, it would be bad enough but everybody knows that the VAT increases are only now working their way through the economy and further inflation is inevitable, inflation probably to the tune of approximately 20 per cent, this year. We have the abysmal situation in which the Minister for Finance calls for a wage pause, the Minister for Labour says no statutory wage pause is possible and the headline in The Irish Independent today proclaims that a pay freeze is now abandoned by the Government. Mr. Chris Glennon, the political correspondent, reports as follows:
A complete pay freeze is not now a practical aim, the Government tacitly admitted yesterday.
This emerged after the pay summit when the Taoiseach studiously avoided any reference to a pay pause...
And Foreign Minister Garret FitzGerald told the Dáil that the Cabinet still hoped for a pay agreement.
These were clear indications that the Government had abandoned a pay freeze until the end of the year.
Significantly, beside the article by Mr. Glennon, there is a cartoon by Doll showing the Coalition Government breathing the kiss of life into wages talks. Really, it should be the other way round: wages talks should be breathing the kiss of life into the Coalition Government. We all know, of course, that it is impossible to bring a corpse back to life, and Doll knows it, and if ever there were a corpse surely this Cabinet and this Coalition is one.
When we look at the budget introduced in the neighbouring island— remember, we are affected by what happens in the neighbouring island, and at the budget introduced here in January last, it is quite clear that the British budget spells disaster to any chance of economic recovery here. Now the blame for that must be laid fairly and squarely on the shoulders of the Minister for Finance and his Cabinet colleagues. How can our exporters hope to compete with the British with an inflation rate, stocked and fuelled by the decisions of this Government, running at the level it is and a projected level of 20 per cent later in the year while the figure in Britain will be approximately 10 per cent? What hope is there for our industrialists and exporters of any economic recovery?
To a certain extent I have a certain amount of pity for the Minister for Finance. It is recognised throughout the length and breadth of the country that he is the whipping boy of his own Cabinet colleagues. It is only right that the record should be put straight. The Minister for Finance is merely the spokesman on behalf of the Government and it is not fair of his Cabinet colleagues to go around the country privately blaming the failures of the Government on their Minister for Finance. He is not singly incompetent. There is a Cabinet of 15 who are totally incompetent as they have proved by their decisions, their lack of decisions and going back on their decisions over the last three years.
There are 83 sections in the Finance Bill. To go through it in the necessary detail would take more time than I have available. I will have the opportunity on Committee Stage of discussing various sections at greater length. This morning I intend to concentrate on the more dastardly sections and provisions of the Bill.
This year we are celebrating the anniversary of the 1916 Rising. At that time our patriots came forward when they were needed. New patriots are being brought forward today, maybe not voluntarily but they are being brought forward because of Government decisions. A housewife facing ever-increasing prices, with her husband out of work and less money coming in must be considered a patriot when she faces every morning not knowing where the money to provide the necessary food and clothing for her family will come from.
A body of Irishmen and women that must come under the heading "patriots" are motorists. In the eyes of the Minister the motorist is the man who has a car for luxury purposes. I had hoped that that mentality had disappeared many years ago but apparently it still lingers on in the mind of the Minister for Finance. The motorist was savagely attacked in this budget and Finance Bill by the massive increases in car tax and petrol. At the same time, he is being asked to drive on inadequate roads. No provision is being made in the allocations to local government to improve our roads.
Whether the Minister is aware of this or not—and apparently he is not —most people use their cars to get them to and from their jobs because of the inadequate public transport service or because they are part of their jobs—commercial travellers, doctors, vets and so on. The Minister is completely unaware of this situation. If he was aware of it, how could he possibly justify section 79 which provides revised annual rates of motor vehicle duty for private cars from the 1st March, 1976, as follows:
(d) Other vehicles to which this paragraph applies—
not exceeding 8 horse-power |
£4 for each unit or part of a unit of horse-power |
exceeding 8 horse-power and not exceeding 12 horse-power |
£5 for each unit or part of a unit of horse-power |
exceeding 12 horse-power |
£6 for each unit or part of a unit of horse-power |
electrically propelled |
£22 |
This indicates that the Minister still has an antiquated view of the motorist. He is prepared to attack the motoring public realising that they must have their cars and that they will have to pay this tax despite the fact that they are not in a position to do so. It is a major struggle for these people to keep their cars on the road, even though they need them.
To make certain that the motorists are penalised not just by an increase in car tax, the Minister increased petrol by 10p plus VAT. Section 73, 74 and 75 of the Bill ensure that whatever liberal interpretation was taken previously of the display of tax discs and so on, the Minister has now decided to go to war on our motorists. This is another example of a Government bankrupt of ideas when they have to attack a section of the community in this way.
It would be bad enough if this attack was only on our own people but it is also an attack on our tourist trade. How can we hope to entice the motoring tourists to Ireland when petrol costs about 18/- old money per gallon? The British Chancellor increased petrol by one penny a gallon. The Minister should look at the effect of his increases in the Border counties. In December, 1974, in a few momentous moments the Minister introduced a 15 per cent increase in the price of a gallon of petrol. One reason he gave was the different prices of petrol north and south. By his decision in the budget and the Finance Bill he has guaranteed that not one gallon of petrol will be sold on this side of the Border until the levelling up of prices.
The Minister has succeeded in doing something I never believed possible. He has created unemployed—as we all knew he would—in every section of the community. There was one section in which I honestly believed not even the Minister or his Cabinet colleagues could create unemployment, that is, the brewery business. He has even succeeded in causing unemployment there. At one fell swoop he has reduced considerably the employment content of an industry that was keeping our social services going; he has done severe damage to the licensed trade and the brewing industry.
Being reasonable men the licensed vintners met the Minister and put forward proposals as to what could be done to put their industry back on a proper footing, but, in typical fashion, the Government rejected any advice or offers from them. The Minister, referring to this matter yesterday, stated:
The pattern of beer consumption following the budget but prior to the trade increases in price, would indicate the correctness of the Government's tax calculations.
That does not stand up to the light of day. The Minister further stated:
Relevant to any consideration as to whether the price of beer should be reduced is the purpose to which recent increases are applied. Every penny of the 6p tax increase is returned to the public benefit, the other 4p increase goes to the private interests which imposed them. Having considered with great care every aspect of the situation——
I presume he is including the offers made by the licensed trade.
——the Government are satisfied that the correct course is to adhere to their original taxation measures which were designed to result in additional revenues of approximately £23 million in the current year for the public benefit.
They may have been designed to bring in £23 million but there is no way they are going to bring in £23 million when the average fall-off in consumption is reckoned at 40 per cent. How can we hope to attract tourists if we are charging such a massive price for drink? The increase is a direct result of the Government's decisions in spite of the fact that the Minister tried to palm it off by saying:
Subsequently, with effect from 1st March the breweries, albeit with the approval of the National Prices Commission, and trades generally, without the approval of the National Prices Commission, increased the price of a pint of beer by a total of 4p.
The National Prices Commission would not have approved the increase unless they felt it was justified. It was justified because of the mishandling of the economy by the Government and the raging rate of inflation we have. A particularly anti-social effect of the increase in the price in the pint is that we have reached the situation where a half-one costs less than a pint. Any of us who started drinking did so by taking a pint of beer or stout but the young person now, because of his limited money, if he is lucky to have a job, will choose a small whiskey instead of a pint because it is cheaper. That is a bad trend. It is wrong that young people should start by drinking hard liquor but the blame for this lies squarely on the shoulders of the Minister and his colleagues in the Government.
We have reached the situation where the working man, if he is fortunate enough to have a job, cannot afford to have a pint to refresh and stimulate him on his way home. It is terrible that we have reached the stage where one can only buy a pint and 20 cigarettes with £1. In general, the budget is a disincentive to investment, to work and production. Nothing brings this home more forcibly than the emphasis placed by the Minister on anti-avoidance methods. Everybody wants to pay his share of tax but the Minister appears to have a mental block about anti-avoidance. There are many anti-avoidance clauses in the Bill and the Minister referred to them on numerous occasions in the course of his speech instead of making an effort to stimulate investment in the economy and producing more jobs for our people. The Minister has gone the typical Coalition way by taking a little more from those who are doing a little for their country.
That point is illustrated by the decision of the Minister to tax co-ops. The imposition of that tax is the rock on which the National Coalition will perish. I do not think the Irish people will stand for that. It is indicative of the mentality of the Government; if one is successful in providing employment and a service one must be taxed for it. Co-ops will suffer because they are attempting to create employment. That mentality was responsible for the introduction of the wealth tax in spite of the fact that our wealthier neighbour did not see fit to introduce such a tax. It is that type of mentality which has shattered the confidence of our people in the ability of the Government to govern. It is only when people have confidence in a government to govern that the economy will develop and be put in a healthy state. The investing public have lost confidence in the Government. The Government have lost confidence in themselves and have gone back on a series of decisions they made such as the equal pay agreement.
You have a whole series of Ministers making independent statements with no idea of collective responsibility. You never know if a Minister is speaking as part of a Cabinet or expressing his own personal views. If the reaction from the public is favourable, it is as a Government Minister he speaks and if the reaction is unfavourable he is speaking on his own behalf with no connection with the Government. This can no longer go on. The people will no longer stand for it. The cry throughout the country at the moment is for a general election. The Minister in his slightly confined world may not be aware of this cry. The people are only waiting for the opportunity to show their displeasure at the mismanagement of our affairs by the Government. The sooner it comes the better. The fate of this Coalition is destined to be that of its two predecessors, one term and then rejection by the people.