Skip to main content
Normal View

Dáil Éireann debate -
Wednesday, 4 Nov 1981

Vol. 330 No. 7

Finance (No. 2) Bill, 1981: Second Stage (Resumed).

Question again proposed: "That the Bill be now read a Second Time."

Before the Adjournment I spoke about the situation we found when we came to office. I could understand how we got into that situation when I heard a Deputy ask a Minister to make an educated guess about something. Governments are not run by guesswork and I am glad the Minister in question did not give a guess, educated or otherwise. Perhaps it was this policy of guessing that got us into our present difficult situation.

In the past few months I have become very conscious of just how discerning is the general public. People cannot be hoodwinked any longer. They were hoodwinked in 1977 and they realised that. Now they are beginning to see we have a Government and a leader prepared to take courageous steps to stop this terrible slide down the slippery slope. If we want the corrective measures to be put into action we must have the people behind us. This Government propose certain tax reform measures, measures that people walked in their tens of thousands in the streets of Dublin to obtain. The marches attracted the largest gathering of people since the Eucharistic Congress or the Pope's visit. The people want tax reforms.

As I pointed out before the Adjournment, the equity of the tax code was very unclear to most PAYE people. Mr. Ben Carney, President of the Dublin Council of Trade Unions, who organised the marches, has said that there will be no diminution in the tax reforms they are demanding. The Government are courageous and despite being pressed by the IMF, the ESRI and many members of the Opposition to put off the tax reforms, that nettle must be grasped firmly. I am confident this Government have the guts to follow the old adage "Never put off till tomorrow what you can do today". The pattern in the past four or five years has been to keep on giving in the hope that somebody else would carry the burden later. That time has come and this Government are prepared to shoulder that responsibility.

Deputy Liam Fitzgerald, who spoke before the Adjournment, was critical of the Taoiseach. The defence being put up by the Opposition is no defence. They have been caught on the hop. During the election campaign Fianna Fáil members —who never countenanced that they would be in opposition after the election —tried to counteract the goodwill created by the commitment of Fine Gael to recognise the work and the worth of stay-at-home wives. This was an innovative and caring policy put forward by people who are concerned about the thousands and thousands of women who are the backbone of the country. I regard them as unsung heroines. I say alleluia for people such as the Taoiseach and Senator Gemma Hussey who spearheaded the movement to recognise that section of the community and to acknowledge the tremendous work carried out by them. Without them the country could not function. I am also pleased that this Government realise that housewives have eyes that need testing and have teeth that need dental care and that they will benefit under the social welfare scheme. I accept that these measures will cost money but it is wisely spent money. The lending agencies will see that it is prudent to introduce measures that bring about a more equitable system.

I am particularly pleased with our taxation proposals which will recognise single parent families. The tax system will give the same benefits to a single person as it gives to the chief breadwinner. That is particularly pleasing to me as a child of a widow who had to raise a family without getting tax concessions as the chief breadwinner.

This Government have an opportunity to deal with the public sector and they must be firm. The people will accept the harsh measures that are necessary if they feel they are getting value for money and if they see discipline is being exercised from the top. We can exercise the discipline which has been sadly lacking for a number of years.

We must continue to support the Government's efforts to attract investment, foreign and domestic. The rate of unemployment is not good but it is especially bad in the case of school leavers. As a housewife I see as the most serious effect of unemployment the lack of an opportunity for young people to develop the habit of working, of getting up in the morning and having to go to a third level educational institution, a factory, office or whatever. It is our responsibility to provide opportunities too for young people to work and the incentive to start their own businesses.

That is why I welcome the proposed youth employment scheme. We have a responsibility to provide the young people with the opportunity to develop skills so that they in turn can lead this country into the next century, perhaps even lead it better than it has been led for the last few years. The habit of unemployment is dangerous and debilitating and we must do all in our power to get rid of it. I applaud the efforts of the IDA, although in recent months many brickbats have been thrown at them. Last week they reported over 900 small firms had started up giving an enormous amount of employment. We must accept the fact that we have to learn to crawl before we can walk.

We must explore every avenue open to us. I am a member of Dublin County Council and realise local authorities have a duty to provide suitably zoned land to allow industrialists to open factories and create jobs. If the central purse cannot pay for all the services needed to make these lands usable for industry we must introduce mechanisms and legislation to allow a coming together of the industrialists; the people who want to supply the jobs and the Government. If we must introduce new legislation, so be it. We have come to the stage where the public purse is straining and cannot be expected to pay for everything. As I said, I welcome the opportunity for the local authorities, the Department of the Environment and the industrialists to get together to open up the lands needed for new industries.

The people would condone these enormous budget deficits if everything was grand, but it is not. They have not seen any benefits for these very big deficits and borrowing. There is one area where it is possible to get value for money. The budget for Dublin County Council is in the region of revenue £76 million and capital £20 million. Out of that a small sum is allocated for community grant schemes. In 1980 £121,000 was utilised by the council to help finance 122 separate small projects — scout groups, preschool groups, drama clubs and all sorts of local groups which are providing social services in their areas. We could take a lesson from that because that is money well spent. If we must spend large sums of money let us get value.

We have a situation where vast increases in pay and social welfare payments are not on. An area where the Government could get value for money is in financing the many excellent voluntary organisations. I am very proud to be a member of a party who said in their policy for Government that they would recognise more the work of these voluntary groups. There are many types of group, some of them aimed towards women, such as Women's Aid, AIM, Cherish and ADAPT. These organisations do not need vast sums but the amount of work they do which could not be done by State agencies is enormous. For very little money these groups could help us fight poverty. We cannot put a value on the voluntary work done by these groups.

The ICA and the Irish Housewives Association give a different type of service. They are more socially orientated. Other groups like St. Vincent de Paul, Simon and ALONE, play an enormous part in society. If a small sum of money can help these groups to provide a service and help combat poverty, that will be money well spent.

The Government are providing the leadership needed. They are going to stop the drift and the days of inactivity and get rid of the "it will be all right on the night" attitude. Only firm leadership and prudent management will get us out of the doldrums. Promises will not do it. If the people realise that what we are doing is being done for the benefit of this country and not for any local or sectional interest, they will be behind us. Deputy Garret FitzGerald's Government can help put this country back on its feet.

(Wexford): Is cúis áthais agus onóir dòmsa bheith ag caint don céad uair anseo inniu. It is a great honour and privilege for me to be here today to make my maiden speech on the Finance (No. 2) Bill. I am very conscious of all the great men who have gone before me and who have made worthwhile contributions.

It was with some amusement that I listened to the Minister for Finance when he said, moving the Second Stage, that the general reaction from the public to the measures proposed in the budget was one of acceptance of the unavoidable. He must not have spent very much time in the county in which I live. The general reaction to the budget was one of disgust, disappointment and disbelief. The Minister and his colleagues have overplayed the "blame Fianna Fáil" card. The public are not interested in excuses; they want the action which is expected of a Government. The budget was regarded as penal in every respect and the Minister should have no illusions about it. The Coalition of ultra-conservatives, socialists and the "catch-me-if-you-can" brigade are well aware that this Government are being hailed as the poorest, the shakiest and the most indecisive. This has been clearly demonstrated by their refusal to test the acceptability of the budget in a by-election in Cavan-Monaghan. When the Government sent their precursors to Cavan-Monaghan they got a fright because the message came back that Fianna Fáil would easily win. The result is that the people of this constituency are to be denied their right because of the cowardly attitude of the Government. If they are so satisfied with the level of acceptability of the budget, why did the Minister on so many occasions during his speech make silly excuses for its severity? This trend was continued throughout the debate by many Fine Gael speakers who spent more time making excuses than worthwhile contributions. Other Fine Gael speakers have agreed with us that the measures imposed were ill-begotten and an insult to the people.

We recall before the June election the confidence with which Fine Gael and Labour were urging the electorate to change the Government. They had the solutions to all the problems, but where now are those solutions? Following a hasty get together with Labour and an expensive courtship of the Independents, Fine Gael assumed office. When power comes in the door the risk of contamination goes out the window. This hasty marriage of Fine Gael and Labour proved difficult even on honeymoon because mother-in-law, Deputy Jim Kemmy, was sleeping in the same room with one eye open. Then the electorate were told when the Government came down to earth that they were not aware of the state of the country's finances. It is a poor reflection on them that they should make this suggestion, having conned the electorate into believing that they knew it all.

Fianna Fáil are opposing this Bill because of the hardships which have been imposed on all sections of the community. A brick wall has been built across the road of progress. Let us look at the education scene and observe how this penny pinching policy affects it. The education of our children must be above economics but that is not to suggest that money is ill-spent in educating our young people. Our education system leaves a lot to be desired but we had been making significant progress. The hardships imposed by the budget have seriously undermined and curtailed that progress. The ordinary parent, already worse off due to massive increases in the prices of basic foodstuffs, has now to face a 15 per cent VAT charge on schoolbooks. These books are an absolute necessity but due to this increase in VAT parents simply cannot afford them. Let not anyone say that the free book scheme, which has operated well for some years, will solve the problem. It will not do so because the scheme is grossly inadequate to cover normal costs. Certainly it was never designed to cover VAT charges. If children must do without the books necessary for their education not only will it make it more difficult for them to learn but there will also be a psychological effect. The fact that their parents cannot afford the books will be the subject of some derisory remarks at school which may have a lasting adverse effect.

While we welcome the changes in the third level education grant scheme we would point out that some of the schemes were advertised as being available to all leaving certificate holders irrespective of whether they had passed the examination in 1979, 1980 or 1981. Recently, however, the Department of Education sent a circular to all county education officers saying that only those who had passed the leaving certificate examination in 1981 would qualify. These are changes in mid-stream designed to save money at the expense of the nation's education. Many youngsters who had set their sights on college education, having made all their preparations and having foregone other opportunities, had their hopes dashed by the callous stroke of a pen. It is a case of losing the ship for a penny-worth of tar. This is not the only area of education where proposed savings will do untold damage. The need for money to fund the election promises dictates policy. The raising of the school entry age will have a detrimental effect on child education, but since this is the subject of another debate I will not discuss it further now.

The working man is hard hit by the jump in petrol prices from £1.80 to £2.21 per gallon. For the average man working away from home this imposition represents a big slice of his pay packet. The re-introduction of car tax, the VAT increases on cars and the 41p increase in the price of a gallon of petrol combine to make the cost of motoring one of the greatest burdens on the weekly pay packet. Today the car is as essential as the kitchen table, an absolute necessity. The price of the pint, which was part of the worker's daily life, has jumped almost out of reach since this budget. The worker, too, needs his enjoyment.

The housewife is expected to make ends meet despite the inroads already made into the pay packet. Increases in the prices of coal, gas, electricity and all essential food items make the task miserable and leave little for activities outside the home. With the strain of modern living in this age of hectic activity, it is necessary for the housewife to be able to afford to get away from it all sometimes. Of course we will be told that the £9.60 per week will alleviate this burden but this is an election confidence trick.

During the election the impression was given at every doorstep that if Fine Gael got into power cheques would flow to all and sundry. Depriving children of their proper education, this is what will pay the £9.60. The £9.60 arrangement will have the effect of leaving the household worse off, mentally and financially, because of the interference by the State in a private family matter, a point driven home forcibly by Deputy Richie Ryan, a member of the Government party who conceived this gimmick. Evidently the Minister for Finance and his Government believe that the breadwinner is no longer giving or capable of giving sufficient money to his spouse. In 99 per cent of Irish homes this financial arrangement every week was an indication of love, trust and appreciation. How dare this Government interfere in the intimacies of marriage. It will cause friction in family life. This proposal will have the effect of civil servants being paid out of taxpayers' money in order to take money out of the husband's pocket to be given to the wife, the end result being that the household will have less.

The budget proposals have brought the farmers on to the streets. Never before were farmers so hard hit. Their declining income has hit an all-time low following this budget. Prior to the June election we heard spokesmen of Fine Gael on agriculture declare that inflation was the farmers' greatest enemy. In one fell swoop this Finance Bill has added 5 per cent to inflation, raising it to the impossible level of 22 per cent, and it is still rising. Developing farmers cannot now meet their borrowing repayments because of this drastic increase and confidence has hit rock bottom. All farmers, large and small, are now crying out for aid, a call falling on deaf ears.

I should like now to quote from Farm-scene in The Irish Press of November 3 1981, the caption of which reads: “Why Wexford is leading the fight”.

These Wexford men cannot be taken lightly. According to the official ACOT figures, the county now produces an impressive 10 per cent of total national agricultural output; between 1974 and 1980 in Wexford cow numbers went up 60 per cent and milk output doubled to 40 million gallons, cattle production went up 10 per cent, cereals up 11 per cent, beet up 50 per cent and sheep numbers held steady while they fell almost everywhere else...

Wexford farmers borrowed heavily to invest in their land and to modernise their production and increase output. They achieved their objective, as the figures show.

But they are now caught in the crippling squeeze between high interest rates and costs and low produce prices. Many of them simply cannot meet their repayments and feed their families as well.

While we do not condone the actions of the protesters at present it is easy to understand why they are on the streets. My heart goes out to the farmers of Ireland. Farmers will remain on the streets and they are being supported by members of the Government who fed agriculture's greatest enemy, inflation.

Agriculture is the nation's primary industry. This budget suggests to me that the present Government have no intention of recognising that fact. That was made clear by Deputy Sherlock here this morning and by some other viewpoints expressed, including those of Deputy Michael D. Higgins. Because it is our basic industry it is essential to develop its potential to the maximum.

Tremendous development has taken place under the farm modernisation scheme, a scheme introduced following our entry into the EEC. The farm modernisation scheme encourages farmers to adopt and follow through a plan to develop their particular farm in order that it may reach its full potential. Many farmers have taken advantage of the incentives afforded under that scheme. Since July this year the numbers availing of the scheme dropped suddenly, in some instances down to 50 per cent, solely because of the lessening of grants. Farm building grants, drainage and reclamation grants have fallen by 5 per cent and incentives for the purchase of mobile equipment, such as tractors, machinery and so on have been abolished altogether. Grants for agricultural development form but a small part of the expenditure on any given project, sometimes as low as 10 per cent, leaving the rest to be funded by the farmer himself. The incentives under the farm modernisation scheme were sufficient to encourage farmers to embark on a development programme which in the short and long term would be of tremendous benefit to our economy. However the lessening of grants has now upset that balance. Farmers are now discouraged from availing of grants at their present level. It must be remembered also that when a project today is being assessed for grant aid an out-of-date yardstick is applied, to add to the discouragement already obtaining. The lowering and indeed complete removal of grants mean that we shall fail to attract farmers to this scheme. To date farmers who have been in close contact with their advisers are already taking part in the scheme. Henceforth we shall have to concentrate on the people who have had little or no contact with ACOT and the advisory services in order to encourage them to avail of the benefits of the scheme. County committees of agriculture had made great strides in attracting those farmers who had been slow to join. Barriers were being broken down and such farmers were contemplating entering, a desirable step in the interests of our economy overall. This dreadful change of tactics by this penny wise, pound foolish, anti-farmer Government is now causing such farmers to have a re-think. There is a growing lack of confidence in this Government daily becoming more evident. Farming is taking a backward step. It must be remembered that agricultural development to date has been considerable, the fruits of which will be seen to great advantage from now on. But this sudden falling off of farmers from the farm modernisation scheme will stunt the growth of our greatest industry. Agriculture still constitutes our basic industry and if it is not doing well the nation suffers. It is an indictment of the Coalition Government that they willingly and knowingly contribute to a deterioration in our basic industry.

The most serious burden on any economy is that of rising unemployment. The budget proposals, without the shadow of a doubt, have contributed enormously to rising unemployment. Unemployment was at an unacceptable level but this Bill has escalated it beyond imagination. The instructions to every Department to stop spending will cost the nation dearly. Raising the school entry age will cost 500 jobs. The building trade which has always been a great employer has now hit hard times. Cuts in public expenditure, housing, farming, school building, etc., will increase the numbers unemployed enormously. The car industry, because of the adverse charges in the budget, for the most part has gone on a three day week and workers, salesmen, transporters, suffer. This industry is a big one and the present setback hit hard and suddenly.

Young couples who had the good fortune to be allocated local authority houses and who are in the process of buying them out, or young couples who are building their own houses, if they become unemployed will find it impossible to meet their repayments. Those in local authority houses will have to go back to paying rent and those building their own houses may suffer the iniquity of losing their homes and find themselves on the local authority housing lists.

The policy of Fianna Fáil has always been to encourage people to own their own houses, a good policy because when a person owns his house much more will be thought about it and it will be looked after better. The unemployment that this budget has caused and will cause is a thumbs down for that policy.

The budget proposes that the combined total of income from the young couple be taken into account when they are being assessed for eligibility for loans. If the combined income is over £7,000 we most likely will find that because those people are so well off they will have to ask the local authority to build houses for them. This short-sighted attitude is nothing short of stupidity. The Coalition are not interested in giving loans for house building. It is unjust to assess the combination of a couple's income as if the two partners would always be income earners, whereas in 90 per cent of cases the wife will work for no longer than two years and the husband is again the sole breadwinner and his income only will have to pay the repayments. Why assess the combination of the two?

In conclusion I would ask the House to reject this Bill because of its complete disregard for our economy and the Irish people. A budget should be designed to help our economy to grow and to ensure that all sections of our community are being fairly treated. The Finance Bill now under discussion has all the hallmarks of being hastily put together with one aim in mind, that is, to pay off election promises. From the child at national school down to the old age pensioner this budget is a disaster.

It is with a degree of trepidation that I address this House for the first time. I do so mindful of my responsibility to represent the aspirations and the needs of the people who have sent me here. Having listened to a good lot of the debate I must confess that I am amazed at the gall of some of the speakers on the other side in their efforts to wash their hands of what can only be regarded as the irresponsibility of a Government that brought the country to the verge of bankruptcy. Their live-now, pay-later policy has put in jeopardy the future of the finest generation of young people that Ireland has ever had the good fortune to have.

The extent and size of our current deficit has resulted not only in corrective measures in the present restrictive Finance Bill, but it is also a statement of the inability of successive Governments to understand that the efficient use of money is our second greatest resource and that it determines how we, as a nation, treat and use our greatest resource, our people. We have unthinkingly squandered both these resources through maladministration, incompetence and through a narrow, selfish pursuit of votes. Successive Governments have failed, in most areas, to engage in comprehensive national planning so that an effective and efficient service infrastructure would be harnessed to the productive sector to create a sound and competitive economy which could absorb the energy and talent of a growing young population, which could provide them with housing at a mortgage level which would not enslave them for life, and so that we could develop a society which would be economically capable of being just and compassionate to its underprivileged and weaker groups such as the poor, the elderly, the handicapped and the mentally ill.

We have not learned, and the message of this Finance Bill is that we have no alternative but to learn, that we can no longer afford to spend and waste vast sums of money running incompetent, outdated and inefficient services when it would cost far less money to run modern and more efficient services. This is why, in a debate on a Finance Bill, it is quite relevant to examine the way in which we have wasted our resources in the area of housing, social welfare and health. If we are to stop wasting limited resources the message clearly is that we must be prepared to make the necessary capital investment which will enable us to obtain these modern, efficient and more economical services. The lesson is, as the Taoiseach said recently in Trinity College in a debate on the economy, "We must be prepared to spend money in order to save and make money." Let me now illustrate this misuse of our resources and the alternative pathway towards a more effective utilisation of our resources in certain areas of the health budget, particularly the psychiatric service.

When the Department of Health do not have a coherent and publicly available national policy for the development of a balanced health service, and you wish to know what their policy for the health service is, you can find the answer in the pattern of financial expenditure over a period of time. Indeed, irrespective of what policy is stated to be, policy is where the money is spent.

Examination of this area underlines the truth of everything I have said about our impoverished approach to economic planning and social development. The misuse of our resources in the health field is such that this year's allocation for health, £700 million, represents a figure equivalent to the total yield of taxes from the PAYE sector. This means we are using our resources in the health field in a wasteful manner. Nowhere is this better illustrated than in our attitude and approach to our psychiatric services. The key to understanding current expenditure on the health service is to examine the way in which capital moneys are used in health, because this represents the planning for the future. Over the past ten years there has been an enormous growth in expenditure on general hospitals each of which, on average, costs £25 million to build and as much again annually to pay for their running. Last year the Department announced a plan to build and upgrade 20 such general hospitals throughout the country at an estimated cost of £400 million. I do not for one moment criticise a plan to make adequate provision for general hospital services throughout the country. It, and the employment it generates, is to be welcomed. But it is counter-productive and politically immoral to do it in isolation as general hospitals do not represent the entire health service.

We can contrast this approach with the situation in psychiatry where, over the past ten years, the Department of Health have spent about £1 million each year patching up holes in roofs and damp walls in decrepit mental hospital institutions and also on TV programmes. Sorting out this service is not providing better clothes for the cinderella of the health service. It is more fundamental. It is a question of whether we will develop a competent service and in so doing save taxpayers' money.

There are between 12,000 and 13,000 people in our mental hospitals. This institutionally based service is one more legacy of the past which we have declined to face up to. Most patients are there for life. If we take a large mental hospital in Dublin with 900 beds, it costs over £10 million a year to run. This works out at about £½ million per long stay patient over a lifetime of expenditure. In this one Department there is need for an analysis of where taxpayers' money is being spent and I am trying to equate this with what is happening throughout the nation. We should contrast that cost with the fact that the cost of keeping 100 long stay patients in adequate group homes, hostels and rehabilitation workshops in the community is only one-tenth of that figure.

Every housewife is a Minister for Finance in her own right. We all know that it is vital that we get value for every pound we spend. The evidence of that is made public when department stores put up their sale signs. Housewives queue up to get the best value they can. There is waste of money in this Department. As a result of bad administration young people are shackled with the taxes we have to raise to meet the expenditure of this maladministration. I have touched on the money that could be saved if we were to treat long stay patients in a more humane way. Alternative community service is therapeutically more efficient and more suited to the needs of modern society. It costs less to run than the existing institutional service and is more economical. As it is capable of preventing people being institutionalised at a crippling human and economic cost and because it can rehabilitate people to a useful and economically productive life in the community, it is ultimately less of a burden on the taxpayer than the staggering £½ million per person per lifetime cost of institutionalisation.

I am aware that the time for this debate is running out and that my two colleagues are anxious to speak. In fairness to them and to allow them to speak on this I will try to be concise.

I do not wish to interrupt the Deputy during her maiden speech and I notice the success with which she is overcoming her trepidation. On the other hand, I would advise that the matter of who would follow the Deputy is a decision for the Chair and there is no guarantee that her colleague, as she says, will be called.

I thank the Chair for informing me of that. I would not presume to dictate to the Chair. It was just a matter of female concern for others.

Over several years I have had an opportunity to observe the Department of Health and have been involved in everything relating to our health services. If the prudence of most women could have been given an opportunity, we might not have been looking for such vast sums of money. I heard the Minister being questioned about providing services. The money is not simply there to do this. Women have always spend the nation's money. Men have always entrusted their earnings to women to administer the home and family and even long term to buy a house. For that reason we have acquired an expertise. We know there is nothing wrong with having to borrow money if we spend it on something that is an asset, but very few women will borrow money to squander money. I ask Deputies opposite, who must know better than anyone else what the true situation is in relation to our finances, to join their expertise with people on this side of the House. I know there is party political banter but we are all here for the same thing — the common good of the people and particularly the good of the younger generation.

Arthur Griffith, one of the founder members of our party, always maintained that economic independence was a prerequisite to national independence. That has been brought home to us clearly. We know we are almost totally owned by the international banks in Amsterdam and New York. Our rights and independence have been too dearly bought to allow that to happen. We cannot let it happen. The Taoiseach and Minister for Finance had to take stern measures in the July budget. The consequences of not doing so would have been far greater on the people than any kind of hardship they would have to endure in the short term. Most people realise that.

I thank the Chair for the courtesy he has afforded me and I am very pleased to have completed that first hurdle.

I congratulate the Deputy on her contribution but express regret that the magnanimity which she envisages does not always manifest itself in this austere House.

In the short time available to me I shall concentrate my remarks on the implications of the budget for the agricultural community. Much has been made of the so-called concessions in the Finance Bill so far as the farmers are concerned. These concessions are the VAT refund from 1 to 1½ per cent and the contractors VAT reduction. Taking into account the implications of the other items in the budget, these two changes are of no value whatever. There is no benefit to farmers in the VAT refund change because the VAT on most of their inputs has increased by 50 per cent and the inputs represent 60 per cent of the goods bought by the farmer. Regarding the other item — the contractors VAT reduction — there will be little if any benefit to the farmers because of the increased costs that the agricultural contractors must bear.

The Government failed to realise the situation regarding the farming community when they decided on such measures as the re-imposition of car tax and the increases in petrol and diesel prices as well as the increases in farm input prices. I doubt if there is anybody in the community who needs a car as much as it is needed by the farmer and by his wife. Consequently, the implications of the increased cost of motoring are enormous for them.

Another item in the budget, though not necessarily in the Finance Bill, was the cutback in finances for ACOT and An Foras Talúntais. More than any other time in the history of the State this was the wrong time to curtail the activities of either of these very important bodies.

The increase in sheep subsidies has been offset by the limits in the headage payments. That is a dangerous precedent especially in the context of the very serious incomes situation of the farming community. However, the most important aspect of the budget from the farming point of view has been the inflationary aspect of it. It is admitted by the Government that the measures taken in July will add 5 per cent to the annual rate of inflation. We all know that for every 1 per cent increase in inflation there is a reduction of £15 million in farm incomes. Therefore, the measures that have been taken by the Government are taking £75 million from the overall farm incomes for this year.

In the Farmers Journal of October 17 last, the prominent economist, Professor Sheehy had this to say:

Improved productivity in the form either of more output from the same inputs or the same output with reduced inputs would help in the current crisis. There is little doubt that farmers have been robbed of such productivity by the weather over the past three years.

Nobody mentioned the weather when I was responsible for agriculture. Professor Sheehy continued:

If weather had been normal this year, real incomes would be increasing instead of falling and some of the modest confidence in the industry in the spring would have persisted instead of the deep gloom which is prevalent.

At least we can see from that that the action we took restored farming confidence and led to a situation in which there was a prospect of an increase in farm incomes, but since the change of Government all of that has been reversed and the confidence that was there in the spring has now turned into gloom. What concerns the farming community more than anything else is not so much what the Government have done as what they intend doing in the January budget. According to themselves and to the economists the measures to be taken then will add another 4 to 5 per cent to the inflation rate. In other words, we are talking in terms of an additional 10 per cent in the inflation rate as a result of both the July budget and the budget to be introduced in January.

Having regard to the fact that a 1 per cent increase in inflation leads to a drop of £15 million in farm income, the Government by their actions have taken £150 million from farmer's incomes. This is from a Government who say that they recognise that inflation is a problem and accept that something must be done about it. It galls me to find commentators praising the Government for their anti-inflation programme. Where is there such a programme or what is it? I fail to understand the Minister for Agriculture or the Government in their approach to the farming crisis now being experienced. During the election campaign Fine Gael replied to an IFA questionaire about national economic policy and farm incomes by saying that the party accept that the farming income gap must be closed and should be restored to not less than 1978 levels in real terms with the least possible delay. However, after the election they had something else to say. At the agricultural show in Strokestown on September 4 the Minister for Agriculture said that, given the present situation in a section of the public finances, it was not open to the Government directly to compensate farmers for the drop in income that they had experienced in the past two-and-a-half years. He said that the cost of direct compensation was greatly in excess of any new expenditure which the Government were likely to be able to undertake.

After a meeting between the Minister for Agriculture, the Minister for Finance and the Taoiseach with representatives of the ICMSA, the IFA and Macra na Feirme it was stated in the communique issued that it was agreed that a serious decline in farm incomes had occurred in recent years and that farmers currently faced great difficulty in building up the volume of their production in the short-term. The statement went on to say that it was agreed also that attempts to solve the present difficulties would have to respect two priorities — the urgent need to reduce inflation and the maintenance of the principles of the common agricultural policy.

Further, the statement said that the Government had already indicated their proposals for meeting current difficulties but would be open to consider any additional suggestions which the farming organisations wished to make, and the delegations were invited to make such submissions. All that the Government have done, as far as anybody can see, since they took office, has been to bring about an increase in inflation although they recognised that they must reduce it. At the end of the communique they said that they had already indicated their proposals for meeting the current difficulties, but where or what are those proposals? All that their proposals have achieved has been to increase the costs for farmers and the increase in inflation has taken many £ millions out of farmers' incomes. They have failed to grasp the very serious situation that exists in agriculture at present which was brought about by themselves and by their actions. The Minister for Agriculture was quoted in one of the papers on 23 October last as calling for a cold-blooded economic approach to the farm income problems. Obviously the Minister is oblivious to the ruin to which Government policies based on that approach are drawing farmers. The Government's inflationary policies have removed the income improvement this year which Fianna Fáil put within the grasp of farm families and no improvement or relief is in sight. A Minister who calls for a cold-blooded economic approach at home will be in a very weak position when he goes to Brussels to fight the Irish farmers' case because if ever he had any cold-blooded economic approach at home he will find that in Brussels it is much colder and much more difficult.

I could say much more in relation to the statements made by the Government and by the Minister. I take exception to one of them in reference to ACOT, a farming body responsible for farm development, farm planning, advice and so on. The Minister had the audacity to attack the well-known and well-respected director of that organisation, Dr. Tom Walsh. It was a disgraceful attack. The doctor in charge of ACOT was only doing his job but, unfortunately, this Government —who themselves failed to recognise the serious situation—are now just turning around and accusing anybody who points out the facts to them. This is the position that faces us, and who has caused it? We have the very serious development of the farming community withholding payments from the ACC. While I do not condone that type of approach and neither would anyone on this side of the House, I can understand fully the frustration of the farming community at present, taking into account the various statements by the Government and the Minister that I have just referred to. I say to the farming community that there must be other ways and to the Government that they must seek with the farming community to find the other ways to correct this problem.

Last week in a statement here the Minister, talking about various measures and the interest subsidy from Brussels, stated, as recorded in the Official Report of 28 October 1981, column 722, volume 330:

It is not my contention—it would be idle to pretend otherwise—that these schemes will solve the credit problems being encountered by farmers. That is certainly not the case.

He goes on to talk about the substantial number of farmers who are in difficulty and says that he is working on a package of measures. If he is, he should be working in consultation and co-operation with the farming community and let them know what he is doing and what he and the Government intend to do either at home or on their behalf in Brussels. He must do this so that the farmers will not continue in the frustrated position they are in because of the very serious difficulties that arise at present within the agricultural community. These difficulties were there this time last year and we as a Government and I as Minister for Agriculture had to face them. We did face up to those difficulties and took measures to correct them and, as I said earlier, even independent economists were saying prior to the general election and the change of Government that we had halted the very serious decline in farm incomes, that we had restored confidence and for the first time in three years the farming community were facing the prospect of an increase in income rather than a decline. I will not delay the House but I will state that from August 1980 up to June this year, when the change of Government took place, the various measures, six in all, at home and abroad taken by me as Minister for Agriculture and by the Fianna Fáil Government amounted to a total of £400 million. That is the kind of money that will be needed now by this Government, wherever they find it, at home or abroad, to ensure that farming confidence is restored. There are many difficulties in the EEC.

I have not much time left. I will conclude by saying to the Minister and the Government, particularly the Minister for Finance, a farmer himself, that a cold-blooded economic situation cannot be imposed on the agricultural community at present. He as Minister and the Government will have to face up to the situation which exists now. They will have to meet the farmers and explain to them what they can and will do at home and abroad, and they must do it now, otherwise we are faced with a very serious situation in the farming community. I hope that that will not be allowed to develop.

In accordance with the order, the final Fianna Fáil speaker has one hour commencing at 4.45 p.m. I indicate to the concluding speaker, presumably Deputy Reynolds, that he will speak until 5.45 p.m.

I will be very happy to speak until 5.45 p.m. and in that time I will endeavour to cover a fair amount of the ground that has to be covered in relation to this Bill before the House which is the statutory implementation of the budget of 21 July. The budget is a statement in a housekeeping sort of style by the Minister for Finance of the day where he comes in and sets out the housekeeping as he sees it basically, underwrites his economic strategy and indicates how he proposes to go about it.

Regarding the budget of 21 July 1981 it is only right and proper that we look at the background to that budget. The Government came into power as the result of a general election and against that background we will ponder for a few moments on what gave rise to some of the items that appeared in the budget which are legislated for in this Bill here before us. We fought the general election as all other parties did. We fought it on an investment programme designed to improve the quality of life in this country, to try to tackle the major problem areas in which we found ourselves. We intended to look at those areas, realising the difficult economic circumstances in Ireland this year, and, indeed, in the western world as well. Against that background we intended to produce what we felt was a genuine assessment of the situation and what could be done for this economy to steer it through the very difficult circumstances we were going through. I have heard many comparisons made of the state of the economy vis-à-vis those of our EEC partners and other countries in the western world. One cannot compare our economy in 1981 with that of any other western developed economy because there are major differing factors involved and like should be compared with like.

The Deputy did not say that a few minutes ago.

The Minister should concentrate on his teaching problems.

Like with like means we are a young, nation with a developing economy. Almost 50 per cent of our people are under 25 years of age. There is a very high dependency rate when one considers the earning capacity which is involved and that people must produce the goods to sell abroad and keep our economy strong. We cannot be compared with countries in western Europe which are highly developed and industrialised, have declining populations and nothing like the dependency rate which we have.

We were faced with an oil crisis which occurred in late 1979 which produced a 160 per cent increase in oil prices and with a growing population—there have been arguments about jobs which were created from 1977 to 1981—but the real cause of the problem is that the Government did not take a census in their last term of office. Economists and politicians may differ but the fact remains that there were 80,000 more people working when the figures came out in late 1979 than had been acknowledged. I know what the state of the economy was in 1977 and the number of people who were looking for jobs which were impossible to get. In that period a substantial number of people——

On a point of order, it is most discourteous to the Opposition that neither the Minister for Finance nor his Minister of State is in the House listening to the concluding speech from the Fianna Fáil benches.

The Deputy will accept that that is not a matter for the Chair.

I am entitled to put the protest on the record of the House as a further indication of what we have seen this week of the shabby way——

The Deputy is so entitled but he will appreciate that Deputy Reynolds must conclude within the hour. I hope there will be no further interruptions.

The Minister for Finance will be here shortly. In any case he has the facility of being able to hear Deputy Reynolds and I am sure he is listening to him.

It was normal courtesy in the past for a Minister for Finance to be in the House.

An Leas Cheann Comhairle

Deputy Reynolds to proceed without any further interruptions.

I am sure the Minister for Finance will come along and I have some interesting things to say to him when he does. In fact, I have a little present for him when he arrives. We had to look at the requirements of the economy and the best way to steer it forward in the aftermath of the oil recession, which was the worst recession the western world had known since the Wall Street collapse of 1929. We steered the economy through some very difficult times and we put an investment plan into action which we believed could create the necessary economic activity to sustain as many people as possible in jobs and to create more jobs for a young and growing population. We went into the election openly and honestly and declared our policies to the electorate. Compare that with what the Government did. If I had the Fine Gael document here I could quote some very interesting points from it. It said that the state of the Irish economy was not one in which you set out promises, that the politics of promises had hopefully disappeared from the Irish scene, would not reappear and that realism would be brought home to Irish politics. This was not an election to face with a litany of catch phrases. When one reads through the document it is easy to see the catches which are there. They were based on an economic strategy, an anti-inflation programme and on the greatest catch of all, the £9.60 for the stay at home wives. It is a long time since the £9.60 was advertised in the newspapers. I cannot figure out, and neither can the wives, when if ever they are going to get it.

Against the background of the catches which were put forward, the Taoiseach said this was a time for openness and honesty, for facing the problems that were there and that he would make no election promises to them which he could not fulfil. He forgot his own words very quickly after he put the manifesto together. The manifesto was professionally marketed at a very high cost. On a few occasions during the election campaign I tried to get the real cost of the proposed programme. Nobody was prepared to tell the truth. A figure of £242 million was mentioned. That figure was a joke. We said so at the time and the reality will catch up with people in January 1982. A figure of £350 million was mentioned since that and today a figure of £460 million is being talked about. The figure is rising all the time and nobody is laughing.

How is it all going to be paid for? The present Taoiseach said that everything would have to be paid for. He talked about a 3½ per cent once off on indirect taxation to pay for this package which he said would cost £242 million. That figure is incorrect. Mr. Brendan Halligan, whom the Taoiseach always agreed with, mentioned a figure of 8 per cent for indirect taxation and, in the worst admission I have ever heard from a politician, said the only regret he had was that when questioned on television he did not give the true cost, as he knew it to be, of 8 per cent on indirect taxation. It is a terrible admission but it is the truth. It throws light on the situation which exists today.

That was the sort of election campaign which was run by Fine Gael and Labour. After the election we had two shows, one in the Gaiety Theatre and another in the Mansion House. The Gaiety show cobbled together a sort of programme which they would accept and, finally, behind closed doors in Sandymount or Ballsbridge, long meetings took place, cosmetic changes were made to a programme of economic policy that we all know is the Fine Gael election policy, part of which was to be introduced in the budget of 21 July 1981.

With an odd run to Limerick, too.

So, the unhappy marriage was put together. They have a name for it down my way which I would not use in the House because I could be called to order. They talk about guns in parts of this country and queer sorts of marriages. This was one of those. With every initiative and effort on our part that is one marriage which we will break up and make sure that a divorce takes place, if it is the only divorce that we ever introduce into this country.

Deputies

Hear, hear.

Deputy Kemmy is in the bed too.

Mr. Crowley

He will go through it before long.

We came to the joining together, when the rings were put on and we faced up to the entry into the House.

They had not the price of the house.

On the first day on which the present Taoiseach stood where the Minister of State at the Department of Education is now sitting, his first exclamation to this House was that the books were in a terrible state and that he did not realise that they were so bad.

Deputies

Hear, hear.

With all the investigations which I was able to carry out we tracked him as best we could, from Aras an Uachtaráin and everywhere else——

To a press conference.

——to a rushed four or five minute press conference——

It was three minutes.

I will not argue about the minutes, but there was no time for a visit to the Department of Finance, nor was there any time to get a full lecture on the financial records of this country. He stood up over there and said that things were worse than even he thought.

At 6.45 p.m. on the same evening I was broadcasting on Radio Éireann and I forecast, three quarters of an hour before the present Taoiseach stood up in this House, that the very first thing we would hear was that the others had left it in a terrible mess, that he could not believe it was so bad.

That is because the Deputy knew about it. He had only just left, himself.

That is exactly what he said 45 minutes later. I am sure that RTE have the tape, if anyone wants to check. Subsequently, we had the setting up of the Cabinet and the little problems involved there. They were mated together temporarily, shall we say.

(Interruptions.)

We get to the stage where they have left the Gaiety and the Mansion House and now come to the stage of the propaganda exercise, the massive professional media presentation of the critical financial state of this country, which was on the rocks, which could not pay the wages of the Garda, the nurses or anybody and everybody. The TDs were not mentioned although the Taoiseach must have been almost down to them at that stage. This was the state of the Irish economy and our financial institutions. No money was left in the coffers. Not a shilling left to pay anybody.

That is correct. Yes, very bare indeed.

They went on with the long-playing record telling everyone through every possible professional means of using hysteria, fear and everything else that this country was about to fold up.

Deputy Flanagan passed a humorous comment that the country had been living beyond its means since 1950 but that it was still around and a lot of us were still around and that we would be around for a long time yet. That was his side comment on his own side's propaganda.

That is what Deputy Haughey said in 1980.

That is the propaganda machine which went out. Meetings took place for 12 hours a day in Government Buildings and Merrion Street.

On Saturdays and Sundays.

Is Deputy Kemmy getting Deputy L'Estrange down?

We heard the stories of the poor Ministers who could not go on their holidays or go anywhere, who had to sit down and scrutinise our financial books. As Deputy Kelly, Minister for Trade, Commerce and Tourism said, they were back-aching meetings, all for the benefit of a consumer public, to set the stage for the introduction of the July budget which would start the road back to national solvency, put the finances of the State in order and cure all the ills of this economy. Now, let us see what did happen.

The major problems facing the country today are inflation, unemployment and the state of the finances, the balance of payments and current deficits.

Caused by Fianna Fáil.

This was the first step along the road to set the nation and its finances right, having spread that propaganda all around this country. What I take a genuine, sincere exception to is Ministers of an Irish Government going abroad and denigrating this country by saying that it is insolvent and has a massive financial crisis——

——and that the country is bankrupt. No Irish Minister in the history of this State from either side of this House ever went abroad and used the occasion to try to drag down the good name which Ireland has with international financiers into the gutter. Not one did it, but more than one. I take grievous exception to that, and I am quite certain that the Irish people do as well. One would think that no matter what political party they supported they would have a pride in their country and confidence in our ability to solve our problems. If the heat in the kitchen is too great, as Harry Truman once said, get out and we will step in.

Why did you not get out?

The Deputy is the one who is hot.

It was Fianna Fáil who got out when they could have stayed. It was they who ran away.

We can always take the heat. We never blamed anyone in 1977, and the Government should be ashamed of themselves for doing it today.

Deputy L'Estrange is sticking to his guns today. Have the Government their Independents whipped?

We heard that there was no money and that the major problems facing the country were inflation, unemployment and the State finances. Now we come to the introduction of the budget statement of July 21.

The heavy hand of Fine Gael; the dead hand of Fine Gael.

(Interruptions.)

The Deputy has only a limited amount of time and we will have to give him his time.

The Chair certainly will. He cannot deprive me of a few minutes like that.

The Deputy is in possession.

(Interruptions.)

Let us get back to the major problems of the economy which this budget was to solve. The major problems as set out in the Coalition documents and by every commentator, economic or otherwise, are inflation, unemployment, the balance of payments and the State finances. Let us look first at inflation.

When we left office on June 30, inflation was on the way down, at around 17 per cent — 17.1 per cent to be exact — and going in the right direction. Policies were introduced, subsidies introduced and let me come to the price increases which the Minister for Trade, Commerce and Tourism said were deferred until after the budget. I want to nail that lie here and now. He spoke about the CIE fare increase being postponed until after the general election, which is a complete fabrication and misrepresentation of the situation. Back in April, the Government took a decision to freeze CIE fare increases knowing full well that those charges would contribute to inflation. Furthermore, as a businessman with a commercial approach to this situation in Dublin city, I knew that was not the time to increase fares, with the bus fleet disintegrating on the Dublin streets and with the traffic chaos. It would have been a bad marketing exercise to drive more people away from public transport by savage price increases at a time when a genuine service could not be offered. That was a conscious decision by my Government.

When there was an election looming?

I advocated it at Cabinet level and my colleagues backed me on it. The CIE Chairman and General Manager were informed by me that that was the situation and that CIE would be recouped, as they were recouped, for what they lost in the first six months by the introduction of a supplementary budget passed unanimously by this House. It is disgraceful for any Minister, and it is equally disgraceful for people in CIE — I do not mind saying that today — to try to misrepresent the situation in relation to the fare increases. I have given the facts and I deal in facts not in fairy tales, fiction or propaganda.

I should like to deal with the massive ESB increase. I was aware, as a member of the last Cabinet, that the ESB had applied for an increase of 12½ per cent earlier this year. We looked at the situation in relation to the ESB, and their accounts, and considered what was likely to happen to oil prices in 1981. We were satisfied that the ESB, because of the prevailing situation and because there was a distinct possibility that oil would reduce in price, should not be granted the increase. However, the Government on taking office not alone granted that increase but they multiplied it by two to 25 per cent to make up for the first half of the year because they said Fianna Fáil had left them short.

After a short time the ESB financial statement showed that they had made £6.6 million profit. When one examines those accounts closely one can see that £28 million, approximately, is there for depreciation and that there is another little item called amortisation listed at £28 million also. In effect that is £56 million into their cash flow. I ask any person who wants to make an honest assessment if this was the year and the time in view of the financial situation of the ESB and the economic problems of the country to permit the ESB to put up their charges by 25 per cent. Was it a sensible thing to do realising the impact on inflation because transport charges are a contributor to it? Was it sensible realising the real problems it would create for industry and agriculture where electricity is used extensively? Was it the time to do it? I say it was not because the ESB were capable in this period of serious economic problems to carry that for one year. It was the Government's duty to make them do that but they did not do so because they could blame Fianna Fáil, as they thought, for it and use it as another part of the economic hysteria or disarray they say they found when they took office. The reality is there for everybody to see.

Many people will experience a very cold winter because of those increases and before long the Government will need a second Minister for Poverty with a budget much in excess of £100,000 to look after the poor people who this winter will be faced with higher ESB charges, not to talk of the savage increases in the price of gas. We must remember that electricity and gas are the only means of heat such people have.

That is the anti-inflation programme.

Following those increases the budget was introduced and we were made aware of the supposed anti-inflation programme. The savage increases were imposed and the Minister for Finance, and his cohorts, said we could expect 3 per cent increase in the CPI and that prices would only go up by 3 per cent. We are all well aware that they have gone up by 5 per cent and not even Deputies on the Government side will dispute that. That budget, combined with the budgets which were introduced weekly thereafter, whether they were for post office charges or for other areas, were brought in because the Government felt they had the country convinced that these were the other fellow's problems, that they should put in the boot and get as much as they could out of it.

I shall deal with the employment situation later, something which has a bearing on the budget statement presented by the Minister for Finance in July.

It is the Finance Bill we are dealing with today. The Deputy has not got a new speech since July.

In case the Minister is not aware the Finance Bill implements the savings budget proposals of July.

The Minister cannot rub off the record what was done on 21 July by saying he will have a different speech today. I do not think it is good enough for any Minister for Finance to come to the House with a small piece of paper with the nation's finances added up on it. A financial director in a small company would produce more information to the people involved in that company than the piece of paper concerned presents to the House.

I agree with the Deputy. We would want to improve on that and we will. I am delighted the Deputy said that.

I am glad to hear that because if we had the information I would not have to do the digging I had to do for the purpose of making this contribution.

I fully agree with the Deputy.

It is not too bad that we can agree on something. The first item I want to deal with is the budget deficit of £946.6 million. I do not know where that figure came from. The Central Bank and many others do not know where it came from. I hope the day will not pass without the Minister for Finance telling the House how that figure is made up. When we left office the best information available to us was that it was almost £800 million and that is in line with the ESRI who spoke about £796 million or thereabouts. Nobody could add up £956 million. I have a sneaking suspicion — I am a bit naive in ways — when I look at £148 million taken off on the other side that added on to the figure of almost £800 million were probably demands that were in the Department or were coming in from various Department for semi-State bodies and others. I have a sneaking suspicion about that and I hope I am wrong. I hope the Minister when he gets the opportunity will clarify this matter and get rid of my suspicion. Where did he get the figure that nobody else knew about or could figure out? He knows the figure the ESRI put on it pre-budget and post-budget. He knows that the figure was £787 million post-budget and £790 million pre-budget.

I believe the demands that were there were added on to one side and taken off the other but I hope I am wrong. I should now like to look at the tax revenue situation. The tax revenue as projected in the revised estimate following the financial proposals of July 21 was £3,210 million. That is an interesting figure when one looks at it. The figures do not add up at all. The non-tax revenue was £655 million making a total of £3,865 million. The net tax increases were put down as £66.3 million and the projected current budget deficit was £787.2 million making a total of £4,718.5 million. I looked at those figures and waited patiently until the Exchequer returns came out for the first quarter of the Government's term of office. I found that the tax revenue to 30 September 1981 was £2,777 million which is the equivalent of 86 per cent of the tax revenue target of £3,210 million for the year as a whole. The tax collected to the end of September as a proportion of the year as a whole in 1980 was 71.6 per cent, in 1979 it was 68.75 per cent and in 1978 it was 72.9 per cent. Even assuming that the tax collected in 1981 to the end of September is 75 per cent of revenue for will be collected, the total revenue for 1981 would then be £3,470.25 million.

Let somebody try to answer that. When we left office the tax revenue was there for everybody to see. We know the tax buoyancy there was in that quarter. From past experience, and taking all other relevant factors into consideration, the Government should be able to make a better estimate than the estimate they made of £3,210 million. We are giving them the benefit of the doubt and only taking into account 75 per cent tax revenue in the first three quarters although we know that, on the figure that is actually in it is 86.2 per cent. Having given the Government the benefit of the doubt, we see what the real tax revenue would be. I do not believe the real tax revenue was produced in the figures on 21 July 1980. It is quite clear from past experience what the estimates should be. That is surely something that the Minister for Finance should answer in this House this evening before he leaves. The sources for those figures are the Exchequer reports of 1979, 1980 and 1981 and the Department of Finance budget statement explanatory table. I would like to hear a decent explanation for those figures but I do not expect it will be forthcoming. Why was there such a gap left in the presentation of these figures.

Let me put it to the Minister that the tax revenue for the year was £3,470 million, giving him the benefit of the doubt and only taking into consideration 75 per cent in September and also bearing in mind that some of those increases put on in the budget, tax and VAT increases of 5 per cent, come into operation on 1 September 1981. I know from experience, and the Minister will agree, that none of the VAT reaches the Exchequer until two or three weeks later because the returns are not made until the end of the month, and I am sure the Minister would not deny that. We also know that other increases such as car taxation came in on 1 September and we are given the full benefit of the projected figures the Minister has there. We are not taking off anything in our calculations and there are things which could validly have been taken off. I am giving the Minister the full benefit of everything that is there and here is the picture that emerges at the end of the day. The tax revenue at the end of the year is £3,470.25 million, minus the July budget tax increases of £66.3 million, minus the net expenditure reductions of £113.1 million, giving a total revenue of £3,290.65 million. That leaves £80.85 million in the kitty at the most conservative estimation that anyone could give on the figures. Let the Minister come clean with this House and with the people of this country. Let him eat his own words when he said that the cupboards were left bare and that there would be no money in the kitty to pay his nurses and gardaí and everybody throughout the country. When the tax revenue was buoyant the money was there. The Minister may get his figures right at the end of the year but they will be right for the wrong reasons.

Let us now look at the other aspect of this budget that we talked about, the figure of £148.5 million. I ask the Minister to try to explain it to me because some people might say that I have a little naive mind. But this Government have sat down at the back-breaking meetings in Merrion Street. They have told everybody that public expenditure is being cut, that the Government are going to give the economic management that the country badly needs and will look at the results of the first quarter in relation to expenditure. During the first six months of this year when we were in office expenditure was running at 25 per cent over the 1980 levels and, bearing in mind the inflation rate, that was not very excessive. Yet in the aftermath of our going out of office I heard Minister John Kelly shouting aloud from the heights that Fianna Fáil spent money like drunken sailors. After all we were told about expenditure, we look at the result on 30 September 1981 to find that the figure we were running at, 25 per cent over 1980 figures, had not decreased, had not stabilised but had gone up to slightly over 30 per cent. The expenditure figures are there. I am sure the Minister will not deny them. Perhaps he could explain this. I charge this Government with spending the money like drunken sailors and spending far too much and trying to convince the public that the situation is different from what it really is. If they spent less money on all the various public relations exercises and told the people the true facts then we would all be better off; politics would be better and democracy would be better. We all know that if this nonsense is continued people will not know whom to believe.

The Deputy does not believe in spending money on public relations?

I did not have to spend it. I did not have a public relations agent or even an information officer in the Department of Transport when I was there. I would not like to compare that with the present situation, nor would I like to compare those days with what is going on at present and the acts of piracy that go on from time to time through the PR machine. One example is the announcement of a rail coach building industry for Inchicore costing £34 million, providing 180 jobs and 127 new carriages. I would just invite the Minister to have a look at the papers on 25 and 26 April and 11 and 12 April. He will see the same story printed, when I announced a Government decision taken in the earlier part of this year. But the PR fellows engaged in a little act of piracy. The also engaged in another act of piracy in relation to the express post and facsimile post to be introduced. I would invite the Minister and his cohorts to look at the Easter Monday papers where I announced the setting up of this and put the early arrangements into practice at the sub-post master's conference in Blarney. I am sure the Minister was watching television the other night when the television crew accompanied the present Minister around the Maynooth suburban line. I presume that when the first inaugural trip takes place in three week's time the credit for this will also be claimed by the PR agency. However, I did not introduce the subject, the Minister did.

That is the situation in relation to those figures as presented in that budget statement by the Minister for Finance. If he wants to deny those figures he is welcome to do it. But it is time to come clean and put the record straight. He should not put democracy in danger by giving out stories that are not true about the state of this country. The situation is as I have said. The Minister should have plenty of money for his gardaí and plenty of money for his teachers. It rolled into him in the first quarter and nothing he did in the July budget helped him along the way except for a paltry few million pounds. Yet the Minister got in £970 million in that quarter and said that the country was broke weeks earlier when he was abroad. Others, like the Minister, said so too. They should be ashamed of themselves. If a man working for me in a much smaller financial institution produced that sort of estimate, forecast or target to me I would give him 24 hours to get out of the place because I would not be in business the following month if I accepted figures such as have been presented to this House. I would tell him to find himself another job. If the Minister cannot prove me wrong, I say to him also that he should find himself another job, because we need a better financial director in this country than we have got at this moment. The people are beginning to see through it and they will see through it more as time goes on.

Even Deputy Richie Ryan is getting worried about it.

I now come to what the budget has done in relation to the problems of our economy. The major problems facing the economy when the budget was introduced were inflation, unemployment and the State finances. We know what effect the budget will have on the State finances for this year. We also know that the Government took the opportunity to introduce the savage budget in July to get in revenue for their programme for next year because they are afraid they might not be around to bring in a third budget and might have to face the electorate next year. The savage budget of last July was brought in for that reason alone because if the Government waited until October they could not have justified their July budget because the Exchequer returns would have been there to prove otherwise. The Government took the opportunity of bringing in that budget when they thought they could blame somebody else. They know their action in the budget will bring in approximately £218 million which will give them some help towards the implementation of their taxation package.

I hope the Government will have second thoughts about their taxation package. I hope they will put the interests of the country first and will not foist on the community a taxation package which brings down income tax from 35 per cent to 25 per cent, that will transfer £460 million in indirect taxation, or which will be split between cutbacks in public expenditure when the end result of the exercise will be to produce a taxation package which will destroy our economy as far as inflation is concerned. At the end of the day the household budget will not be better off in most cases and in many cases will be a lot worse off.

This does not take into account the £9.60 per week for the wife who stays at home. The taxation package is a con job on the taxpayers and the wage earners. I called it that during the election compaign and I am glad that four months later I am proved right. We have often heard the story of robbing Peter to pay Paul but this is a question of robbing Peter to pay Peter. The Government are taking a lot of the money in advance. It will be a twice off payment as far as the people are concerned. It is a twice off payment as far as the wife is concerned. It is the same as far as the taxpayer is concerned. The Minister knows the score as well as I do. If he wants to be honest about it he will come out and say it.

I do not have to refer the Minister back to what his views were on agriculture or what he said inflation was doing to agriculture. He is now presiding over an economic policy that has already put 5 per cent more on to inflation and will add 8 per cent more in January. What will that do to agriculture? He knows it will wreck it at a time when it needs all the help it can get. Agriculture is getting very little from the Government to help it. Farmers are being told to tighten their belts the same as everybody else. That is the sort of attitude the Government are adopting in relation to our major industry. The Minister knows what will happen to the business and manufacturing sectors as a result of the inflation rate. He should get back from the precipice. He has an albatross around his neck. He should not introduce this taxation policy; he should put the country first. The Fine Gael slogan was: "Let the country win". The Government should let the country win, be credible and bury their taxation package. If they have to face the electorate in the period in which they did not introduce it let them tell the truth to the people and the people will believe them. The people have been finding out a lot about the Government during the last few weeks.

I know what economists said three months ago and what they are saying today. The Minister knows as well as I know how their figures have changed. The people cannot be conned any longer. The Government should forget about their taxation package before they do any more damage to the economy. We have not yet been told what women will get the £9.60 per week. Will the wife of the small farmer who is not paying tax get the £9.60 per week? Will the wife of the unemployed man get it? Will people have to pay taxation to get it? This is another robbing Peter to pay Peter situation. The Government are taking the money from the husband and giving it to the wife. They will cause problems in every household where the finances of the household are organised. It is an invasion of the privacy of the home, as Deputy Richie Ryan said. The Government will cause more problems and will probably be instrumental in causing more divorces if they continue with their daft policy. The people were led to believe by the canvassers at the door before the election that they would receive the money in the post the following week. The postal service did not deteriorate that much. No cheques have turned up, The Minister only got a woman for himself recently. He should not deceive her because I can tell him if he brings the wrath of a woman on top of him he will really get it. The greatest political sin politicians can commit in relation to the electorate is to con them with deceit. The Government have conned the people with a programme that is deceitful in every way.

The Government have a great array of economists. If they are the people who operate the true signs of economics, who look at the problem and assess it they also assess the repercussions of the decisions the Government take. Has any assessment been made of the repercussions of the Government's reductions in taxation policy? Has a look been taken at the damage this £9.60 per week will do? Has a look been taken at the damage that will be done by the Government's so-called anti-inflation policy which this year alone will produce an inflation rate of 22 per cent?

I heard the Fine Gael policy enunciated all through the election campaign in relation to what they will do for jobs and for unemployment. A lot was said about the reduction in the oil tax to the manufacturing companies, which I understand will not be introduced on 1 December. I do not know what the administrative problems are but that was supposed to produce a great number of jobs. That was deceiving the electorate. The Minister knows as well as I do that when you are in an economic situation such as we are in and when you look at our biggest customer across the Irish Sea it does not matter if you put 100,000 people to work tomorrow morning producing goods if you have not somebody to sell them to. If the market on which we depend for 44 per cent of our exports is depressed nobody should try to tell the people that unemployment can be solved by a wave of the hand and a reduction in the taxation on oil and by all the other things the Government said they would do to make our industry competitive. One of the major areas for making industry competitive is the inflation rate. The Government will bring it to 22 per cent and it is even likely to be 24 per cent.

What about the tax package?

Nobody knows what the tax package will be. The principle involved in attacking the competitiveness of Irish industry which the Government are relying on to produce jobs, will not actually do this. We are told that the employment agency is the answer to all our ills. What is this and what will it do? I know the Government have in their minds the 1 per cent employment levy but I do not know how it will work. It is not taking in the ability of anybody to pay. Will the money be taken from the low paid worker who is finding it hard to make ends meet? Is this another Exchequer revenue the Government will collect? Where will the Government put the people to work? Is it an expansion of the work experience programme, the environmental programme and the youth employment schemes which are all there and were operated by Fianna Fáil? Is this another bureaucratic institution to oversee the operations of the various schemes and bring them together? It looks to me as if that is what this new thing is. Youngsters will have to wait for work longer than the Government are prepared to tell them. Perhaps they will tell them the truth even at this late stage.

Now we come to the collapse of the national understanding. We have had national understandings of one kind or another for ten years. In general terms it is fair to say they served this country well. Lower paid workers were lifted up by the boot straps, as one trade unionist might say. In a free for all situation, the strongest do best and the weakest get least. We are looking for equality in this society. The Government were very irresponsible in the way they handled our economic affairs. Have they been taking decisions from day to day and from week to week to ensure their survival? One begins to think they have. When one looks at the operations of the various Ministers, and hears the criticisms which emanate from back benchers who have to face the heat in their own constituencies, one has to ask the question: are things going well?

And they also have Deputy Kemmy.

If they were serious about a national wage agreement and if they were serious about a moderate wage agreement, they would not have taken the decisions they took on July 21. At that time it was plain to be seen that the necessary revenue was coming in at the end of the quarter. They refused to accept that and tried to hang us with it, but they will hang themselves. They were irresponsible in their approach to wage bargaining.

They pushed up the inflation rate to such a degree that they knew full well there was no possibility of getting a national wage agreement and little possibility of getting a moderate wage agreement. I subscribe to the view that we need a moderate wage agreement. The Government were totally irresponsible in their actions in July when they removed the subsidy on mortgage rates and pushed up the cost of living in other areas. They then expected people to accept a very small national wage agreement, suggested by the three wise men as 6.5 per cent. The report does not mention 6.5 per cent but something like 9.5 per cent. Nobody can find where the 6.5 per cent comes from.

The Minister knows.

Perhaps he knows and perhaps he will tell me.

They found another 1 per cent this morning.

Having made Fianna Fáil the first scapegoat in their propaganda, and having failed to get any deal with their social partners on a moderate wage agreement, I would not like them to try to make the public sector the scapegoat for their irresponsibility in the handling of our economic affairs. I should like to quote one statistic from the report of the three wise men, which is that for the ten years from 1970 to 1980 the real income increase in the public service was 20 per cent, compared with 30 per cent in the service industry, and 40 per cent in the manufacturing industry. That is the reality. If those figures are wrong, the three wise man are wrong. I mention that figure for people to contradict it if they want to do so. The Government should not try to make the public sector the scapegoat for the scenario they have enacted since last July.

When I read the Minister's budget speech of July 21 I thought I saw a hint that the embargo would not extend to the productive sector of the public service. Unfortunately the reality is different. It is extending into that area. In the Department of Posts and Telegraphs the people who are spending money on the development programme will be left without jointing staff. That means all the other investment will be wasted. That is irresponsible economic management, and they know it as well as I do.

We do not share the feelings of gloom and doom of the people on those benches with all the economic advice they get from economists. In my view economists have one role in life and the Government and politicians of the day have a different role in life. We must make our judgements in the best interests of society and in the best interests of our nation. I do not share the pre-supposition that oil prices will continue to increase. I look at the country and say we will do the job that has to be done. We will build up our infrastructure, which is deficient in many respects. This has an impact on the competitiveness of Irish industry. We will borrow the money to do those jobs and offer no apology.

We will phase out the current deficit over a period, remembering that current deficits are about people. As I said elsewhere if you provide the buildings and equipment and you have not got the people, you are failing in economic management. In our party we have optimism and confidence. We represent the confidence of the Irish people. Every day members of the Government speak on the radio or abroad they are trying to kill the confidence of the Irish people and reduce the people to gloom and doom. As happened on the three previous occasions when they were in office, when the right time comes, and sooner rather than later, the people will return to the party who will give them back their confidence and will help to build up this nation for all the people. We will provide the equality and the justice needed in our society and, at the end of the day, we will not try to find scapegoats as they did for their totally irresponsible economic decisions.

The Government's aim in this Finance Bill, in the budget and in our general handling of the economic situation is to establish a base for progress in the direction of more jobs for the very large numbers of young people we have in our community, and in the direction of improvements in our social services particularly for the elderly members of our community. These aims can be met now and in the future only if the revenue coming in is available for those purposes and is not being absorbed by servicing debts incurred in the past.

At present an undue share of our revenue is being absorbed in servicing our debts. In 1980 interest payments on foreign debts amounted to £164 million. This year the figure will reach £250 million. That is dead money going out of the country to foreign bankers. On present trends, in 1982 interest charges will reach a level of £500 million which we will have to hand over to foreign banks because we lived beyond our means in the past. When we combine interest payments with principal we find that the total cost in 1982 of servicing our foreign debt will reach the astronomical figure of £850 million. This is enough to finance the entire health services for a year, and yet we cannot use it for that purpose, or to improve the health services. As a result of the financial irresponsibility of previous Governments this money is tied up to repay interest and principal on foreign debts.

Nearly two-thirds of the State's revenue from income tax—and this is worth thinking about; it is our major source of revenue as a community—will have to be used next year to service foreign debt. That leaves one-third only to pay the Garda and to improve our social services, because two-thirds have been spoken for by foreign banks. Previous Governments decided to borrow that money rather than face the difficult choices involved in governing.

To govern is to choose. Unfortunately the previous Government chose to avoid the choice by borrowing. We are now faced with a choice. The borrowing has to stop. It is essential that we should have sound public finance and that we should not borrow huge sums of money to finance day to day expenses. We need the money and we need the freedom which not having to hand over this money to foreign bankers will give us to invest in job creation and improve social services. If we allow debts to pile up, future Governments will not have the ability to maintain our social services or to give tax concessions and to develop the infrastructure of our economy because the money will be spoken for. It will have to go abroad to foreign banks. That is the choice we are facing as a community.

When I speak of the future I am speaking of a future in which this money which we are earmarking for foreign debt will be badly needed for other purposes. I refer here to the report published by the NESC, and which I am sure Deputy Fitzgerald has read, where a comparison is made between the situation in Ireland and in other EEC countries. Since we entered the EEC, Irish living standards have declined vis-á-vis those in Germany; in other words, living standards in Germany have increased at a faster rate. This is despite the fact that we expected to catch up with their living standards, the whole purpose of our entering the Community. However, the report further shows that our economy has to grow much faster in the next ten years than the German economy simply to maintain the present level of comparison between the two countries. What is the reason for that? It is simply that we have more young people than they have. We will have more and more people demanding their share of our income while they will have fewer people demanding their share of the German income. We will have to grow extremely fast as an economy, not to improve our living standards but merely to stand still. Instead of trying, as a responsible generation——

The Minister would not know that but for our census.

Instead of trying as a responsible generation to set aside money for the future for this enormous challenge so that it will be there in five or ten years to meet the challenge of providing jobs for the young people, we are spending twice as much now. We are piling up debts that those young people will have to repay. Because of our irresponsibility they will have to repay our debts. Those of us who survive the next ten years will not be able to do what we could have done if the present generation of Irish Governments had behaved as responsibly as they should have done.

The fundamental problem we face can be traced to the response by the previous Government to the Iranian oil crisis which led to a general increase in oil prices throughout the developed world. That meant that the western European countries—all of them importers of oil except Britain—were worse off because more of the money that would have been available for internal consumption had to be used to pay for oil. Instead of trying to adjust to the fact that we were poorer because of the oil crisis, unlike practically every other European country which tried to retrench we went on as though nothing had happened. We ignored the Iranian oil crisis and its consequences for our economy. We ignored the fact that this had made us worse off and we went on spending as though we were as well off as we had been before the crisis. The then Government realised this was the case because that was the significance of the broadcast by the former Taoiseach in January 1980. When he came to office in December 1979, obviously he was told of the situation and, as a responsible politician, he decided to do something about it. He went on television to prepare the people for the difficult readjustments that were necessary. I remember seeing him on television and my thought was that he made a great speech, that he was saying the right things and what had long needed to be said. He told the people the facts in plain language, but in the February budget he funked. Having built up the expectation that he would take action, he did nothing. I do not know if his nerve failed him — the Deputy opposite has a much better clue to that — but no action was taken. The result of lack of action in 1980 has meant that we are facing enormous problems today. Our entire problems can be traced to the period at the beginning of 1980. If action had been taken then we would not have our present difficulties.

As a community we must invest if we are to grow. Let us reflect on what investment means. There is much conversation about this among economists but investment can be reduced to a relatively simple proposition. Investment means setting aside some of one's income today, not using it for one's enjoyment, and putting it aside to buy something that will yield a much greater income in the future. Yet in the past three years we have been doing precisely the opposite. We have been engaged in what economists call disinvestment. Far from setting aside some of today's income to produce something productive in the future we have been spending more than today's income. We have been setting aside for the future not an income but a debt to be repaid — the precise opposite of investment.

The key purpose of the policy of this Government is to get us back on the path of true investment so that from a position of financial strength and of balancing our budget we will be able to set aside some money out of today's income to provide jobs for the enormous number of young people who will be looking for jobs and incomes in ten or 20 years' time. I can understand the pressures under which the previous Government were operating and perhaps I can understand why they did not make the choice they should have made in 1980. In my view, we would be betraying the young people who will be looking for jobs in ten or 20 years' time if we did not face up to the problem. We have not dodged the issue. We have faced it squarely in the budget.

I know that details of the budget and this Finance Bill are open to criticism and I will be happy to listen to such criticism during the Committee Stage of the Bill. I do not propose to go into much detail today on the individual parts of the package. It was generally accepted it was the right course for our society to adopt. As a Government we believe, as I am sure the Opposition believe, in equity and fairness in politics. Equity and fairness in politics arise not just between groups in society at a particular time but between one generation and the next. I believe the present generation of Irish adults will be neither fair nor equitable to the next generation if they continue on the present policy of spending more than they are earning and piling up debts which those young people will have to repay.

There has been much talk about jobs, a concern which is very appropriate, but I am afraid I draw different conclusions than those drawn by Fianna Fáil speakers. Their conception of jobs seems to be a job for a month or a year, whereas the conception of most young people looking for jobs is a job for a lifetime. We as a society are jeopardising our ability to provide them with lifetime jobs if we spend money now that will have to be repaid in the form of debts in the future. It is all right to give them jobs for a year but if you pile up debts to such an extent that in two years' time you no longer have the money to stay in that job and it collapses, you are not doing anyone a favour. It is our conviction that if we want to provide lifetime jobs for young people we must return to a policy of financial responsibility in the management of our nation's affairs.

Reference has been made to the report of the committee on costs and competitiveness. I found one sentence in that document particularly heartening. It was speaking about the acceptance in 1982 of a moderate norm for increases in incomes and wages. It said that if acceptance of this norm was followed by the establishment of procedures whereby cost increases in future years were also kept in line with those in competing countries — and that is what this Government are trying to achieve — then the prospects for a gradual resumption of sustained growth in the Irish economy could be much brighter than most current opinions suggest. Those economists told us that, if we are prepared to be responsible now in what we pay ourselves, they would disagree by implication with their colleagues and would say that the prospects for our economy are far brighter than many others would suggest. That is a challenge to our society to which we have a duty to respond.

It is in that context that the Government have formulated their approach to the question of incomes in our society and in particular to the problem of achieving moderate agreements in regard to income levels in the years ahead. We are in favour of centrally negotiated agreements in regard to wages because of the manifest stability they give to all those who are making investment decisions. Investment is a broadly defined thing which affects not just manufacturers but our entire society. For that reason we have invited Professor Basil Chubb to discuss the possibility of achieving such an agreement in present circumstances. In issuing this invitation we have clearly indicated the serious constraints under which he and we as a Government must operate because the money is not there to pay substantial increases by the Government. We must remember the maxim-that one man's pay increase can be another man's job. An excessive pay increase for one man may, by absorbing resources that would otherwise be available, deprive another man or woman of his or her job. It is that contention that must be understood by everyone who is approaching the present negotiations.

The Minister is very much on the British lines and they do not appear to have worked.

We must remember that we have a responsibility not just to ourselves but to future generations of young people who, in increasing numbers, will be seeking jobs.

Young people are already talking about the Coalition.

I was struck by Deputy Reynolds' contribution which seemed to take the view that the budget was not necessary. He went into a long rigmarole of statistical exercises——

He went into more than that.

——designed to indicate that this budget was not necessary. Before coming into this House to tell us the budget was not necessary, the Deputy should have had a word with his colleague, Deputy Woods, because not so long ago on television he said that no matter who had been elected a supplementary budget would have been necessary.

Why did the Government not wait until October, which was normal practice?

The Minister is making political points.

Deputy Fitzgerald and Deputy Reynolds must not interrupt. The Minister is making his concluding speech.

This Government are prepared to act quickly and whenever necessary to bring about an improvement in the nation's finances.

"Act" is the appropriate word.

I was flummoxed by Deputy Fitzgerald's contribution because he said the budget was a propaganda exercise.

What else was it?

It would be a most unusual propaganda exercise for a Government to take money from the people and be under the illusion that that was a way to make them popular. Yet that is what Deputy Fitzgerald believes.

Winning popularity for the future, not for today.

All I can say is, God help his innocence.

It is an integral part of the propaganda exercise, as the Minister well knows.

I would like to refer to the statement made by Deputy Reynolds. He appeared to be telling us — and I was very pleased to hear this — that he was against the £9.60 to be paid to the spouse in the home.

I did not say that.

I am very interested in this because it is a statement which the women of Longford and Westmeath will not particularly appreciate.

I asked who could get it——

I am asking Deputy Reynolds and Deputy Fitzgerald to allow the Minister to make his concluding speech.

On a point of order, the Minister said I was against all the women getting the £9.60 allowance. I specifically asked who would get it, when would they get it and what were the circumstances under which it would be obtained.

That is absolutely right.

That is to put the record straight.

I am quite happy to stand on the record of the Deputy's speech and my interpretation of it——

An interpretation is different to what I said.

When the speech is read in its full glory what I am saying will be seen to be correct, but when the Deputy is brought face to face with what he actually said, the new revised version will be seen not to be correct. I am prepared, as I am sure he is, to stand on the record.

I am prepared to discuss this issue with the Minister's opposite number on the platforms of Longford/Westmeath any day of the week.

I am glad to hear that.

Deputy Reynolds also reminded the Minister about——

I hope I will not have to repeat myself. Perhaps the Minister would address his remarks to the Chair and not encourage Deputy Reynolds——

I should like to avail of this opportunity to inform you that Deputy Reynolds throughout his speech addressed me, whereas in my contribution I have always referred to him in the third person since I have been addressing the Chair.

I was not here during the contribution made by Deputy Reynolds.

The Minister could not be right because he was missing from the House for almost 25 per cent of Deputy Reynolds' speech.

I know what he said when I was here. There has been some criticism, not on the other side of the House but elsewhere, of the general proposition of the Government to reduce the burden of income taxation with a view to providing a greater incentive to work. We stated before the election that the money for this scheme would not come out of thin air but would be provided by means of increases in indirect taxes. In other words, people would pay more in the shops but they would have more money in their pay packets. We did not say that this proposal would invent money; we said the programme would be fully paid for.

There seems to be some criticism of the idea that there is at present any need to relieve the burden of income tax and it is suggested that perhaps we should not continue with this programme. The report of the committee on costs and competitiveness shows that over the years the gap between the amount paid by the employers and the take-home pay of the employee has widened. In 1975 take-home pay amounted to 82 per cent of total labour costs but in 1981 this percentage has fallen to about 71 per cent. More than 11 per cent of take-home pay has been taken from the worker between 1975 and 1980. It is with a view to giving him back at least some of that money that the Government proceeded with what is undoubtedly an expensive and extensive reform of our income tax system. This scheme must be paid for by other means. We recognise that as long as the share of the pay packet taken from the worker by the State gets larger and the amount retained by the worker gets smaller there will be pressure for increases in wages because the worker will seek to maintain his real income and compensate for what is taken from him by demanding an overall increase in his gross wages. Our present income tax code has this built-in pressure towards inflation. Furthermore, the more the State takes out of the take-home pay of any worker the greater is the discentive to be a worker and the greater the incentive to stay at home. We are undertaking this major reform in order to introduce a structural change in our income tax code which will act against inflation and provide a greater incentive to work.

It is very hard to follow that line of argument.

It may not be the intention of Deputy Fitzgerald to be disorderly but the Chair must remind him that he is being so and ask him to desist.

There has also been reference to increases in indirect taxes and I would be entirely wrong if I were not to admit that the increases introduced in the budget were substantial and in many cases imposed serious difficulties on people. Those in my own constituency who travel distances to work have been concerned about the increase in the price of petrol but I think they accept that these measures are necessary to put our finances right. I know it is customary for Ministers for Finance to make excuses by referring to the past but I do not wish to make excuses of this sort or to pretend that the increases were not substantial or to minimise them. That would not be realistic.

In regard to our system of excise duties, it is important to recognise that the taxes on petrol, drink and tobacco are set in fixed money terms and that in a period of rising prices the real value would decline if successive budgets did not increase excise duties. In fact, increases in indirect taxes implemented in recent years have not been a major contributory factor to the general rate of inflation. The prices of beer, spirits and cigarettes are between 5 and 11 per cent higher than they would have been if the share of the retail price taken in taxes had remained unchanged between June 1975 and September 1981. There has been a real but modest increase in the share of the price of these items taken by excise duty. Conversely, however, petrol is actually 4 per cent cheaper than it would have been if there had been a constant percentage tax on that commodity. Much less than one-twentieth of the total rise in prices since 1975 can be attributed to the immediate effects of higher indirect taxes. When one compares that with the increase of 11 per cent taken by the State in the form of direct taxation, it is reasonable to seek a shift from one sort of taxation to another. This is the case which the Government now make and which my party made during the election. It is a case which I believe has commanded a very high level of support.

Deputies Reynolds and Fitzgerald seem to be of the view that the budget was unnecessary and Deputy Fitzgerald has the quaint belief that it was a propaganda exercise.

The budget was a central plank of the exercise.

I do not think most responsible commentators would share the view expressed by the two Deputies.

I now refer to the National Economic and Social Council, which is a widely representative body comprising representatives of all strands of life in Ireland who are used to fighting their own corner and are not used to paying compliments to Governments of any colour. The conclusions and recommendations of the National Economic and Social Council in general show that the July budget is consistent with the council's recommendations on fiscal policy. Indeed the fact that the council goes further than the Government in advocating the elimination of the budget deficit over three years, whereas we say it should be removed over four, shows that they are even more enthusiastic supporters of our policy than we are ourselves and that they hold a very different view of the economic situation than do the people on the other side of the House who are there precisely because they hold that type of irresponsible view.

I should like to refer now to the European Economic Commission. The EEC Commission recently adopted its annual report. This report endorses wholeheartedly the budgetary policy I am following. They do this against an analysis of the position of the Community economy as a whole and of the dangers individual member states face. They believe that the presumption should be that economies with high budget deficits are prone to being gravely destabilised expecially when large budget deficits are associated, as in our case, with high inflation. They stress that the speed and ease with which budgetary deficits have been seen to slide out of control up to enormous magnitudes — as happened in this country in the last two and a half years—underlines the priority that a number of countries, Ireland included, must give to reforming their systems of budget control. This is an area in which I have a particular interest. I was very pleased that Deputy Reynolds criticised the type of statistics made available as a background to budgets. He criticised the one page of statistical data provided as a back-up to my budget. I fully endorse that criticism. Of course I was following the tradition adopted by previous Ministers. One may argue about the figures but the format was as heretofore. However, I agree with Deputy Reynolds that we have got to do better in the future. I wish to tell the House that I will be publishing proposals on this matter — for which I hope I will have a wide range of support, because they are not designed to be in any sense partisan, from Deputies opposite — with a view to reforming our budget procedures, to giving the House and all parties in it, whatever their political persuasions, more information and opportunity to participate in the budget-making process in this country. That, in a matter as important as the budget, is just basic democracy. But unfortunately our economy has become so complex in recent times that basic democratic requirements in regard to the formulation of budgets and the making of choices about budgets have been taken completely out of the purview of this House. The proposals I will be making will be designed to bring back this House into its proper place, not just as it is, unfortunately, at present as the advocate of spending regardless of where the money emanates — unfortunately existing procedures have forced many Deputies into that position — but into its true role as the guardian of the nation's finances. It is not the Government nor the Minister for Finance who are the guardians of the nation's finances. It is not we solely who are responsible for ensuring that irresponsible debts are not passed on to future generations, it is all Members in this House. The reform of the budget process which I intend to set in train will be designed precisely to achieve that objective.

If I may refer to the EEC Report, the Commission describes Ireland as a country where the budget is now massively out of line with the Community average. That sentence is worth repeating: the EEC Commission describes our budget deficit as being massively out of line with the Community average. In their proposed guidelines for economic policy in Ireland they point out that the build-up in debt here, through the servicing it involves, is placing a heavy burden on future taxpayers — endorsing exactly what I said earlier — and is reducing the Government's room for manoeuvre in dealing with the current budget imbalance. The EEC Commission believe that a reversal in the trend to increased deficits is overdue and that it requires firm Government action. They remark that the corrective package introduced in July by the incoming Government, after only one month in office, to prevent a further deterioration in the 1981 situation is an important step in the right direction. The EEC say that our policy is a step in the right direction.

I understand it is sought to interrupt the Minister so that the Minister for the Environment may move a motion.

Debate adjourned.
Top
Share