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Dáil Éireann debate -
Tuesday, 2 Nov 1982

Vol. 338 No. 3

National Economic Plan: Motion (Resumed).

The following motion was moved by the Taoiseach on 27 October 1982:
That Dáil Éireann takes note of the Government White PaperThe Way Forward.
Debate resumed on amendment No. 1:
To add to the motion the following:—
"and rejects the conclusions reached in that document as an inadequate and ineffective response to the grave problems facing the country."
—(Deputy J. Bruton.)

I said on the last occasion, that there was one thing in the document The Way Forward, with which I agreed, that it was recognised by the Government that there is a crisis in the economy. A few months ago the Minister for Finance talked about boom and bloom but he now recognises that there is a little problem in the economy. Some months ago the Government and the Minister for Finance gave the impression that there was not any problem whatsoever, that things were flying along grand and that they had everything under control. I am glad that a real debate can now take place, that the people on the Government benches have come to earth and have decided that there are problems in the economy. A large proportion of those problems have been created because the Government failed to recognise that there were problems. It is late in the day to do this and I believe great harm has been caused to the economy by the Government failing to recognise this. For years Fianna Fáil have continued to say there was boom and bloom when they knew in their hearts that was not true. Now they have been forced by circumstances to recognise that there is need for this debate on the economy. Our party recognised that when we were part of a Coalition Government. We recognised that steps had to be taken to bring the economy under control. Now the very people who laughed us to scorn for that are coming to the same conclusion.

Inflation which averaged 17½ per cent last year will be nearer to 13½ per cent this year. It is clearly on the way down, but no thanks to the Government. This is due to outside influences, the reduction of interest rates and many other things. It could have fallen faster and sooner but for taxation increases necessary to deal with the situation in the public finances which were faced up to for the first time last July. That situation was a direct result of Fianna Fáil Government policy when they ran riot offering this, that and the other to everybody when they must have known as responsible people that those things could not be achieved. Germany and Britain now have low single rates of inflation but both have rising unemployment, especially Britain. I want to make clear that the Labour Party will not support this plan or any other plan which proposes to reduce inflation by cutting wages and increasing unemployment. If the inflation is to be brought down by cutting workers' living standards and creating further unemployment we will have no part in backing that plan. That kind of plan has been tried in other countries such as Britain and undoubtedly they have brought down inflation but they have created a huge unemployment problem. The Labour Party want it clearly understood that we will not support a plan that increases unemployment which we regard as the major problem.

Our wage levels are among the lowest in Europe but this has not produced the results it should have produced in the industrial sector that could have been achieved by proper management and competitiveness in other fields. What we want is productivity and we are prepared to support any plan that shows how productivity can be increased. There is no evidence to show that this can be done by lowering the ordinary workers' wages and their standard of living. If it is to be done in that way — and that is how we see it spelled out in this plan because it is admitted that there will be increasing unemployment for three years — then I say the matter should be put to the people for decision.

The way to increase productivity is by well-planned investment and ensuring co-operation between workers and management in industry. Irish workers will co-operate in increasing productivity and industrial profits. They will accept moderation in wage payments if they get by right something in return for the implementation of such a policy. I think I speak for most workers when I say that certainly they will help. I have evidence of people who have foregone increases and are prepared to forego increases in order to keep industry going in these times. I can produce case after case where such co-operation has been offered. What do the workers get in return? They must have a right to share in the profits of the business which will increase with increased production. Are they to have no share in the profit in that case? Must they just work harder and earn less? With inflation their earnings become less. Are they to do that so that other people can get all the profit? Would anybody ask one component of industry to agree to such an arrangement?

There are three factors in industry, management, capital and workers and one is as important as the other. Does anybody suggest that because of the economic situation workers should forego increases, work harder and produce more in order to increase profits through greater competitiveness while foregoing any right to a share in the extra profit for extra sales? No sane person would expect an equal partner to accept this. I should dearly like to see realised the Government's objective of increasing employment in manufacturing industry by 9,500 per annum in the years 1983 to 1987. Employment in manufacturing industry is not much higher now than it was seven years ago. I remember Deputy O'Donoghue, as Minister for Economic Planning and Development when his party introduced the budget giving handouts all over the place — no car tax, tax concessions for industrialists and so on — saying — I do not quote him but this is the impact of what he said — that if the strategy of full employment by 1985 did not work he would consider the proposals I offered. He told me that across the floor of the House. He knows and I know now how well it worked. We now have the worst unemployment problem in the history of the State as a direct result of the policies introduced by him and his party on that occasion. In a statement on this policy he said he would rely totally on private enterprise to provide the necessary jobs and would give them budgetary incentives to do so. How did it turn out? He knows how many jobs they created. We never had such a high unemployment figure. We have no work for the young and no prospect of it within the next few years.

In the document it is stated that private enterprise will be boosted so as to create jobs. That will not happen. With modern technology fewer people will be employed in private enterprise. We envisaged setting up a corporation to create jobs and set aside £20 million for it. However, the Government formed some new kind of enterprise board and set aside £5 million for it. This has now been cut back to £3 million. The Government stand condemned on the creation of employment. There is a lot of waffle in the document. There is no constructive proposal on how the Government will help sectors which could produce jobs.

As regards agriculture, the Government are closing down two research stations. We have a great opportunity to process food and develop the meat industry, but instead we are cutting back. We should be ashamed. There has been a lot of talk about finding oil and so on but our greatest wealth is on top of the ground — the soil which is capable of producing food which is eaten all over the world. The food processing industry has been deliberately run down. Erin Foods closed their plants because market research was not carried out into the kind of product produced. That will be evident to anyone who gives a cursory glance at the agricultural situation. The Government intend to cut back on the money available to agricultural research and close down two testing stations. If we intend to bring down inflation and get rid of our debt by closing off every prospect of advancing in industry so that our bookkeeping can be tidied up, God help us. Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael both say that the national debt must be wiped out and that we must have a clean sheet in four years' time. Is there something sacred about four years? Is it necessary that it must be done in that time? Is there a case to be made for taking longer than that and so have money available for investment to produce jobs and develop the food processing industry and offal industry? The leather tannery in Waterford has closed down. Yet leather is rammed in here from South American countries and we have allowed it without any protest being made to the EEC.

One section of Erin Foods was closed down in Carlow because they were producing an article which was out of date. One thousand acres in Carlow and south Kildare were under vegetables. People made a living out of it and about 400 people were employed in the plant. The workers met every target set by management and farmers never failed to deliver on their contracts. These are indisputable facts. No market research was carried out and the article could not be sold because it was out of date even while it was being produced. The Minister should deny what I am saying if it is wrong. We had the material, the work force and the farmers, but the finished product was out of date. Now we are told the Government intend to cut back on research and so on in order to balance the books in a period of four years. We in the Labour Party do not accept that programme and never will.

I welcome the proposal to introduce company development plans. We need this kind of approach and if we are to concentrate our resources on the expansion of a more select number of firms our present grants policy will have to be changed. The National Development Corporation, who were opposed by this Government and attacked by the media, are recognised in this document. We were intent on giving a major investment role to the National Development Corporation with power to invest selectively in existing companies and form joint ventures with companies, mainly Irish domestic firms. The one weakness in the Government's proposal for a company development plan is that they do not discuss how the present grants policy of the IDA, which is for capital grants, can be married to the objectives of the company by company approach. Our primary objective must be the creation of jobs and the employment of young people. If we are to achieve that objective there must be cutbacks in the capital programme and investment by banks and financial institutions will have to be controlled by the Government.

Many people accuse my party of wanting to nationalise the banks. They seem to have the idea that we will get guns, hold up the bank managers and then take over. If the Government do not have control over the banks and financial institutions they do not have control over the country and cannot direct economic or other growth. There is nothing in this document to show how this investment plan will be implemented or where the money will come from. I know it will not come from the ordinary workers' savings. These ordinary people will not be able to save because the increase in wages will be about half that of inflation. This means that the Government cannot depend on the savings of the 90 per cent of the population, the ordinary people whose living standards will be reduced.

In the Coalition budget we provided £20 million to set up the National Development Corporation to help industry. It was decided that the Government would take over and nationalise the paper manufacturing industry and I agreed with them. As a people we should recognise that nationalising an industry is not the end of the story. We should ensure that the industry is profit-making and can be run economically. If the company is not run economically, the decision to take it over was wrong. All State industries should be run economically and in a businesslike way.

I cannot see anything in this document which will produce the extra jobs necessary. We must give young people hope. It does not matter if we do away with our budget deficits in ten, 15 or even 20 years. If the Government aim at clearing the budget deficit within four years, they are doing that at the expense of providing jobs.

No one would deny that many of the objectives outlined in this plan are desirable. The Taoiseach and the Fianna Fáil Party tell us this plan will be the saviour of our nation but there is no evidence to show where the employment will be provided. I went through this document with a fine-comb and cannot find where these jobs will be provided. We are told there will be a drop in employment for the next few years but that is not acceptable because there are about 200,000 people of all ages unemployed and every day we have more redundancies. Recently the last foundry, which produced machinery parts for Bord na Móna and the Sugar Company, closed in Athy. Is the Minister for Industry and Energy going to allow that firm to remain closed? If so, the Sugar Company, Wavin and other firms will have to import spare parts. Is the Minister saying nothing can be done unless somebody buys this foundry which provided a service? Some of the people were employed there for 40 years and many workers acquired special skills there. The foundry had been in existence for the last 50 years and had withstood the pressures of the war years when raw materials had to be dug out of dykes and ditches to keep the company viable. We must now tell Bord na Móna, who were one of this firm's big customers, that they must import their spare parts. Because of political pressure certain industries are nationalised. That is not a good idea. The IDA had 40 per cent of the shares in that company and believed it was essential that we have our own foundry. Unless someone buys this foundry, which is unlikely, our industrialists will have to buy their machinery and spare parts in other countries. This is the type of industry we should nationalise because it is essential that we have a foundry within the State.

The plan contains no ideas about where the State should participate. Apparently £370 million is to be allocated to the public sector during the first three years of the plan for restructuring but there will be no more money during 1986 and 1987. There will be no funds available during those last two years of the plan. The Government should go before the people and try to defend this policy.

We have a much more realistic approach. While recognising the problems in State commercial companies we would identify their growth areas and give them funds to enable them to engage in profitable ventures either on their own or in partnership with the private sector. We must make the necessary money available to the public sector if our young people are to have any hope for the future. The Fine Gael plan at least proposes a role for the National Development Corporation but the plans put forward by both the major parties lack a recognition that private enterprise has been a massive failure in employment terms. It has failed to produce the kind of jobs necessary to give employment to our people.

There is no use in waving flags and talking about freedom. Security is a lot more important to ordinary people than freedom and security for our young people is sadly lacking. If we want jobs to be created in the private sector the level of grant-aid paid out as distinct from grants approved should vary with the number of jobs created. We should not worry about offending some American or British investor. Grants should be paid on the actual number of jobs created and not on the number of jobs projected. American businessmen in my constituency have set up industries which were to have employed 800 or 1,000 people but the number of new jobs is only 300 or sometimes as low as 100. We give these people the money to buy their factories and machinery and to train workers but place no binding commitment on them as to the number of jobs to be created or production levels. The business of the private sector is to make profits. I do not object to that because profits are a necessary ingredient for future investment in public and private ventures. However, as politicians our job is to generate employment for our growing labour force and we must be businesslike about spending State money and get the best value in terms of lasting employment.

The section on jobs contained in this plan depends on three things: a growth in exports of 12.25 per cent per annum, a growth in international trade of 4 per cent per annum and a 6.25 per cent growth in investment. What evidence have we that exports will increase at all? The economist who called this plan "the road to God knows where" was slightly off the mark. Considering the kinds of assumptions on which the plan is based, it might more appropriately be called "the road to Hell" because as we all know the road to Hell is paved with good intentions. There is not a shred of evidence as to how these desirable objectives are to be achieved. They are just wishful thinking. I would hope that these assumptions would be proved right because God help us all if they are not. There is little else in the form of hope for the future in this document.

Let us consider the actions taken by the Government when they were belatedly forced to admit that there was something of an economic crisis. What did they do? During the recess they crucified the poor. Our party will tonight challenge the Government in a motion condemning their actions on the cutbacks in the health service. An unfortunate woman in my constituency has been told that the tablets she has been taking for some time will not now be available free on the medical card and will cost £10 per week. This woman is aged 90 and lives alone and she has no income other than the old age pension. Is this how the Government expect people to tighten their belts to put this plan into operation? The Government will be obstructed by this party if they attempt to implement that kind of policy. They often tell us of their concern for the poor but I challenge any Minister who claims that this is the way to cut back on expenditure. It reminds me of a county manager telling the county council that he must lay off workers while increasing staff in the office. If these are the kinds of criteria to be adopted, let us say to the lower income group that they will have to pay so that our finances can be put into order within four years.

I can point out many places where we could save money. I will not stand idly by and allow the Minister to take tablets from a woman of 90 years of age living on an old age pension. Her doctor told her she needs these tablets to keep fit and well. Anybody who is in touch with ordinary people will appreciate that we cannot allow the Government to make savings in these areas.

A great deal of work needs to be done throughout the length and breadth of the land. Councillors have proposed schemes which need to be implemented, but we are told money cannot be spent on them. We will not allow the Government to cut back in these areas while our people are unemployed. The only suggestion the Government can make to the local authorities is that they should charge for services. I have no objection to imposing charges on people who are able to pay. This year our county manager introduced an increased charge of £25 for water connection to houses, irrespective of the type of house. The old rating system was bad, but it was not as bad as charging £25 to connect water to a caravan where an unfortunate man and his wife and family are condemned to live because of the lack of a housing policy. A man with six bedrooms in his house has to contribute the same amount. Unfortunate people are being asked to subsidise the bigger man. We in the Labour Party will have no part in such a plan and we will do our best to obstruct its passage through this House.

I should like to rebut one point made just now by Deputy Bermingham concerning a matter in which the Labour Party have an interest which they refused to follow up because they saw the successful outcome of our policies in recent months on the meat processing factories. They have had a motion down for a number of months calling on me to introduce measures equalising the conditions of competition between live cattle exports and exports of boneless beef to non-EEC countries. That has been done by this Government and by me as Minister for Agriculture.

The net result is that in today's Irish Press, in the Farm Press section, under the heading “Many Meat Plants Back to 5-Day Week” the agricultural correspondent Stephen O'Byrnes mentions that the latest figure for cattle into meat factories for killing is now running at 34,000 head compared to 26,000 head a year ago. We have there a substantial increase of over 25 per cent in the number of cattle going for killing. This has been achieved by a deliberate change which I secured in the aid given by the EEC by way of market refund grants for beef exports to third countries. As a result of this incentive there is a far bigger export refund in the case of dead meat as against live meat, and the export refund also goes right back to boned out meat and more sophisticated forms of dead meat to which it did not attach until this change was made a few months ago.

The Labour Party have had that motion down since early on in my present position and they refused to follow it up because the meat factories are now making the recovery they would have made, but for neglect. We have persuaded the Commission to switch their aid towards dead meat, processed meat and sophisticated meat exports by way of market export refunds as well as operating the intervention system. This gives direct encouragement for sending cattle into factories for killing and for further processing. I mention that point because Deputy Bermingham made a lot of play with it. I sent out for The Irish Press and I also happened to remember the Labour Party motion which has lain on the Order Paper over the past six months and was not moved by them because they knew action was being taken.

I should like to deal with the main purpose of the debate, which is the whole question of the national economic plan. As was emphasised by the Taoiseach, there is no point in scoring party political points in this House about this plan. There is no other way forward but to follow the disciplines and the economic schemes by way of public investment, incentives and restraints on financial expenditure. There is no way forward except through the economic plan. No matter who is in Government in the years ahead, or what combination of parties are in Government, there is no other way forward except to follow the broad outline of that plan. It is only through a rigorous implementation of the Government's national economic plan that we can come to grips finally with our serious inflation problem and attack it in such a way as to reduce Government expenditure and level off our taxation burden which was becoming impossible to bear.

The decision was taken to publicise the plan. I should like us in this House as leaders of public opinion to recognise that there is no other way forward. Anyone making a honest appraisal of our economy must admit that this plan represents the way forward and that the Government must follow the broad outline and the details of the national economic plan to achieve the objective of reducing inflation by reducing public expenditure.

The facts of economic life are inescapable. We cannot achieve better standards of living by deciding we deserve them. We cannot achieve them by awarding ourselves more money without the backing of new wealth and production. We must learn that selling enough abroad to pay for all the goods we import is the way we must go forward. We must learn to earn our living in that way.

The national plan goes on to say that public services cannot be provided on the basis of what is desirable, however desirable they might be. They must be based on what can be paid for out of taxation. These are hard facts. There are no soft options in the plan. There is no magic wand which can be waved to provide us all with what we would wish to have. Other countries throughout the world, whether in the EEC or outside it, are now seeing the hard facts of economic life today. The rising expectations which so characterised the sixties and seventies no longer represent a valid philosophy, for, first of all, getting public expenditure into order and then providing through that the environment for economic growth.

One optimistic feature in our situation is that throughout the seventies, since our membership of the EEC from 1 January 1973, we had a large amount of on-farm investment. In the difficult days of the late seventies some of that went wrong for some of our farmers, but there is a basic, hard, substantial investment in the soil of the country, in improved fencing, improved machinery, improved milking methods, improved stocking, better breeding of stocking in particular although not in numbers. In areas of that kind substantial investments have been made that will last and provide the basis on which we can build and develop.

In preparing the plan the Government had to take into account both the advantages and opportunities that we enjoy and the difficulties we must overcome. Considering first of all the advantages, we have a high population of young people with a high level of education. We have technical skills in that young population which are very suitable for modern industrial development and have proved suitable as such in the modern computer, high technology type of industrial development that we have secured from North America in particular. We have been able to attract industries which require these skills and their products are selling in the highly competitive world markets to which they are attuned. Apart from that type of industrial development, we have the potential of Irish soil to produce high quality farm products in greater volume then heretofore and the skills of our farmers to exploit that potential. I remain optimistic in this respect, particularly as we continue to sustain the common agricultural policy and participate in that grouping of 250 million people with an on-going CAP. The important battle in that was won in securing this year's farm price package which we secured by a majority vote. For the first time ever the farm price package was implemented by a majority vote and showed loudly and clearly that that interpretation of the Treaty of Rome was the correct one and that no country, such as the UK was attempting to do, would ever go along the road of eroding or destroying that policy again. That message has been well received and represents a watershed decision.

However, as well as the plus aspects I have mentioned, the plan also recognises realistically our economic weaknesses. We are creating jobs but we are losing them in older industries also. Imported products are coming in to a greater degree in our home markets. We have been running large deficits on our trade with other countries, due in large part to operating costs having risen, and we have the problem of energy costs. Our level of borrowing to meet Exchequer expenditure on day-to-day current spending has also increased too much. These matters must be rectified. Therefore, in the plan are an element of rectification or correction on the one hand and a basic element or orientation towards productive investment on the other hand, recognising our strengths where investment should be attracted.

The overall purpose of the plan must be to reduce unemployment, but we cannot do that until we increase cost competitiveness, and we cannot increase cost competitiveness without increasing inflation. That makes sense. The increasing of job opportunities requires an economy that will withstand competition from imports and be able to compete effectively on export markets. Here again agriculture can play a substantial part as an industry that has a significant proportion of our exports but also the added value as far as the nation is concerned of being an industry with a relatively small import content. Therefore, every £1 of agricultural produce exported is of significantly greater value to the community as a whole than all other industries that have in varying degrees a higher import content in regard to raw materials and inputs.

Undoubtedly, we stand on the threshold of a new economic era and not just in Ireland but throughout the world. We are a small trading country living now in a world environment in which competitiveness is all-important. In this type of environment, particularly for small trading countries such as ours, the pursuit of sectional interests is a disastrous course which must be replaced by an approach which takes account fully of our common interest in resolving the economic and social dangers which threaten us. In the face of adversity and challenge we must unite not only to overcome these difficulties but also to ensure a secure future for ourselves and our children.

In that connection I would like to emphasise the recent rapport established between the Government and the trade union movement in working out the difficulty in regard to public sector pay. That showed an example of a new approach, a real partnership approach between the trade union movement and the Government. Step by step over August, September and October, until the recent successful conclusion of these discussions, there was very close consultation, co-ordination and co-operation at every stage between the trade union movement and the Government and a recognition by the trade union movement of the Government's problems in the community interest. The trade union movement has a responsibility to all its members throughout industry, and there was recognition by the Government of their problems. That was one excellent example of both good Government and good trade union leadership.

The open economy to which I have referred which exists in this country emphasises the importance of international trade and again, unfortunately, makes us very susceptible to changes on the international economic scene. Growth in output during the three years to 1981 averaged at 2 per cent per annum, which compared reasonably well with that of our main trading partners but is clearly far below our potential. Whereas our main trading partners have reached a high level of development in which a percentage increase of that order may be acceptable, our potential is not fully realised. What is required in order to provide employment in our situation is a far higher scale of increase. More than in most other countries, economic prospects here are dependant on international developments. I will mention one statistic that is very relevant here. Our imports represent some 70 per cent of our GNP and our exports 55 per cent. These two percentages are more than double the average among EEC countries and have important implications for us. Again they emphasise the importance of competitiveness and of Ireland standing together in a national sense in the face of an international recession such as we are witnessing now which affects us, by reason of the figures I have just mentioned, to a far greater degree than it affects our trading partners or other countries within the EEC. This dependence on international development is as true for agriculture as for industry and in terms of the importance of export outlets for our products and the influence of internal factors and the prices received by our producers, here again the agricultural sector is susceptible to international economic pressures of the kind I have mentioned.

Heavy expenditure in public investment which the Government undertook during the current recession has softened the impact of the recession and has helped to improve the economic infrastructure, but unless the economy is competitive Government action alone cannot achieve growth at the rate required to reduce unemployment. That basic message is now clearly seen and understood. The creation of sufficient increases in employment to reduce our existing high level of unemployment and provide jobs for the expected rise in the labour force will require substantial increases in output in the traded goods of the economy. We must produce more goods and services that other countries are prepared to purchase. In other words, we must secure a greater share of domestic and world markets for Irish products and services. This basic requirement in regard to competitiveness is, as I said earlier, equally important to the farming sector where we must concentrate on improving the productivity of the sources used and the quality of products produced.

All of this is emphasised and underlined in the National Economic Plan. A crucial element in the response to the Government's efforts in the plan must be the recognition that as a people we just cannot continue to demand ever higher levels of wage increases and still compete in the world markets. Our ability to compete is determined principally by wage costs per unit of output and until we can increase our productivity to levels comparable to those of our major trading partners we will not get the increased standard of living which we desire and certainly not the employment required in our situation.

Given the need to eliminate the current budget deficit over the next few years and to reduce the balance of payments deficit to an acceptable level, the ability of the Government to finance measures which will improve our competitive position is severely limited. Within this constraint, however, the Government are determined to provide a favourable environment for growth. When one talks about a favourable environment for growth, one is talking about the totally unacceptable level of inflation and, in particular, the way that factor has hindered our basic industry and our greatest asset as a nation — our land. A large proportion of Irish farms are highly productive, or are capable of being rendered so by well directed endeavour. It is our responsibility as a community to ensure that our land is utilised to the greatest extent possible and to create the necessary environment. To do that, inflation must be tackled. The whole tenor of the plan as related to agriculture is basically geared in this direction.

What we are setting out to do over the coming four years is to create the economic framework or environment in which farmers primarily through their own efforts, can achieve a significant increase in output from their farms and as a consequence increase their incomes. Output and income are, of course, inter-related as far as the farmer is concerned. Within the financial constraints obtaining the Government will encourage and assist them to do this. However, the present year does require a certain basis for optimism in this respect. The most recent estimate made by my Department for 1982 suggests that we will have a volume increase of 3 per cent in gross agricultural output and 5 per cent in net output and that farm incomes will rise by some 25 per cent in nominal terms, or about 7 per cent in real terms, after discounting inflation. I would regard the latter figure as conservative. Inflation seems to be coming down faster than originally thought. I believe that inflation will come down considerably more and raise that 7 per cent figure in real terms by the end of the year to a higher percentage. However I am at present staying with the conservative figure.

The major determining factors of such an output will be developments of the beef and dairy sectors, as these account for such a large proportion of farming activity. Milk output for this sector for this year has a projected increase of 6 per cent in volume terms following a decline in 1980 and 1981. We have now a whole panoply of schemes designed to improve the national herd. This will represent the main thrust of the farm development plan, when it emerges. In addition to the headage grant and the new in-calf heifer grant of £75 — which is an extension of Deputy Dukes' interest grant scheme and which will be converted into a grant scheme for next year and the following year — there is the cow suckler scheme and the new-calf premium scheme. Over the four schemes designed to increase cattle production, one is talking of a figure in the region of £170 to £180, which is important. I would like to see emerging from this plan, the final discussions of which I expect will be completed in a matter of weeks, strong emphasis on the whole question of raising cattle and sheep numbers. The potential is there. We have shown this year that increased output can mean increased incomes. The quickest and best way to achieve this is by increasing livestock numbers.

I have already mentioned that inflation is the main target in the plan, anti-inflation measures being a very important aspect. These will do more than anything else to provide the proper environment as far as farming is concerned. That is linked with another aspect which is a reflection of the inflationary pressures to which we have been subjected, that of high interest rates. These have been a bedevilling factor in Irish farming in recent times. I look forward to some form of credit facility emerging from the deliberations of the committee which is sitting at present. Again, I do not wish to preempt or anticipate their recommendations, but obviously something requires to be done in that area for farmers going in for the purchase of new stock, or improvement in the breeding of existing stock. There is a gap in regard to the interest schemes which apply to past operations. In the future, if we are going to embark on a positive policy of encouragement with regard to breeding stock, we must do something in this area also to complement the existing grant schemes.

I mentioned one aspect of the National Economic Plan which will be amplified considerably in the proposed farm development plan, which will be fully published when I receive it. That is the emphasis in the national economic plan on raising output to direct the use of resources to the highest degree possible towards increasing farm output and, through that route, farm incomes. That is the main message in the plan. The farming organisations who have commented on this plan have welcomed it. The Taoiseach and I met the farming organisations and I am also glad to see that the other ancillary organisations, such as the ICOS and the Irish Dairy Industries' Association also endorse the broad thrust of the plan as it related to curbing inflation and raising farm input and income. I have already mentioned that these organisations are represented on the farm development plan. It has been a very excellent development, has worked very well, with the voluntary farm organisations sitting in on the preparation of the plan with the State agencies and the relevant Government Departments.

A similar approach in regard to making existing schemes more production orientated is being studied in regard to the farm modernisation scheme and also the disadvantaged areas scheme. While maintaining the present schemes, there can be an orientation towards production written into them, which is desirable. For instance, the number of development farmers within the farm modernisation scheme is still very disappointing — only about 25 per cent of farmers. We hope that there will be a greater degree of flexibility which will allow for an extension of that category of development farmers and also grants encouraging farmers to proceed with farm development plans involving planned investment over a period of years. Under the western package full-time farmers secure a higher rate of grant when they follow a farm plan, even though not up to development standards. An extension of that idea is being examined.

Under the plan, overall Government action is designed to organise agricultural growth of 3 per cent a year. Achievement of this will depend on the success of policy measures as a whole in the atmosphere of the economic environment I mentioned. Under the farm modernisation system another improvement will be building grants towards the provision of livestock accommodation and winter feed facilities. As well, an improved financial appraisal procedure will be introduced so that plans will be approved only when it has been established clearly that the prospective returns will justify the investment.

It will be necessary, of course, to improve the marketing of farm produce and, though there is no easy answer in regard to further incentives to producer groups, in my view it is essential particularly in the livestock, horticulture and potato-growing sectors that incentives to producer groups will represent a way forward — in other words, we should have incentives and aid directed more towards production.

In regard to disease eradication, we are seeing the end of brucellosis and we should be rid of it in four years. We are not having the same success in regard to bovine TB, although the blitz campaigns carried out this year have proved successful.

In reply to Deputy Bermingham, earlier I referred to the importance of added value production. I was glad to read in today's Irish Press that meat plants appear to be back on a five-day week as a norm. The number of cattle going in increased by between 25 per cent and 30 per cent in the last week. The export refund encouragement is having an effect. The grants are now tilted to the benefit of those sending cattle for slaughter. The grants are also encouraging more sophisticated dead-meat processes and that innovation can be seen to be having a practical effect already. That is very welcome and I am assured by the Commission that it will be a continuing feature of the CAP rather than relying on intervention alone. I welcome that because I believe selling in the market place with the aid of export refunds, particularly in third countries, is a far more beneficial way to do business because it is more productive for everybody concerned than selling out of intervention, although the intervention mechanism can still be retained.

I reiterate the importance of the CAP to all of us. It has been underrated here. Sometimes we tend to be receptive to a high degree of criticism in regard to the CAP in the British media. I reject the criticism we get from that source because the CAP represents a cornerstone of our policy in the Community.

I will conclude by referring to the tone of the debate last week, particularly Deputy FitzGerald's contribution. The leader of Fine Gael was guilty of innuendo and character assassination of members of the Government. When debating such a serious matter as an economic plan, that sort of smear campaign or character assassination by Members of the House does not do us any good outside with the public, with the voluntary organisations who are genuinely interested in sectors of our economic development or, in particular, with our young people. I will quote some remarks by Deputy FitzGerald which I regard as particularly deplorable. They are to be found at column 115 of the Official Report for 27 October:

The Taoiseach has been responsible for the most massive and sudden drop in support any party have experienced ever, to our knowledge, in this State. One fifth of those who said they would vote for the party in May has evaporated in five months. He is responsible for the erosion of confidence in our institutions, growing disillusionment with politics among the electorate. He is responsible for deep concern among the Garda Síochána that justice is being subverted by interference of a type and on a scale that endangers the morale of the force and its effectiveness.

The Taoiseach is responsible for the collapse of the Anglo-Irish relationship——

There were similar innuendoes in his references to the various Ministers. I do not mind what he said about me — I have been too long here to let it worry me — but he referred to the Minister for Foreign Affairs who, he said, lacks credibility outside Ireland, "as anyone with international contacts will know". He went through all the Ministers and made smear remarks about them all.

That is the type of thing that does enormous damage in politics today. I sincerely believe that Deputy FitzGerald is more responsible for this than anyone in the House, this erosion of regard for this House, for Deputies and for others in public life. He embarked on this campaign the first day the Taoiseach was appointed nearly three years ago. I happened to have been sitting here then and I was horrified to hear him engage in that type of invective and vituperation against the Taoiseach. He spoke about the man with the flawed character.

The remarks Deputy FitzGerald made here last week reminded me very much of that. It is very bad that we should conduct our politics in that way. That sort of talk begets talk, rumour begets rumour, and the media feed out of it. The people in pubs feed out of it, everybody talks about it. All we are doing is dragging down ourselves in Irish politics. I happen to know that practically all of it is utter lies. The sort of rumours that have been going round in recent times about my colleagues, and propagated in the media — the sort of remarks, for instance, about the Minister for Justice — are absolute lies. I am personally satisfied that there is no truth whatever, good bad or indifferent, in those remarks. One cannot catch up with these offhand remarks, these innuendoes, like the remark about the Minister for Foreign Affairs, a typical smear remark. There is not the slightest rational basis or reason to sustain that point of view. It is merely stated in that generalised sort of manner. That is very dangerous. It has become a fashion, particularly with Deputy FitzGerald, in the House. I must select him out for comment because I have not heard any other Fine Gael or Labour Member going in for that. I have not heard any Member of The Workers Party or Independents indulging in that. Deputy FitzGerald is the only Member who goes in for this type of selective innuendo comment. It is the sort of comment that is taken up by the media, travels well through the media and into the rumour machine. Such comments can seriously erode public life and values of people and their regard for people in public life. It is bad all round. We can do our business without engaging in that sort of personality slagging There is no need for it. It is unnecessary. I have never met any Member — I am longer here than most — who deserves the sort of comment I have heard Deputy FitzGerald engage in deliberately in regard to colleagues here. I have never heard anything that would even remotely motivate me to making the sort of comment Deputy FitzGerald has made. I do not think such comments are justified. There have been excellent Members on all sides of the House who have made a positive contribution——

On a point of order, I should like to ask the Minister to return to the matter under discussion and not deal with something else. If he finds the report all that uninteresting he should cease his contribution.

That is a matter for the Chair. The Minister must be allowed to conclude without interruption.

I spent a substantial part of my contribution dealing in a constructive way with the National Economic Plan but the Deputy was not present.

The Minister should return to the plan.

I am concluding my remarks and I am certain that other speakers will be equally constructive. It is incumbent on me to appeal to Deputies, particularly to Deputy FitzGerald, to cease that sort of politics. That does not do any good but will contribute only to further denigration of the political life to which we are all, in one way or another, doing our best to subscribe.

I shall return to the debate on the Government's economic plan. The plan reveals a lack of learning on the part of the Government from their planning exercises in the early sixties. A series of plans were introduced then and ambitious targets set but they were not backed by any policy to implement them. As a result they failed. This plan repeats that mistake. We have before us an eternally consistent target but it is held together by pious appeals to the capacity of community self sacrifice. That is not what we want from the Government. A plan must have some form of policy instruments that link what it aims to do to a policy that will achieve it. That is what is missing in the Government's plan and it is the key criticism I have of it.

The Government have issued a vague list of what they are willing to do but that reads more like a list from the Estimates of what is taking place in various Departments. A willingness is expressed to examine various means of improving things but fundamental policies to change the way the economy is working are absent. That would be all right were it not for the fact that what is proposed by the Government in the economic plan is a serious fundamental change in the way our economy is working. The projections in that plan have never been achieved for a sustained period in the past history of our economy. We want real policy initiatives but they are not there.

The Government have made much play of the fact that those who criticise the plan are selling our people short and are expecting too little of our people but the failure of the Government to come up with any constructive policies and the faulty analysis that underpins the plan means that what is being offered to the people is a complete deception. The plan does not offer any long-term hope for our people that there will be employment. In summary, the plan states that there will be a boom output. It proposed that output growth will grow cumulatively over the next five years by 28 per cent. At the same time workers are supposed to cheerfully produce that output while accepting a 12½ per cent cut in their real take home pay. In the public sector workers are expected to accept even more severe cuts. Meanwhile, it is projected that profits will grow by 84 per cent in real terms.

That sort of a projection for the economy represents dramatic change not only in the output growth it proposes but in the fundamental redistribution of income within the community, away from workers towards profits. To make that work there would have to be an underpinning incomes policy which is absent in the plan. The Government propose that the output boom will generate the tax revenue to solve the budget deficit and will also generate the exports to sort out the problem with our balance of payments. To judge from the response from the Government benches to questioning of this strategy it seems that they consider it almost anti-national to question some of the assumptions that underpin the plan. Some of them seem to think that it is more serious, that it is a questioning of the moral fibre of the community. The plan is proposed to us as a strategy of economic faith, not of policy, and that is a serious fall down for the Government.

It is disappointing to see that there are no policies. The private sector, so long struggling for survival, expect that if it is to come forward with new growth of the nature indicated by the Government there will be some change in the economic environment it faces. What are the main areas of the economic environment faced by companies that are influenced by the Government? They are the tax codes, the system of expenditure incentives and grants offered by the Government, the exchange rate strategy followed by the Government and the incomes policy strategy adopted by the Government. In those four key areas the Government have not proposed any change. There is no change in the tax code, the grant system, the exchange rate policy or any initiative to provide the community with an incomes policy that can achieve the sort of sacrifices the Government are looking for. In that context how can the Government conceivably expect a dramatic improvement in performances? They cannot hide behind pious appeals to people any more. They must provide some concrete proposals.

We are told that we should look at the sectoral strategy, the nuts and bolts of the plan, to see what the Government propose. At best the sectoral strategy will achieve something in the long run but it takes a long time for small changes in emphasis in policy to come through to achieve real change in industrial performance. The macro-economic policy targets are unrelated to policies. The most serious criticism is that when we look at the sectoral sections we find a list of what existing state agencies are doing and some things that the Government are willing to examine but no significant new policies. The worst one of all is where the plan describes what the Government intend to do in regard to the area of tourism. The plan states that an examination will be undertaken with a view to eliminating the cost disadvantages arising from higher charges borne by the tourism sector and also refers to an assessment of the appropriate ways and means to stimulate the provision of additional tourist accommodation. In the first case the Government mentioned an examination while in the second instance they refer to an assessment. The plan states that the Government will pay greater attention to those of their activities which impinge on tourism. There is nothing of any content in that statement. The plan also states that special emphasis will continue to be placed on the protection and preservation of the environment and there is talk about the possibility of extending the tourist season. The Government are appealing to people to stay at home on holidays but there is nothing concrete that will lead a person involved in the tourist industry to say: there is something worthwhile that will make it more profitable for me to expand output. That is the type of response we got in the plan on sectoral strategy.

It is important, when responding to the plan to look at some of the analyses that underpin it. A speaker from the Labour Party referred to the fact that export growth of 12¼ per cent is projected. The plan implies that manufacturing industry will have to come forward with an unprecedented 17 per cent growth in exports. How is this to be achieved? In the plan two key assumptions are made as being the basis of this performance. The first is that there will be 4 per cent growth in our export markets and the second is that our foreign competitors will face unit-wage-cost growths of 7½ per cent per annum over the period of the plan.

All recent forecasts indicate that lower growth in trading markets is to be expected and that the growth in unit wage costs will be far lower than stated in the Government's plan. A recent outlook document dealt with this. In 1983, the first year of the programme, far from 7½ per cent, they are projecting in the case of our major trading partners, in the United States 4 per cent, Japan 2¼ per cent, Germany less than 1 per cent, the UK 3 per cent and, overall, an average of 4½ per cent. It has already been proved that the fundamental basis on which the Government are planning their strategy is now a year out of date. It seems that the forecasts were made a year ago and a lot has happened since then. It is a very serious criticism of the Government that they have failed to keep up to date with development in the world economy. If they are going to put such emphasis on export performance they should see what is happening in those export markets.

They propose, based on those forecasts, that a 9 per cent wage increase will give us major competitive gains. All the elements of this forecast hang together very closely and a slippage in any element will mean quite a serious shortfall of the target. While admitting this knife-edge nature in the economic plan, the Government have failed to provide any real incomes framework within which we could expect that the wage moderation the Government demand could be achieved. Their failure to tackle that aspect, to give a real incomes policy to underpin what they are looking for, is the most wanting part of the economic plan.

When we turn to discussion of the manufacturing sector we find that the Government have not given us any sort of analysis of past performance. We do not find any discussion of what the cause of job losses has been in our manufacturing sector. We do not find any discussion of the degree of success in getting industries that are integrated with linkages to other forms of industry providing demand for other types of industry. This sort of criticism was brought forward in the recent Telesis Report. The Government have not tackled them in any sense. They have not analysed them to provide a background to the sort of policies they wish to adopt. The lack of that sort of context makes a nonsense of any strategy that is adopted because we cannot link what they are talking about to the past performance or the future performance of the economy.

I would like to dwell on some of the very dramatic implications that are built into the plan. The most serious one deals with the distribution of income that is involved. The pre-tax pay of industrial workers is set to fall by 4 per cent in real terms over the period of the plan but in after-tax terms, even with the £100 million tax refund to PAYE workers, which the Government propose, the ordinary worker will find that his average tax rates have grown on an average of 5 per cent. In effect, workers are being asked to take, over the period of this plan, a 12½ per cent cut in their real take-home pay. At the same time profits are projected to grow by 85 per cent in real terms which it is proposed will bring profit-sharing from 14½ per cent of income up to 23 per cent in 1987. That projection by the Government is a higher profit share than has ever been achieved by profit earnings in the country. The Government have smudged this side of their economic plan. If such a redistribution of income is to be achieved the onus is on the Government to provide the sort of framework within which that sort of target could be achieved.

Where is there an incomes policy in this document? There is none. The Government's record over the past few months and, before they came into Government, their response to the efforts of the previous Government, to provide a framework for the growth of incomes has proved that they are not considering an incomes policy. The Government lampooned the Coalition Government's attempt to gain consensus on what could be afforded by the economy. When the Coalition Government set up a committee on competitiveness which proposed what could be afforded by the Government, the Fianna Fáil Party made a mockery of that attempt. That was a serious mistake because establishing wage norms agreed by all sections of the community is the only way in which we can get a firm foundation for income settlements.

The Government during the past few months have seriously damaged the possibility of any sort of pay settlement by their provocative refusal to proceed with the negotiated pay settlement undertaken by the previous Government. In the economic plan the Government turned their back on any tax reforms. They state that they assume the existing tax structures and tax rates will continue up to 1987. That must be the most serious blow to industrial peace and to moderate income settlements. In recent years we had massive protests from the ordinary workers against the tax structure and the way it has been administered. The Government, in two short lines in this document, turned their back on any reforms in that system. It is nonsense to turn around and expect tremendous wage moderation.

With regard to their proposals about existing tax rates and tax structures I would like to hear what exactly they propose. Do they mean any indexation in the present structure? If we are to face a situation where the allowances and the bands will not be indexed in any way even the 12½ per cent cut in real wages I have suggested would be far exceeded by the strategy of the Government. The Government in their document recognise a special problem raised by special pay claims. This refers to public sector pay settlements. They deal with this subject on page 19. They state that a basic economic question is to what extent the process of special pay claims based on relativities can continue if the economy is to achieve its full potential. They state:

There appears to be no end to this process as each settlement triggers off another until the process starts all over again.

On the next page the Government state what their strategy is to deal with this. They state:

It is intended to explore with all interests the possibility of a Commission representative of Government, trade unions and employers to examine the entire question of special pay claims in the context of the long-term optimum development of our economy and employment.

They intend to explore the possibility. That is the sort of response which belies any type of incomes policy. It is a combination of words designed to confuse people rather than to say what they intend to do.

Industrial relations, which is the last key pillar of an incomes policy is dealt with in the economic plan in just one paragraph. We find on page 50 their inspiring words on industrial relations in which they state:

The Minister for Labour will enter into further discussions with both sides of industry to identify the immediate action required to secure an improved industrial relations framework for the development of industry.

That is no policy. They have failed to answer any of the weaknesses in our industrial relations environment. They offer an agreement to enter into discussions. If this is "the way forward" the Government had better go back to their drawing board and see if they can come up with any real policy.

There are some other confusing aspects of the economic plan upon which I should like to hear some elaboration by the Government. They are projecting severe wage cuts. Yet they expect consumer spending to remain buoyant. The only way that can be achieved, it seems, is if there is a dramatic fall in personal savings. To realise what the Government is suggesting personal savings will have to fall to a mere 13 per cent of income. The implications of that for the ownership of wealth have not been elaborated by the Government. It would be very sad to see personal savings go down to that extent; but apart from whether it is desirable to have such a fall, the Government have founded a major part of the growth in employment on the fall in personal savings. They have forecast that there will be not only this fall in personal savings but also that the consumption pattern of ordinary consumer spending will change dramatically. They say the purchase of domestic manufacturers by consumers will drop by almost 50 per cent and they say the consumers will shift their spending to domestically produced services, which are forecast to grow by 32 per cent. That sort of change in the consumption pattern of our population is dramatic. It is suggested that people will stop buying goods and start buying services. Yet, there is no foundation in the economic plan to show how this can be done.

One may say that this is just petty criticism of the plan, that I am dealing with small aspects of it. This is not a small aspect. The projected growth in consumer spending on services is supposed to generate 49,000 of the jobs the Government seek over the five year period. Those 49,000 jobs hinge on the success of this switch, but no indication has been given as to why it should be undertaken by consumers.

These are the usual aspects of the plan that drop out all along "the way forward" that we are being offered. It is scarcely a wonder that the Government have not taken the opportunity in this plan to spell out year by year what they intend to happen in the economy. Basically, their projections do not hang together. If such changes in consumer patterns were itemised on a year-to-year basis they would be seen for what they are — totally implausible with no backing in fact or in policy by the Government. There is also failure to list what they expect employment to be over the five years of the programme. That should be stated. The Government seem to be avoiding dealing with it and are hiding behind some projections which they are making on a five year basis for job creation. The reality is that the Government see virtually no change in the level of unemployment at the end of this five year period, a period in which wages are expected to fall by 12½ per cent in real terms.

This is a very despondent strategy that is offered by the Government to wage earners. What we need is a new policy in the manufacturing areas which will put emphasis on value added. There has not been a serious attempt to get to grips with industrial strategy. The Telesis Report dealt in great detail with how there might be a restructuring of our grants system. This has not been dealt with in the economic plan, which did not mention those conclusions.

The Government cannot go on trying to placate all views. Their references to the manufacturing sector are saying that they are committed to encourage almost every conceivable virtue in manufacturing industry. But that is not the basis of a policy which must deal with choices, not a commitment to encourage in a vague way everything going on.

I should now like to turn to public spending, which is the area in which a Government economic plan should dwell at greater length because it is in that area the Government take decisions entirely by themselves. It should have been the real meat of this economic plan. We find in the economic plan no discussion of the major issues in public spending that have come before the House in the last few years. We are all aware of the inadequacy of the way Estimates are presented to the House for decision. We get a single annual budget in which no programme is spelt out for more than one year ahead. There are no details about output or performance under various programmes. We have also seen in the last few years that the Government are increasingly unable to stay within the budgetary cost of schemes for even one year ahead. This year we face the likelihood that the budget deficit will have been misforecast by almost 80 per cent. These are two fundamental points that should have been tackled in the plan, which is entirely silent on why overruns occur and what can be done to prevent them. It is also silent on how we can provide the Oireachtas with more details of the various programmes so that real choices can be made. The Government have challenged the Opposition to make real choices and discuss them. Yet the plan does not contain any of the information needed to make those choices.

I believe the lack of those two factors in the plan means that the Government's commitment to eliminate the budget deficit is virtually impossible to accept. The doubtful assumptions about growth that have underpinned much of the discussion in the economic plan suggest that the Government are building in over the next five years a willingness to overestimate tax buoyancy and underestimate demands that will be made on the Exchequer. It seems that the Government are set to aggravate the errors that have been made in the past.

Briefly, I shall outline what should have been done under the plan for the public sector. To take the area of health as an example, the least we could have expected from the Government in making an economic plan for the next five years was that in this area it would have examined the existing pattern of demand on health services from various sections of the population and that it would have gone on to project the number of people in those sections over the five year period and from that deduce the volume of demand over the period on health services. The plan has not dealt with any of those aspects. That sort of framework or backdrop is essential for any rational choice on the issues such as the extent of free provision of medical services, accommodation needed in hospitals, the types of personnel to be recruited and trained. Presumably those decisions are being made within the economic plan but we have not the context necessary to make them. Our medical service is one of the least rational that could have been designed. We have free hospital maintenance but we do not have full free treatment. People are encouraged to go into hospital and it is scarcely any wonder that we have one of the highest hospitalisation rates. As regards medical cards we have no economic controls on the level of drug prescription or visits by doctors. We have unrestricted subsidies for people whose drugs exceed a certain limit. That kind of strategy needs to be examined.

If this plan had given details of the health services we would have had an opportunity to see if the present system could continue unaltered and to see what choices we had. However, we have not been given an opportunity to delve into this. This lack pervades not only the health area but all areas of Government social spending. The recent response in the health area shows that the Government are not tackling the areas of social spending in a planned way. The cuts made were a short-term expedient. They hit the poorest sections of the community and are not likely to provide the economies needed. A full discussion on all areas of public spending could have been the key section of the economic plan instead of pious appeals for moderation. Further resources could have been released to provide employment opportunities if the Government tackled those areas.

The Government have failed to provide any kind of policy back-up for the ambitious targets they set. They appeal for moderation in a pious fashion. That is not what we expect from economic plans. The vote of lack of confidence in the Government's response to the economic plan is entirely founded and I will vote with it.

In this House on 27 October the Leader of the Fine Gael Party called into question my credibility as Minister for Foreign Affairs. He alleged that I lacked "credibility outside Ireland, as anybody with international contacts will know". It is not my intention to let this remark pass unchallenged, not because I have anything to fear from a casual jibe by the Fine Gael leader but because it raises an important issue of principle.

There can hardly be a Member of this House who fails to acknowledge the long-standing convention whereby the Irish political parties do not air their political differences abroad. While we are quite properly engaged in the cut and thrust of political debate within the State, it is long established practice that we do not, as it were, export our grievances. However sharp our differences may be and however vigorously they may be voiced, it is accepted on all sides that the uninhibited expression of political views represents a cornerstone of our democratic system of Government.

This convention has a very particular application to the Minister for Foreign Affairs. It is part of the responsibility of a Minister in Government to uphold the dignity and integrity of the public office conferred upon him. In the case of the Foreign Minister, as previous holders of this office are or should be aware, the practice invariably has been to refrain when in Opposition from undermining the personal integrity of the Minister in the vital task of seeking support and understanding abroad for the policies of the Government of the day. There is an important and simple reason for this. If Irish public representatives call into question abroad the standing or policies of their Government there is some risk that the external interests of the State could be compromised. For a country like Ireland, which depends so heavily on foreign trade and investment, there is overriding necessity to maintain close and cordial relations with a wide range of countries with which we share economic and political interests. Those interests must be pursued sensitively and intelligently. Accordingly, if an Opposition spokesman in his dealings with "international contacts" should delve into the Government's credibility, then, Sir, it becomes a matter of serious concern. To say the least, it is a tactless and potentially damaging exercise.

The remarks of the leader of Fine Gael are all the more objectionable because he of all people should be fully aware of the established convention. As a former Taoiseach and Minister for Foreign Affairs he cannot plead ignorance of the correct manner in which to develop and pursue contacts outside the country. It is undoubtedly the case that he maintains his own network of international contacts. Nobody suggests that he should be placed under any constraint in doing so. What is at issue is the dubious and questionable manner in which he apparently deals with his foreign contacts. In his own words, it is through these contacts that he claims to know that I lack credibility as a Foreign Minister. I feel entitled to ask him and the House should know, who precisely these contacts are. Whom do they represent? Do they include influential members of or spokesmen for foreign Governments? What is the nature of their interests in Ireland? Do their interests coincide with our national interests or do they collide with them? What has been the nature of Deputy FitzGerald's conversations with these international contacts of his? Is it to probe the standing abroad of the Irish Government? Would the Fine Gael leader not think it appropriate to dispel any notion of connivance with unnamed outsiders to undermine the standing of the Government?

I have been in politics long enough now to learn to recognise the personal slur for what it reveals. It reveals the inability of one's political opponent to address policy issues in a coherent fashion. So that my position will not be misunderstood, I say to Deputy FitzGerald that I very much regret his offensive remark and hope he will now, in the light of what I have said, agree not to breach this established convention in the future. I want to place on record my appreciation to the Members of the Fine Gael Party who came to me and apologised for the attack made on me by their leader on 27 October.

The National Economic Plan devised by this Government sets out plainly and in detail the realities of economic life facing this country. We have to face these realities; it is not possible to avoid them. If we try to avoid them we will bring down even more serious consequences upon ourselves. The most fundamental reality we have to take account of is that Ireland is a country whose economy depends largely on foreign trade. More than half of our gross national product, 55 per cent, comes from exports. We can earn our living only by our ability to sell our goods and services abroad. If we are not able to do that successfully, then nothing else is possible. We will not be able to maintain our living standards, let alone increase them. We will not be able to provide jobs for our young people in the fastest-growing labour force in Europe. We will not be able to keep up our current present level of welfare and unemployment benefits, continuing recession, unemployment, lay-offs, business failures, falling living standards — these are the alternatives to a determined and successful effort to sell Irish goods and services in an increasingly competitive international market.

With the possible exception of Belgium we are the most dependent of any of the European Community countries on foreign trade. We have a small population, a small home market, few domestic resources and our industrialisation is still recent. Against this background we have done remarkably well. We export more than half of what we produce. I have no doubt that we possess the ability and drive to succeed, but I do not have any illusions that this is going to be an easy task. We have to achieve a 12.25 per cent increase in our exports. Our target is 12,000 new jobs a year in manufacturing in the later stages of the plan. This will require a sustained and intensive effort. It cannot be brought about simply by wishing it into being. The private sector and in the case of some services certain semi-State bodies have the major role in this drive. No one should underestimate the difficulties, not only at home but also abroad, which is my major concern as Minister for Foreign Affairs. At the same time we must not be discouraged by these difficulties. We know what needs to be done at home. The necessary steps are set out in the White Paper and it is in our power to take these steps. Conditions abroad are not something over which we have much control, although we do have some ability to shape our external environment through our participation in the European Communities, GATT, UNC TAD, OECD, the Economic Commission for Europe and other multilateral bodies. This constitutes a major part of the work of my Department and to the extent possible we try to influence these bodies in a direction favourable to our interests. I will have more to say about this later.

I see the promotion of Ireland's external economic interests as one of the major roles that I and my Department have to fulfil. This is an essential part of any country's foreign policy and it is especially so in the case of a country like Ireland which is so heavily dependent on foreign trade and investment. Maintaining good relations with a wide range of countries where we have economic or political interests in one of our fundamental objectives. This is the basic task of the Department, our embassies and consulates, and our permanent missions to the European Communities, the United Nations and other international bodies. We have to make our own contribution to help preserve a stable and secure external environment. We cannot afford to take a passive role or pretend we are not deeply affected by events beyond our own shores. We need to pursue an active diplomacy with other states and to participate actively in all forms of international co-operation relevant to our own situation.

The need for effective representation of our economic as well as our political interests overseas has increased, and increased considerably, in the last ten years or so. Our interests have to be pursued through the existing international system of embassies, international organisations and conferences. This is not something we can opt out of or to which we can devote only marginal attention. It is clearly to our advantage to take full part in this system, to defend our own interests and to advance them where we can, either on our own or working together with other countries who have similar interests.

Our economic interests abroad are wide and varied and so, necessarily, are the means by which they are pursued. This is not, of course, the sole responsibility of my Department. Other Departments and semi-State bodies have always been deeply involved and this involvement has greatly expanded since we joined the European Community. But the Department of Foreign Affairs is, by its very nature, particularly concerned with the promotion of our external economic interests. This is by no means an ancillary or secondary concern. It is an integral and basic part of the Department's functions. The expansion of our diplomatic representation in recent years — for example, the establishment of embassies in such countries as Japan, the USSR, Lebanon, Egypt, Iran and Saudi Arabia — has been largely determined by economic interests.

The state of the external economic environment is of crucial importance to a very open economy such as Ireland's. Our ability to influence that environment is necessarily limited — we are a very small country — but the Government are determined that whatever instruments are available to us on the external front will continue to be used to the full in the national interest. My Department has a central role in this regard.

The most obvious and immediate example arises from our membership of the European Communities, which has brought about a fundamental change in the international framework within which we pursue our economic objectives. This has opened up a whole new range of possibilities and transformed much of the economic life of this country. It has also brought with it new responsibilities in the international sphere, such as the Presidency of the Community, which we will shoulder again for the third time in less than two years from now, and our participation in the efforts of the ten member states to co-operate on foreign policy questions.

One of the Department's most important functions is to act as the co-ordinating mechanism for our membership of the European Community. Just what that membership at present means to Ireland can be judged from the fact that in 1981 our direct receipts from the Community budget alone, less our contributions to that budget, came to nearly 4 per cent of our GNP. This takes no account of the very substantial additional benefits which our farmers and the economy generally received directly through our trading gains and from the price support system of the common agricultural policy.

It is important to realise that these very substantial benefits cannot be maintained or improved upon without unremitting effort on the part of the Government. A particularly heavy burden falls on the Minister for Foreign Affairs and his Department, who are charged with the central co-ordination of our Community membership. It is a truism to say that the Community is nearly always in a state of semi-crisis and that it is only through the mastering of successive crises that it can make progress. Each of these crises, however, presents dangers of regression as well as opportunities of progress, and these dangers are particularly acute in the present situation, where the world recession coincides with the prospect of a financially demanding enlargement of the Community, and a strong new effort by a major member state to renegotiate the terms of her participation in common financing.

Elements of this crisis, particularly those arising out of the British demands for lower net contributions to the budget, have been with us now for the best part of three years, and for most of that period my predecessors and I have been obliged to devote long hours to a defence of the common agricultural policy, which some people saw as the cause of the so-called budget problem. Time and again, at one meeting after another, we repeated what was clear to us: that a solution to that problem could not be achieved by undermining the Community's one developed policy, the CAP, but only by building up the totally inadequate non-agricultural Community policies such as the regional and social funds, by developing new ones, and by providing additional funds for the Community. The danger to the CAP has, as a result of our efforts and those of like-minded countries, receded for the moment — but it has not gone away, and we have to be ready at all times for a resumption of the struggle. Meanwhile, the need for fresh financial resources becomes clearer each day, but has not yet found an adequate response from the member states.

Those are only the more dramatic examples of the importance to our economy of a properly functioning, foreign service. On a day-to-day basis, and on all fronts of our economic interrelationship with the outside world, I and my Department have to act vigorously to defend our interests. In the EEC in particular, piecemeal reactions to individual proposals could harm our overall position. To be effective, our approach to each individual problem must be consistent with the overall aims of our policy.

We must maintain coherent and co-ordinated positions in our dealings with the organs of the Communities and with our partners. Since 1973, when we entered the European Communities, my Department have had overall responsibility for co-ordinating the work of all Departments in relation to EEC matters. This involves, initially, channelling information received from the permanent representation in Brussels and our embassies in the member states to other Departments, and ensuring, whenever necessary, that decisions taken are consistent with overall national policy and with overall developments in the Communities. This often requires my Department to take the lead in promoting a reconciliation or concertation of the views of different Departments to ensure that our best interests are protected. Finally, our Permanent Representative in Brussels and our ambassadors in the member states ensure that the Commission and our partners are kept fully aware of our views.

This co-ordinating and monitoring role will assume even greater importance over the coming months as the Community faces up to the problems associated with, amongst other things, negotiations on the British contribution for 1983 and the years ahead and the enlargement of the Community. I can assure Deputies that my Department will continue to fulfil this role as it has done since 1973.

The European Community obviously has enormous economic influence in the world. However, it does not on its own determine the structure of international trade and management of the world economy. The framework for international trade in the post-war period has been laid down in the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and in the various rounds of negotiations in the GATT context, such as the recent Toyko round. So far, in spite of the difficulties in the world economy, the GATT has remained strong and prevented a slide into competitive protectionism that could have made the present world recession much worse than it has been. We have taken an active part to help reinforce this system.

I and my Department will continue, both in our bilateral relations and in the multilateral fora where we are represented, to emphasise the need to maintain the open world trading system. In our situation it is essential that world markets remain open to our exports. It is only through increased economic activity and increased trade all round that a recovery of the world economy can be brought about. The other path, that of competitive protectionism and reduced trade, would deepen the recession and lower living standards to an unacceptable degree. We will emphasise this point both in international fora and in our bilateral contacts. This is a point we have stressed in the preparations for the GATT Ministerial Conference to be held later this month. This is the first such meeting since 1973 and it comes at an appropriate moment. It offers Ireland and the Community the opportunity to work with our GATT partners to maintain a sensible and balanced world open trading system.

The international economic environment will be a crucial determining factor in our economic progress. There are signs of improvement. The improvement is slow rather than dramatic. But the improvement is visible. For the first time in three years, as inflation slows and interest rates drop, the international background offers us the prospect of increased exports. We must put ourselves in the position to take full advantage of the opportunities which are gradually opening up. This requires an improved performance on the part of everyone, not only of those directly involved in selling goods and services abroad, but also on the part of the State sector in providing the necessary back-up service.

The ability to sell our goods and services abroad is the essential requirement if we are to succeed in maintaining and increasing employment and raising our living standards. Our export performance is already impressive. It will have to be even better in the future. Our exporters are entitled to expect the full support and backing of State services. The Department of Foreign Affairs with 29 embassies and four consulates abroad see this as one of their most important functions. An embassy provides a continuing Irish presence in a particular country — in many parts of the world, the only continuing Irish presence — and through its official position, its knowledge of the local situation and its contacts, the embassy can give invaluable assistance to the prospective exporter. In addition to the 29 resident embassies we maintain diplomatic relations with 28 other countries on a non-resident basis. Several of these embassies have officers engaged full time in trade and economic work. In a number of embassies trade promotion is the major preoccupation. For all our embassies, however, trade promotion is a priority. In the Department in Dublin there is a full section devoted exclusively to foreign trade. The range of activities covered is very broad. The work of the Department includes negotiating co-operation agreements with other countries, preparing market reports, helping firms pursue service contracts, and making arrangements for visiting businessmen. This work is carried out in conjunction with other Government Departments and semi-State bodies such as Coras Tráchtála and the IDA.

Markets in the developing world and in Eastern Europe are often the most difficult and those in which the assistance of an embassy is most needed. Business practice in those countries can be very different from ours. For example, several countries in the Middle East and all in Eastern Europe conduct trade more or less exclusively through State organisations. In those countries a state-to-state bilateral co-operation agreement is a virtual pre-condition for the satisfactory development of trade. In recent years the Department have negotiated such inter-governmental agreements with the Soviet Union, Poland and Iraq. These provide for the development of bilateral economic, commercial and other exchanges. Joint commissions have been established under these agreements which meet annually to review progress and to examine ways in which co-operation can be improved. Further co-operation agreements are under active consideration.

These agreements can lead to a dramatic improvement in trade. The agreement signed with Iraq in 1981 provides a good example. In the second half of the seventies our exports to Iraq varied between £2 and £7 million. The year the agreement was signed exports exceeded £21 million. This year they have already passed the £41 million mark. This shows the results exporters can achieve well outside our traditional markets.

Another example is provided by the Soviet Union, a country which has a strong preference for doing business on the basis of a co-operation agreement and which makes all its purchases through State-trading organisations. In 1976 we exported less than £2 million worth to the Soviet Union. A co-operation agreement was signed and entered into force at the end of that year. In 1977 exports stood at £6.3 million and last year they reached nearly £25 million. In 1974, the year we opened our embassy in Moscow, exports were still only £½ million. Apart from the embassy in Moscow, we have non-resident diplomatic relations with most of the other Eastern European countries. Exports to the entire area last year were over £59 million compared with £3 million ten years earlier when we had no diplomatic links at all with Eastern Europe and before we had concluded any bilateral co-operation agreement.

Increasingly, we will have to look beyond our traditional markets in Western Europe and North America. The developing world offers very substantial opportunities. For instance, in the first six months of this year our exports to Nigeria were £27½ million and our exports to Egypt were just over £26 million. This shows again what can be achieved, despite the undoubted difficulties which an exporter has to face in many developing countries. The local knowledge acquired by an embassy can be particularly helpful in identifying key decision-makers, cultivating contacts, providing advance information, clearing visa and customs formalities, arranging meetings and following up on business.

I have just mentioned Nigeria and Egypt, two countries where a major part of the embassies' work consists in providing this kind of assistance to exporters. Another example is Saudi Arabia. Last year our exports to that country were worth £27 million. Up to June this year exports have already exceeded £15 ½ million. Service exports and joint ventures are also of major importance to us in Saudi Arabia. The range of operations involving the embassy in Jeddah includes ESB consultancy work, manufacturing milk and milk products, construction, electrical-mechanical engineering, work undertaken by the Agricultural Institute, and teaching and training in Ireland. Among DEVCO agencies the ESB, ACOT, IIRS, IDA and Aer Rianta have had good results this year. Medical care, agriculture and teaching-training are further areas of promise.

I have recently returned from an official visit to the People's Republic of China, a country with which I believe there is great potential for expanding trade and economic co-operation. I had talks there with, among others, the Chinese Minister for Foreign Economic Relations and Trade. We discussed the various possibilities for developing trade in both countries and specific projects in dairy products, animal husbandry, grassland development and fertilisers.

China is another example of a state-trading country where the presence of an embassy can be of great assistance to exporters. Since the opening of our embassy in Peking in 1979, exports have increased from under £¾ million to an expected £4 million this year. Another opportunity for the sale of Irish goods and services to the developing world is provided by multilateral aid agencies such as the European Development Fund, the UN Development Programme and the World Bank. These agencies fund projects by international tender throughout the developing world. The current European Development Fund and the European Investment Bank will provide over £3 million in grants and loans over a five-year period for development projects in the ACP countries. These are the 63 African, Caribbean and Pacific States which are parties to the Lomé Convention with the EEC countries. The Department provide documentation on individual projects and country programmes to CTT, CII, CIF and DEVCO. Our embassies and development offices provide information on prospective contracts in the countries where they are accredited.

This applies as well to contracts with the UN Development Programme and the World Bank who also devote vast sums to such projects. Most of the contracts — whether funded by multilateral agencies or by individual countries — won by Irish firms and agencies have been for consultancy work. I hope to see us branching out to win supply and works contracts as well. This whole area is one which we have begun to exploit only fairly recently and it holds great potential. My Department are anxious to encourage interest here and in every way possible to help Irish firms win contracts.

Apart from the support provided by our embassies and other offices abroad, another aspect I might mention here is the spin-off from the development assistance programme administered by my Department through our contribution to international development agencies, through our own bilateral aid programme and through APSO — the Agency for Personal Service Overseas. This takes the form both of providing funds and of making available the skills and expertise we have acquired during the course of our own development. Our objective in the development assistance programme is to contribute to alleviating the poverty in some of the poorest countries in the world and of the poorest sections of the population in those countries.

The export of Irish services to developing countries through our bilateral aid programme has brought tangible benefits to these countries. But the bilateral aid programme has also benefited the Irish bodies providing these services. Through their participation in the bilateral aid programme, many Irish bodies have obtained the experience and "track-record" necessary to obtain contracts from the larger multilateral funding agencies such as the World Bank and the European Development Fund. I could give many examples of Irish bodies that have won lucrative contracts for development projects in the Third World as a direct result of participating in projects under our bilateral aid programme.

The extent to which Irish bodies, both State, semi-State and private, are earning valuable exchange from the export of services to developing countries is constantly increasing. Devco, the State Agencies Development Co-operation Organisation, calculate that semi-State bodies alone earned over £28 million from projects in developing countries last year. Not all of this would, of course, be directly attributable to the bilateral aid programme but there is no doubt that many of the State agencies that are now active in this field receive their first experience through our bilateral aid programme.

I have spoken mainly of our embassies' activities in developing countries both because these are the countries where the assistance of an embassy is most required and because the embassy is usually the only Irish State agency in the area. In the industrialised countries — which are, of course, our major markets — we are also actively engaged in promoting our economic interests, working closely with other State agencies, such as CTT, IDA, Aer Lingus and Bord Fáilte. We maintain a close study of the political, economic and market situation in the countries we deal with. We report on developments which affect our interests and where necessary, if for example a Government are taking action prejudicial to our economic interests, we will raise this officially.

We also maintain contacts in Government and official circles and in commerce and the media. These can often be very useful in gaining access for Irish firms interested in doing business in a particular country. We are also able to provide reliable information on Government regulations, tariffs and taxes, import regulations, standards and other requirements. We can also advise on market characteristics, distribution channels and various aspects of doing business in a particular country. In these ways embassies and consulates act as a ready source of operational assistance for Irish commercial interests.

In many countries outside the European Community, the Community itself has a responsibility and is represented. This does not in any way reduce the need for us to look after our own interests, to look out for opportunities to watch developments which affect us and to make sure at every level in every way possible that this country's interests are represented effectively. Nobody else will do it for us, and I want to stress that. We are in competition with these countries. They all maintain a regular presence and a continuing effort to advance their external interests. Being a small country does not mean that we can afford to do less than our larger neighbours. We do not have the support of a substantial home marketing base which they have, nor have we the high profile of a long-established industrial and trading reputation. That means that we must do more for ourselves if we are not to lose out on all kinds of opportunities. We simply cannot afford to neglect our interests abroad.

There are a number of factors which go into determining the extent to which we realise our objectives abroad. One of these, an important one, is the national image we project. How successful we will be in selling our produce, in securing foreign investment or encouraging tourism depends to a large extent on how people in other countries view us. A major part of our work is to promote a favourable image of this country to counter any adverse publicity. People in other countries often have ill-formed attitudes about our country. Media coverage often concentrates on the tragic violence afflicting Northern Ireland and, quite apart from any other considerations such as the need to have our own policies in Northern Ireland known and understood, this can be very damaging to our prospects for trade investment and tourism. There is a need for constant effort to ensure that this country is seen for what it is, a stable western democracy, a reliable trading partner capable of producing and delivering goods and services of high quality. This is the image of Ireland which we must promote, and again we must do it for ourselves. We must go out and take the initiative because others certainly will not do it for us. If we want the kind of image which will help our efforts rather than hindering them we must work at it on a continuing basis.

This country has demonstrated in the past that it has the resources and the determination to overcome the most serious economic difficulties. The late Séan Lemass introduced the first programme of economic development in 1958 when the country faced problems at least as great as those we face today, moreover at a time when national confidence was at an all-time low, and the success of that programme restored our self-confidence and gave us a new image of ourselves as a people capable of achieving their goals. We are in a far better position to respond to the challenge of economic recession today than we were then and we now possess an industrial base, a trained labour force, technical and managerial experience, and through our membership of the EEC we have a voice in the decision-making of the world's largest trading bloc. I have every confidence that we can and will get this country moving forward again. Even in the last few years of exceptional difficulty and against intense competition our exports have increased dramatically. Last year our exports were £4,846 million and this year they are expected to reach close to £6 billion. This Government are determined to face the problem honestly and courageously but we do so in the confident belief that the Irish people are capable of winning through. The last thing the country needs now is hand-wringing defeatism. Of course we must recognise the size of the task in front of us, but let us recognise equally that there are opportunities as well as difficulties. Let us make sure that we put ourselves in a position to take advantage of these opportunities. We need an intensive, sustained and co-ordinated national effort involving industry, agriculture and the public sector. This means essentially, as I have said, that we must increase our sale of goods and services abroad. Unless we are successful in doing that none of our social and economic objectives at home is attainable. Our exporters will need every support that can be provided, and as far as we are concerned we are under an obligation to do everything we can to assist this effort and to achieve the objectives of the national plan.

In my 26 years in public life I have seen white papers, green papers and project objectives described in many ways put to the people of Ireland for their support and in the interests of their goodwill and well-being and the future prospects of our economy. Always I have judged or gauged the sincerity of those documents on the basis of the credibility of the team or Government who supported such a document and put it to the Irish people for their support. Therefore, I feel straightway that I must gauge this document on the credibility of the Government who have put it forward to us for adoption. As the Taoiseach has said, its objective is simply the future welfare of the Irish people. I must gauge its credibility on the performance of the Government in the seven months they have been in office because we owe it to the people to examine in detail the threads of economic development, the welfare of our people, young and old, and the effect of the plan on all our people.

Therefore, at the outset I must say that I have very little belief in the outcome of this document. This Government have been led by an indecisive Taoiseach in that seven months, staggering from one crisis to another, looking to the people for national support, asking for belt-tightening from all our people. Here last week in his own area of responsibility, instead of carrying on with a restricted Cabinet and junior ministerial team, he introduced more appointments to his Cabinet costing more money, while asking people in the lower income group to put up with sacrifices and live much below the standard they were used to.

I must also look at the credibility of the members of the Cabinet. I am not a doom and gloom man. I believe in realism, but I am not a boom and bloom man either. Five months ago I read in the newspapers that Minister MacSharry on his return to his native county stated that the days of gloom were over and the boom days were back, yet he had not the guts or courage to come into this House before the Dáil went into recession to indicate the necessity for cutting back on essential services.

There is grave disquiet about the Minister for Justice. Last week the Taoiseach should have made three ministerial appointments, the two replacements for Deputy O'Malley and Deputy O'Donoghue and the Minister for Justice should have been removed from his post because too many rumours and too much talk are going throughout the country about this very sensitive area of administration. It amazed me, and I assure the House that it amazed many people, to see the self-same Deputies O'Malley and O'Donoghue, who in only the past couple of weeks had publicly voted no confidence in the leadership of their Toaiseach, come into the House last Tuesday night to vote for their successors in their own ministries. Lest we forget the other 20 backbenchers, where does their credibility stand in the crises in the last couple of months? They are not prepared to vote here against the Taoiseach. They will do it in party rooms but they are the silent minority in the backbenches when it comes to defeating the lobby and keeping the Taoiseach in office.

That is why I say that this document must be taken on the basis of the credibility or otherwise of the Cabinet which has produced this document. For that reason alone, I cannot see it being accepted by the people. We have a bankrupt economy, a divisive administration and are staggering from one crisis to another. We are asked to tighten our belts and told that the money is not there. It cannot be repeated too often that this trouble all started in 1977. The last century was noted for black 1847; this one will be remembered for black 1977. All the ills and sickness of our economy emanated from the document of the party which in 1977 bought the people by promises and started this steamrolling process of overspending.

I appreciate that there is a budget deficit and that something must be done to rectify the situation. However, my party and I disagree entirely with the plans made by Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael regarding budget deficits. Their objective is to have the budget deficit phased out in four years, but this is not a plan worthy of any Government in power. We are talking, not about money, economies, or budget deficits, but about people — the ordinary people. These are the people that we are asking to tighten their belts, accept a lower living standard and respond to this document.

Recently, as a member of the Council of Europe, I attended a plenary session in Strasbourg. We had there a one day seminar on the unemployment dimension on the European Continent. Ministers of several States, experts from the OECD and the EEC indicated their views on the recession and the prospects of the situation improving in the years ahead. The consensus of the experts in Strasbourg was that at the very earliest 1990 would see a levelling off and improvement in the world recession. This consensus was based on one very important factor — that the major powers, such as the United States, Germany, France and Japan, would take steps to lift the rest out of the recession and that smaller countries such as Ireland and Denmark would then benefit from this uplift in the economies of the greater powers. We are not being forthright and honest with our people, because according to these experts, we have not seen the worst yet. I am not an economist, but I believe in listening attentively to people who know what they are talking about. We should not produce a document saying that in four years the unemployment figure will be reduced and more jobs created. Being an open-ended economy we cannot resolve our problems alone but we must depend on the outside world for help.

On behalf of my party and myself I reject this document as fallacious. It contains no prospects of optimism for young people, for those who have lost their jobs, or are barely holding on to them. The private sector has failed the country. Millions of pounds have been spent on investment plans, with incentives being given to the private sector, without any response being forthcoming. I have said publicly elsewhere that with a growing young population, if the unease which at the moment I can detect amongst the young increases, they will turn away from our democratic institutions and may unfortunately look elsewhere if they lose faith and hope in our Executive and elected representatives.

How can we reconcile a figure of 12 per cent increase in our exports with the realism of Strasbourg that the demands from those countries will be nothing like half that percentage figure? I listened to the Minister for Agriculture speaking about the meat trade and the meat processing industry. I have the good fortune to represent a constituency which has a major industry based on natural resources — the sugar factory in Thurles. Prior to the last election, a special handout was given to the electorate of North Tipperary. I can assure the House that the viability of the Thurles factory is vital to my constituency and I must relate everything in this document to that constituency. If I see something worthwhile in it, I will support it. If I see it as empty and void of interest in my constituents, I will criticise it, which is what I am doing here tonight. A very straightforward promise was made in my constituency by the people in power, in particular to the workers of the Thurles factory, a factory which at peak can employ up to 600. The House will thus appreciate what this means to the commercial life of my region. It was made very clear that a commitment would be given that, in the allocation to the sugar factory in the current year, outside the budget, £5 million would be included for the modernisation of the Thurles plant and that the people in that area need have no fear, that if they returned Fianna Fáil to office, money would be forthcoming to ensure the viability of that factory and the factory in Tuam. I want to put on the record of the House the hypocrisy of the promises made. Last week, the announcement of the national allocation to the Sugar Company was very clear to the people of North Tipperary and of the rest of Ireland. Out of a total of £30 million allocated to the Sugar Company only £300,000 is to go to Thurles, a figure which normally was allocated for annual maintenance.

In the mid-west we had already suffered from the shutdown of the Bombardier enterprise because of Government rejection. Then we heard about the £20 million allocated to the Dublin Gas Company, and this miserable allocation to the Thurles sugar factory. That is what we have got in the mid-west. The main concern in my constituency is for industry. Instead of getting new industry we have seen existing industries being closed down. We had 600 miners disemployed. God help us in that region in 1983 because there is nothing in the pipeline for us.

Today the Minister for Agriculture referred to the plans for agriculture. In Thurles we have an industry based on agriculture but because of the miserable finance being made available the Thurles factory will be in the same position as Tuam was last year. Despite all the promises made there is no talk about renewal of machinery in our sugar factory. Somebody from the Government side must be prepared to go to the Minister for Finance and do something about that. The machinery there should be renewed to such an extent that the factory would be viable. That would be the case if preelection promises had been lived up to. The people of Tipperary now know where they stand with this Government.

At page 103 of the Government document we have reference to decentralisation. There is this statement:

The Government have, however, recently approved a decentralisation programme to twelve provincial centres. Proposals have been sought for private sector participation in the provision of the accommodation required.

That means that the Government are not prepared to finance the programme, that they are depending on the private sector. Therefore there cannot be any optimism that that programme will be introduced in the immediate future. Early this year, Ennis, Limerick and Nenagh were promised that offices of the Revenue Commissioners would be located in those centres. I am afraid we are many years away from that now that we have been told the private sector will be asked to finance the Government project.

As a member of a health board I should like to refer to the effect this plan will have, the difficulties it will present to health boards. Last January the Coalition Government which I supported produced a budget which would have cut back the services by £3 million in a period of 12 months. This Government have decided that £2 million will be cut from the services in three months. I am not talking about easing budget deficits. I am talking about people being enabled to get medical cards, to get medicines, an ambulance service. Instead, people have to thumb lifts to and home from hospitals in my region. We had several meetings and the health board executive went back to the Minister for Health to explain the emergency, the crisis that existed because of lack of finance. Now we may have to close wards and even hospitals.

Surely the Taoiseach does not expect our people to support that type of plan. He has asked the people to rally round him with optimism. How can any Government expect the people to co-operate with such action on such an issue? Paragraph 19 of the plan proposes to hold an investigation into the workings of local authorities and health boards. In my experience, local authorities have stopped working in the past three years and this administration can be blamed directly for that because in 1977 they abolished rates, the only source of revenue, the only cash flow local authorities had. Before that they were able to plan and to carry out their plans. Now we have managers with nothing to manage.

That recommendation is amazing, as is the one in regard to health boards. I was a county councillor in the seventies when the late Deputy Childers was Minister for Health. He travelled the length and breadth of Ireland to try to prove to local representatives that the best way forward in regard to the health services was by way of regional health boards. At that time local authorities maintained the services in the counties among their people. I attended a meeting in Limerick with the Minister for Health at that time and even members of his own party indicated that regionalisation of the health services was not the way forward. Despite that, Fianna Fáil brought in the Health Act and now we have a colossus of eight health boards, and outside Dublin the facilities are so removed from the people, although they cost so much, that the entire medical services are in chaos.

Therefore, there is no need to investigate the health boards. We know the reason for the collapse of the medical services. I heard the Taoiseach say that we are spoiling ourselves, becoming too sophisticated. How can he say that when people have to wait unsuccessfully for ambulances — old people and children? It is to provide facilities for such people that we should be planning. This plan is only about saving money at all costs, and that means that ordinary people will suffer. That is why I reject this plan out of hand.

I publicly opposed budget deficits when the Coalition were in power because ultimately they are harmful and affect the welfare of our people. In spite of all the talk by accountants about the need for budget deficits, we have here a bankrupt economy. The way to look for co-operation is not to turn in the other direction, to cut costs, but to provide our people with proper health and education services.

On the question of local authorities I notice that another plan has been produced for our national primary roads. One was produced two years ago and we also had one five years ago. Roads in my county are so bad that it would be possible to join all the potholes up by lowering the road. There is no mention in the plan of providing money for maintenance although there is mention of a huge investment in our national road network. In the last three years local authorities have been endeavouring to deal with a crisis in regard to roads.

The plan also refers to local authority housing. It appears that over the next four years it is proposed that there will be a levelling of investment in local authority houses. Couples are getting married at an earlier age with the result that there are many more on local authority housing lists. The finance to help deal with the ever-increasing housing priority list is not forthcoming from the Exchequer. People must live in houses that were not considered habitable 100 years ago. I am not dealing with the sophisticated aspects of the plan but I am anxious to indicate how the financial objectives will affect our people. We have heard a lot of talk about social welfare abuses, a trump card that is played very often. An inquisition team is being established to go around the country chasing people. I accept that there are dodgers and people who abuse the system but 99 per cent of those who are drawing unemployment benefit would prefer to be at work because they have a pride in their work. It is ironic that an inquisition team is being established by Fianna Fáil who also abolished the Combat Poverty Committee.

I do not see a lot of light at the end of the tunnel for the PAYE sector. I reckon that this year £1,500 million will be extracted from the pay packets of workers under the PAYE system and the plan proposes, most generously, that £100 million will be taken off those people over a four year period. That will only amount to pennies. That proposal is being introduced at a time when more money could be collected in other areas but no effort is made to do so. We must have an equitable tax system and everybody at a time of crisis must carry an equal share of the burden. Until that happens our people will not be prepared to accept the proposals in the plan. Inequality is getting worse. About 20 years ago a politician remarked to me that the rich were getting richer and the poor were getting poorer and that situation still exists today. Inequality is not the answer in times of crisis when we must ask people to make sacrifices. Everybody must make a sacrifice and because that is not happening I consider that the document is not logical or reasonable and will not appeal to the ordinary people.

The more one discusses the plan the more one realises how farcical it is. I have read several economic plans but I award this the Pulitzer prize as the greatest documentary evidence of long-term thinking on high finance in cuckoo land. Our people cannot and will not accept such a plan. We all accept that we are facing a crisis but the plan does not propose a way for dealing with it. Punishment, if there is to be punishment, should be divided equally. To carry us through the crisis we must come up with revolutionary ideas. A lot of the material in the plan was issued in 1980 when Deputy Haughey took over the leadership of Fianna Fáil and it was contained in the document produced by the former Minister for Economic Planning and Development, Deputy O'Donoghue, in 1978. It is a repetition of the same old dose. If we are to survive we must come up with a different answer to our problems. The Taoiseach seemed to accept today that the document would not be accepted by the majority of the House because he proposed that it be debated by an all-party Committee, like fielding the ball inside the 25 and kicking it to touch. The Taoiseach accepts that he will be beaten on it and consequently is not prepared to put it to a vote. The Labour Party reject this document out of hand. We will not accept any such plan until there is an indication that everybody will make a sacrifice and contribute to the national well-being of the economy. Nobody should be allowed to get off the hook.

I am pleased to have an opportunity to speak on the plan. Before I dwell on the details as they affect the area of my responsibility, Transport and Posts and Telegraphs, I should like to condemn the activities of the main Opposition party, Fine Gael, in placing a motion of no confidence before the Dáil. Where is the concern for the unemployed? Where is the concern to right our economy? Fine Gael are availing of this opportunity to ensure that our plan does not proceed. That surely is a most irresponsible attitude at a time of grave national crisis in our economy. I do not think their attitude has the support of our people. I hope the vote, if it is taken, on this confidence motion will fail and that the Dáil will give a clear vote of confidence to the Government to continue with their work and implement the economic plan. The plan should be accepted by all right-thinking Members of the Dáil. It has been widely acclaimed and accepted by the public.

I was disappointed at the attitude adopted by Fine Gael at a time when the Dáil is engaged in a critical analysis of the economic plan. Until that is complete there should not be any question of a vote of confidence in the Government. We are in a position to implement the measures contained in the plan with the support and goodwill of the House. If that is not forthcoming and if we are not in a position to proceed in Government, Fianna Fáil have the cornerstone and plank for any campaign which they will be asked to fight. I would fight any election on a document which contains proposals such as those in The Way Forward. It is a clear statement of policy that was prepared following months of discussion. I believe that it will be given the backing of the Irish people if it is put before them. I hope that occasion does not come for some time because our term of office is not due to expire until 1987. In the intervening years we will implement the proposals in the plan and right the many ills in our economy. The main proposals in the plan must be carried through by any Government because they represent the only way forward. I appeal to the right thinking Members in the Opposition to do the honourable thing and support the plan.

I should like to sympathise with the Labour Party on the defection of their leader, Deputy Michael O'Leary. I do not know if I should congratulate Fine Gael on the fact that Deputy O'Leary has applied to join that party but the move confirms my view of the Labour Party down the years. I have always believed that Fianna Fáil is the only socialist party in Ireland. That is made clear when one considers that a former leader left the party and joined the most right wing conservative party in the state, Fine Gael.

It would be better if the Deputy spoke about leadership.

I will return to the plan next week.

Debate adjourned.
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