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Dáil Éireann debate -
Thursday, 30 Jun 1988

Vol. 382 No. 11

Estimates, 1988. - Vote 3: Department of the Taoiseach (Revised Estimate) (Resumed).

Debate resumed on the following motion:
That a sum not exceeding £5,592,000 be granted to defray the charge which will come in course of payment during the year ending on the 31st day of December, 1988, for the salaries and expenses of the Department of the Taoiseach, including certain cultural and archival activities and for payment of certain grants-in-aid.
—(Minister for the Environment).

There was a remarkable turnabout in Irish agriculture in 1987, the slide in farm incomes was not only halted but was well and truly reversed. The most recent review of farm income for 1987 — the AFT National Farm Survey — suggests that the increase in incomes in 1987 over 1986 was 31 per cent. This is an unprecedented achievement by any standards and establishes the agriculture and food industry as a driving force in the economic development of the country. The boost in farm incomes was responsible in no small measure for the revised GNP growth for 1987 now estimated to be in excess of 5 per cent and I am glad to say that the trends in 1988 are showing further significant increases.

A major element in the 1987 income increase was the reversal of the price-cost squeeze, which referred to the situation whereby farm input prices were rising more quickly than farm gate prices for the products sold by the farmers. Between 1980 and 1985, agricultural output prices rose by 35.6 per cent while input prices rose by 47.5 per cent. Farm output prices were particularly strong in 1987 and increased in real terms for the first time since 1978. I am glad that this trend towards higher output prices is continuing in 1988. A further encouraging sign is that while the latest data available on input prices indicate that they have increased, they have done so only marginally to date in 1988.

A further element in the substantial increase in farm incomes has been the steady decline in interest rates. Today farmers are being offered term loans at rates as low as 10 per cent and in fact on average rates to farmers have fallen by over 5 percentage points since the Government came into office. In addition, inflation at 1.8 per cent is now at its lowest level in two decades and is among the lowest in Europe. In 1988 the general economic climate is more positive than it has been for many years and this will undoubtedly continue to bring considerable benefits to the agricultural sector.

While it is a bit early yet to be predicting the outturn for 1988 I believe that there is still further scope for increases in farm incomes. The further implementation of the EC quota system will probably result in some reduction in the volume of milk output. However, market buoyancy in the dairy sector is likely to lead to further significant increases in milk prices this year. It is also likely that the reductions in the volume of output in the dairy sector will be offset somewhat by improvements in other sectors such as sheep, poultry, pigs, horticulture and so on. On the inputs side, there should be a further reduction in volume, particularly feedingstuffs and fertilisers as farmers effect more economies in the usage of farm materials and services.

Deputies will be aware that in recent years in relation to agriculture, the Council and the Commission have adopted a restrictive prices policy, made increased use of co-responsibility levies, imposed restrictions on intervention availability and introduced quotas and other quantitative restrictions for various sectors. Following the February European Council meeting stabilisation mechanisms of varying types are now in place for all the major sectors. The central theme in all those measures is that full market support is now limited to specified quantities of production and support prices will be reduced, or the intervention facility will be withdrawn, when thresholds are exceeded. The European Council also decided on measures to provide the necessary impetus to advance European unity following the entry into force of Single European Act.

These decisions effectively meant the completion of the major reform of the CAP. They, along with the earlier reforms, mean that strict budget ceilings have been imposed both on sectoral spending and on the overall guarantee support expenditure. Whilst guarantee expenditure increased by an average of 8 per cent a year between 1975 and 1987, a ceiling of 74 per cent of Community GNP, growth rate will henceforth be legally binding. At the same time, a reasonable guideline figure has been agreed and the Community will for the first time for many years have a real financial basis to develop other policies many of which will impinge on the agricultural sector.

While the reforms mean that the Community support structures have been weakened, that supports are no longer available for unrestricted quantities and that the growth of agriculture expenditure will be limited to less than 2 per cent a year, the fundamental principles of the CAP have been maintained relatively intact. Many of the reform measures were unpalatable but we always accepted that reforms were necessary in order to ensure continuation of the essential features of the CAP. In the reform negotiations our primary objective has been to safeguard producer incomes and to ensure that modifications introduced were moderated and gradual. Moreover, we also proposed that alterations should be modulated in favour of the less-developed regions of the Community and that measures taken by the Community should be matched by comparable efforts by our trading partners who are also contributing to the problems.

It is reassuring that in the reforms undertaken to date the Council generally has had regard to the principles I have mentioned. For example, Ireland, Greece, Italy and Spain received special treatment in fixing the level of milk quotas or in laying down the rules by which the super-levy has been applied. Ireland also obtained special consideration under the beef premium arrangements. Smaller-scale farmers generally obtain relief under the cereals co-responsibility levies. Some further adaptations of market regimes will be considered in the coming months. I have in mind in particular the reform of the regime for sheepmeat in which product the Community is about 80 per cent self-sufficient. Much sheepmeat production is concentrated in the less-advantaged areas of the Community and imports into the Community contribute to the increasing cost of the regime by depressing prices. In our view, the Community's approach to the reform of this sector should be guided by the principles of Community preference and the commitment to cohesion both of which are enshrined in the Treaty.

Of course, the CAP cannot be viewed in isolation from the Community's other policies particularly the structural policy and the move towards the further integration of the single market by 1992. Very recently, the Council agreed Community assisted schemes for the cessation of farming and to encourage set-aside, non-intensive farming and reconversion. The Council is at present considering a proposal for payment of income aids for producers to help them adapt to the new situation. The Commission will also shortly submit proposals for rural development. The decision of the European Council to double the Structural Funds, to concentrate an increasing volume of expenditure in the less developed areas and to provide for higher Community intervention rates is of fundamental interest to farmers and rural areas generally. All of the foregoing will contribute to the restoration of balance in the market and to the development and modernisation of production units. The increased Community contribution rates will also permit member states such as Ireland to devote more resources to the development of rural areas generally.

The completion of the single market will also impact to some extent on agriculture. Notwithstanding the progress made since 1960, several barriers to trade of varying types continue to exist. Common prices in national currency terms do not apply throughout the Community. The Government will be launching its awareness campaign on 4 July. While my Department and associated bodies will supply information and advice on developments in relation to the completion of the single market it is essentially a matter for each industry to prepare its strategy for the internal market.

Looking back at developments in recent months, the introduction of the new arrangement for the bovine TB scheme was perhaps the issue that gave me most satisfaction. I was particularly pleased to be in a position to get the necessary guarantees to secure the funding of the scheme over the new four year plan and to set up the necessary structures that would allow all the parties concerned, farmers, vets and officials, to play an important part in the running of the schemes. Looking at the result of the bovine TB programme in 1989 I did feel that we were perhaps on the verge of achieving a breakthrough against the disease. I am very pleased to say that the progress discerned in 1987 has so far been maintained in this year's programme with upwards of one-third of the round completed. While it would be unwise to draw any firm conclusions about what might be achieved this year it does seem to me that all the essential ingredients for success have come together at the right time and that we can look forward to further progress under the guidance of a very active management board that have set about their task with conviction. The brucellosis situation remains good also though at the present very low levels of disease any significant outbreak constitutes an important set-back. Any complacency in the face of the disease is bound to bring about severe losses.

I am glad to be able to say that the fall in beef cow numbers has been reversed and cow slaughterings over the last 18 months have shown a significant decline. They reduced by 13 per cent in 1987 and were down 18 per cent in the first four months of 1988 as compared with the same period last year. The very good cattle and, in particular, calf prices so far this year should give further encouragement to farmers to increase the breeding herd. I have recently taken positive action in this regard as well, by extending headage payments at the higher rates of £70 and £66 to suckling cows kept by dairy farmers throughout the disadvantaged areas. I estimate that up to 12,000 farmers, as a result, will get higher grants in 1988. This improvement will make a vital contribution to increasing beef cow numbers. The increased grants being made available under the western package for the storage of slurry and silage effluent will come into operation on 1 July.

The highest level of grant permitted under the EC rules relating to the package, namely 55 per cent, will apply. In addition, young farmers who meet certain criteria in regard to the ownership of their land and who possess the necessary vocational training and skills can qualify for 25 per cent higher aid, bringing the grant in their case to almost 70 per cent.

Farmers benefiting under this scheme will not have to follow a farm plan nor keep accounts. This was something I insisted upon in my negotiations with the EC. I was determined that the red tape should be kept to the absolute minimum and that the administration of the scheme should be kept as light as possible.

A further point I insisted upon was that this aid should be available to dairy farmers regardless of their position on milk quotas.

As well as those farmers getting the aid under the western package for slurry and effluent storage, new entrants to the farm improvement scheme in the less-favoured areas will also be able to avail of this high rate of grant.

In addition to these grants for pollution control, I am also introducing on 1 July, as part of the western package, a scheme of grants at the rate of 45 per cent for animal housing and fodder storage. A farm plan and the keeping of accounts will not be required for this scheme, either. Again, however, new entrants to the farm improvement scheme in the less-favoured areas will be able to avail of the new high rates and, of course, grants for young farmers will be 25 per cent higher — in excess of 56 per cent. This scheme of aid for animal housing will meet an essential need in the less-favoured areas, where cattle are in most cases still out-wintered, but in addition it will be of great assistance in helping to preserve the environment.

Perhaps I should emphasise that the western package will now apply in all the less-favoured areas, almost two-thirds of the country. My reason for bringing the pollution control element into operation immediately, indeed in advance of other provisions, is that I am well aware that farmers in those areas are anxious to make proper provision for avoiding any risk of pollution from farm waste or effluent, and to demonstrate the importance the Government attach to pollution control.

The food industry in Ireland is one of the most important sectors in the economy accounting for 25 per cent of our total exports with a value of £3 billion per annum. The development and expansion of the sector is vital to the Programme for National Recovery and the Government intend to exploit fully the potential in the food industry for increased employment and wealth.

Abroad, Ireland is justifiably perceived as a country producing quality foods in a relatively pollution-free environment. There is no reason we should not capitalise on this image and use it to gain access to the very lucrative export outlets that exist in Britain and on the Continent. A recent seminar organised by CTT was informed that the grocery market in Britain is worth over £30 billion and that, in many instances, Irish food processors were conspicuous by their absence in seeking a share of that market. With the advent of 1992 the vast European market will become more accessible for our food manufacturers. The market opportunities exist for progressive, efficient and export-orientated companies which can produce high quality foodstuffs and can be relied upon to deliver.

Quality and hygiene are key factors which must be rigidly adhered to throughout the food chain from farm gate to consumer table. Quality pays for itself and industry must realise that money spent on quality is an investment and the feedback we are getting from our marketing agencies tells us that consumers are only too willing to pay that little extra for quality products. Hence the high prices that Irish farmers are getting for their milk and dairy products. However, there is no need for complacency on the issue of quality and hygiene and the Government are determined to maintain and enhance quality and hygiene standards throughout the food chain.

Already a number of important regulatory measures have been undertaken. For instance, the Abattorirs Act, which has now been enacted, will ensure that only meat of the highest standards will be allowed for sale on the home market. We are also in the process of updating our dairy legislation which will enhance the quality image of milk and all our dairy products. Steps have also been taken in the pigmeat area and to this end the introduction in January, 1989 of compulsory grading of pigs will greatly help to meet consumer demands for leaner meat.

The development of a modern and efficient agri-food sector is essential if we are to capitalise on our image as a clean, healthy and disease-free environment. Government strategy for the agriculture and food industry is to encourage a market-led approach to the production of value-added products with export potential and every encouragement is given to suitable firms which are prepared to undertake necessary investment. Since the Government took office, over £30 million has been awarded by the European Community FEOGA Fund to marketing and processing projects across the full range of the food industry. Indeed, in the recent June tranche of FEOGA grants, the total investments in new manufacturing projects and in the upgrading and expansion of existing plants exceed £28 million. Many more projects will be eligible for grant assistance in the December tranche and this reflects the growing confidence with which the industry views the future as a result of the successful implementation of the Government's economic policy. I am determined that we will continue to maximise the drawdown of these funds which enable the industry to provide new and modern facilities and so meet the challenge of intenational competition, especially on export markets. I am confident that Ireland has now reached a stage when not only can we compete with the best but we can beat the best on the international market.

Tá áthas orm seans a bheith agam anseo labhairt ar na Meastacháin don Ghaeltacht taobh istigh de Roinn an Taoisigh. Ba mhaith liom ar dtús a rá go bhfuil súil agam go mbeidh ar chumas an Taoisigh a bheith ar ais ag obair go luath. Ní bheidh am agam gach uile fhadhb agus gach uile dheacracht atá ag baint leis an nGaeltacht agus leis an nGaeilge a lua anseo taobh istigh de chúig nóiméad déag. Mar sin, ba mhaith liom díriú isteach ar na fadhbanna is tábhachtaí agus is práinní ó thaobh chúrsaí Gaeltachta de ar an láimh amháin agus ó thaobh chur chun cinn na teanga de ar an taobh eile. Tá a fhios ag gach uile dhuine go bhfuil deacrachtaí faoi leith ag baint le gach uile áit, ach sílim mura leagtar béim ar na deacrachtaí is tábhachtaí nach dtiocfaidh feabhas ar bith ar an scéal.

Go deimhin, sílim gurb éard atá ag teastáil ón nGaeltacht faoi láthair ná beagan níos mó glasnost agus tuilleadh perestroika agus i bhfad níos mo cothrom na Féinne. Sílim go mba cheart go mbeadh am speisialta agus am faoi leith ag an Teach anseo le cúrsaí Gaeltachta a phlé, in áit na Meastacháin seo a bheith measctha taobh istigh de Mheastacháin Roinn an Taoisigh. Ní féidir linn fadhbanna na nGaeltachtaí a réiteach i gcúig nóiméad déag, agus taispeánfaidh sé seo cé chomh hard is atá cúrsaí Gaeltachta agus na Gaeilge ar chlár an Rialtais. Tá brón orm faoin méid Gaeilge agus ceisteanna as Gaeilge a d'fhreagair an Taoiseach féin anseo mar Thaoiseach le bliain anuas. Cé gur as mo chontae féin an tAire Stáit agus go labhraíonn sé an t-am ar fad as Gaeilge, beagnach, anseo, tá a fhios ag gach uile dhuine go mbeadh sé i bhfad níos tábhachtaí dá mbeadh an Taoiseach féin ag caint as Gaeilge agus ag freagairt na gceisteanna as Gaeilge. Sílim go bhfuil géarghá le cinnireacht sna rudaí seo go léir, agus mar a dúirt mé, ba cheart go mbeadh i bhfad níos mó aird tugtha ar an nGaeilge agus ar chúrsaí Gaeltachta ag Airí Stáit, ag Teachtaí agus ag Seanadóirí agus gach uile dhuine.

Cén cruth atá ar an nGaeltacht faoi láthair? Céard iad na fadhbanna is mó atá iontu, agus cén freagra atá ag an Rialtas chun iad a réiteach nó an bhfuil freagra ar bith acu chun déileáil leo? Ar leathanach a 12 de ráiteas an Taoisigh a chualamar ar maidin dúirt sé "Is méadú cúig go leith faoin gcéad é ar lion na ndaoine a bhí fostaithe sna tionscail sin ag deireadh na bliana 1986. Mar sin tá an tUdarás agus an Ghaeltacht ag déanamh a gcuid maidir le comhlíonadh na spriocanna fostaíochta a leagadh amach sa Chlár um Théarnamh Náisiúnta."

Sílim nach bhfuil a fhios ag an Taoiseach go pearsanta céard go díreach atá ag tarlú sna Gaeltachtaí faoi láthair. Is iad fostaíocht agus forbairt eacnamaíochta na deacrachtaí is mó atá ann faoi láthair. Freisin, tá na deacrachtaí ginearálta ó thaobh fhorbairt náisiúnta na teanga de ann. Thart ar fud gach ceantar Gaeltachta freisin tá cúrsaí bóithre agus eile go huafásach ar fad. I ráiteas an Aire Stáit bhí ar a laghad a cúig nó a sé de thagairtí do ghéarchéim airgid ag baint leis na Meastacháin seo. Is dócha nach féidir leis an Rialtas fadhbanna eacnamaíochta na nGaeltachtaí a shárú gan infheistíocht sách ard a chur isteach iontu. Agus ar leathanach a 8 de ráiteas an Taoisigh ar maidin dúirt sé go bhfuil an iomarca dífhostaíochta ann, go bhfuil an iomarca ag dul ar imirce agus gur trí fheabhsú eacnamaíochta amháin gur féidir leis an staid uafásach seo a réiteach. Sin as ráiteas an Taoisigh féin ar maidin.

Is é Údarás na Gaeltachta a bhfuil an dualgas air postanna a chur ar fáil sna Gaeltachtaí, agus le cúpla bliain anuas tá a fhios ag gach uile dhuine go raibh sé ag éirí níos deacra tionsclóirí a mhealladh isteach sna háiteanna iargúlta atá i bhfad ó na bailte móra agus eile. Cuireann drochstaid na mbóithre agus drochchumarsáid go ginearálta isteach go mór ar an obair seo. Caithfear, mar sin, díriú isteach ar fhorbairt ár n-acmhainní nádúrtha ó thaobh na farraige, ó thaobh chúrsaí talmhaíochta, cúrsaí turasóir-eachta agus eile. Caithfidh mé a rá go raibh sé dochreidte go raibh ar an Aire Stáit teacht isteach anseo inné agus a rá linn nach mbeadh an tÚdarás in ann aon togra eile a mheas nó a cheadú i mbliana.

Is cuimhin liom go maith go raibh raic ar siúl ar fud na tíre cúpla bliain ó shin nuair a thug an Comhrialtas a bhí in oifig ag an am an méid céanna airgid don Údarás dhá bhliain i ndiaidh a chéile. Ach níor tharla a leithéid seo riamh. Tá sé thar a bheith dochreidte go bhfuil an Rialtas féin ag caint i gcónaí faoi postanna a chur ar fáil agus an mhuintir a choimeád sa bhaile agus ag an am céanna nach mbeidh sé ar a gcumas ag an Údarás, a bhfuil sé mar dhualgas orthu postanna a chur ar fáil, oiread agus togra amháin eile a cheadú i mbliana. Tá an Rialtas ag rá leo siúd a bheas ag dul ar imirce i mbliana nach mbeidh ach fíorbheagán postanna le fáil ag éirí as na tograí a ceadaíodh anuraidh, agus go bhfuil brón orthu, mar adéarfá, faoi. Sílim nach dtarlódh sé seo leis an gCaidreamh Forbairt Tionsclaíochta. An bhfuil an Rialtas ag rá linne dá mbeadh tionsclóir ón Tuirc toilteanach tionscal a chur ar fáil agus a bhunú áit ar bith in Eirinn go dtabharfaí cabhair agus deontais dó in áit amháin agus nach dtabharfaí cabhair nó deontas ar bith dó i gceantar Gaeltachta toisc nach mbeadh sé ar a gcumas ag an Údarás a thogra a mheas i mbliana? Dúirt an tAire Stáit freisin inné go raibh trí dhuine is fiche ag glacadh leis an scéim iomarcaíochta taobh istigh den Údarás. Cuirfidh sé seo níos mó ar oifigigh an Údaráis na tograí a mheas agus a phlé agus, ar deireadh, iad a cheadú. Mar sin, tá sé thar a bheith míshásúil agus an méid atá ag dul ar imirce faoi láthair. Deirtear linne go mbeidh ar a laghad easnamh thrí mhilliún punt ag an Údarás ag deireadh na bliana seo má leantar ar aghaidh leis an gcaiteachas mar atá sé faoi láthair. Is drochscéal é sin, mura dtabharfaí breis airgid dóibh.

Ag caint ó thaobh fhorbairt na n-acmhainní náisiúnta de tá sé fíor, mar a dúirt an tAire Stáit, go raibh agus go bhfuil an tÚdarás ina gceannródaithe ó thaobh na feirmeoireachta éisc de, agus tá togha oibre déanta ag an Údarás sa mhuir-obair seo le cúpla bliain anuas. Ach de réir tuarascáil a tháinig amach ón ESRI cúpla mí ó shin deirtear linn go mbeidh luach an tionscail seo níos mó ná £100 milliún ag deireadh 1993. Tá sé fíor-thábhachtach, mar sin, go mbeadh airgead breise tugtha don Údarás ó thaobh fhorbairt na hoibre seo. Tá níos mó ná seacht milliún punt ceadaithe do fheirmeoireacht éisc ag an Údarás go dtí seo. Is é sin, tá 80 faoin gcéad den airgead sin ceadaithe le dhá bhlain anuas. Ag éirí as na tograí atá ceadaithe le dhá bhliain anuas beidh idir £4 mhilliún agus £5 mhilliún ag teastáil ag deireadh 1990, ag éirí as tograí a ceadaíodh cheana, agus ní bheish sé ar a gcumas ag an Údarás a ndualgas a chomhlíonadh ó thaobh fheirmeoireacht éisc de, mura dtabharfaí airgead breise don Údarás, gan bacaint leis na tograí atá ag teacht isteach ag an bpointe seo agus nach féidir iad a mheas. I gcomhthéacs na gceithre mhilliún punt de ghearradh siar a bhfuil an tAire Airgeadais ag caint faoi, sílim go mbeidh trioblóid ag an Údarás as seo amach mura dtabharfar an t-airgead breise sin dóibh i mbliana agus sa chéad bhliain eile i dtreo is go mbeidh siad in ann a ndualgais a chomhlíonadh ag éirí as na tograí atá ceadaithe acu go dtí seo.

Tá sé soiléir, mar sin, go bhfuil agus go mbeidh airgead breise ag teastáil ón Údarás, agus os rud é go bhfuil an Meastachán seo taobh istigh de Roinn an Taoisigh iarraim air cinneadh dearfa a dhéanamh ar an gceist seo le go mbeidh sé ar a gcumas ag an Údarás postanna a chur ar fáil, ag éirí as tograí atá ceadaithe. Ar leathanach a 6 de ráiteas an Taoisigh, freisin, tá, sé ag caint ansin faoin fhorbairt is féidir a dhéanamh faoin obair seo ach go gcaithfear deireadh a chur le truailliú uisce ó thaobh lochanna agus aibhneacha de. Sílim go mba chóir go mbeadh i bhfad níos mo de chomhordú idir na Ranna Stáit atá ag déileáil leis na nithe seo. Tá a fhios ag an Aire Stáit féin gur ceadaíodh togra le déanaí i Loch na Fuaithe do scéim fheirmeoireacht éisc agus diúltaíodh an ceann seo cúpla bliain ó shin agus tá sé faoi láthair roimh an Bhord Pleanála. Tá a fhios at an Aire Stáit freisin go bhfuil an méid sin daoine ag baint úsáid as an uisce atá ag teacht as Loch Measc, agus tá sé sin ceangailte le Loch na Fuaithe. Tá mé an-imníoch faoi sin, agus sílim go mba chóir go mbeadh i bhfad níos mó de chomhordú idir na Ranna Stáit atá ag déileáil leis seo.

Ó thaobh Bhord na Gaeilge de, tá anobair déanta ag an mBord. Sílim go mba chóir don Taoiseach agus don Aire Stáit cinneadh a dhéanamh faoin bPlean Gníomhaíochta atá curtha os a gcomhair ag an mbord. Tá an t-am ag dul thart, agus más fíor é go bhfuil an dualgas ar an mBord an teanga a fhorbairt agus obair a dhéanamh sa chomhthéacs sin, sílim go mba chóir don Rialtas cinneadh dearfa a dhéanamh go luath faoin bPlean Gníomhaíochta ata luaite agam. Freisin, ba mhaith liom go mbeadh ráiteas iomlán curtha ar fáil ón Rialtas faoin bpolasaí atá ag an Rialtas seo faoin nGaeilge i gcoitinne. An bhfuil polasaí ar bith acu faoi dhátheangachas, nó céard atá ag tarlú sa chomhthéacs sin? Deirtear linn gur caitheadh níos mó ná £160 milliún anuraidh ar mhúineadh na Gaeilge. I rith na bliana bhí imní ar na mná faoi chúrsaí cánach.

Ag deireadh, ba maith liom trí phointe eile a lua. Ó thaobh Theilifís na Gaeltachta de, tá súil agam go ndéanfar cinneadh faoi seo go luath, agus tá súil agam freisin go mbeidh an scéim phiolóta seo oiriúnach don tír ar fad agus gan é a bheith oiriúnach do áit amháin. Tá a fhios agam go bhfuil plean curtha os comhair an Taoisigh agus os comhair na Roinne, agus tá súil agam go ndéanfaidh an tAire Stáit cinneadh dearfa faoi seo go luath freisin. Ba mhaith liom go mbeadh seans ag an Teach seo tuairimí agus Tuarascáil an Chomhchoiste don Ghaeilge a phlé. Tá Teachtaí thart anseo a bhfuil sé ar a gcumas acu an Ghaeilge a labhairt agus ba mhaith leo seans a bheith acu é sin a fhorbairt. Agus an pointe deireanach, an scéim fógraíochta atá curtha ar siúl, níl maitheas ar bith leis an Rialtas an t-airgead sin a chur ar fáil bliain amháin gan é a chur ar fáil an chéad bhliain eile. Ní bheidh sé ar a gcumas ag an gcomhchoiste a luach a mheas mura mbíonn an t-airgead ann an chéad bhliain eile.

Is mian liom ar dtus cúpla focal a rá mar gheall ar an óráid a thug an Teachta Kenny uaidh anois díreach. Tá sé soiléir ó óráid an Taoisigh agus ó óráid an Aire Stáit sa Teach seo inné go bhfuil an Ghaeilge agus an Ghaeltacht an-tábhachtach i súile an Rialtais, agus go bhfuil an Rialtas ag forbairt na Gaeltachta agus na Gaeilge. Mar a dúirt an Taoiseach in a óráid faoin fhostaíocht, is méadú 5.5 faoin gcéad a bhí ar líon na ndaoine a bhí fostaithe sa tionscal ansin ag deireadh na bliana 1986. Tá a fhios agam go bhfuil na Teachtaí tugtha do na staitisticí agus go mbeadh riméad orainn go léir dá mba rud é go raibh sé sin fíor i ngach cearn den tír. Dúirt an Teachta gur chóir go mbeadh an Roinn faoi Aire éigin eile, ach dar liomsa ní fhéadfadh sé a bheith faoi Roinn níos tábhachtaí ná Roinn an Taoisigh: taispeánann sé sin go bhfuil tábhacht faoi leith ag baint leis an Ghaeltacht agus leis an Ghaeilge Ó thaobh an Rialtais de.

Tá Comhaltaíag caint faoi imirce. Mise agus an Teachta Jim Kemmy, is dóigh liom, an bheirt sa Teach seo a raibh orainn dul ar imirce uair amháin, agus tá eolas faoi leith againn faoi. Tá polasaí ag an Rialtas seo fostaíocht a chur ar fáil agus deireadh a chur leis an imirce sin a luaithe agus is féidir. Mar a dúirt an Teachta Kenny, ceannródaithe a bhí in Údarás na Gaeltachta mar gheall ar fheirmeoireacht éisc. Tá sé fíor gur ceannródaithe i leith na Gaeilge agus na Gaeltachta Rialtais éagsúla Fhianna Fáil leis na blianta.

Since the Government assumed office last year, the two areas of economic activity covered by my portfolio — tourism and transport — have witnessed major initiatives and key policy reorientations aimed at achieving the ambitious targets for growth set out in the Programme for National Recovery. The Government's commitment to the development of the tourist industry has been placed on record on frequent occasions in this House since they assumed office in March 1987. We have selected the development of tourism as an area of top national priority, with the straightforward objective of recovering the ground lost in recent years and ensuring that this employment intensive industry realises its vast employment-generating potential. In the transport area, the emphasis has been on the development of policy and regulatory frameworks which will allow the various modes to meet the challenges and opportunities of the move towards increased liberalisation and in particular, to improve the quality and effectiveness of their contribution to the rest of the economy and to national development in general.

The year 1987, as we know, represented a milestone for the tourist industry. For the first time, total tourism revenue topped the £1 billion mark. Over 2.1 million visitors came to Ireland and total out-of-State revenue amounted to over £720 million. This represented an increase of 12 per cent and 11 per cent respectively, on the 1986 performance. The domestic market where performance in recent years had been disappointing, improved dramatically in 1987 with revenue reaching £290 million — an increase of 33 per cent on 1986. We are trying to follow that up in 1988 because it is an area that has been neglected.

Arising from this improved performance, it is estimated that 7,500 additional job equivalents have been created by the increase in tourism last year. The Government's May 1987 crash programme contributed in no small way to this growth. This is but the first step towards the realisation of the Government's objective, in the Programme for National Recovery, of doubling the number of foreign visitors, generating an additional £500 million in tourism revenue and creating an additional 25,000 jobs in tourism over the next five years.

To consolidate 1987's positive results, this year the Government set aside an additional £4 million in the budget for the implementation by Bord Fáilte of a further programme of special measures for this year's tourist season. As Deputies are aware a special tourism task force was established by Government to recommend how this additional money might best be spent. Based on the recommendations of the task force, the Government, at the beginning of March, approved a major and innovative series of measures aimed at significantly boosting tourist numbers and revenue this year. This £4 million expenditure programme is now being implemented by Bord Fáilte and will complement the Board's ongoing promotional and marketing activities. Overall, it is estimated that the 1988 campaign will result in an increase in visitor numbers of 300,000 and of tourism revenue by up to £75 million, and the creation of 4,000 new jobs.

The main thrust of the 1988 campaign is in our principal markets in the UK, continental Europe and the US. The campaign is more inclusive and targeted than heretofore. The tourist industry has responded positively to the 1988 promotion campaign and has pledged an extra £2 million to supplement the Government's efforts. This top-up from the industry demonstrates their full support for the Government's measures and their total willingness to be actively involved.

It is essential that the intensive campaign to attract more tourists to our shores is matched by a complementary tourist product development programme by the various operators in the industry. Since I announced details of the business expansion scheme as it applies to tourism, last December, Bord Fáilte have received over 2,500 inquiries and 38 applications involving potential investment of over £16 million. The interest shown in the business expansion scheme undoubtedly reflects the confidence which investors and enterpreneurs have in the future prospects of Irish tourism.

Given the encouraging signs for the first quarter of the year and the implementation of the programme of special tourism measures which I referred to earlier, we can confidently expect that the targeted increases of 300,000 in overseas visitor numbers will be achieved along with the corresponding spin-off benefits for revenue generation and employment creation. Confidence now abounds in tourism and it is our intention that this confidence should be translated into further and significant growth this year and for the years ahead.

In the field of air transport, events have been moving rapidly in the related areas of deregulation and improved access services. On 14 December 1987 the EC Council of Ministers adopted a package of liberalisation measures as a first step towards the completion of the internal market in air transport. Our strategy in these negotiations was heavily influenced by the importance of access transport fares in a tourism context. Opportunities for lower air fares and market access were seen to be of vital importance to Ireland and the measures adopted went a long way towards meeting our needs in this regard.

Furthermore, earlier this year I signed a memorandum of understanding on revised arrangements for air services between Ireland and the UK. These new arrangements in the areas of access fares and capacity sharing go far beyond the terms of the EC transport package. I pointed this out at the Council of Ministers, and pointed out that this could be a good exemplar for them for the future.

The Government's commitment to the development of Irish tourism and the liberalisation of European air transport with new opportunities for Irish air carriers necessitated a fundamental reappraisal of the objectives for Irish air transport regulatory policy earlier this year. Following this appraisal I announced new objectives for Irish aviation policy, emphasising the need to serve tourism, trade and industry interests at the lowest economic cost, the promotion of competition and the development of a soundly-based Irish air transport industry.

Consistent with these policy objectives, I have given approval to Aer Lingus, Ryanair and Club Air for the inauguration of new scheduled services on a wide range of international routes to both the UK and the Continent. Developments on the domestic front have also been significant, with new services to and from Connaught, Sligo and Galway airports being introduced. These developments reflect the importance of the region in developing the economy and particularly the tourism industry.

Following my discussions earlier this year with our air carriers, all our main markets have fares and capacity in place for the summer season and indications are that traffic in line with, and in many cases ahead of, the Government's targets for growth from the various tourist markets should be achieved this year.

Aer Lingus, I am happy to say, have responded particularly well to challenges of tourism targets and increased competition. I am expecting that further record profits of around £30 million will be earned this year, the third year in succession that record profits have been achieved. Aer Lingus management and employees are to be congratulated on this performance, which is enabling the airline to finance the initial phases of their fleet replacement plans from their own resources and without recourse to the Exchequer and without Government guarantees. The company's fleet replacement programme is on target.

So far I have concentrated on State airports, but the potential of our regional airports, too, must be developed. My Department are currently undertaking a detailed examination of the overall position of regional airports from a tourism point of view and I expect to be in a position to make an announcement on this issue shortly. Arising from Government's policies in the aviation area, a number of the regional airports, particularly those at Galway and Connaught, are booming and passenger traffic has achieved levels considerably in excess of original expectations.

In the overall access transport sector, ferry services continue to play a significant role. As recently as Tuesday of this week, I informed the House about the encouraging performance of B & I, to the effect that for the first four months of the year, the company's performance was £800,000 better than forecast under their plan of action. That plan forecasts an operating loss of £1.7 million for 1988 and a net loss, after interest charges, of £6.2 million. As the House will be aware, the Government are providing B & I with limited Exchequer support of up to £11 million for 1988 and will be reviewing the position of the company later this year. I have exhorted the board of B & I to make every effort to improve, if at all possible, on their current level of performance.

In the road transport area attention has inevitably been directed to the realisation of the single European market in 1992. The removal of all barriers to trade is the cornerstone of this concept and the transport sector has a fundamental and vital role to play in achieving this aim. We cannot have a situation whereby our goods may move freely within the Community but the means of transporting those goods are restricted by virtue of quotas or prohibitions of one type or another. Exporters are dependent on an effective and efficient road transport industry to get their goods to market. We have been working at EC level to achieve a liberalised system of road transport which would allow such free access.

I am glad to report that in fact we have reached agreement in the EC Transport Council this month for guaranteed increases in the Community quota of authorisations for multilateral haulage licences for 1988 and 1989. This should enable us to meet in full the needs of Irish hauliers who wish to exploit the European market and I hope that they will make full use of these opportunities, including the opportunities for increased employment in Ireland, now being made available to them. More significantly, from 1 January 1993 all such restrictive quotas will be abolished. Our hauliers will now be able to plan their future in this industry in terms of new market potential, fleet requirements, etc., in the knowledge that access to the market will be guaranteed.

Liberalisation has also a high priority in the domestic field. In this regard by the end of next September access to the national market will be fully opened up and potential new hauliers will only have to comply with the three EC requirements of good repute, appropriate financial standing and professional competence. These new arrangements, when finalised, will have the effect of bringing about a new professionalism and so ensure the continued development of a strong and healthy road haulage industry.

Another development which will aid our international haulage sector is the recent signature of a bilateral agreement with Yugoslavia which will facilitate access to markets in eastern Europe and the Middle East.

I dealt in some detail with CIE in my Estimates speech last week and do not propose to deal with the matter further at this stage.

The bus passenger transport sector, both national and international, is another area where there has been significant activity over the past 12 months or so. With regard to the domestic bus passenger market, a review of the operation of the Road Transport Act, 1932, which regulates the licensing of bus services, is now completed. I am satisfied that the restrictive provisions of this Act are no longer fully relevant to today's transport market. In considering policy for the future, I have had to weigh up the need to cater for the basic transport needs of the people, particularly in rural and less densely populated areas, the demands of commercial bus operators in the private sector for greater access to the market and its implications for CIE and the consequences of the EC's initiatives aimed at completion of the internal market by 1992. It is my intention to introduce new legislation in the Oireachtas later this year to provide the necessary statutory basis for a more upto-date policy for the bus passenger sector.

As regards international passenger transport, there are currently two very significant proposals for Council regulations before the Council of Transport Ministers but not very much progress has been made on that.

I believe that the real achievements in both the tourism and transport sectors which I have outlined today and in the course of introducing my Department's Estimates last week gave grounds for real optimism for the future. On a personal level, I have been particularly gratified by the enthusiasm and energy with which the industries as a whole, both the State-sponsored bodies and the private sector, have responded to the Government's initiatives, and I look forward to building on these achievements in the years ahead.

With the indulgence of the Minister for Finance we might allow Deputy Barry a minute or two over the quarter hour.

I want to draw attention to the Taoiseach's statement this morning and I join with other Deputies in the House in hoping that his recovery will be complete and speedy. It was extraordinary that the Taoiseach in an Adjournment debate devoted two paragraphs only to the North of Ireland — which really constituted a report of his meeting with the British Prime Minister in Hanover earlier this week whereas I should have thought it was one of the major concerns of any Government of this country. I am glad to see that one of those paragraphs reaffirmed our total commitment to the Anglo-Irish Agreement and that our intention is to work closely together in accordance with its terms. That is something I am very pleased about but I question whether the practice matches up to the preaching in this case. Nearly three months have elapsed between the last two meetings of the Anglo-Irish Intergovernmental Conference. Frankly, I think this is a dismal performance from the Government especially given the fact that the Taoiseach has commented so frequently and so publicly in recent times about his willingness to engage in talks with all parties involved in the pursuit of peace and stability in Northern Ireland.

Continuing and consistent meetings of the Intergovernmental Conference are essential to maintain the confidence of all groups in the mechanism of the Anglo-Irish process and to build up familiarity and trust between individuals and communities whose future is safeguarded by the agreement. Unless the Government are prepared to adopt a more robust and positive approach, unless they are willing to push for more regular meetings, then the Irish Government cannot expect to be fully cognisant of developments in each sphere of the agreement's competence, nor can they expect to be in any reasonable position to achieve real results through the agreement.

Since the change of Government last year I have consistently called for more regular meetings of the conference. I have said, and I still believe, that many of the problems earlier this year, for example, Stalker-Sampson — I will refer to that again later — the Birmingham Six, extradition, the Prevention of Terrorism Act, the McAnespie shooting, the release of Private Tain and Gibraltar could have been handled differently and certainly their impact on Anglo-Irish relations could have been less damaging had the conference been meeting. I thought the Government had learned this lesson when the Minister for Foreign Affairs announced at the conclusion of the March meeting that the next meeting would be held shortly. That "shortly" turned out to be nearly three months. I again counsel the Government and the Taoiseach against allowing lethargy and indifference to creep into this process during the summer months. In just over 12 weeks time the first complete review of the work of the Anglo-Irish Agreement will take place. It is the task of the Government to ensure the momentum for progress and achievement increases as the review date draws nearer. There can be no slackening now as we approach what will be a major hurdle for the agreement in November.

The Taoiseach has indicated on a number of occasions, most recently in Hanover earlier this week, his desire to engage in talks with the different parties in Northern Ireland. I do not believe I am alone in questioning the strength of intention behind those indications. The kind of dialogue to which the Taoiseach has referred requires all parties involved to be actively committed and to engage in the process. Public statements do not constitute dialogue. I do not believe I am alone in wanting confirmation of the substance which underlies these public statements. Has the Taoiseach formally invited either or both the Unionist leaders to meet him? If the Taoiseach sincerely wishes to achieve some real progress, he might usefully pursue a substantial dialogue with the Unionist community within the framework which recognises the timetable that is embodied in the review. Such a move would inspire some confidence in the kind of statements which the Taoiseach has been making in the past few months.

The potential for success in any of the talks which the Taoiseach may undertake over the coming months will depend on his ability to convince all parties that he has a clear, unambiguous and constructive vision of the future for all communities on this island. It is disturbing for many of us in this House that the further the Taoiseach travels from Ireland and the Irish people the more romantic is the transformation and explanation of his vision of our collective future here at home. He should know full well that consistency is essential to confidence building. Playing to knee-jerk republicanism in New York may be a useful exercise for Fianna Fáil fund-raising purposes but the stability and safety of the Anglo-Irish process should not be made to serve such partisan economic ends. Does he seriously think that the Unionist parties do not compare the soft voice here at home issuing an invitation to talks with the harsh voice used to address the party faithful in New York, laying claim as they see it to their heritage? Let the Taoiseach concentrate his efforts in convincing those of us at home, North and South, Unionists and Nationalists, that he and his party are prepared to work for a constructive future for all communities on this island.

Such a programme of action must focus on basic issues and areas where there has been little or no progress even during the past three years of the agreement's existence. The achievement of the agreement to date cannot be used as an excuse for not pursuing settlements of more complex questions. The fundamental issues which cannot be added to or deleted from the agenda, depending entirely on the political climate, must include (1) the administration of justice, (2) improving the relationship between the Nationalist community and the security forces and (3) the whole area of improving economic development in Northern Ireland and the Border areas. Those three items must be on the agenda of every meeting of the Conference.

The decision announced yesterday by the Northern Ireland Police Authority not to discipline the three senior officers of the force is another example of the need to tackle urgently the problems of confidence in the security forces as laid down in Article 7 of the agreement. A majority of one on a 16 person council could hardly be described as a vote of confidence in the three men concerned. As the Kelly report finds against officers at lower levels, does this mean that in the RUC the buck stops below the highest level? In my view the three people involved should resign.

Article 7 of the agreement provides that the conference "shall provide an opportunity to address policy issues, serious incidents and forthcoming events." Did the last meeting of the conference discuss the then forthcoming police authority report or the still to be published Kelly report? Did the Irish Government point out to the British Government the serious erosion of confidence in the security forces these incidents were causing? The implications of yesterday's decision are so serious that the Government should now hold a special meeting of the conference to point this out to the UK Government.

Fundamental to the Anglo-Irish Agreement is the question of the administration of justice in Northern Ireland and creating a social climate where there is unquestioned assurance that both communities can and will receive equal treatment before the courts. It is essential that there be an awareness of competent and close scrutiny of the operation of the courts in the framework of the agreement. For that reason the Government must ensure that the agenda continues to focus on aspects of the court system operation which can be improved.

I want again to refer to the Diplock courts. Both Governments agreed when signing the Anglo-Irish Agreement that a fundamental part of the work to be done was building confidence in the administration of justice. The Irish side felt that substituting three judges for one judge will go some of the way to achieving this aim. I do not want to go back over the whole history of this suggestion; suffice it to say it was unacceptable at that time to the British Government. However, the UK have still, after nearly three years, failed to bring forward any suggestions of their own. The Irish Government should now formally say to the UK Government that they wish to see the present one judge Diplock courts replaced by three judge courts.

On the relationship between the Nationalist community and the security forces, the Government must make strenuous efforts to redeem the Government's failure through lack of vigilance to secure a satisfactory outcome to the Stalker-Sampson affair by ensuring that the response of the RUC to the Kelly report allows not only that justice is done but is unquestionably seen to be done. This is so important for confidence in the security forces in the North that a separate meeting of the conference should now be called for by the Government.

I believe a new perspective is involved in Anglo-Irish affairs. The question of devolved Government in Northern Ireland has received consideration from all parties, not all of it unfavourable. However, openness at the notion of a devolved structure is only the beginning and must be used as a stepping up point for discussion as to what kind of structure would be acceptable to all parties who would have to participate in the working of a devolved Government. If the Taoiseach is sincere in his stated desire to engage in dialogue with the Unionist community in the North, this would seem to be the most practical base on which to commence. Many matters will have to be dealt with before the conditions for devolved power are in place and the workload would provide incontrovertible evidence of the real substance of the Taoiseach's commitment to the dialogue, to progress and to peace in Northern Ireland, a peace that should be shared equally between all the citizens of the North.

An tAire Airgead anois chun deire a chur leis an díospóireacht.

The Minister for the Environment in opening the debate this morning described in some detail the substantial progress which we have made since last year's budget in putting the economy back on the path to growth. I do not propose to go over the ground again. However, I would like to underscore some key points in the light of the issues raised in the subsequent debate. At the outset I would like to place all the comments, suggestions and criticisms we have heard in this debate in their proper context.

The Government's economic and social policy in the 15 months or so in which we have been in office has had one central objective: to create a solid foundation for sustainable economic growth over the years ahead. Experience in recent years has shown that real economic progress depends vitally on a restoration of confidence both at home and abroad in Ireland's determination to resolve its problems and to move forward. That determination was shown throughout 1987. A firm grip was imposed on the budget. Difficult decisions were taken and implemented. We faced a situation where the Exchequer Borrowing Requirement at over 13 per cent of GNP in 1986 was clearly unsustainable. We took firm and decisive action to reduce Exchequer borrowing by 3 percentage points of GNP in 1987.

As the Minister for the Environment pointed out, last year was, in many important respects, the best year for the economy in many years. This year we are building on the progress achieved in 1987. The January budget set equally ambitious targets for 1988. These envisage a further reduction in the Exchequer borrowing requirement by 2 percentage points of GNP. These targets, I am confident, will be met once again. Exchequer returns to date indicate that we are well on the way to meeting our objectives for this year.

Our actions over the last 15 months are already meeting with some success. I am confident that, despite the continued tight budgetary policy, 1988 will see a continuation of growth. The early indicators of economic developments in 1988 support this view:

—Exports have continued to perform well; volumes in the year to date are 12 per cent up on 1987 and, encouragingly, the growth is again broadly based.

—On the domestic front, the limited evidence available supports our view of prospects at the time of the budget. We expressed the view then that the potential could exist for some modest rise in consumer expenditure in 1988. The volume of retail sales in the first four months is up slightly on the corresponsing period of 1987. Car registrations to April show a rise of 8 per cent on the first four months of last year. The signs for business investment too are pointing in the right direction.

—Manufacturing production in the first quarter of 1988 showed growth of 19 per cent compared with the same period last year.

—Inflation has continued to moderate. In the year to May last the rise in consumer prices was only 1.8 per cent, the lowest rate for a quarter of a century. Indeed, there is a good prospect that inflation could be lower than the 2 per cent we expected at budget time.

—Registered unemployment has declined by just over 10,000 in the year to the end of May.

The early, but necessarily limited, evidence on the economy's performance this year is, therefore, fairly encouraging. While there is a long way to go yet, I remain hopeful that real GNP will show positive growth in 1988. Taken together with the advance in 1987, this would mean that growth over the two years will have been significantly stronger than in any two successive years of the decade so far.

I would like to turn briefly to a subject which has attracted much comment in recent weeks — the possible future trend of interest rates. I want to say, first of all, that the dramatic fall in interest rates since the last year's budget is a clear indication of market confidence in the Government's realistic fiscal stance. Since March last year, the prime overdraft rate of the Associated Banks has fallen by up to 6 percentage points to 8 per cent, its lowest level in over a decade and is now 2½ percentage points below the equivalent UK rate. The recent upward pressure on interest rates internationally is of concern because interest rates in Ireland are influenced by the international trend of interest rates as well as by domestic economic conditions.

I am hopeful that international interest rates will now settle before eventually moving lower. In such circumstances I would be confident that a continuation of our present economic policy, particularly our fiscal policy, will be sufficient to at least keep Irish interest rates at their existing levels.

I have kept in close touch with the debate in the House and I want now to reply to some points raised by Deputies throughout the day.

I cannot understand how Deputy Dukes could claim that most of the credit for the improvement in the EBR is due to the last Government. Everybody knows that when that Government left office there was a crisis in the public finances. At the end of 1986 the EBR, as a percentage of GNP of 13.2 was higher than at the end of 1983 when it was 13 per cent.

It was 10 per cent down——

What the present Government have achieved, mainly as a result of resolute action in reducing public expenditure, is a dramatic turnaround in the situation. The 1987 and 1988 budgets taken together provide for a reduction in Exchequer borrowing of no less than five percentage points of GNP. Nobody can deny the fact that the progress made has had a profound impact in restoring confidence and helping to create the right conditions for investment and growth.

The Exchequer returns for the first six months of the year will be available tomorrow. They will show clearly that the 1988 budget is being implemented satisfactorily. There are encouraging trends in both revenue and expenditure. While final figures are not yet available, they are likely to show that Exchequer borrowing, as a percentage of the annual budget target, will this year be significantly down on figures in recent years. This is a reflection of the extent to which the public finances have been brought under control. As regards the year as a whole the indications are that, if these trends continue, the outturn for Exchequer borrowing will not only be achieved but will be inside the budget target for the second year in succession. This is a welcome change from the problems of large overruns and missed targets of earlier years.

Part of the higher than expected revenue yield this year derives from the measures taken in the budget to improve collection and assessment of taxes. The incentive scheme to settle arrears of tax appears to be playing a significant role in bringing in revenue. It is gratifying that this scheme is achieving its objective. By its nature, of course, the scheme is available only up to end September and we cannot look to a similar boost to our revenue in 1989. Some of the other measures will have continuing effect in future years and, as well as bringing in some welcome additional revenue, will help to ensure a fairer and more efficient taxation system.

The excellent results from the budgetary adjustments already made should encourage everybody to stick to the task. Despite the encouraging trends to which I referred, there is no escaping the fact that sizeable adjustments will continue to be needed in 1989. The Government are determined to complete the process on which we have embarked, so as to free resources for job creation and generally to give more room for manoeuvre in tackling the underlying problems of the economy.

One of these problems is the excessive burden of taxation — especially income tax. The income tax burden continues despite the reductions we were able to make this year — reductions which Opposition Deputies have sought to play down but which we must all agree, if we are being honest with ourselves, would have been way out of reach 12 months ago. We are determined to secure further relief for income tax payers as soon as possible. The way to do this is to continue to reduce excessive public expenditure, which is the mirror image of excessive taxation. Only in this way can we secure a lasting reduction in the tax burden. We must also use every opportunity to streamline the tax system, make it more equitable and make it more encouraging of job creation, on the lines of the major changes we have made this year in company taxation.

According to Deputy Dukes Fine Gael tax policy is revenue neutral — I am glad to hear this. The fact remains, however, that his party have failed to spell out clearly how they would raise the money needed to finance the tax reductions they have advanced. In relation to taxation, what the Opposition are talking about amounts to a redistribution of taxation. This Government, on the other hand, want to be in a position where, in line with the improvement in the public finances, we can actually lower taxation.

A number of Deputies suggested that the Government have not been doing enough in relation to 1992 and the completion of the EC internal market. I cannot accept this. The steps the Government have taken since coming into office were fully set out by the Minister for the Environment in opening this debate this morning. There is no need for one to repeat them. The awareness campaign which the Taoiseach will launch next week will see our preparations move on to a new level. I do not agree with Deputy Dukes that this launch will be a cosmetic exercise. It will be the start of a comprehensive and co-ordinated campaign in both the public and the private sectors to ensure that all who will be affected by the internal market will know what the implications are and be prepared to meet them.

Deputy O'Malley called for a White Paper on the cost and benefits of the completion of the internal market and said that the budgetary implications should be made clear. The Government have not ruled out the possibility of publishing a White Paper. It is difficult to determine when it would be most appropriate to publish one. There is an ongoing stream of new proposals emerging from the Commission as well as earlier proposals being adapted in discussions. There is not just one settled range of measures to be implemented. The general principles may be clear but the detailed measures are evolving over time.

The overall budgetary implications of the internal market are very difficult to predict. They will depend on how well Ireland responds to the challenges and opportunities which it presents. The most immediate budgetary implication is, of course, that arising from the indirect tax harmonisation proposals. If accepted in their present form, these would involve a minimum revenue loss of £470 million in the first year and £350 million a year thereafter. This assumes the application of the higher end of the range of VAT rates allowed under the Commission proposal, including applying them to the items currently zero rated.

I would like to refer to Deputy Dukes' comments this morning in relation to the decision of the police authority for Northern Ireland, which was announced yesterday. The Government's disappointment was expressed in our statement yesterday evening. We have consistently expressed our deep concern about what is now referred to as the Stalker-Sampson affair. This concern was confirmed by yesterday's statement by the police authority, and, in particular, by its conclusion by a majority of one that it was not necessary to appoint an investigating officer to inquire further into Mr. Sampson's observations. The Government have instructed that our concern in this matter be conveyed to the British authorities.

I would like to refer to employment, if I have a few minutes because it is not easy to reply to all the points that have been made but several Deputies raised the issue of unemployment and emigration. The Government are deeply concerned about those problems and their alleviation is one of the main aims of the Programme for National Recovery. The sharp fall in unemployment of 10,000 in the year to end May is not simply the result of emigration.

Prospects for employment in the private sector of the economy are improving. This is the view of the OECD as expressed in its most recent assessment of the Irish economy. The latest indications are that the capacity of the economy to create jobs in private sector services, which account for over one third of total non-agricultural employment, is greater than had previously been estimated. This year we expect continued strong employment growth in this sector, particularly in tourism.

As regards manufacturing employment, the output figures for the manufacturing sector for the first quarter of this year show an increase of just over 19 per cent on the comparable period of 1987. The increases are widely spread. This points to an improved outlook for employment in the more labour intensive industries. At the end of May, in the joint Government-ICTU statement on job creation developments under the Programme for National Recovery, it was announced that the three job creation agencies were satisfied that approximately 20,000 extra jobs would be created this year and over 4,000 first time jobs had already been created in the first quarter of 1988. The statement also gave details of the progress made in the various sectors of the economy since the Government came into office and of what was expected for 1988. Of special note among these was the achievement of additional employment equivalent to almost 7,500 work years in tourism in 1987 with a similar level of job creation expected from this sector in 1988.

I can, therefore, say that, not only are the policies pursued by this Government since they came into office creating an environment for sustainable growth, but also that there has been a quickening of actual job creation in the private sector. These developments should result in overall positive employment growth in 1988.

As to the trend in net emigration, the latest figures relate to mid-April 1987 and show a net emigration figure of 27,000. There is no firm information so far on trends since that date.

We all hope the continuing progress being made and the results of the policies being pursued by the Government will slow down emigration and lower the unemployment figure. I was listening to the debate and heard almost all speakers criticise the Government for lost opportunities, for not doing this, that or the other, and in the next breath saying their parties were responsible for the progress that has been made over the last 18 months, contradictions we have become used to.

That is what Fianna Fáil used to say.

One of the things I found very amusing was mentioned by Deputy Desmond. He spoke about the fact that we had placed so much emphasis on the word "confidence". I want to tell the Deputy and all concerned that we are proud, as a party and as a Government, to have restored confidence among the Irish people in their ability to overcome their problems.

Let us realise what confidence does. Confidence creates investment, investment means jobs, means a reduction in unemployment, a reduction in emigration, means that progress and prosperity will return once again and, above all, means that there will be savings on Government expenditure, which will lead to a reduction in the huge national debt we inherited when we returned to office 15 months ago, on which we are making massive progress in the area of stabilisation and eventually of reducing the figure.

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