Before the debate adjourned I was making the point that the Minister of State, Deputy Kirk, made a statement to the effect that the Minister for Finance said in this year's Budget Statement that the inflation rate by the end of the year would supposedly be down to 2.5 per cent. We can all remember the Minister's Budget Statement last year when he said the mortgage interest rates would be down quite substantially. The headings in all this evening's papers are to the effect that interest rates have increased by another 1 per cent. Since last year's budget, therefore, the increase in interest rates has been of the magnitude of 5 per cent.
The Minister of State also talked about unemployment figures in County Louth. I cannot say I am an expert on what is happening in County Louth, but the figures he gave for 1987 and 1989 are interesting. Unemployment figures decreased by 1,000, but I did not hear the Minister mention anything about emigration, which is the main reason for the drop in unemployment in County Louth. Most of the young people in the constituency are not finding work there but in London, New York and elsewhere.
The budget was a non-event as far as most people were concerned. It had a little bit for everyone. The Government and the Minister for Finance had a great opportunity which they did not take. They could have used a Fianna Fáil slogan, "The Way Forward". The opportunity for that sort of declaration was immense. Unfortunately, the Minister decided to play safe and introduce a very static budget with no great vision. It was very unlike his recent speech in Kanturk, the Kanturk Declaration, where his vision for the next couple of years seemed very far-reaching, in line with his other aspirations which have nothing to do with the financial position.
I do not intend to be negative about the budget. There are some positive points, like the increase in weekly welfare payments, concern for the welfare of emigrants abroad, the new carer's allowance, the expansion of the social employment scheme, the increase in third level intake and changes in indirect taxation, VAT and excise duties. I will deal more specifically with these points later.
The Minister in his budget speech made no reference to interest rates, which affect the vast majority of our population. This budget is linked very much to current interest rates. Unfortunately events in Eastern Europe have not been taken into consideration and I foresee an increase in interest rates in the next few months. An increase has already taken place today, regardless of events in Eastern Europe. German economic union is being pursued at a great pace and when eventually the East German mark is withdrawn and the Deutsche Mark is the currency for both Germanys, that will have a great effect on the EMS, which will result in increased interest rates. Not only will housebuyers, farmers and business people suffer but the general thrust of this budget will be greatly affected. Our still very high national debt will be increased, putting a great strain on the economy.
We need buoyancy in the market place and a return to full mortgage interest relief would have helped enormously. The housing market was booming this time last year and in his 1988 budget speech the Minister stated that interest rates would not increase; in fact, there has been an increase of five percentage points during the past 12 months. The cost of an average mortgage has increased by £100 per month, which is very tough for a young couple or anyone who is finding it difficult to make ends meet. If such increases occur again this year the effect will be disastrous. The buoyancy which has been experienced in the market place during the past 12 or 18 months has disappeared and the market is now static.
It was with some amazement that I listened to the Minister's shoddy reference to agriculture. We are all aware of the importance of agriculture in our economy. It is still the backbone of rural areas and when the agriculture sector is going well all the service industries in rural Ireland experience growth. Every Deputy would agree with this. It is amazing that the Minister devoted about three lines of his budget speech to the agricultural industry.
During the last election campaign Fianna Fáil promised that the income limit for headage payments would be abolished and that extra areas would be included in the disadvantaged areas scheme. This has not happened as yet. The Minister of State, Deputy Kirk, stated that it would happen soon. As a first time Deputy I am beginning to realise that "soon" can mean anything. I always thought it would be a matter of days or weeks but in this context it could be years. I hope I am incorrect and that "soon" will be before Easter.
I come from a constituency which is already included in the disadvantaged areas. People outside these areas think that all their Christmases will come together if their areas are included in the scheme, but many anomalies exist. The income limit for headage payments is having a harsh effect on a number of farmers, and I appeal to the Government to fulfil their election promise. Double headage payments were also promised but this has not been implemented. Farmers in the disadvantaged areas are certainly entitled to double headage payments and there would be no great cost to the Exchequer.
Problems have been experienced because of the undue delay in the payment of headage grants. For the first time since the scheme was introduced payments were made before Christmas but they amounted to only 70 per cent of the amount due and farmers are still awaiting the balance. These payments relate to 1988 and they have not yet started to receive the 1989 payments. It is ludicrous that payments are almost two years behind.
I am glad to hear that the Minister for Agriculture and Food is recuperating well and I hope that he will be back in the House in the near future in good health. In his absence, I call on the Government to make the outstanding payments within the next couple of weeks.
The inordinate delay in the payment of reactor grants is also causing much hardship in my area and elsewhere. People whose herds have been locked up have to wait between six and ten months for reactor grants. This can only be described as disgraceful. If these people are full-time farmers they have no other income and they and their families are put in a very difficult financial position. There is no excuse for such a long delay and I call on the Government to rectify this problem as a matter of urgency.
I do not want to deal at length with the health problems; they were dealt with quite adequately in the Dáil over the last couple of weeks. All of us have listened to the various health problems regarding the waiting lists for hip replacements, eye tests, the dental service, angiograms and such matters. I am in the presence of an Independent Deputy for Roscommon and unfortunately all constituencies cannot have somebody of the calibre of Deputy Foxe who can get extra money for health facilities. I would call on the Minister to immediately review the health service. If he can sort out the problems in Roscommon I see no reason why he cannot sort them out in the rest of Ireland.
Social Welfare is another area in which there are a lot of anomalies. There was no mention in the budget speech of any measure to correct these anomalies. As I said at the outset of my speech, I welcome the increase in the carer's allowance; it is very worthwhile. An anomaly which exists, especially in rural Ireland, is that people who are entitled to a carer's allowance find it very difficult to be accepted by the Department of Social Welfare. Many Deputies are aware of the position whereby elderly people who are living at home — maybe a husband and wife — in a small farmhouse need full-time care and attention but fortunately due to the fact that they have some property in their name, anyone looking after them is not entitled to a carer's allowance. This is an anomaly which should be corrected. The problem does not arise in urban areas but it certainly arises in rural Ireland and is victimising the rural community.
Another problem arises in regard to people on unemployment assistance. They are assessed by the Department of Social Welfare and the assessment takes into consideration the price of cattle in 1987-88 which was very high at that time. We are all quite aware of the drop in cattle prices over the last 12 to 18 months. It is totally unfair to assess people on the basis of a price for cattle which they are not receiving. The experience in my constituency is that many people who are genuinely entitled to unemployment assistance have been cut off because the Department of Social Welfare have not, in line with the decrease in cattle prices, decreased the level for assessment. This is very unfair and is something which the Minister for Social Welfare should consider.
I would like to deal with the problem of local authority housing. I will take my constituency of Sligo-Leitrim as an example. In County Leitrim in 1989, 28 house building projects were started and in 1990, 12 are being started, a decrease of 16. This does not seem a very large figure, but, a survey carried out by our local authority revealed that 337 people were in need of housing, 219 of whom were in need of acute housing accommodation. I must admire Leitrim County Council on the responsible approach they have taken to this matter. They have sent an application to the Department of the Environment for 52 housing units for this year: 18 rural houses, two family-type houses and 32 OPDs. I do not see great scope for the Minister for the Environment to provide for this amount of housing for County Leitrim because the housing allocation has not been increased dramatically. Unfortunately, I would envisage a decline in the number of houses to be built. In the long term this will cause unnecessary hassle and hardship for many people who cannot get local authority housing.
Last year in the Sligo Corporation area six houses were built. Since 1987 Sligo Corporation have been awaiting sanction from the Department of the Environment for a 100-house scheme for Magheraboy, phase 2. There is a big problem in this area. In 1988 and 1989 Sligo County Council built 24 houses and in 1990 they hope to build 16 family-type houses and ten rural houses, a total of 26 houses. As only 24 houses were built in the last two years, obviously, as far as the Department of the Environment are concerned, to build 26 in one year would be a dramatic increase. As I stated previously, there will be a major housing difficulty throughout Ireland in the not too distant future if we do not tackle the problem now.
I would like to deal with tourism. The Minister, in his budget speech, stated that he was "increasing the provision for Bord Fáilte promotional activities by £2 million, conditional on matching funds from the industry". I am not sure if the Minister is aware — and I would like to make him so aware — of a recent report about Bord Fáilte and their recent promotional tour of the USA. The chairman of Bord Fáilte stated that the promotional tour was tough work and that they were up against enormous competition, with 42 other countries also promoting tourism in their countries for the US market. Unfortunately, due to the large size of the USA, Bord Fáilte found that their promotional tour lacked the necessary amount of money needed in order to carry out proper promotional policy.
With the withdrawal of Pan Am from Shannon, as I have stated in the House before, there will be a reduction of 45,000 seats coming into the country next year. It is not good enough to take up the slack; we need to increase that number. The Government's projected growth in tourism from the US market is 100,000 for this year. Taking into account the promotional difficulties and the withdrawal of Pan Am from Shannon, at this early stage of the year — and I do not want to be pessimistic — it seems to be very difficult——