It is appropriate to comment this afternoon, when I face so many empty benches, on the way the Government have tried to govern the country over the past six to eight months. They have failed dismally; they have not governed. The budget is the yardstick on which the economy will be assessed over the next 12 months.
The leadership battle for control of Fianna Fáil starts at 3 o'clock. The budget shows that more thought was given to the leadership of Fianna Fáil than to the leadership the people need. The budget is neutral. The new Minister for Finance has a safe pair of hands and he kicked for touch at every opportunity he got. However, this country needs a far seeing and strong budget. This country needed leadership but the budget failed dismally to provide it.
I remember speaking in the House on last year's budget. I honestly do not know what school of economics was attended by the former Minister for Finance, Deputy Albert Reynolds — probably we will find that out in the next month or so — and I certainly do not know what school of economics the present Minister for Finance, Deputy Bertie Ahern, went to, but it is obvious that the two men did not go to the same school. The economic vision has changed drastically during the past 12 months from what the Government were hoping to do last year compared to what is hoped for this year. Such shoddiness in economic and budgetary development can only mean that the Government have not been aiming for a co-ordinated and far-reaching approach for the betterment of this country.
Last year the former Minister for Finance gave much emphasis to economic growth. Despite there being several experts in the House, the former Minister for Finance came into the House last year and arrogantly stated that there would be economic growth of 3 per cent to 4 per cent, that the economy would develop as a result and that jobs would be created. We all know that the economy grew at about 0.5 per cent, that the number of jobs decreased rather than increased and that we now have 270,000 unemployed.
If two Ministers for Finance from the same party cannot agree on a projection for the way forward economically then it is time for them to put the mandate to the people so that real leaders might be elected. The people need a Government that will tell them clearly where the country is to be led through the next three, four or five years rather than a Government that tries to lead the country one day at a time, which has disastrous consequences. For example, the Programme for Economic and Social Progress was negotiated last year and it was then left for the new Minister for Finance to try to cobble together a new deal with the unions in order to prevent complete economic betrayal on the streets. A deal had to be struck that would encourage all public service union members to stay at work rather than go out to protest against the Government's intention to break a promise they made last year based on budgetary figures. This year's budget gives no incentive for the creation of new jobs, which is the major need in our country. The Minister, Deputy Ahern has made a promise to the public service unions pertaining to next year and up to 1994 that he will uphold the Programme for Economic and Social Progress promises made last year, which means that extremely harsh economic decisions will need to be taken in the next 12 months. The Minister has failed to face that reality in the budget.
I have no doubt that the Government will fail to increase the number of jobs. I do not mean to be pessimistic but the budgetary strategy for the next 12 months gives no guidance for an increase in the number of jobs. The garage industry provides a good example. In the budget the Minister for Finance decided to reduce excise duties on new car sales; that was a laudable decision and one that was needed. However, many garages have new cars in stock that they purchased before the announcement in the budget and the Minister is not willing to forego the excise duty on those cars retrospectively. There were more than 1,000 job losses in the garage industry last year, and if the Minister is not willing to show any leniency towards garages in retrospectively foregoing excise duty on the cars to which I have referred then more job losses will occur. That would certainly be a bad way to start the year.
The Minister stated in the budget that he would increase the price of a packet of cigarettes by 16 pence. The reason given for that was that he had the health of the Irish people foremost in his mind. I am not a smoker and I have never smoked, but I find that statement rather ironic in that three or four pages further on in the Minister's budget speech he announced his decision to put a 21 per cent VAT charge on commercial bodies providing exercise facilities such as gymnasiums. All of the Health Bureau's advertisements tell us that exercise is very important, so it is obvious that it was certainly not consideration for people's health that was behind the increase in the price of cigarettes. That move was just another attempt to increase the take of the central coffers. Small inconsistencies such as the one to which I have just referred show that the Government put no great thought or plan into their budget strategy. It was a retrograde step for the Minister to put a 21 per cent VAT charge on commercial sports enterprises. Those bodies give a service that is provided by the State in most other European countries. In this country it is private enterprise that provides such facilities and we have new hotels equipped with excellent gymnasiums, swimming pools and leisure centres. The State has failed to provide any of those facilities, but now private enterprise is about to be taxed on the provision of such facilities. That is not giving the private sector an incentive to create employment. Many Government Ministers state that the opportunity for employment in the tourist industry is incredible — apparently the potential for job creation could be compared to a bottomless well if we were to believe all of the statements made by different Government members — yet here the Government are about to put a 21 per cent VAT charge on one part of the tourist industry that has been successful in creating jobs. The increased charge is an incredible hike, it will add more than one-fifth to the price for people using the facilities.
I come from County Leitrim, which is a part of the country, along with surrounding areas, that has suffered greatly from lack of economic planning. In Arigna, which borders Roscommon, Sligo and Leitrim, there has been an ongoing struggle to try to save mining jobs. More than 250 people were employed in the mining industry in that part of the country when the ESB decided that it was no longer economically viable to provide a power station at Arigna. In fairness to the Minister for Energy, I should point out that he did commission an independent report to determine whether coal could be produced in Arigna and then brought to the power station so that electricity could be produced at an economic level. Several coal merchants in the area have stated that they can provide coal at a very much reduced price. The Minister was given a copy of the report on 7 January but, unfortunately, we have not yet heard what the report states.
I take the opportunity to ask the Minister for Energy to make this report public. The people in the Arigna catchment area are awaiting it with bated breath. Their jobs are on the line. I hope the report will be positive and that mining can continue in the Arigna area of Leitrim and Roscommon and that the Arigna power station will be kept open.
There have been many initiatives over the last couple of months by various organisations in the west. For instance, the western alliance of Catholic Bishops called a number of meetings in the west to try to co-ordinate efforts by people who are extremely concerned about the appalling lack of economic planning in the region. They are trying to save the west of Ireland as an entity. This gives the Government an opportunity to co-ordinate efforts by the interested groups in developing a positive policy for the west. As the next Taoiseach will probably be a namesake of mine — he is probably the only Reynolds who will ever become Taoiseach — and as he comes from Roscommon, I hope he will appoint a Minister with responsibility for western development.
In this budget the Minister, and his civil servants, seem to indicate that everyone involved in business is dishonest. Because of the major business scandals in Greencore and the Goodman group of companies a number of initiatives have been taken which will hinder the growth and development of small and medium size businesses. Business people have not been given any incentives to create employment. We should be trying to provide more jobs through small and medium enterprises. With a proper economic climate they would create jobs. The Minister seems to have the idea that most people involved in business are on the make. It is sad if that is the perception we have of business people. The Progressive Democrats have always preached the gospel of free enterprise, that business people have a major role to play and I am surprised they would allow that sort of message go out after the budget. It will have far reaching consequences on job creation and on initiatives in business.
With regard to housing, a number of speakers referred to the fact that the rate support grant to local authorities was the same this year as last year, which in real terms represents a cut of 3 per cent. The increase of 20 per cent in motor tax was a soft option taken by the Government.
There have been many complaints about the condition of our roads. The Minister has not made much money available for our roads programmes and this will have dire consequences for our economy. Transport costs will increase and this will have a knock-on effect on employment. When we seek EC money we make the case that we are on the periphery of Europe and that our transport costs are higher than those of the countries in mainland Europe. That argument will be strengthened by the advent of the Channel Tunnel. At meetings of Heads of State we made that case to try to win special concessions, but the Government are imposing a major increase in transport costs. There is not any economic sense in that. If our transport costs are higher our exports will be more expensive. I do not know what line of economic vision the Minister is using. Having studied economics, I know it is neither micro nor macro economics. It must be the philosophy of the Ahern school of economics. The increases will make transport more expensive and cost jobs. This further increase in costs will hinder the development of industry.
The Government have a poor record on housing. There is not any good news in the budget in the form of extra money for housing which is badly needed. The situation in Dublin is deplorable but it is bad also in Sligo and Leitrim, the two counties I represent. Money has not been provided in the budget to enable local authorities build more houses.
I did not intend to be totally negative about the budget. There are a number of aspects of it I welcome, for instance the reduction in the income tax rates which is a step in the right direction. However, it did not give us any economic hope for the future.