While the US economy has slowed down over recent months, it is not clear at this stage how severe or protracted the slowdown will prove to be. Obviously a very sharp and prolonged slowdown could have significant effects on Ireland, particularly if it substantially reduced the inflow of foreign direct investment.
Nevertheless, there are a range of factors at work which would help to ameliorate the effects of any slowdown in the US economy. These include the following.
Economic conditions within the EU are, in contrast to the US, improving. Since this is the main market for the output of US owned companies in Ireland, they are somewhat less likely to be affected by any slowdown than those in the US. Much of the recent foreign investment into Ireland from the US have been strategic investments designed to operate under new management structures which achieve better efficiencies and margins than their US plants. Such operations would probably be one of the least likely to experience job cuts. Several major US companies which have made such investments in Ireland in recent years have recently made clear their intention to continue to grow their Irish operations despite a weakening in general market conditions. Most of the recent weakness in the US economy has been confined to the IT sector. While this is important to Ireland, it is by no means the only significant sector in terms of US owned investment in Ireland.