The accurate projection of the supply and demand for teachers required at primary level is dependent on a range of factors.
The demand for teachers is affected by the number of teaching posts created by the Government; demand for substitute teachers; the number of teachers opting to take career breaks and job-share; the age at which teachers opt to retire on a voluntary basis and a number of secondments approved.
Since taking office this Government has increased demand for teachers generally by creating an extra 1,875 posts to reduce the pupil-teacher ratio and increase support for children with a disability or disadvantage. Under the terms of the Programme for Prosperity and Fairness this Government has approved the allocation of a further nine hundred posts to be allocated during the lifetime of the programme. The allocation of these posts will create further demand for teaching posts. In addition, the allocation of resource posts on the basis of need will increase the demand in the next five years.
This Government, in the current school year, has implemented a new scheme to enable teaching principals be released from their teaching duties for a certain number of days annually to undertake administrative, leadership and management functions. The introduction of this scheme and the provision of substitute cover to cover for principals availing of the release time has increased the demand for substitute teachers.
Teachers are appointed by boards of management of the individual schools and the boards are responsible for approving career breaks, job-sharing and secondments. Accordingly, the decision of boards to either grant or refuse an application for leave of absence under these schemes will ultimately affect the demand for teachers.
While the demand for the number of teachers has increased arising from the introduction of initiatives to reduce the PTR and allocate additional posts to deal with disadvantage and disabilities, this Government has boosted substantially the supply of trained primary teachers to deal with the additional demand. The intake to the colleges of education for primary teaching in the 1999-2000 academic year was 1,283. This compares with an intake of 500 in 1996-97.