I thank my colleague, Deputy Hogan, for sharing time. The budget speech by the Minister for Finance, Deputy McCreevy, highlighted six U-turns he has taken on last year's budget. There has been a complete turn around in policy. He gave numerous commitments not to borrow for the budget, yet he borrowed, begged and stole from every source he could in order to make up the accounts for this year's budget. In last year's budget he reduced VAT by 1%. This year he increased it by 2%. Last year he gave a commitment not to increase the price of low sulphur diesel. He increased it by 5p a litre this year. Last year he introduced several measures to deal with inflation. This year he introduced inflationary measures which will cause huge problems in the first half of next year. The employers PRSI reduction is a turn around on the policy he implemented last year. Interest relief on rented residential property and stamp duty rates for investors is a turn around in policy and is, I am sure, extremely embarrassing for the Minister for the Environment and Local Government who made numerous solo runs on the issue.
I will focus on each of these six U-turns by the Minister yesterday. The first relates to his no borrowing commitment. Everybody on both sides of the House would agree that the 1977 budget was disastrous for the economy and the country as a whole. It took us 15 years to rectify the mess which followed. The Minister, Deputy McCreevy, has now introduced another 1977-style budget to buy votes for the general election. The sole purpose of yesterday's budget was to buy as many votes as possible in order that the Government can go back into power after the next general election, and to hell with the economy.
The Minister proudly announced that his budget shows an Exchequer surplus of 170 million. This surplus is a three-card trick. He robbed 635 million from the social insurance kitty and cashed in on the once-off benefits from the Central Bank to get another 610 million, money which belongs to the general public. The Minister is using this money, which people have not put into circulation and which may be lying around the place in certain quarters, for his budget. This money belongs to the ordinary Joe Soap in the street. If it is ever returned to the Central Bank, the bank will cough up but, at the end of the day, the Exchequer will have to repay those moneys again to the Central Bank to redeem outstanding payments.
The capital services redemption fund has generously given up another 500 million. When we exclude the Minister's accounting tricks, his Exchequer surplus of 170 million becomes a deficit of 1.6 billion this year. When the advanced payment of corporation tax is included, this brings the deficit to 2.4 billion, rising to 3 billion next year.
Where will the money come from for next year? Typical of his past actions, we see from the introduction of reduced betting tax that the Minister is again gambling with the economy. This time it has serious repercussions for the future growth and development of the economy. The 3% reduction in betting tax will not assist the Minister to save us from the downturn he is now forcing on the economy or from the increase in next year's budget deficit. The Minister is like a Santa Claus who gives every child a gift at Christmas but looks for it back in the new year. While some sectors will benefit this year they will have to pay for it with interest in the not too distant future.
What is the real net value of the increase in VAT of 2%, and the increase in the price of petrol and diesel of 5p and 6.8p per litre, respectively? In euro, this translates into a 26.5 cent increase in a gallon of petrol and a 36.5 cent increase in a gallon of low-sulphur diesel. The money the Minister is giving out, both in social welfare payments and tax reductions, will be clawed back through the 2% increase in VAT and through the increase in excise duties on petrol and cigarettes.
The VAT rate is actually being increased by 2%, not 1% as the Minister stated here yesterday. This will claw back much of the benefit of the budget. That 2% is made up of the 1% announced yesterday and 1% which, as the Minister claimed in the House yesterday, was not passed on to the consumer last year. Even though VAT was reduced by 1% last year, the fact that it was not passed on to the consumer means that the additional 1% VAT added on this year will actually mean that the VAT rate will now be 22% because that is what the consumer will have to pay. While the Department might be clawing back only 21%, in reality that is what it means to the consumer. This is a major U-turn on the harmonisation of VAT rates throughout the European Union.
The Minister stated in his speech yesterday that he was cutting betting tax from 5% to 2% to prevent jobs and revenue in this sector moving off-shore. The problem is they have already gone. William Hill already announced the loss of 200 jobs in Athlone and many of the other big players in this sector have moved their jobs and operations off-shore. Therefore, there will be no net benefit to the economy in saving jobs and protecting that sector.
The Minister ignored e-commerce, a sector which has been badly hit in the past 12 months. This completely contradicts the policy outlined by the Minister for Public Enterprise and the initiative announced yesterday to make Ireland an e-commerce hub. The average VAT rate throughout the European Union is 19.5%. The Minister pointed out in his Budget Statement last year that there were two reasons for reducing the rate of VAT, the first of which was to alleviate pressure on the consumer price index. The second reason was to encourage the development of e-commerce. Ireland has prided itself on the fact that it has been a low tax economy and has attracted foreign investment and promoted the development of indigenous industry on this basis. In spite of this, the rate is still above the EU average. That is why Fine Gael believes that e-commerce should be encouraged, developed and promoted in Ireland which should become the European e-commerce hub. We should aim to reduce VAT below the EU average initially and, ultimately, reduce it over time to 15%.
That should have been done in the budget to achieve Ireland's aim of becoming the European centre for e-commerce. Instead, the Minister has upped the VAT rate and contradicted his statement in this House 12 months ago that he was reducing the VAT rate to encourage e-commerce. Software and digital services are easily traded over the Internet. Unless Ireland has a low VAT rate, VAT payments will not be made to the Exchequer because it is difficult to trace such transactions. If we had a low VAT rate, we could ensure that such payments were made.
Another issue is the difference in the VAT rate applied to digital products within the EU and outside it. An Irish company must pay VAT at the Irish rate if it exports digital products for sale in the US, yet VAT is not applied to US products sold over the Internet to Irish and EU customers. Straight away, Irish companies which are selling over the Internet are at a competitive disadvantage to their US counterparts and the same applies throughout the EU. Ireland has one of the highest rates of VAT within the European Union and is, therefore, even at a disadvantage within the European Union. If the Minister wanted to save jobs and promote employment, he should have changed the VAT rate rather than the betting tax rate. The only one who will benefit from the reduction in betting tax is the Minister, Deputy McCreevy, when he goes to the Curragh or Fairyhouse. There is no benefit in it for the economy or for employment.
Last year I asked the Minister to give a commitment that the 1% VAT reduction would be passed on to the consumer and I was given assurances that the Competition Authority would rigorously enforce it. The Minister admitted that the Competition Authority was not competent to ensure the reduction took place because he admitted openly to the House yesterday that the reduction was not passed on to the consumer. This raises serious questions regarding enforcement by the Competition Authority. The Tánaiste and Minister for Enterprise, Trade and Employment, Deputy Harney, came into the House today and spoke on the budget. She never once addressed the issue of resourcing the Competition Authority. I can guarantee that within six months we will once again have a rapidly increasing inflation rate.
Unless we are prepared to adequately resource the Competition Authority, we will have serious difficulties early in the new year. The authority can, under its powers, regulate the VAT increase and ensure that it is passed on to the consumer. This did not happen last year. Despite assurances from the Tánaiste, who told the House she was giving additional resources to the authority, the Minister admitted that it failed dismally to address the issue.
Diesel price increases represent another Government U-turn. In last year's budget debate the Minister said:
I am anxious to encourage the use of low-sulphur diesel for environmental reasons. While the current excise reduction of six pence will apply to all diesel at present, I propose that this lower rate will apply to low-sulphur diesel only.
The Minister has increased the price of low-sulphur diesel by 5p. I know the Road Haulage Association is looking forward to meeting Fianna Fáil Party Deputies to grill them because the association realises the Minister for Finance has done a U-turn and left it high and dry by overturning his decision of last year. Transportation costs in Ireland are the highest in the EU partly because of our pathetic infrastructure. The Government has had five years to invest in it, but not one kilometre of additional motorway has been built.
Insurance premia are to increase dramatically across the board, but in the haulage industry renewals will increase by between 30% and 100%. In 2001 the cost of insuring a vehicle for continental transportation was between £5,000 and £7,000. This is due to increase in 2002 to between £10,000 and £12,000. This is an increase of almost 100% in 12 months and it will have to be passed on to manufacturers and consumers. It puts pressure on the competitiveness of Irish manufacturers in the EU.
The Minister's budget provided for a 5p increase in diesel, which translates into a £60 increase in the cost of a full tank. The changeover to low-sulphur diesel from 1 March 2002 will mean an increase of a further £22, but hauliers will have no option but to change due to financial implications. Between now and March the price of diesel will increase by £83 per fill. For an average haulier with ten trucks, this means a weekly increase of £683. The additional cost of refining low-sulphur diesel over ordinary diesel is 1.5p per litre. Including VAT, it is 1.8p per litre, or 36.5 cent per gallon, and not 26.5 cent as we were led to believe yesterday. This was hidden in the detail of the budget. While petrol will increase by 26.5 cent, by 1 March, diesel will cost an extra 36.5 cent. The increased cost of fuel and a 30% increase in the cost of car insurance will have a dramatic impact on every household budget, but no alternatives are in place. Many of us will grow old as we wait for the Luas to hit Dublin streets. This is an anti-rural policy because people who live in rural areas have no option but to use their cars.
The decision to increase the cost of petrol, diesel and cigarettes will put pressure on inflation as will the euro changeover on 1 January 2002. Russia this week announced its intention to restrict the production of oil, which will increase the cost of oil and cause inflation to rise. In February the new tax on plastic bags will be introduced while in March a 1% increase in VAT, a 1.8p increase in the cost of diesel and a £15 per tonne landfill tax will be introduced, which works out at £22.50 per average household. This is in addition to the dramatic increases in the cost of car, household and employer insurance. The best case scenario is an inflation rate of 4.5% next year, which is double the rate of our major competitor, the UK. When one looks at all the implications, it is clear we will be in serious difficulty next year, as we were last year, in relation to inflation. However, the Government has ignored the problem and buried its head in the sand.