I propose to take Questions Nos. 113, 114, 129, 137 and 141 together.
As I said in reply to a priority question on today's Order Paper, the reported downturn in the US market this year is based on the booking trends reported by tour operators for the month of February. There are, no official visitor statistics available at this stage in the year as these statistics are released on a quarterly basis. On the general issue, it is important that we keep things in perspective and ensure that our responses to an ever-evolving situation are based on the best information and expertise available.
While contingency planning in the context of Iraq has been under way for some time now and the tourism marketing programmes for 2003 have been devised to cater for a variety of contingencies, we should not start reacting in haste or in a knee-jerk manner to what are very early trends emerging in one market.
Tourism Ireland has worked closely with the industry since its establishment and it will continue to engage closely with the sector in setting out a course of action aimed at addressing any adverse fall-out from a war in Iraq should this arise. The primary focus continues to be on securing quality tourism business wherever the best prospects exist. If the "wait and see" approach to booking foreign holidays persists in the US, Tourism Ireland's marketing programme is sufficiently flexible to enable it to re-allocate resources to markets and marketing activities which may offer a better return. It is simply too early to make this call based on the evidence to hand. If and when this situation arises, Tourism Ireland will make the strategic and tactical decisions which are deemed appropriate, in tandem with the industry. Contingency planning in this type of situation is far from an exact science. There are many unknown factors which will have a key influence on how this situation plays out over the weeks and months ahead. The reaction of air carriers, international tour operators and most importantly, the consumer are crucial yet impossible to predict with any degree of certitude.
While the tourism agencies and industry have learned a great deal from previous experiences of external shocks, the global tourism market and consumer behaviour patterns have changed in many significant ways since 11 September 2001. Similarities with the previous Gulf War do not necessarily apply now. There is no doubt that, in the early 1990s, the US consumer felt safer at home. Whether that is still true to the same extent, having regard to the impact of 11 September, is difficult to judge. The type of consumer Tourism Ireland is increasingly targeting is a more well-informed, independent traveller who may not be as easily deterred from travelling by an outbreak of war in Iraq.
With all the uncertainties pervading the sector at the moment, there are some things about which we can be certain – Ireland continues to be a top class tourist destination offering excellent value for its premium product. Our tourism agencies have an enviable record when it comes to winning business internationally and the Government has resourced them sufficiently and in such a manner as to allow them get on with the business at hand. What we need now is a steady hand and a sense of perspective. I am confident both the industry and the tourism agencies will rally together to meet whatever challenges lie ahead and that Ireland will continue to fight for and win good quality tourism business.