The proposals mentioned by the Deputy are all contained in Dublin Transportation Office's strategy, A Platform for Change 2000-16.
Last year the Government agreed that the development of the Dublin metro should be undertaken on a phased basis and as a public private partnership, PPP. Phase one of the metro involves a line from Blanchardstown and Dublin Airport to the city centre and to Shanganagh. Since then, the Railway Procurement Agency, RPA, has concentrated its work on developing the outline business case for phase one. The RPA has also conducted a preliminary public consultation and a pre-qualification exercise for potential bidders. More recently, Iarnród Éireann has submitted a preliminary proposal for a DART link from Connolly Station to the airport.
In November 2002, my Department received the outline business case, OBC, for phase one from the RPA. The OBC includes cost-benefit analyses, a financing model, system options, a number of route alignment options, the estimated cost over the lifetime of the project and the estimated timescales involved.
The final costs of the project will be determined by a number of factors, including the route alignment chosen, the structure of the PPP and the bids received as part of the competitive tendering process. The advisers engaged by the RPA have estimated that the cost of the various options for phase one of the project range from €1.7 billion to €3.8 billion in terms of total direct capital cost at 2002 prices. These figures increase substantially when one estimates a final cost which takes account of expected inflation over the period between now and when services commence, VAT, fees, interest charges, the cost of risk transfer and a provision for risk and contingency. However, a more accurate cost can only be determined when the final structure of the project is decided and competitive bids are received from the interested parties. Nevertheless, I have asked the RPA to review each element of the costs to identify scope for reductions and my Department and the RPA is having discussions in this regard.
The possible effects which a project of this scale may have on the overall Exchequer finances and Ireland's obligations under the EU Stability and Growth Pact are also being examined and no conclusions have yet been reached in this regard.
Following completion of the evaluation of the metro outline business case and the other work referred to above, and of the Iarnród Éireann proposal, I intend to bring my recommendations to the Government in the near future.