The figures quoted by the Society of St. Vincent de Paul are primarily based on an analysis undertaken by the Economic and Social Research Institute of the results of the Living in Ireland surveys. They relate to the risk of poverty indicator used at EU level for comparison purposes which is defined by reference to an income threshold set at 60% of median income, adjusted for family size and composition using equivalence scales. The analysis undertaken by the ESRI indicates that, in 2001, some 21.9% of persons had incomes which fell below that threshold while for children the percentage was 23.4%. This equates to 280,000 children.
However, the indicator which underpins the national anti-poverty strategy, NAPS, is the consistent poverty indicator, independently formulated by the ESRI. This establishes the proportion of those below 50% to 60% of average disposable income and experiencing enforced basic deprivation. Basic deprivation refers to a set of eight indicators which were regarded as necessities and possessed by a majority of those in the Living in Ireland survey. Consistent poverty has been chosen as the global target under NAPS, because the inclusion of deprivation as well as income gives a better guide to those who experience poverty and are a priority for income and other supports.
One of the more significant achievements of recent years has been the reduction in the level of consistent poverty among children from 24.8% in 1987 to 6.5% or approximately 74,000 children in 2001. This is due to major increases in employment participation, better jobs, significant real increases in social welfare payments, especially child income support, and improvements in education and other services. Given the further improvements made since 2001, especially in child income support, it is likely that this proportion is now even lower. The target under the national anti-poverty strategy is to reduce the percentage of children in consistent poverty to 2% and, if possible, eliminate it by 2007.
The increase in the numbers at risk of poverty relates to the fact that many household incomes have risen rapidly during the recent economic boom for reasons which included more and better jobs, increased female participation in the workforce, tax reform and high earnings growth. While significant increases in real terms have been made in the incomes of those on lower earnings, including the introduction of the minimum wage, and in social welfare payments, including child income support, these improvements have lagged behind the rapid increases in incomes generally. As a result, the proportion below the rapidly increasing income threshold for this indicator has risen from 15.6% in 1994 to 21.9% in 2001, despite the substantial improvements made in the incomes of those on lower earnings and social welfare and the resulting significant improvement in their circumstances.
The challenge of reducing the numbers of children at risk of poverty, as defined by the EU indicator, will best be addressed for most families by increased employment participation and the creation of better jobs. The Government's economic policy is primarily geared towards achieving that objective. At the same time, the obstacles to employment for lone parents and for parents of larger families which are at most risk of poverty must be removed.