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JOINT COMMITTEE ON COMMUNICATIONS, MARINE AND NATURAL RESOURCES debate -
Wednesday, 29 Jun 2005

Energy Regulation: Presentations.

I welcome the Commissioner for Energy Regulation, Mr. Tom Reeves. Members will recall that at last week's meeting of the joint committee, it was agreed to invite officials from the Commission for Energy Regulation to attend a meeting of the committee to discuss press reports that suggested that electricity prices will rise by 36% in 2006. I remind members that today's debate is confined to that issue. The committee will have a further meeting with the regulator to debate the energy modules before it completes its business. This afternoon, it will receive presentations, as part of its review of the energy modules, about how Ireland's international and EU obligations under the Kyoto Agreement will impact on policy. The price and cost side economics of energy generation, importation, use and consumption will also be discussed this afternoon. The committee will hear a presentation from the regulators, which will be followed by a question and answer session.

I draw everyone's attention to the fact that members of this committee have absolute privilege but this same privilege does not apply to witnesses appearing before it. The committee cannot guarantee any level of privilege to witnesses appearing before it. Further, under the salient rulings of the Chair, members should not comment on, criticise or make charges against a person outside the House or an official by name or in such a way as to make him or her identifiable. I ask Mr. Reeves to introduce the new commissioners.

Mr. Tom Reeves

Unlike the last time I attended a meeting of the joint committee, the Commission for Energy Regulation now has three members. Mr. Michael Tutty, who works on the transmission and distribution side of our business, and Ms Regina Finn, who joined us last February are with me today. Ms Finn is primarily concerned with the retail end of the market. I look after the other parts of the market and generation. Ms Cathy Mannion, who is the commission's director of retail and consumer affairs is also here. It might be appropriate for Ms Mannion to answer any detailed questions about such matters.

I am sure Mr. Reeves is aware that the purpose of the delegation's appearance at this meeting is to clarify a number of media reports, which suggested that the Commission for Energy Regulation is planning to increase electricity charges by 36%. Deputy Durkan, who is busy in the House at the moment, is Fine Gael's spokesperson in this area. He asked for the delegation to be invited to clarify the situation as a matter of urgency, before the Dáil adjourns for the summer on 1 July. Therefore, we had to ask the commission to send representatives to this meeting at short notice. I thank Mr. Reeves and his officials for making themselves available to the joint committee at such short notice.

Mr. Reeves

The Commission for Energy Regulation is pleased to attend this meeting of the joint committee. I understand the committee's desire, as expressed by the Chairman, to talk about the price of electricity, on foot of a newspaper report last week that indicated that the price of electricity is about to increase by 36%. I assure the committee that the report was somewhat misleading. My officials and I will give an overview of how electricity prices are determined and indicate what is in store for us in this regard.

The Commission for Energy Regulation approves the end-user prices for electricity for the ESB, which is the public electricity supplier. The commission publishes a draft decision on prices in September of each year. Final user prices are decided following a public consultation period, which continues throughout September. The prices determined apply for the following calendar year. This process is important for a number of reasons, not least because it sets the market price against which the independent suppliers must compete.

In setting the prices, the commission must balance a range of objectives, some of which conflict with each other. Security of supply in the long and short terms is a crucial issue for the economy that affects end-user prices. In the interests of national competitiveness we should try to set low input prices. If prices are too low, however, they can damage the reliability of the electricity system, which in turn would damage the reputation of the country as a place in which business can be done. A further consideration is the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. If we do so by charging for carbon dioxide, however, we will increase the price of electricity at a time when industry is seeking lower prices.

The Commission for Energy Regulation needs to balance the long and short-term interests of the economy and electricity consumers. The price of electricity has four components — generation, transmission, distribution and supply. On average, generation forms approximately 55% of the final price, transmission accounts for approximately 10%, distribution accounts for approximately 30% and supply accounts for approximately 5%. This combination varies somewhat depending on the 11 different customer categories.

Electricity in Ireland is generated using a variety of fuels, such as gas, coal, oil, peat, hydropower and wind power. Minor contributions are made by some other renewable sources. In 2004, gas was the most predominant of all the fuels — it was used to generate 44% of Irish electricity — followed by coal, which was used to produce 26% of electricity. There have been significant reductions in the use of oil, to 12.5%, and peat, to 5% for the production of electricity. Hydropower, which was once the most important source of electricity, is now used to produce just 2.5% of electricity. Renewable sources are used to produce 3.5% of our electricity. We imported approximately 5.5% of our power from Northern Ireland and Scotland in 2004.

Gas, coal and oil are purchased on the international market, in dollars and sterling, at prices entirely outside our control. Gas is bought and sold in sterling at the national balancing point in Britain. One can buy gas at that point for delivery on the same day, or in three or four years time. I have distributed material to the joint committee to demonstrate how the price of gas has increased over the past year. Members can see graphs that indicate the price curves for the first quarter and winter of 2006. The graphs indicate that the price of gas in March 2004 was approximately 30p per therm. If one bought gas in March 2004 for delivery in the first quarter of 2006, one would have paid 30p. If one were to buy gas now for delivery in the first quarter of 2006, one would have to pay well over 70p. The graphs also give details of the price of gas for delivery in the winter of 2006. The graphs indicate that the price of gas has increased significantly. The price is so high because the UK, which is our main source of gas — more than 80% of our gas comes from there — is now a net gas importer, with gas coming into the UK via the interconnector to Europe. Continental and world gas prices are linked to oil prices, which have increased significantly and with which I will deal later. There is a higher demand for gas world-wide, particularly since gas has become the fuel of choice for electricity generation. A number of new power stations in Europe are now being built which use gas.

There are infrastructural deficits in the UK, even though according to a recent report from Britain's national grid Transco Company, it should have sufficient gas for a normal winter but, if there is a severe winter, there could be difficulties with supplies. By the end of 2007, there should be a second continental interconnector in place. A new Norwegian gas field is under development and it should be on-stream, and the Liquified Natural Gas, known as the LNG terminal, should also be available. There are plans for two of these terminals in Pembrokeshire. Some of these infrastructural deficits will disappear, but we are not sure how the price will develop as a result.

Coal prices have levelled off recently, as members will see from graph 3, but they are still at twice the level they were in 2002. This is without the impact of carbon, to which I will refer later. This is just the wholesale international price of coal.

We all know that oil forms a useful headline figure, because other fuel prices tend to follow it. This time last year, we were speculating what would happen if crude oil prices went to $50 a barrel. Now it is well over $60 and the dollar has recently strengthened against the euro. The ESB uses low sulphur heavy fuel oil, not crude oil. This is now priced at $270 a tonne, compared to $160 in 2004. Graphs 4 and 5 show the trends in the international price of oil in dollars. Crude oil is sold in barrels and fuel oil is sold in tonnes.

As well as the increasing price of fuels, we must deal with carbon dioxide. As members will be aware, under EU agreements and the Kyoto agreement, there have been various allocations by the Environmental Protection Agency to industry as to their carbon allowances. The power sector must purchase approximately a quarter of the CO2 it emits. Carbon was trading at €10 a tonne late last year and early this year, and it has more than doubled to more than €20 euro a tonne as indicated in graph 6. Of all the fuel mentioned, coal is the largest emitter of carbon.

Under the public sector obligations order made by the Minister, output from peat generating stations is charged to ESB public electricity supply at the best new entrant price. This is a special price members will have read about in the newspapers, as are renewables. If the ESB buys peat, it is deemed to be a best new entrant price, which is lower than the actual price of peat and the actual price of renewables.

The newspaper article to which I referred mentioned the CER published estimate of the best new entrant price for 2006. This figure is calculated every year and it is the estimated price at which the most efficient new entrant generator in the best location in the country could produce electricity. It is used to calculate the top-up price in the wholesale market, that is the price at which the ESB power generation sells power to the market. It is also used to fix the baseline for the calculation of the public service obligations charges.

The BNE estimate for 2006 has increased by 36% over 2005. The main input into this is the increase in wholesale gas costs, which was 58%. Other costs, including capital costs, have remained roughly static or declined. This best new entrant price has nothing to do directly with the ESB's final price of electricity to ordinary consumers. However, it is more or less the price a new power station would require to give a reasonable rate of return to investors.

The BNE increase in the price we have determined is due solely to the increase in the wholesale cost of gas. The ESB has a portfolio of fuels, as I mentioned earlier, and these have not all increased by the same amount. Also, generation accounts for approximately 55% of the end user price, and the other 45%, which is made up of network and supply costs, has certainly not increased by 36%. I am satisfied that end user electricity prices will not increase anywhere near 36% in 2006.

On transmission and distribution, every five years the CER undertakes a fundamental review of the ESB's network business. We review all its operating costs and proposed capital investment programme. We are currently carrying out this five-year review and expect to have it finished over the next few weeks. This element comprises approximately 40% of the end user tariff and is the part of the electricity supply chain that remains a natural monopoly. Therefore, it is particularly important that we review these costs carefully and ensure that only efficient and necessary costs are being incurred. At the same time, it is essential that Ireland has a first world electricity infrastructure to support our economy.

There has been a major expansion in capital expenditure networks over the past five years. This has been one of the factors in the price adjustments. At the same time, network operations have improved significantly their efficiency.

The Public Electricity Supply, PES, business buys its power from ESB Power Generation, Edenderry Power Limited, which is a peat station and under the various alternative energy requirement schemes for the renewable sources. From next year, it will also buy its power from Tynagh Energy Limited and Aughinish Alumina. Along with other suppliers to electricity consumers, PES must pay the cost of using the transmission and distributing systems. Together with their own supply costs, which are small enough, these are the four factors that make up the total costs, namely, generation costs, transmission, distribution and its own supply costs.

In conclusion, we are at present assessing these costs in total for PES and how they should be recovered from the various customer categories. This is a process we go through every year. We expect to be in a position to publish our draft decision on end user tariffs in early September. As this is some time away, it is too early to say what the price of electricity will be in 2006. However, while the CER will ensure that only efficient and appropriate costs are passed to consumers, it appears inevitable that there will be increases arising from the significant increases in world fuel prices, and any downward pressure on other costs will not be sufficient to offset this.

Will Mr. Reeves advise the committee of the increases in prices to the ESB over the past two years?

Mr. Reeves

Last year, there were two rounds. In 2004, there was a significant increase in fuel prices. These were so significant that we had an adjustment in October when we increased the price by approximately 9%. In January when the carbon arrived on the scene——

Was that this year?

Mr. Reeves

There was a price increase from October 2004. In January 2005, we increased the price by approximately 3%, which covered the cost of carbon and the increase in the network charges.

How does that compare with other countries in Europe?

Mr. Reeves

I will let Ms Finn come in on this in a moment. It is difficult to compare prices exactly, but one can compare on average. According to the latest publication from the EU dated 1 June, the average price increase to households in the 15 member states was approximately 5% and the industrial and commercial price increased by approximately 7%.

Where is Ireland on the league table?

Mr. Reeves

It depends on which category one picks. I am not dodging the Deputy's question. In the households, we are close to the average. For example, Belgium, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal and Sweden are more expensive than we are in regard to households.

Is the North of Ireland cheaper than us?

Mr. Reeves

The North of Ireland is not cheaper than us. It is more expensive.

Am I correct that the ESB has had an increase of 29% since January 2003?

Mr. Reeves

It is not 29%.

How much is it? I expected these figures would be readily available because they are fundamental.

Mr. Reeves

I was looking forward, not backwards.

In order to look forward one has to look backwards.

Mr. Reeves

One can only look forward from where one is at the time.

A householder can look back and see his or her bill. That bill is becoming a matter of serious concern and Mr. Reeves is presiding over that.

Mr. Reeves

I cannot change the price of fuel.

The joint committee is concerned about price increases and the intentions of the Commission because Irish consumers are mesmerised by the fact that they have had to pay a 12% increase in 18 months. They are concerned about what is best practice and how prices in Ireland compare with those in the rest of the European Union.

The market has been open since February and it is difficult to see any benefits. There is only an expensive regulatory system and much higher prices.

Mr. Reeves

The cost in 2003 for 2004 on average was 5.09% and domestic charges went up by 5.02%.

Figures quoted on a number of occasions suggest that electricity prices have gone up by 40% in the past five years.

Mr. Reeves

When we began, the price of gas was 11 pence a therm on the wholesale market. It is now 75 pence. That cannot be gainsaid as it is a fact. Gas comprises 45% of electricity generated.

Are there not competition issues as well? The whole presentation was about inputs. What has the CER done about the marginal pricing of electricity, for example?

Mr. Reeves

We cannot do anything about that. We can control a number of things but we cannot control fuel prices, which account for more than half the costs of generation. We can insist that the ESB runs its power stations as efficiently as possible, which we do. We have a programme for the networks every year and every five years where we monitor costs of transmission and generation, which are more or less average for Europe. The costs of the supply business are very small. The main cost by far is fuel and we cannot do anything about that.

Has there been a situation where the CER has turned down an increase the ESB has requested?

Mr. Reeves

We have gone through all their costs.

Is it yes or no?

Mr. Reeves

The ESB has not applied for an increase yet.

Does the CER take into account whether the ESB has applied for an increase in previous years?

Mr. Reeves

The ESB applies for an increase in its revenue. We go through that with a fine toothcomb and have reduced it significantly over the years. The agreed revenue determines the price increases. We agree the amount of money the ESB can collect from its customers. That is based on its cost base, on which it makes major submissions to us. In the next few weeks we will publish substantial documents indicating all the cost lines in the ESB accounts. It will be possible to see what has been done in that area.

Mr. Reeves showed us the data relating to energy costs and the basket of fuels the ESB uses. That would be available even if the Commission never existed. Can Mr. Reeves convince the ordinary consumer that he and his fellow commissioners are providing value for money as industry regulators, given that the crisis in ESB prices is increasing?

Mr. Reeves

Yes. By insisting on how the ESB runs its business we have infinitely improved efficiency. Most ESB stations conform to best practice. Moneypoint now conforms as do all the new stations. All of this has happened as a result of pressure we have applied over the years. It did not happen before we came into being.

What is best practice?

Mr. Reeves

Best practice involves manning issues, overtime issues and how the stations are run.

Is efficiency level a factor in best practice?

Mr. Reeves

The efficiency of conversion of a power station cannot be changed. It starts at a certain level when it is new and degrades over the years.

Mr. Reeves has not pressed that matter at all.

Mr. Reeves

I cannot do anything about that.

There were no increases of 40% before the Commission came into being. We had stable prices for a long time.

Mr. Reeves

We had.

The Commission has done nothing about the margin price of electricity nor has it done anything about the networks. Allegations are often made about 'gold-plating' the gas network.

Mr. Reeves

During the 1990s there were stable prices, apart from one increase in 1997. There were two reasons for that. First the ESB had more power stations than it required so there was no need to build new power stations. Second, the investment in networks did not take place and the network was in a poor condition by the time I took over at the end of 1999. That has now turned around. The IDA no longer complains that there is no adequate power supply for industry in a particular part of the country. There has been a significant investment programme in recent years where there was none during the 1990s. That must continue because we have still not reached the level and quality we require. Because not enough power stations were built in the 1990s we now need new power stations. We are running old power stations that should have been closed down.

Mr. Reeves said a minute ago they were efficient.

Mr. Reeves

They vary in their levels of efficiency.

Mr. Reeves knows which are which.

Mr. Reeves

Best practice means they are operated as efficiently as possible.

If ESB stations, costing a fortune to run, use excessive fuel and generate less power than stations that meet best practice standards, comparable to 90% of stations in Europe, it compounds the problem we are trying to address today.

I ask Mr. Reeves how the public service obligation can continue given that there is a charge on the consumer for peat-fired stations though they now account for only 5% of total generation? Does he think it is an anti-competitive practice to continue with a public service obligation which is totally unjust to consumers?

On the Irish energy market, does ESB billing set the price in the marketplace? Does he not regard that as unfair given the dominance of the ESB in a market that was supposed to be opened up?

Does he think independent operators will ever really get a chance to compete, which has to be his fundamental objective as a regulator?

Mr. Reeves

I will partly kick this to touch. The Government sets public service obligations. The Government decided that peat and renewals would be encompassed by public service obligations and we implement that order.

Just as Mr. Reeves has presented a report to the committee, could he not present a similar report to the Minister responsible saying the continuation of the public service obligation is anti-competitive and not valid in the context of the ESB fuel requirement at present. Mr. Reeves can kick to touch and if I asked the Minister in the Seanad he would do the same thing, and say he had nothing to do with prices.

Mr. Reeves

The public service obligation narrows the scope for competition in the market. To that extent it is anti-competitive. This year the obligation is more than €100 million and is charged to everybody irrespective of whether they are ESB customers. It is a matter for the Government to decide.

If it is anti-competitive can he not advise the Government that it is no longer valid in the marketplace given the escalating price of electricity and is unfair to the consumer?

Mr. Reeves

I do not like it.

Will Mr. Reeves tell the Minister he does not like it?

Mr. Reeves

The Minister knows I do not like it. He knows that it interferes with competition.

Can Mr. Reeves recall how he informed the Minister?

Mr. Reeves

I cannot recall whether I wrote to him about the matter.

Maybe Mr. Reeves should write to him, as he wrote to us.

Mr. Reeves should not appear before this committee and say he cannot remember this event or that event.

Mr. Reeves

I have told the Minister that it restricts competition.

Did Mr. Reeves write to tell the Minister of his view?

Mr. Reeves

I have written so many letters recently I cannot recall whether I wrote to him.

That would be a major policy matter for the Minister to consider if Mr. Reeves pressed it.

Mr. Reeves

It is a policy matter for the Minister.

When Mr. Reeves returns to his office will he advise the committee whether he communicated formally with the Minister on this matter?

The regulator might write to the Minister now setting out his views.

I have one final question on which the other questions hinge. Mr. Reeves indicated that he disagrees with the suggestion of a 36% increase but that he cannot say what the potential increase will be next September and so on. Has he any indication in his own mind because he has made several calculations, whether it will be 15%, 20%, 25%, or would he prefer not to speculate on the basis that the Oireachtas will be in recess in September? The announcement of a 20% or 25% increase in ESB prices will appear in the media then and everyone will kick up a fuss about it.

Mr. Reeves

I will not speculate on the price because we have not completed all our work yet.

It is worrying if Mr. Reeves says best entrant price is 36%. If that is correct I estimate there will be a large percentage increase for the consumer in September, between 25% and 30%. I speak from the point of view of a layman, reading Mr. Reeves' document.

Mr. Reeves

It will not be anywhere near 25% or 30%.

Mr. Reeves is not helping this committee. I am disappointed with his presentation. He is not comparing our situation with what is happening in Europe as a result of all these prices about which he is talking. He has not given us any documentation. I am disappointed although I am satisfied that end user prices will not increase to anything like 36%.

I remind Mr. Reeves that the members of this committee and this House represent the public at large. We are concerned at the sharp increase in energy prices over the past 18 months.

Mr. Reeves

The Chairman talks about efficiency but availability is the issue. I thought the committee wanted to address the technical efficiency and availability of power stations. The ESB's stations had fallen away over the years but are coming back up to more than 80%, which is a significant improvement.

The public service obligation——

What is best practice in the United States?

Mr. Reeves

That is in the high 80th percentile.

Is it close to 90%?

Mr. Reeves

Some of the new ones are.

Are some of the plants in the United States reconditioned or refurbished plants?

Mr. Reeves

Yes, the best new entrant we assume is 92%.

At what level is the ESB?

Mr. Reeves

Approximately 83%.

Is that the level for all the power stations?

Mr. Reeves

That is an average.

What is Viridian's efficiency level? Is it at 90%?

Mr. Reeves

Yes. It has brand new stations.

Is it at 91% or 92%?

Mr. Reeves

Yes. The Chairman spoke about taking the public service obligation off all the other customers. That is a cost the ESB incurs so that would go on to the ESB's customers which would make the price increase higher for them.

I do not know what the Commission for Energy Regulation costs on an annual basis, whether it is €20 million or €40 million. Mr. Reeves might be able to tell me.

Mr. Reeves said the PSO represents only 5%, that it is anti-competitive and the Competition Authority agrees with him, but he is confused as to whether he wrote or spoke to the Minister about this. He should write to the Minister and tell him this is anti-competitive in regard to the cost of electricity and should not be included in the PSO because it is unfair.

Mr. Reeves should examine that PSO. People are sickened by price increases. They will suffer another one in September. We can speculate whether it will be 20% or 35% but the consumer is not the only one complaining. Industry is beginning to complain about the cost of energy.

Does Mr. Reeves think there is any true competition in the marketplace? We have spoken about that and liberalisation from 1 January for years. Would I be right in saying that it did not make a whit of difference to the domestic consumer?

Mr. Reeves

It has not made any difference yet to the average household consumer.

The prices have gone up.

Mr. Reeves

That is not the truth. The prices have gone up because the prices of the input fuels have increased significantly. I have shown the committee graphs produced by Bloomberg showing the international fuel prices. That is what one must pay to buy the fuel. Who will absorb these costs? Viridian pays those costs.

Last year the ESB made a profit of €250 million.

Mr. Reeves

The profit has nothing to do with the input.

It has much to do with it. If I explain an increase in the cost of electricity in that way to the domestic consumer he or she will say the ESB turned over a profit of €250 million last year. It has much to do with the consumer's perception of the business.

Mr. Reeves

The ESB's debt in turn went up by more than €250 million in order to pay for the investment required in the network.

We all incur debt at 3% or whatever it is, with the low interest rates for houses etc. The bottom line for the ESB was a profit of €250 million.

I welcome Mr. Reeves, Ms Finn and particularly Mr. Tutty, the new regulator. I wish him luck in the job. I do not envy his task. The heat in here is nothing compared to what the public reaction will be if electricity prices increase again as they will in September.

I take the point that Mr. Reeves will not decide a price here. Gas prices in 2006 will increase by 58% on 2005 prices. There will be similar increases in oil and coal. We could make that an average of 50%. Generation accounts for approximately 55% of costs, and a 50% increase in that 55% cost gives a 25% or 26% increase in price. What percentage of generation costs is attributed to fuel, on average?

Mr. Reeves

Half of the cost of generation is fuel.

That is approximately 25%.

Mr. Reeves

There is always a "but". Nobody would buy all the fuel on the spot market indicated in these prices. Some would have bought part of it on the forward market at lower prices on contracts. The graphs represent the worst situation, for example, if one bought today one would pay those prices. Nobody does that.

If a company has bought forward we could say that 25% of the cost is a direct fuel cost to generate electricity. A 50% increase in that would produce a 12% to 13% increase in prices to cover the costs. According to a newspaper article I read on 14 June, the ESB seeks an increase of 12% to 14% in September. Does that mirror a fuel cost?

Mr. Reeves

The ESB has not applied for a price increase. It has made various submissions to us on its cost base and what revenue we think it should collect from its customers next year. That figure was speculation in the Irish Independent. We have not received a letter of application from the ESB for a price increase.

In other words it may not need any increase.

Mr. Reeves

It will definitely need an increase.

Does Mr. Reeves anticipate receiving an official letter?

Will the other generating companies need an increase?

Mr. Reeves

We have nothing to do with the pricing by any other generating company. We deal only with the ESB.

The regulator deals with new entrants into the market. Would the regulator not set a price for that entrant?

Mr. Reeves

We regulate only ESB prices. If a private generator such as Viridian builds a power station in the market it is free to sell its power to whomever at whatever price it likes. The price we set in the market for the ESB sets a cap for the company and it is important we get the price right.

It would be alright for them to undercut the ESB if they wanted.

Mr. Reeves

They are.

If an increase does not take place, I take from it from Mr. Reeves's report that the only opportunity to reduce costs is through a 40% reduction in distribution costs. His five-year review in this regard is due in several weeks. Does he believe distribution costs will reduce, given the investment of several billion euro in the network, which should result in a reduction in costs?

Mr. Reeves

It is quite likely the programme of investment and distribution will continue at the same level. Last year, 90,000 new customers were connected and the amount of electricity sold increased by 5%. The programme will continue.

Mr. Michael Tutty

There will be a significant ongoing investment in the distribution and transmission networks over the coming years. They are catching up on networks that were in a very poor state but, in doing so, the service to the customer will be improved. For example, the average number of customer minutes lost over the past five years has reduced from 371 in 2001 to an expected 275 this year. Customers find their electricity supply does not fail as much as in the past and this is the result of investment. If increases are made, they will be relatively small. We are not seeking huge increases in those elements but we must examine the investment required and the ongoing cost of maintaining the networks. Their cost bases are improving and efficiencies are being introduced. The number of employees is also reducing.

I seek decreases, not increases, in the distribution cost. Given the capital investment made, one would expect decreases to occur. How does the 40% distribution charge compare internationally as a percentage of electricity costs? Accusations have been made that Ireland has excessively high distribution costs and that is where much of the profit is derived in comparison to generation. Is that borne out by international experience?

Mr. Tutty

No, one of the problems here is that we have a widely scattered population and that adds to the number of kilometres of transmission and distribution networks. If we had a larger or more concentrated population, the average price of transmission and distribution may well be lower. We are not out of line with the rest of Europe.

How does Mr. Tutty know that? Does he have figures for distribution costs elsewhere in Europe?

Mr. Tutty

EUROSTAT produces a breakdown of costs in different countries.

Will Mr. Tutty forward a copy of the figures by e-mail to the committee so that our energy consultant can consider them? The committee is undertaking an energy module.

Mr. Tutty

Indeed.

The ESB has a natural monopoly, rightly, in electricity distribution. Eircom gives the same reply when asked why people must pay more for telephony, which is Ireland is an unusual country with a dispersed population. Is that the only reason distribution costs are so high?

Mr. Tutty

No, that is one of the factors we must consider. Much of the investment in the network in recent years has been to connect new customers. That is good because more people are on the system than previously. However, the investment must be made and customers must incur the costs. We will get a return over time but much of the other investment is aimed at renewing the network, much of which has been in place for 40 or 50 years without renewal. The commission was faced with these issues when it took over. As we are responsible for security of supply, we need to make sure the proper systems are in place to bring electricity to the consumer.

I do not wish to pre-empt the report. Is there a possibility of a reduction in distribution costs?

Mr. Tutty

We are still examining that issue. The projects provided by the ESB suggest modest increases in future years in the cost of transmission and distribution. We are examining them to ascertain whether the increases, investment and rate of return to the company are justified and whether further efficiencies can be achieved. It is a difficult time because we are in the middle of the process and will finalise these issues over the coming months.

Mr. Reeves validly stated businesses typically hedge forward and given the price increases incurred in the past year, he would be glad if he had. I do not seek business secrets but do customers buy electricity three or four years in advance? I did not think that was as easy to do as it used to be.

Mr. Reeves

In theory, one can buy three or four years in advance but, in practice, the markets are thin. Prices for 2008 are quoted but one would have difficulty buying much gas at that price.

With respect to a company such as the ESB, would half its fuel, for example, be bought in advance?

Mr. Reeves

The ESB has a number of long-term contracts from a previous time. The oil company took a court case to cancel them but failed. The ESB has some good contracts. Nobody will sell oil or gas on a long-term basis anymore because they all want to follow the market.

They are not stupid. Is additional capacity needed?

Mr. Reeves

For the first time since I took up this job, I am relatively relaxed about security of supply. Up until 2003, it was pretty tight but we ran a competition at the end of that year and a new 400 MW station is coming on stream at Tynagh. It is scheduled to be in commercial operation at the end of January while another 150 MW station at Aughinish Alumina is scheduled to be in operation in December. We anticipate that a new power station in north County Dublin owned by Viridian will be in operation by late 2007. We are fine up to 2009 and the planning for a station for 2009 is under way by whoever might wish to build that.

Has the pricing been agreed with Viridian, for example?

Mr. Reeves

The commission has nothing do with Viridian's pricing.

The commission has a best new entrant price of 7.3 cent per kilowatt hour. I thought a ten-year contract was agreed, for example, for the station at Tynagh at the price of best new entrant.

Mr. Reeves

The Tynagh and Aughinish Alumina plants were built on foot of a competition to obtain a contact with the ESB. Both plants got contracts with the ESB for ten years.

The old and new Viridian plants are not contracted to the ESB. They were built on Viridian's balance sheet and it has taken a risk in the market to see if it can make a go of this.

Best new entrant is, therefore, only of use where the commission wishes to encourage an additional supplier. Is that correct?

Mr. Reeves

Best new entrant sets the wholesale price in the market so that if a company in any half hour cannot supply power to its customers, the ESB will sell it to the company at the best new entrant price.

Does that affect the market price?

Mr. Reeves

Yes, it sets the wholesale market price, not the retail price.

If the best new entrant price increases by 36%, the wholesale price of electricity will also increase by 36%.

Mr. Reeves

That is only out of a gas station. There are other stations.

Gas is used by half our power stations.

Mr. Reeves

Yes, and this has a significant effect on our final price.

Regardless of what the commission does with the ESB, Mr. Reeves is predicting a 15% increase in the wholesale price of electricity produced by gas fired power stations next year.

Mr. Reeves

The wholesale price of electricity from gas fired stations will increase because the price of gas has increased enormously in a year.

The marginal price is the market price, for oil-fired generation also.

Mr. Reeves

It depends on how one sets prices. Setting electricity prices is a complicated business in the wholesale market. Currently, it is not set at the marginal price. We are working to devise an all-island market which will set the price in that way. At present we have a different style of market.

Therefore, whatever else happens regarding the ESB, we can expect a 15% increase in the wholesale price of electricity.

Mr. Reeves

There is no spot wholesale market in Ireland. There is a fixed price for the best new entrants. If people are short, the ESB will sell them electricity at that price which is set out and published annually for the whole year. People know what the price is. We have set out our estimate which is currently subject to consultation and we will decide on it when we receive comments on it.

I am sorry I had to leave. I do not know if these issues have been raised.

Did the Minister of State, Deputy Tom Kitt, say anything about me?

He will.

I want to ask about the best new entrant price, since the proposed new prices for 2006 are clearly far more expensive than might be obtained using wind energy or coal-fired generation. Given the ESB's hostility — "reservations" might be a more temperate word — to renewable energy, does it think its single-minded pursuit of gas generation is now economically unsound? From the point of view of security of supply, is it foolhardy?

Mr. Reeves

Let me clarify that I am not against renewable energy. I am very much in favour and have always said we should look at renewable energy sources other than wind which has dominated the debate. It has one problem in that it is intermittent. I appeared before the joint committee to discuss the issue at length. Senator Finucane was in the Chair

that day. I also appeared before the Joint Committee on Agriculture and Food to discuss the issue. The technical aspects have more or less been dealt with.

Technology advances. The intermittency argument has been dealt with.

Mr. Reeves

I am sorry, Deputy; it has not.

I would prefer to hear about the variety of sources available. It is foolhardy to pursue gas generation in the way the ESB is doing.

Mr. Reeves

I am not pursuing anything. It is the developers who are pursuing gas generation which is currently the cheapest. The intermittency argument has not been dealt with.

Mr. Reeves said that in respect of gas generation, electricity was being produced at 7.3 cent per kw/h in the best new combined cycle. That is the best price the ESB can get. In competitions for wind energy, people are bidding at 5 cent per kw/h. How can Mr. Reeves say gas genereation is the cheapest? Wind energy is the cheapest form.

Mr. Reeves

What does one do when the wind is not blowing?

One has a range of options.

Will the ESB accept a certain percentage of wind energy in its portfolio, allowing for intermittency? Will Mr. Reeves tell us the percentage of our energy needs met by wind? What was the ESB target? Was it 15%?

Mr. Reeves

There is a Government target of 13.2% from renewable sources by 2010. Taking into account all the wind energy produced with connection offers to the grid, something about which Mr. Tuffy knows more than I, and others in the queue, we are far beyond that figure.

Mr. Tuffy

Let me give figures on current capacity.

Can my questions be answered first? I do not mean to be rude but I would like an answer. Ensuring security of supply is one of the ESB's most important functions which I suggest it is neglecting.

Mr. Reeves

Not at all. We ran competitions in 2003 to ensure we would meet it. The Minister is running competitions for renewable energy under the alternative energy scheme. He has now said the time for that scheme has passed and that he is considering another. They are supported by the PSO. We will see this year whether such a PSO is needed for them.

The PSO relates primarily to peat generation. A very small percentage goes to——

Mr. Reeves

Yes, but it also relates to renewable energy.

How much of the €100 million goes to wind energy?

Mr. Reeves

I believe the most recent figure was between €20 million and €30 million.

Will Mr. Reeves answer the question about the price?

Mr. Reeves

We had nothing to do with the competition good, bad or indifferent.

Yes, but it is now far more competitive than gas generation.

Mr. Reeves

That may be the case; I do not know.

Mr. Reeves

I am saying one has to consider the total cost. The system can take a figure of perhaps 10% to 15% with regard to wind energy. It cannot take any more than this. Intermittency also presents a problem with regard to wave power.

What is that in megawatts? Let us say that the contribution is 15%. What would the total cost be?

Mr. Reeves

The ministerial target agreed in Brussels is approximately 1,100 MW with regard to wind energy. With connection offers and so on, with which Mr. Tuffy was about to deal in detail, we have more than this. In 2007 or 2008 we will have exceeded our 2010 target in respect of renewable energy sources.

They are not coming on-line. They may have been awarded but there has been a delay in starting. It is a problem about which many generators have come to us.

Mr. Tuffy

The installed capacity is 382 MW. There are connection offers dating from before the moratorium was applied in respect of a further 550 MW. There is no reason these should be held up. Assuming they all go ahead — there is no reason they should not — we will be at a figure of 932 MW. Under the gate 1 proposals, as we call them, when we finish the moratorium, there will be a large build-up. We are dealing with those ready to go at the time of the moratorium. They account for a figure of 380 MW. If they go ahead, it will give us a total of 1,312 MW on the system.

What about the gate 2 proposals?

Mr. Tuffy

If the Senator allows me to finish, I will talk about them. There are further applications waiting to be processed in respect of a further 2,000 MW approximately. If they all go ahead, we will more than have achieved the target by 2010. The Minister is examining the support available. The higher the cost of other sources of energy, the more economic wind energy becomes. However, the industry has still been seeking subsidies and pressing for another AER scheme.

The Minister is in the process of deciding what the level of subsidy should be. He has decided that there will be a fixed feed-in tariff but not the level or how it will apply. It is up to him to decide how the competition should be run and the level of support to be given. Meanwhile, we have been working to see how quickly we can get things moving, how much we can get on the system with regard to wind energy and how it will operate.

There is the intermittency argument. There are problems with wind forecasting. That ability is getting better but there are certain times of the day when there will be a sudden increase in electricity demand, in the early morning or during the evening peak hours. We already have a great many normal thermal generating stations ready to ramp up production. At that time of day one could be using a great deal of wind energy on the system that may suddenly disappear or disappear an hour earlier than predicted. These issues may have to be examined. Other elements have all come through while the ESB is doing a great deal of work and seeing better how it might cope with the wind level. Matters are moving well. A difficulty persists in some areas in regard to how quickly the transmission system can be brought up to the level at which it can take all the wind power becoming available. Some areas are better than others in this regard. In terms of some of the connection offers currently in prospect, it will be a number of years before there is guaranteed access to the networks. We are working to ensure such access is available, even if it is not full access in the early stages for all the available capacity. We want as much of that energy as possible to be taken on to the system.

Does this mean the investment in the transmission and distribution network is taking on board the needs of those generating renewables?

Mr. Tutty

The requirements in regard to renewables are being taken into account in terms of planning for the next five years.

In regard to the target of 2010, what percentage is involved in terms of renewables?

Mr. Tutty

The target in regard to renewables is 13.2% .

How many megawatts does that percentage amount to?

Mr. Tutty

The Minister is talking in terms of 1,100 MW or 1,200 MW. This is not a simple calculation because one must consider not only the number of megawatts of wind energy produced but such factors as whether the wind is only blowing for one third of the time, for example. These are issues that must be taken on board in considering capacity. However, it will be of the order of 1,100 MW or 1,200 MW.

The graphs relating to the costs of both coal and oil go in only one direction. Wind is the only free form of energy and this country is ideally located for its generation. In this context, it is disappointing that those charged with overseeing the security of energy supply seem always to set forth the reasons that we should not develop wind energy. We are all surprised at how quickly the price of oil has gone up. In those circumstances, it is imperative that we begin to adopt a positive attitude to what is a free energy resource.

In Britain, OFGEM's recent announcement that it will auction off gas on a daily basis represents a risk to this country's energy supply. In such circumstances we will have no guarantee of supply. We must take part in that auction but there is no guarantee we will get what we need. Much of the capacity generation that has been developed has involved gas. There seems to be a single-minded pursuit in this regard. That may be a little strong but there is certainly a significant favouritism towards gas.

The CER's performance in regard to strategic planning is disappointing in the context of the crisis which faces us. Will Mr. Tutty comment on how we will secure energy supply now that we are faced with a daily lottery as a consequence of recent changes in Britain? I see Mr. Tutty shaking his head in disagreement with what I have said.

Mr. Reeves

I will deal with the questions on wind energy and Mr. Tutty will answer those relating to gas. Wind energy is free at the point of delivery but it is not free in terms of capital costs. The major cost in regard to the generation of wind energy has always been the building of the windmills.

The cost is no more than that in regard to other forms of energy generation. Oil prices are rising.

Mr. Reeves

This is the beauty of the carbon issue. I have always said that if we had managed to price carbon fully, we would have made a significant contribution towards the economics of renewables. As long as we give thermal power stations three quarters of their carbon for free, renewables are disadvantaged. That disadvantage will persist until such time as the full cost of carbon is reflected in the market.

Wind energy is free at the point of delivery but not in terms of capital costs. The bugbear for some years in regard to wind energy generation has been the expense of building wind farms. Moreover, there is a limit to the amount of any fuel that can be put on the system. Another difficulty is the variable nature of wind energy generation. We produce a snapshot of the system every Monday morning. For example, last Monday, wind was producing only 34 MW of energy whereas the figure for the previous week was 190 MW.

That drop of almost 160 MW has to be made up from the power stations. Wind energy has a contribution to make to the security of energy supply. However, each successive megawatt contributes less than the previous one and a limit is eventually reached where one contributes nothing. That is a long way away, however. Wind energy has a part to play, therefore, but it is getting towards what is its optimum amount.

The delegation was correct in its observation that there are many forms of renewable energy apart from wind, tidal wave energy being one such example. Biomass is another which seems to have major potential.

I acknowledge Deputy Fiona O'Malley's point about the importance of securing the energy supply. Three issues must be considered in regard to energy — security of supply, environment and competitiveness. In terms of security of supply, there is little evidence of long-term planning on the part of the CER. The commission must be the champion for wind energy, which already plays a significant part, as well as biomass, tidal and other forms of renewable energy. How does biomass fit into the CER's plans? What does it predict in terms of energy generation in 20 years' time? What percentage of our energy consumption will be accounted for by gas, wind and other forms in 2020?

Mr. Reeves

Again, it all depends on price and how the environmental costs are applied. Biomass is currently quite expensive in that the materials must be grown and burned and this requires a significant amount of land. There are some cost constraints in regard to all forms of renewable energy. There is no reason, however, that renewables should not account for 20% of supply.

Work is ongoing in this regard in various Departments. Developments are linked to developments in agriculture in the next ten to 15 years. Renewables will have an increasing part to play in this context but there are issues to consider. For example, I had thought there was significant capacity for tidal power throughout the country but that is not the case.

The aim of most states is that 15% to 20% of the supply should come from renewables. We are aiming to reach 13.2% by 2010. We are therefore behind developments in this area in countries throughout Europe and as far away as Chile and Argentina.

Has Deputy Fiona O'Malley's question been answered?

What does the CER propose to do about the proposed changes in Britain in regard to gas supply?

Mr. Tutty

I will answer that question. I assume the Deputy refers to the proposed gas exit reforms. They do not mean we will be forced to buy on a daily basis but rather that capacity will be optioned out for three to eight years. Where there is spare capacity, one can buy on a day-to-day basis.

The proposed reforms caused some concern among Irish buyers. We have spoken to OFGEM about this matter a number of times, most recently two weeks ago. OFGEM decided last Thursday to delay those reforms for two years, until September 2007, in order to leave more time for discussion. We endeavoured to make sure the arrangements in place at Moffat, which is our exit system from the British system, would not be damaged by these proposals. We will continue our discussions with OFGEM to ensure we have a system that suits the Irish situation and recognises that this exit point, which supplies gas to the Republic, Northern Ireland and the Isle of Man, must be dealt with on a different basis than other exit points.

The proposals are off the table for another two years but OFGEM is considering the transitional arrangements that must be put in place. Even if it had come in, it would not mean we could buy only on a day-to-day basis. If we are ready to have long-term contracts to take gas from those exit points, the facility will be there.

Is CER anxious about the situation?

Mr. Tutty

We are anxious to ensure that the arrangements will not damage security of supply here. Some anxieties arose over the proposal that people other than those supplying gas to Ireland could book capacity at the off-take point in Moffat and transfer it elsewhere later. We want to ensure that these concerns will be addressed in the reforms. We are glad the reforms are being delayed and that more time is being allowed for discussion.

Before my colleagues speak, I wish to raise a number of issues. We want copies of the graph of the distribution charges in Europe and information on average end user costs in Europe. While I do not doubt that CER wrote to the Minister regarding the public service obligation, we want confirmation of that from Mr. Reeves.

I want to inquire further on hedging, which was briefly discussed earlier. I noticed that some visionary hedged oil at the price of $47 per barrel. I will not mention the individual here. What sort of costs did the ESB estimate for oil in its discussions with CER? I am conscious that it already has a number of contracts in place.

Mr. Reeves

When ESB makes its submissions to us, detailed information on the exact cost of its fuels is not necessarily published. In our discussions with it, we agree a profile for its plans for the year. If, through buying forward, they surpass these, we share most of the benefit with the customer in the ensuing year. Last year, for example, ESB managed to buy fuel at below the limit we allowed. We clawed back the bulk of that saving and will reduce this year's price increase accordingly.

What price increase? Surely there will not be another price increase. It has already increased by 12% over the past 15 months.

Mr. Reeves

We only apply a price increase once per year.

What have we been saying here for the past hour and a half? The customer and the consumer, including industry, did not benefit by one cent in the past 18 months. There have only been increases in charges. Is that not correct?

Mr. Reeves

The prices have certainly increased.

By 9% and 3%. That is 12%. Inflation runs at 2.5%.

Mr. Reeves

By how much has the price of home heating oil or petrol increased?

The whole country is kicking and upset because of the high prices of electricity and gas for the home.

Mr. Reeves

The prices of home heating oil, LPG and petrol have increased based on world prices for these fuels. Fuels for power generation are bought at world market prices.

Can Mr. Reeves indicate whether the increases that may come will be lower or higher than those already granted over the past 18 months?

Mr. Reeves

As we said earlier, we are still in the midst of figuring out exactly what they will be.

Mr. Reeves did not yet receive an application for a price increase.

Mr. Reeves

ESB did not ask us for a price increase in any percentage terms. It submitted to us the costs it expects next year and we are in the process of assessing those.

Explain to this committee who is undertaking the audit and review of the ESB. Mr. Reeves mentioned this in the earlier part of his presentation.

Mr. Reeves

We have ongoing assistance in terms of the supply chain. On power generation, NERA Economic Consulting and SKM Consulting assists the commission. On networks and the supply side PA Consultants assist the commission.

The commission has a number of consultants to assist it. Have submissions been made by the ESB concerning networks and the cost of running them, the level of investment and the efficiency of the generating stations?

Mr. Reeves

They make submissions. It is an interactive process. We are ready to publish within two weeks what we believe to be the appropriate action with regard to the generation part. We will follow later in terms of the networks and supply.

This committee has its own consultant, Mr. Pat Bell. With Mr. Reeves's permission, I may have him learn the system with which the commission is engaging, so that he may report to the committee. Mr. Reeves should contact Mr. Bell and make arrangements to explain exactly what is being done.

Mr. Reeves stated that he was currently undertaking a five year fundamental review of the ESB's network business. He claimed this represents 40% of the user tariff. I take it that, when he makes the announcement in September on the increased ESB prices, the result of the review will be factored in. We have devoted attention to the cost of oil and gas. Will that be factored into the price review? Mr. Reeves nodded his agreement.

I want Mr. Tutty to clarify one matter. As I remarked to Mr. Reeves in 2003, it strikes me that stopgap arrangements are in place with regard to wind energy. Moratoria have been imposed and lifted. Recent announcements have been made. Applications should probably be accepted on gate 1. Gate 2 may be left until September or later.

Despite all the wind and talk about wind energy, no coherent plan exists here. Based upon the figures supplied by Mr. Tutty in terms of people waiting on gate 2 applications, which represent a total of 2,000 MW, it is possible that the proportion will by then have increased to 13.2%. In September 2005, when the gate 2 applications are to be embraced, the required percentage may have been achieved. These applications are waiting in the queue in the anticipation that they will be accepted. They may not be accepted. Most of these applications are being submitted to local authorities and receive permission. As I speak, applications on wind energy projects are being submitted for approval by my county council. People spend a great deal of money on the planning application process. They are being put through hoops by the local authority regarding all kinds of questions and environmental impact statements.

It behoves somebody, whether the energy regulator, the ESB or the Government in conjunction with the regulator, to prepare a coherent plan. Somebody will have to say "stop the lights" and accept no further applications. The current situation is unfair to people who apply for permission for wind energy projects, possibly as alternative sources of income. In certain parts of the country these may be farmers in group schemes. They are accepted by the council and make the expenditure. They are unlikely to receive approval to connect to the grid.

A significant problem arises for those currently undergoing the process to enter the ESB's transmission system, whether 18 kV or under 10 kV. Many who are within the system have been approved for several years but are not yet linked to the system. Their planning permission will run out shortly and they will have to start over. No coherent plan exists.

For many years, we discussed wind energy. On 7 April in Dundalk, the Minister for Communications, Marine and Natural Resources raised at the Irish Wind Energy Association a new market mechanism for wind generation. It is about time somebody prepared a practical plan that would say that we are at this stage, have projected 13.2% to 2010 and already have sufficient within the system that the local authorities can be told to stop accepting applications. I said that in 2003. A plan does not yet exist. How large is the staff of Mr. Reeves's agency?

Mr. Reeves

Our approved staff level is 40.

What is the cost for the energy regulator's office for 2004?

Mr. Reeves

The cost last year was approximately €8 million. That figure includes all of our costs.

Will Mr. Reeves take up the issue of wind energy, draw up a proper plan and inform us of the situation? We discussed biomass, in respect of which Mr. Reeves stated that impediments exist, and tidal wave energy, which was tried in the estuary at major expense, and also other——

Perhaps we can discuss some of those issues before we conclude our public session.

I want a plan to be put in place and for us to stop merely discussing it.

I will take a final question from the Senator.

Ms Regina Finn

I will respond briefly on the matter of a coherent plan for wind energy. The point is well made and well taken. The idea of planning for the long term, projecting what is viable, and the total costs and benefits of different types of technology is sensible. The Minister, in conjunction with his colleague in Northern Ireland, recently announced that both Departments are examining this in the context of the renewables group and we are keen to feed into that. It is sensible to look ahead to see what we can do, when we can do it and what the benefits and costs will be so that we can develop the policy well beyond that period. We will contribute to that process, which, it is hoped, will develop quickly and will help to build on the target of 13.2% renewables. The Deputy is correct in that it will be exceeded.

That 13.2% does not have to be a cap.

Ms Finn

Absolutely.

I do not want people fooled and conned as they are at present by the false illusion that if they incur much expenditure going through the planning process to erect wind turbines, they will have an alternative income. Many of the people involved are farmers in rural areas, where they see the mountains as an advantage with regard to wind energy. Why are they going to this expense if nobody has prepared a coherent plan which would state if the system is full and no more could be taken? That is my point.

I wish to put a direct question afterwards.

The carbon emission trade system now charges €23 per tonne of carbon. What are the implications in that regard in light of the fact that one quarter of our electricity must pay for that carbon? What would be the percentage increase in price if it were to be placed directly on to electricity as a carbon cost? What would be the estimated annual cost in millions to the Irish public of such an increase?

The increase in oil and gas prices is not due to a lack of refining capacity. Global oil production is peaking, which will lead to a steady decline. Different views are held on that. The International Energy Agency, IEA, stated that there is no need to be concerned until 2030. Is the delegation aware that the IEA seems to be changing its tune? On 25 May its chief economist issued a document examining and considering the alternative scenario put forward by those who state that we are closer to that peak, which will occur within the next five years. The IEA is making remarkably strong statements to Governments that we drastically and urgently need to introduce energy efficiency and other measures.

The IEA has woken up to the reality that we are facing a peak in global oil production which will have major consequences. Goldman Sachs suggests that the price increases we are experiencing in oil and gas are merely a prelude to an increase to $100 per barrel of oil and similar increases in respect of gas. In those circumstances, Ms Finn is correct to state that we must set out a plan in respect of costs and renewables. If that scenario is true and we are facing a peak and decline in oil production, it would be clever, given our massive reliance on gas to generate electricity, to have an analysis of what should be our energy policy.

I would like to hear from the commissioners on whether the top-up and spill regime we have adds considerably to the cost of electricity?

Mr. Reeves

To answer Deputy Eamon Ryan's question on carbon, the electricity industry emits approximately 16.5 million tonnes of carbon per year. Of that, it has received approximately 14 million tonnes for free. The balance must be bought. In the current 2005 tariff calculations, we allow the ESB approximately 2.4 million tonnes of carbon at €10 per tonne.

At €23 per tonne, that is an actual cost of €50 million to the Irish public.

Mr. Reeves

It depends on whether the ESB bought forward when we allowed it to do so. We will not know that until the end of the year. If it was buying every day, then the price would be higher than €20 as Deputy Eamon Ryan indicated.

It would be approximately €50 million at the current rate.

Mr. Reeves

Yes. That has happened in Europe for various reasons which are different to those that affected Ireland. Oil now accounts for 12.5% of our electricity supply whereas it was 75% at the time of the first oil crisis in 1973. We have not built an oil station for a generation and are unlikely to do so. It is forecast that gas supplies will be plentiful for 50 or 60 years hence.

I am informed it is until 2015.

Mr. Reeves

That is incorrect. If this happens and the world is facing a new scenario——

It is indeed.

Mr. Reeves

——the renewables are part of that.

An urgent part.

Mr. Reeves

We have been part of a group, under the aegis of the Department, examining renewable energy development for the past number of years. The Ministers are to publish a vision document within the next few weeks on what the situation will be from 2020 to 2025. That will create coherence and policy, which is welcome. We had input into that document.

The public presentations we have received during the past 12 months will also add to that process.

Mr. Reeves

I will answer Deputy Fiona O'Malley's question on top-up and spill, which is a regime we have had for the past five years. It is merely part of the system and does not add to the costs. Perhaps the spill price is too low for some of the independent generators but the new all-Ireland market will do away with that entire regime and we hope to have a brand new regime in place from 1 July 2007.

I ask because it coincides with the large increases.

Mr. Reeves

The same inputs are there for all of these costs, the fuel is included in all of them.

So the answer is no.

Mr. Reeves

It is part of the entire equation.

Is it a yes or a no? Has it——

Mr. Reeves

It does not add to the costs.

I apologise for some of the members not being present and for the meeting being held on short notice. This meeting was requested by Deputy Durkan, the Opposition spokesperson, so it had to be held today.

The question must be asked as to why we hold these meetings when the last Order of Business of the session with the Taoiseach is on at the same time. We will see much of the Taoiseach on our television screens. He will make all of the announcements he made last summer and the summer before.

Deputy Durkan requested this meeting and, as Chairman, I accept what the members stated.

I cannot see how we can carry out business when the last primary plenary session of the Dáil before the recess is also taking place now. I apologise for missing the delegation's presentation. I know it was comprehensive.

The Commission for Energy Regulation's remit is to bring competition to the energy market. Our constituents are aware of the €61 price per barrel price and are fearful of a price of €80 to €100, particularly in light of what it would certainly do to our economic growth. The Celtic tiger would definitely be back in its cage. Does the delegation have a key responsibility to do whatever is necessary to bring a competitive edge to the market? That does not exist while we have a dominant incumbent.

The Taoiseach and Deputy Durkan spoke on the energy Bill in the Dáil this morning and the former stated that the Bill would be published. Does the commission have much of an input into that? Although I did not have an opportunity to question the Taoiseach on this, I understand that a White Paper on energy will be published. What is happening in terms of overall policy?

Deputies Eamon Ryan and Fiona O'Malley and Senator Finucane have articulated that this committee is conscious about conservation. Does Mr. Reeves see households being made aware of their daily carbon usage and the impact it is having, on a micro level, on the energy market?

Mr. Reeves

I hope I can recall all of the questions asked. Marginal pricing has a specific meaning in the wholesale electricity market. It means that as demand increases, the price in the wholesale market is higher because one uses stations not used all of the time. Average pricing is, more or less, what we engage in at present. Who knows how it will pan out.

We have a duty to promote competition. More than one third of the demand is now being met by independent suppliers rather than the ESB. The household market has only been open since last February but, so far, suppliers are not showing huge interest in it as margins are very small and there is much work involved in securing them. That has also been the case in other countries but it works over time.

What are the figures so far for households? Is there any household——

Mr. Reeves

Very few.

We did not see advertisements by Veridian.

Mr. Reeves

Given the cost involved, the amount of electricity used and the fact that margins are so small, it takes some time to make any money on it.

How can Mr. Reeves encourage ESB's competitors to offer——

Mr. Reeves

We must get the pricing structure right. Parties which are looking at the mass market have been in to see us. Large industrial users form the main market. It follows the sequence to small and medium-sized enterprises and is working. For example, Eirtricity has been very successful with small and medium-sized businesses. It also has household customers. It does not advertise but if one asks, it will sell electricity at the same price as the ESB.

The technology is not available for households and the market is much different from the telephone market where there is much churning. However, the industrial market is highly competitive. If one asks any supplier, it will confirm this. The Deputy mentioned the dominant incumbent and its structure. That is an issue entirely outside our control. We have no powers other than to insist it obey the rules and is above board. The Minister is producing a White Paper on energy policy in its wider sense, that is, it does not refer to electricity and gas sectors only.

We have meetings with the Department once a month at which we exchange information and keep in touch. We are also represented on various committees and working groups.

Will CER's powers be strengthened in the legislation?

Mr. Reeves

Part of the legislation aims to help us to deal with the all-island market intra vires the Bill and to give us some powers in that regard. The short Bill, to which the Taoiseach referred, is an interim measure. The creation of an all-island market will require a suite of new legislation which will be far more comprehensive because it will match, almost word for word, the Northern Ireland legislation.

I thank Mr. Reeves, Ms Finn and Mr. Tutty for their presentations. I am afraid this issue has not been resolved. We will watch closely what CER, as regulator, does and engage with it again before we finish the public hearings on the energy modules. It is important it knows the joint committee will make a number of recommendations on energy issues and CER's role as regulator.

We will resume at 2 p.m. when the joint committee will hear presentations from the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government, the ERSI, the EPA and IBEC.

Sitting suspended at 1.05 p.m. and resumed at 2.15 p.m.

I welcome Mr. Tom O'Mahony, assistant secretary, Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government; Mr. Frank Maughan from the same Department, and Mr. Ken Macken, Ms Maria Martin and Mr. Conor Barry from the Environmental Protection Agency. We have decided to meet the two groups together. Each will make a ten minute presentation, following which we will take questions.

We realise Mr. O'Mahony normally appears before a different committee but I am sure he appreciates the work of this one overlaps with that of his Department. I have no doubt his presentation will be helpful to the committee which is engaged in consultations on its energy module. Carbon tax and emissions trading are very important issues, as is the cost of fuel.

I draw attention to the fact that while members of the joint committee have absolute privilege, the same privilege does not apply to witnesses appearing before the committee which cannot guarantee any level of privilege to witnesses appearing before it. Furthermore, under the salient rulings of the Chair, members should not comment on, criticise or make charges against a person outside the House or an official by name or in such a way as to make him or her identifiable.

Mr. Tom O’Mahony

As copies of my presentation have been circulated to members, I will try to summarise it to keep within the ten minutes allocated. I thank the joint committee for giving us the opportunity to appear before it. The whole point about the national climate change strategy is that it requires action in all the sectors to implement it. The energy sector is one of the most important. I am very pleased, therefore, that the committee is taking an active interest in the matter.

In 1992 the countries which met at the Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro adopted the framework convention on climate change. Its ultimate objective is to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere to try to prevent dangerous man-made interference with the climate system. While industrialised countries were expected to take the lead, the convention did not contain any legally binding emissions reduction targets. As a consequence, the Kyoto Protocol to the convention was agreed in 1997. It provides for individual legally binding targets for industrialised countries, with an overall reduction of 5% on 1990 emissions levels of a number of greenhouse gases over the period 2008-12. Within this 5%, each party has a different target which depends largely on the economic conditions which pertained in 1990.

The protocol left it to national governments to develop strategies which suited their particular circumstances. In addition, it provides for three mechanisms for parties to cut emissions more cheaply abroad than at home. The joint implementation mechanism allows industrialised countries to implement projects which reduce emissions in other industrialised countries. The clean development mechanism is designed to generate investment in developing countries and enhance the transfer of environmentally friendly technologies to generate emissions reductions. The final mechanism provided for is emissions trading, at which we will look in more detail.

Each country has individual reduction targets while some, including Ireland, have been allowed an increase in emissions on the 1990 base year figures. For Ireland, the aim is to achieve an emissions target of 13% above the 1990 base year figures during what is called the Kyoto commitment period, that is, 2008-12. This figure was negotiated and agreed at EU level as part of a burden sharing agreement between EU member states which took into account a number of factors, including the economic conditions which pertained in 1990.

The trend in Ireland throughout the 1990s showed a significant increase, peaking in 2001, at which stage emissions were 31% above 1990 levels. Thereafter, it started to decline. The latest figures available are those for 2003 which show emissions at about 25% above 1990 levels. There are a number of reasons for this reverse in the trend, including the closure of the IFI plant in Arklow, reductions in the size of the national herd and the switch to less carbon intensive energy sources such as gas and renewables. Put in simple terms, if we index our 1990 emission levels at 100, we had a figure of 131 in 2001. We got this down to 125 in 2003 but need to get down to 113 in the period 2008-12. This means we need to cut our emission levels by a further 10%.

The largest increase in emissions has been in the transport sector where there was a 130% increase between 1990 and 2003. Emissions in the residential sector have actually decreased, primarily due to a shift from coal and peat towards gas for domestic heating. In the energy sector, which is responsible for approximately one quarter of all emissions, emissions increased by just over 39% between 1990 and 2003, although they had started to come down because they were at 46% in 2002. The two new combined cycle gas fire power plants commissioned in 2002 have given rise to that reduction.

In terms of how we will meet our Kyoto target, in 2000 the Government agreed a national climate change strategy as a broad framework for achieving greenhouse gas emissions reductions. It includes measures for the various sectors but I will focus on two, namely, the energy and transport sectors. The main measures in the energy sector are fuel switching, partially through added penetration of natural gas, more efficient use of fuel through combined heat and power production and generating more of our energy requirement from renewables, mainly wind.

The main measures in the transport sector are: that using VRT and motor tax to favour more fuel efficient cars — for example, apart from the fact tax rates rise substantially with engine size, there is also favourable VRT treatment for hybrid cars; and investment in public transport to bring about a shift away from commuting by car.

A number of the measures set out in the strategy have subsequently been superseded by, for example, the introduction of EU legislation and specific Government decisions not to proceed with certain measures such as carbon taxation or the switching from coal use at Moneypoint. Due to the introduction of the EU emissions trading scheme, our emphasis has shifted somewhat to the potential to reduce emissions in the sectors of the economy which are not participating in emissions trading, that is, the non-trading sector. Given this change in emphasis, the national climate change strategy is currently under review by the Department and the cross-departmental official level committee which is charged with overseeing its implementation. A key purpose of this review will be to ensure the existing measures are adequate to meet our Kyoto targets and to develop additional measures to the extent to which we need to do so.

In that context, the current estimate of our distance from target — in other words, the extent to which we will exceed our emissions target if no steps are taken — is 9.2 million metric tonnes. At this stage, measures are in place, or are being put in place, to account for approximately 8 million tonnes. These include 4.3 million tonnes to be achieved by the trading sector — by a combination of emissions reduction and the purchase of allowances and also allowances in respect of a approximately 3.7 million to be purchased by the Government for the non-trading sector. The main imperative for the review of the strategy is to identify additional measures to help meet the shortfall which we estimate at 1.2 million tonnes.

I will briefly refer to the EU emissions trading scheme but I will not go into detail because the Environmental Protection Agency will look in more detail at how it operates. However, I wish to make some general observations about it, particularly in terms of how it relates to the energy sector. The idea of the scheme is that a limited number of allowances are allocated to participating firms. There is a market similar to a stock market and if a firm does not need to use its allowances and if it can make savings on its emissions, it has this asset which it can sell. Equally, if it has excess emissions, it can purchase allowances. However, because the overall amount of allowances is capped, it means the emissions impact is quantified in advance.

The Irish installations, based on the allocations by the EPA for the pilot phase of the scheme, account for approximately 33% of total emissions figures. This was introduced on a pilot basis from 1 January of this year and the European Commission is currently surveying stakeholders on their experience of the scheme to date. It is envisaged that the results of this will be presented to the Council and the European Parliament early next year.

Although the pilot phase only commenced in January, member states must submit the national allocations plans for the Kyoto commitment period, that is, 2008-12, to the EU Commission by the end of next June. The Department has already commenced the process of updating its emissions projections for 2008-12 so that the overall allocation to the trading sector will be as robust as possible. The allocation will be decided by Government at the end of this year, following which the EPA will begin the process of making installation level allocations for 2008-12.

I wish to look specifically at the energy sector. For the purposes of calculating emissions, this sector comprises electricity generation, oil refining and gas production, transmission and distribution. We get emissions from three distinct sources. There is carbon dioxide and small amounts of nitrous oxide from fuel combustion in electricity generation. There is carbon dioxide and negligible nitrous oxide from oil refining and then there is methane from leakages in the natural gas pipeline and carbon dioxide from flaring and transmission of natural gas. Of these sources, carbon dioxide contributes 97% of the sector's total emissions and electricity generation accounts for a similar percentage of the total sectoral emissions.

In the 1990-2002 period, emissions of carbon dioxide per unit of GDP in Ireland fell by almost 40%, which shows that we have been making considerable reductions in the carbon intensity of the economy. However, since the economy has been growing so fast, this has been greatly overtaken and overall we have had an increase in emissions, although we have got some benefit from the commencement of the two new combined cycle gas fired turbine plants in 2002.

Emissions from the sector are still projected to increase by another 15% to 2012. Across Europe, it is projected that approximately 700 GW — which is the same as the currently installed capacity — of electricity generating capacity needs to be installed by 2030. Given the lead time for planning decisions for such infrastructure, it is likely that the investment decisions taken over the next few years will determine the carbon emissions for several decades.

A central feature of any future energy strategy for the EU will be cost effective energy efficiency improvements and energy savings. The Energy Commissioner has made energy efficiency one of his priorities and recently published a Green Paper on it that lists a number of options which could save 20% of energy consumption by 2020. That would result in savings estimated at €60 million. If nothing is done, however, current EU-wide trends point towards a 10% increase in energy use in the next 15 years. Half of the proposed savings could be reached by full implementation of already adopted legislation on energy efficiency in buildings, domestic appliances and energy services.

This year's spring meeting of the European Council at Head of State level concluded that developed countries should consider reducing their greenhouse gas emissions by between 15% and 30% by 2020 as part of global efforts to reduce emissions. It also committed the EU to leading other developed countries in meeting this target. If one juxtaposes this commitment against the required investment in electricity generating capacity, it becomes clear that further investment in clean energy is likely to take precedence. The establishment of a market value for greenhouse gas emissions through the EU emissions trading scheme means that the costs of carbon dioxide will now be factored into production and investment decisions thus providing a further incentive for investment in clean technologies.

I emphasise the importance of the link between our energy policy and our climate policy. Indeed, one of the core objects of Ireland's energy policy is environmental sustainability. One will find the interfaces very clearly in the national climate change strategy, in the Green Paper on sustainable energy and in the co-benefits of specific measures, such as emissions trading, renewable energy supports, energy efficient and demand reduction measures. How the energy sector develops over the next few years will affect Ireland's progress towards meeting its Kyoto targets but we also must have our sights on the time beyond the first Kyoto period after 2012, when more ambiguous emissions reductions are likely to be required. As I mentioned earlier in the EU context, the decisions we take in regard to energy policy over the next few years are, therefore, likely to have long-term implications for Ireland's ability to address future climate change commitments.

Mr. Ken Macken

Following on the presentation from Mr. O'Mahony, I wish to outline where the emissions trading scheme has been implemented in Ireland and how it is being done. I will go through the slides I have circulated. The paper document, which has also been circulated, is a supporting one and there is a publication which summarises the entire process.

The slide entitled "Kyoto Protocol" summarises what members have heard from Mr. O'Mahony.

The protocol applies to six greenhouse gases. Technically, this is important because only carbon dioxide is included in emissions trading even though our national greenhouse gas emissions total is achieved by adding up all six gases and weighting them in equivalence to CO2.

The top of the second page of our document shows the current position with regard to Ireland's emissions. It is clear that we are approximately 10% higher than should be the case. The current emission level is approximately 67.5 million tonnes per annum. Our target is approximately 61 million tonnes per annum. We must reduce from our current position by approximately 10% or 6.5 million tonnes per annum.

The bottom of the second pages shows the Kyoto mechanisms. These assist cost effective reductions. It is not important from the global perspective where a reduction is made as it is a global problem. All that is important is that the reduction is made. In implementing the Kyoto Protocol, the parties to it identified that they wanted to achieve making reductions in a cost effective way. They also wanted to arrange technology transfers to third countries. The joint implementation and team development mechanisms apply to projects and are being introduced more slowly than emissions trading, which the EU has already introduced.

Emissions trading under the Kyoto Protocol does not come into play until 1 January 2008. The EU has decided to act ahead of this date and introduce a three-year pilot scheme, from 1 January 2005, before moving into the Kyoto scheme. The pilot scheme is to allow European countries to develop an understanding of how the scheme works and to iron out some of the problems that may become apparent before dealing with the more serious reductions envisaged in the real scheme.

This is a "cap and trade" scheme that applies to CO2 only. Within each member state, each national authority must apply a ceiling level of gases assigned to emissions trading. This is the cap and it is distributed to each of the companies covered by emissions trading. These companies are listed on a schedule of industry types in the EU directive, as implemented by Irish legislation.

Once a company has been awarded its allocation, it is free to emit greenhouse gases provided it records those gases. At the end of each year, the company must surrender allowances to cover its emissions. If it has emitted more than it was issued free, it must buy on the open market to make up the difference. If it managed to reduce its emissions, and have some left over, it can sell. This gives rise to trade. If one company can make energy reductions more cost effectively than another, it will do so and will sell its allowances, while companies facing high costs to make reductions will buy. A market mechanism will ensure that reductions are made in the most cost effective way.

The allowances distributed are determined from a cap reached by way of a governmental decision. The Environmental Protection Agency is responsible for distributing this to all of the installations within the scheme, of which there are more than 100. This involves drawing up the national allocation plan. The scheme also encompasses significant penalties over and above the payment of current market prices. If, at the end of the year, a company does not have allowances to cover its emissions it faces a €40 per tonne penalty during the pilot phase. It also has that number of tonnes reduced from its allocation for the following year. That penalty increases to €100 per tonne in the main scheme.

On page three, members can see the structure put in place in Ireland to implement the emissions trading scheme. A national advisory group — comprising the chief executives of our senior nominees, Forfás, the Commission for Energy Regulation, Sustainable Energy Ireland and the National Treasury Management Agency, under the chairmanship of Dr. Ed Walsh — was established to advise the EPA. The director general of the EPA is also a member.

The Government decided the total amount, which was then allocated to sectors and installations by the EPA. We did that by way of consultation with those involved. We took advice from the advisory group, drew up a plan indicating how we would do it, put it out for review and completed various levels of consultation. It also had to be approved by the Commission. The document shows that process, including stages of consultation, review and adjustment from July 2003 to the current position in more detail. A final decision was taken on 8 March 2005, reflected in the blue publication I have distributed to committee members. It indicates the actual allocation to each of the approximately 100 installations for each of the three years.

On the bottom of page four of our document members can see the methodology used. We based the allocation on the 66.96 million tonnes we were given by the Government for the three-year period. We were directed by the Government that at least 97% had to be allocated free initially. We decided, in the first instance, to allocate to each sector. We divided each of the groups into sectors, based on the divisions already contained in the directive. We worked on an historical basis of what those sectors had emitted and we proportioned the amount we were given into those sectors. We then examined the companies within the sectors. Again, we decided to allocate to them on an historical basis. Certain exceptions were made for companies that had only recently started because we had to have recourse to other means. We used projections and recent emissions.

We also established a set-aside or reserve for new entrants. We put aside 1 million tonnes for the three-year period. We also introduced a number of measures to increase and promote energy efficiency. We established a CHP set-aside, taken from the powergen sector, of approximately 500,000 tonnes to cover the three-year period. This is to cover the electrical proportion of combined heat and power plants and is a stimulus to encourage what is widely recognised as a poor uptake of CHP technology in Ireland.

We adjusted the sector allocation to the electricity sector, to allow for meeting the targets under the RES-e directive for increased use of renewables generating electricity because generating renewable electricity means fossil fuels are not used. A proportion of the national electricity would not require those CO2 allowances. We also put aside 500,000 tonnes to cover the operation of the scheme that would be auctioned.

On page 5 we see the breakdown of allocation of the 66.96 million tonnes. Existing installations get approximately 65 million tonnes, new entrants get approximately 1 million tonnes and CHP and auctions get approximately 500,000 tonnes each. The impact of this on Ireland's projected emissions of greenhouse gases is also shown on a graph on page 5, which may be difficult to follow. The grey shaded part represents the impact of the emissions trading scheme. One can see that in the first three-year period, the impact is foreseen as relatively modest, rising to a greater impact in the second, or Kyoto, phase.

On page 6 one members can see that we are moving into the second national allocation plan. We must submit this by the end of June 2006. The final decisions on allocations must be made during the latter half of 2006. Some legal differences exist between the first and second phase. In the first phase at least 95% had to be allocated free. In the second phase, only 90% must be allocated free. Some countries opted-out certain sectors with which they had private agreements. We will not be allowed do so in the second phase. There is a provision for opting-in additional sectors and even other greenhouse gases if member states wish to approach the Commission. There is also a need to set a limit on how much the other mechanisms are used. Again, the Government will decide the total amounts for emissions trading and the Environmental Protection Agency will decide how to allocate to individual sectors and installations. We will be advised by the national allocation advisory group.

All of this is reflected in the national registry, whereby people's allocations are recorded in an on-line web-based system. It is almost like a banking system. Individuals who are given allocations are provided with passwords which they can key in and see their allocation in the scheme. If they sell, they can transfer that on the web-based system to the buyer. If they purchase, the seller will transfer the credits to them. At the end of each year, they must send a certain amount of their allocation to the EPA to balance what they sold.

The registry is not a trading platform, it merely records what one has in one's account. If one wants to set up a trade, one arranges it through meetings or other arrangements. One does not arrange trades through the registry. The software system will go live within the next few weeks in Ireland.

It is already live in a number of member states. The most recent data I saw indicated that nine of the 25 members states have the registry live, while the other 16 states, like Ireland, are working on putting one together.

The emissions trading scheme is to be thought of as simply a mechanism to allow reductions take place in the most cost effective way. It relies on the cap that is given to it as part of the national strategy.

I congratulate the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government and the EPA on their submissions. This is an interesting subject, for which they have particular responsibility and on which they have an impact.

Mr. Macken referred to greenhouse gases being a global problem and that reductions should be implemented everywhere. There are benefits from that in terms of gas emissions trading. From an economic point of view, however, and depending on the scale of the economy comparative to the economies of other countries in the world, we would quickly run out of credits in that area. For example, mention was made of the reduction in the national herd being beneficial to reducing emissions. That is true but the national herd here previously stood at approximately 8 million animals. The national herds in the UK, Argentina and Brazil are 14 million, 70 million and 158 million, respectively. We must recognise that we have a part to play in reducing emissions and exceeding the target set for us but we should also remember that Ireland is a relatively small player in the field and that we do not have to make all the sacrifices. We could eliminate all emissions here but that would not affect emissions globally. We must remember that, lest somebody gets the notion that we will address the entire problem. The latter is not the case.

Regarding the destruction of the rain forests, that is not our problem but we continue to complain about it and expect that somebody should do something about it. We will shortly have to come up with a strategy because there is little point in lecturing the people who live in those areas. If they want to recognise the full economic viability of their terrain, we must, just as we did in respect of the African countries under the Lomé 1 and 2 agreements, do something. If we are to make a serious impact on emissions, we must begin in the area where there is a major issue that can be dealt with but only in a particular way. In that context, it must be dealt with economically.

I have referred to the emissions trading scheme, which is useful. I congratulate all involved in the achievements to date. We have not achieved our targets but it appears that we are moving in the right direction.

Mr. O'Mahony referred to conservation and energy conservation, in particular. That is extremely useful and much more can be achieved in that area than was the case in the past. Two issues arise in that regard. Regarding insulation of houses, offices, factories, etc., I find it difficult to understand the reason that foundations of local authority houses are currently being poured in the knowledge that the new regulations will come into place in 2007. They are not being applied currently but it would be good economics to do that now and build up that credit, so to speak. It is somewhat similar to somebody saying they were travelling within the speed limit. One does not have to travel at 60 km/h, one can travel at a lower speed. In the same way, we do not have to wait until 2007 when this measure becomes legally applicable. We should apply it now and I ask the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government to do that because, in my constituency and several others, foundations to which the new insulation guidelines do not apply are still being poured and instructions have been given to that effect.

Reference was made to methane gas. The only one Mr. Macken failed to mention, probably in deference to the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government, is that which emanates from the various sewage treatment plans throughout the country, of which there are quite a few. In some areas the countryside is permeated with gas emissions from malfunctioning or inefficient sewage treatment plants. There is one in my constituency. Any tourist to the constituency who has travelled on the M7 between Naas and Newbridge will have had occasion to inhale the unmistakable odour that emanates from the Osberstown scheme. There is also one in Dublin Port. It does not extend to my constituency but I have met people, some of whom are sitting beside me, who have met individuals who have had that experience. To deal with the issue before it becomes a problem, it should and must be possible to improve the efficiency of the plants from the outset in order to eliminate such emissions. There is no necessity for such emissions because the technology in this area is well advanced. Such emissions occur throughout the city at certain times of the year. I ask that what I proposed be done with a view to making a contribution towards all such plants.

I mentioned conservation and I will not return to it because I am aware other members want to contribute. I would like more information on the forestry programme, which is complementary to this sector with respect to sequestration. I have asked a question on that programme previously. The forestry development programme is important because it can be complementary to the conservation area in particular and extremely beneficial to the environment in more ways than one. There is the visual impact, the provision of wood for construction and many other purposes. More emphasis must be placed on bringing the forestry industry into the picture with a view to identifying the precise impact its development could have. I hate to bore members but the impact that can be achieved depends on the type of trees planted. Much more effort must be put into planting. My colleague on my right does not agree with me on this but planting trees has been a pastime of mine over the years and one learns much from them in terms of the way they grow.

I thought I cemented that crack.

We are still working on it. Amazingly, in the United States and in Canada people tap into the maple and make alcohol from it. Imagine what it would do for our economy if we were able to achieve that. To be serious, there are a number of trees that are enormously beneficial to the environment in terms of capturing carbons. More emphasis must be placed on that. I am aware that some environmentalists are opposed to the planting of the same species of tree. We must make up our minds one way or the other. If we do not want to plant sitka spruce or western red cedars, we should decide that we will sacrifice those even though they are excellent for trapping carbons. We should decide that we do not want them because somebody else is of the view that they give off nutrients and so on.

On the question of oil based electricity production, I realise that the representatives are not responsible, except in regard to emissions, for that area. There is, however, a huge knock-on effect in terms of electricity price hikes. At present, a relatively small amount of our electricity is generated from that area. People blame oil price hikes on the oil portion of electricity production but that is not true. If the representatives want to comment on that, we would welcome hearing from them.

We will bank the questions. I will call Deputy Eamon Ryan, followed by Deputy Fiona O'Malley. We will then take answers to the questions.

The Minister for Foreign Affairs said last night, in response to our Private Members' motion which had a climate change element to it, that the meeting of experts from different countries as part of the 2012 renegotiation of the Kyoto Protocol in Bonn in May had been very positive. I know it is only the first meeting and that we must wait for the proper negotiating process to begin but is there an initial sense as to the reason the meeting was positive? What is the long-term outlook post-2012? Mr. O'Mahony referred to the spring European Council agreeing to cap the reduction at plus 15% to 30% rather than capping it at plus 13%. Does that include Ireland or are we again exempt because of our need to grow the economy?

With regard to a particular hobby horse of mine, has the Government considered or taken a position on a renegotiation of Kyoto post-2012, on which negotiations are to begin next year? What sort of preferred allocation system do we want? The one I have tried to push for is based on a per capita carbon allocation throughout the world, with a trading system linked to that. Has the Department done any work on considering such systems before entering the negotiations?

Why does the Department consider the issue of energy as one of electricity generation? I thought a consideration of energy would include electricity generation, heat generation and transport. I am sure the Department is considering heat and transport but it is probably best if we all sing from the same hymn sheet and, therefore, when we talk about energy, we talk not just about electricity generation but also about heat and fuels. It makes sense to an extent because the fuels are often interchangeable or can be used in different sectors. It is better to keep them together.

The figures provided by Mr. O'Mahony were interesting. He stated we would need a reduction of 8 million tonnes of carbon, 4.3 million tonnes of which would come, some by emission reductions and some by the purchase of allowances, from the traded sector. Of that 4.3 million tonnes, how many will be obtained by the purchase of allowances? The energy regulator attended the committee earlier and made the point that the electricity sector currently has to purchase approximately 2.5 million tonnes of carbon per year at the emissions trading price of €23 per tonne. That would add a price tag of approximately €50 million to the electricity bill if it is not brought forward. Does that tally with the Department's estimate? Are those 2.5 million tonnes part of the traded sector to which Mr. O'Mahony referred?

I have a question for the EPA representatives. I have spent three years trying to understand the virtual markets, which are complicated and not easy to understand. I take the point that the Department simply provides the registry and does not deal with the trading. How is the €23 per tonne price set for Irish companies that trade? Mr. O'Mahony stated that companies can sometimes work between themselves in direct trade. However, it is a central European market system that sets the price of €23 per tonne. It would ease my mind if Mr. O'Mahony could explain this.

I noted with interest that clean development mechanisms, CDMs, are allowed from 2005. Have any CDMs been processed here or are any about to be processed? What level of tonnage is involved and how many have been done in the context of joint implementation? Is there a tendency towards one or the other yet, or has it all been emissions trading to date?

I welcome both groups and thank them for their interesting presentations. I also have a query about the trading platform. It is a new market or a new resource. Like Deputy Eamon Ryan, I question the mechanism for the moving and monitoring of the trading platform and how prices are set. Does the value increase and decrease? I am also concerned about what parts of the process are real because in a way it seems virtual, with people running around behind closed doors and talking to each other rather than having a proper trading mechanism.

Mr. O'Mahony referred to operating the carbon trading system mechanism in a cost efficient way. Would it be fair to suggest this seems to be the motivation rather than the reduction of emissions? The giving out of free permits does not incentivise a producer of carbon dioxide to decrease output because the permits have been issued and will be reissued. Where is the incentive for people to deal with cleaning up carbon dioxide? I was concerned when Mr. O'Mahony admitted that the priority seems to be to make the trading system cost efficient rather than effective in terms reducing carbon dioxide emissions.

The Department's presentation seems very positive and suggests that we are on the right road. The decline on the graph is going in the right direction in terms of trying to reach targets. However, does the graph represent a blip due to the closure of the IFI plant and the introduction of the two gas generators? Is it just fortunate that the graph shows we are going in the right direction? Is there a long-term strategy for the period beyond the 2012 targets in the Kyoto process?

I have a query for the EPA delegation. I did not understand a point on the national allocation plan and the new CHP set-aside. Are certain manufacturers of waste exempted or are all treated equally? What did Mr. Macken mean when he referred to installations deemed to have closed?

Mr. O’Mahony

There are quite a few questions. I will leave the emissions trading questions for the EPA to address. With regard to Deputy Durkan's questions, it is understood that Ireland is a small country in this and cannot be expected to address the entire problem. However, we operate very much as a member of the EU. This explains the point touched on by Deputy Eamon Ryan, namely, that while the EU as a whole is committed to a reduction, for the first period we are actually allowed an increase over and above the 1990 levels. This is because our partners in the EU recognise that in 1990 Ireland was far behind other member states in terms of its industrial development and so on. One of the points of Ireland being a member of the EU is to bring ourselves up to the average level of development, although the extent to which we might exceed that level was not foreseen. It was recognised that to achieve this would inevitably generate substantial emissions. If one likes, in this burden sharing arrangement we were given a degree of relief to allow for the economic development that was taking place.

However, we still have to reduce our emissions from their current levels. Obviously, what will happen in the 2012 period and what Ireland's share will be is a matter that will have to be negotiated and agreed with our EU partners. The world level negotiations on this will commit EU member states to a particular reduction and that will then be distributed among the EU member states. Given Ireland's level of development, we would not expect to get the kind of favourable treatment we previously obtained.

Regarding speeding up the process of energy conservation, there is a degree of phasing. The building regulations for new houses were amended at the beginning of 2003 and these reduced energy use in new houses by 23%, with more reductions to take place in 2005. Under the energy performance in buildings directive energy efficiency assessment and labelling for all buildings on the market is phased in over three years from next year. It is a phased process.

Why phase it? We have decided what we will have in 2007 and there is no reason we cannot have that now. What is the problem? Why not say that every new house from now on must comply with regulations and have 2007 as a deadline?

Mr. O’Mahony

It is not unusual to phase in changes that will have significant impact on industry. That is the arrangement that has been made.

It should not be the case that new state-of-the-art sewage treatment plants are emanating offensive odours. The cause of this may be in dispute between designers and builders but this problem must be resolved for a number of reasons. The European Commission is monitoring Ireland on a number of high-profile sewage treatment plants where there was an odour problem initially. The expectation is that, ultimately, it is the responsibility of the designer or the contractor to correct anything that does not meet the original specification.

The Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government lays down the specification.

Mr. O’Mahony

Yes, the Department and the local authority, which is normally the contractor.

Mr. O'Mahony has raised a very touchy subject. If I were him I would move on, as those of us in the front line could talk about treatment plants all day.

Mr. O’Mahony

Forestry is extremely important, not least because, from a technical point of view, forests are carbon sinks. They are also important in the commercial use of timber and fire fuels. Yesterday evening, some of the members may have heard an extensive report on that issue on "Five Seven Live". It referred to a number of hotels that are changing over to woodchip heating.

We had a very informative presentation on that last week and I congratulate Deputy Durkan who seems to be an expert on biofuels and bio-energy. He has been very helpful to the committee.

I am learning.

Mr. O’Mahony

I can assure the committee that the forestry sector is a significant part of the national climate change strategy. The Department's responsibility for the individual sectors takes the lead in driving development in those sectors. There is a cross-departmental climate change team where all of this is collated.

I am straying outside my area of expertise when I suggest why electricity seems to increase when oil prices increase. It is a matter of straightforward economics. When one has a substitute for a fuel that is increasing in price, the substitute will also increase.

Deputy Eamon Ryan asked about the meeting in Bonn some weeks ago. There was much disappointment at the outcome of the climate change conference of the parties in Buenos Aires in December. I attended that meeting and it was very disappointing for the EU countries trying to take a leadership role in the absence of anyone else offering to take it. It was difficult to get any commitments to enter into meaningful discussions. The outcome was that this meeting in Bonn would take place. The fact that some progress was made towards establishing arrangements for negotiations for post-2012 was seen as a step forward although it was only an initial step forward.

The consensus seems to be that we should not allow temperature rises of more than 2% this century and in the developing world this requires a reduction of at least 60% of emissions. Is that consideration framing the review in 2012? The British and German Governments have accepted that and are developing their strategy in the context of this. Are we thinking likewise?

Mr. O’Mahony

The European Union acts collectively on this and the Commission published a discussion paper in March or April. This reviewed and accepted the scientific evidence and set out the necessary emissions reductions. Mr. Maughan may be able to find a precise reference to that.

It is recognised that over the period up to 2050 there must be substantial reductions worldwide, similar to the levels the member mentioned.

There was a debate question this morning on whether we should set 2050 as a target. That would make sense as the Department of Environment, Heritage and Local Government is also setting long-term targets to 2050. In energy policy we should do the same.

Mr. O’Mahony

The emphasis in the Kyoto negotiations will be on the 2012 to 2020 period. There are a number of reasons for that, the most important of which is that if very substantial reductions are not tied down for the 2012 to 2020 period, there is little point in considering what is ahead. There is no point in long-fingering the aspirations.

The Commission's communication went to the Environment Council of Ministers at the end of March and the Council agreed to the conclusions, one of which was that reduction pathways in the order of 15% to 30% by 2020 and 60% to 80% by 2050 should be considered by the group of development countries compared with the baseline envisaged in the Kyoto protocol.

Is that the Irish Government's position?

Mr. O’Mahony

The Irish Government was party to these conclusions and these went to the spring Council and were endorsed there. It is the position of the Heads of State of Europe.

There is a major difference between 15% and 30%. Why was there such a spread?

Mr. O’Mahony

I suppose that is a range of negotiating parameters. As the international negotiations proceed the EU may seek to achieve world agreement on reductions of 30% and may settle for 15%. I assume that is the rationale for the range.

Is showing one's bottom line a good of way of negotiating?

Mr. O’Mahony

It also reflects the uncertainty on how precise one can be on what is necessary to achieve a 2% reduction. That is not an exact science.

It was pointed out that I honed in on one particular aspect of energy. That is correct and I did not go into detail on transport although I did refer to it in the presentation. This was my interpretation of the brief for today. The national climate change strategy goes across the entire economy. It considers home heating in terms of the power generation aspect but also in terms of building standards and insulation. Most of Deputy Fiona O'Malley's questions related to emissions trading. She also asked whether the reduction in emissions was just a blip. We had a reduction in 2002 and another in 2003. The closure of the fertilizer plant in Arklow was significant in that regard, but there are other factors. The national herd is growing smaller and——

We will be left with a by-product from that. We will have to build incinerators to burn the meat and bonemeal, so I am not sure how beneficial that is.

Mr. O’Mahony

Is the Deputy referring to the closure of IFI? The need for incinerators is another issue. Apart from the closure of IFI, other significant factors are that the national herd is reducing in size and that within the national energy sector there have been shifts in power generation technology.

The Deputy asked if there was a long-term strategy. We have the national climate change strategy, which now needs revisiting because it was agreed around the year 2000. Some developments that have taken place since then were not anticipated. Other proposed measures put forward in the national climate change strategy have, for one reason or another, not proven feasible. The strategy is under review and we hope that by the end of this year we will publish a new document that will set out what we will try to do on a cross-sectoral basis for the next few years. I think I have covered the questions in my area and will pass the others to the Environmental Protection Agency.

Mr. Macken

Deputy Durkan asked whether we were moving precipitously towards our target. We have accepted the Kyoto target as part of an international agreement. The first phase of the emissions trading over a three-year period will reduce the emissions from that group by a little over 2 million tonnes, approximately 0.7 million tonnes per annum. This is approximately a 3% or 4% reduction on the expected business as usual emissions for the trading sector. That is the first step on the way to an overall 10% reduction, which is where we have to go from where we are. We are going about one third of the way in the first step and only going to our Kyoto target. Therefore, we are doing no more than we have already taken on board by way of international commitment.

I was not suggesting we were going too fast. I was making a comparison with, for example, Latin America or all the Americas. While we rightly make sacrifices, to what extent can we influence our friends in the United States? Why do they seem to have such disdain for these principles? Have we tackled the problem technically or what do they know that we do not? Do they care? I just want to put the issue in perspective. I do not think we are going too fast. We are probably not going fast enough. I want to emphasise, however, that if we eliminated everything and were selling or trading clean air to everybody throughout the world, we could not exist on that. We need an economy apart from that. We must remember that we could end up making sacrifices that are disproportionate to our economic size.

Mr. Macken

The way we have tried to implement the strategy within Europe is through a combination of giving a lead and doing it in a sensible way that does not unnecessarily penalise European industry but encourages it to become very energy efficient and a leader in the field. We are trying to achieve a balance through the direction we are taking, but only time will tell how successful we are. If we are not on that line, we will continually try to tweak ourselves to keep on it.

I mentioned the destruction of the rain forests. This is part of the problem and we must accept some responsibility for it. While we castigate the Brazilians for doing what they are doing, we are not prepared to offer any assistance. I remember an eminent person from this country saying that the only way we can help is to make it economically viable for them to accede to our requests.

We will give Dr. Macken time to answer all the questions if we can.

Mr. Macken

Deputy Eamon Ryan asked, with regard to the contribution from the emissions trading sector, how much of it would come from purchases and how much from reductions. That is not clear. It is part of what the scheme leaves open to individual companies and installations. They have choices whether they make a change in their process, efficiency or equipment versus purchase. The advantage of making a change is that once it is made there is no ongoing annual cost to continue purchasing. If a company decides to buy itself out of trouble this year or next year, it must still buy itself out of trouble the year after and so on. Companies must make the call. As the scheme progresses and technologies improve, people will find more efficient ways of doing things. That is what the scheme is supposed to do. It provides an economic driver to encourage the development of energy efficient technologies.

Deputy Fiona O'Malley mentioned combined heat and power. This is a technology that in its own right does not necessarily have anything to do with waste. Combined heat and power is the way whereby, if one must generate hot water or steam in an industry, one burns fuel to do so. However, this can only be done at a certain level of efficiency. Alternatively, if one must generate electricity or if one uses electricity in the industry, one does so by burning fuel and one can only get a certain efficiency.

There are pieces of equipment, called combined heat and power plants, whereby one generates the electricity and the hot water or steam together and this equipment gives a very high level of efficiency. For example, a modern power station might get up to 55% or 60% efficiency. That is the best a modern power station will do, but a combined heat and power plant can get up to 80% and 90% efficiency. Therefore, one gets extra efficiency from one's fuel. This can be done with the normal traditional fossil fuels, coal, oil and gas etc.

Sometimes, as with any fuel-burning appliance, one can decide to introduce waste, but we are not introducing it in this context. The combined heat and power incentive that we are giving is in the context of traditional combined heat and power. If people want to burn a waste fuel, that is an added dimension. They could do that without using combined heat and power. Waste burning is an extra add-on and will not arise in most cases. Most people switching to combined heat and power plants do so using whatever fuels they have been using.

The Deputy also referred to closures. We were directed by Government, as part of the directions on the total quantity for emissions trading, that whenever an entity closed it would not get future allocations for the years ahead. That was part of our initial three-year plan. Obviously, that issue can be revisited as part of the next plan. That direction has both advantages and disadvantages. It is a difficult call to make and we received several submissions on it.

I mentioned that the position vis-à-vis farming does not incentivise farmers.

Mr. Macken

This goes back to what I said to Deputy Durkan. We are introducing a scheme whereby we are trying to get carbon reductions which are achieved by way of the cap, that is, the amount of allowances we are giving overall. In the first pilot phase, Ireland gave approximately 96% or 97% of what it was anticipated companies needed. Therefore, there was a shortfall that they had to make up either by purchasing, trading or a cutback of 3% or 4%. As the scheme progresses, the cap gets tighter. The reduction comes from the cap. It is inbuilt into the overall cap that is given to the emissions trading sector. The trading is simply the mechanism to do that as cheaply as possible.

It is a two-handed strategy. One gets one's reduction from the overall amount——

It is very marginal. Could it be done more efficiently if free permits were not given out and people were asked to pay for them?

Mr. Macken

We are looking at the steps in position on Irish and European industry. What would be the effect were we to take all the industries burning fossil fuels and say they must pay for all of their carbon emissions? Depending on how one structures the scheme, it will make it extremely expensive for such industries to operate or the allowances will be traded at a lower price

Mr. O’Mahony

I would like to help to clarify this matter. It is really a matter of straightforward economics. One has an incentive as soon as one has a permit, regardless of whether one had to pay for it or one was given it for nothing. If one can reduce one's emissions to ensure that one does not have to avail of the full amount of the permit, one will be able to sell one's permit.

Our allocation is a national one. As a nation, we must meet certain targets. If one section of the nation is given free permits and another section of the nation is not, will those who have to pay for permits not be upset that others have received them for free?

Mr. O’Mahony

That is quite a different issue.

Is it not true?

Mr. O’Mahony

If I elaborate on the matter, I will be getting into a policy area. It is very difficult to draw an analogy to the emissions trading scheme at the level of individual households. I assure Deputy Fiona O'Malley that the incentive is in place. If one owns a permit, regardless of whether one had to buy it or one was given it for nothing, one has an asset. As Dr. Macken said, one has a choice to make. One can use the permits and not make technological changes to reduce one's emissions or one can decide, on the basis of a cost-benefit analysis, that if one makes such changes to reduce one's emissions, one can sell the permits and make a profit. Therefore, one will decide to sell the allowances.

If one knows that the permits will continue to be free, one will wait until the next allocation before making changes.

Mr. O’Mahony

If one has the permits, one can make the choice I have outlined. One can decide to do nothing. One can decide to reduce one's emissions to the level at which one is covered by one's permits. One can reduce one's emissions further and sell the permits one has not used. One has an incentive. That is the point.

We can examine the policy with the policy-makers. I noticed that Mr. O'Mahony referred the Deputies to the policy-makers.

Deputy Eamon Ryan correctly mentioned that we did not discuss the transport industry. Similarly, we did not speak about domestic heating, which relates to the oil and gas industries. Certain types of vehicle being produced by the motor industry are found in large numbers in this country. I appreciate that this is a political issue as well. We need to measure the impact of the emissions produced by various types of vehicles. I can think of a certain type of vehicle that is very prevalent in the countryside at present.

I have a 1967 Volkswagen Beetle. I am not usually allowed to advertise, but I do not think it matters in this instance because I am talking about a car that is not coming off the production line any more. It still produces the original emission levels, which I am sure are quite substantial. As politicians, we should be able to compare a car of that nature with the cars which are being produced at present. We should be able to determine the extent to which the industry has dealt with the problem. If the industry is performing 20 times better in terms of emissions, which it probably is, it has a vested interest in saying so. We need an independent assessment of that. The Environmental Protection Agency probably has a role in this regard.

I would like to discuss the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government's plans for making it possible to generate electricity from wind power and for dealing with the logistical problems which will arise in that regard. I appreciate that I have taken a step away from the main issue with which we are dealing. If we are to be serious about replacements and renewables, we need to consider this aspect of the matter.

I would like to get some answers to the questions I asked about the clean development mechanism and joint implementation. I am interested in how the price is set at European level. I also asked Mr. O'Mahony whether Ireland intends to push for a worldwide per capita carbon allocation, as part of a long-term approach to this problem.

I am conscious that the joint committee has to meet two more delegations before the spokespersons for the different parties go to the Chamber in approximately 45 minutes. Can Mr. O'Mahony or Dr. Macken advise the committee whether the current rate of renewable take-up is adequate?

Mr. Macken

I cannot answer the question about whether it is adequate or inadequate. In implementing the emissions trading regime, the Environmental Protection Agency allowed for meeting the requirements under the directive as part of the way it structured the scheme.

Mr. O’Mahony

The Department of Communications, Marine and Natural Resources has established a renewable energy development group, which will report by the end of the year. I presume that the group will consider the question asked by the Chairman.

Does Mr. O'Mahony have any views on the matter?

Mr. O’Mahony

I do not.

He would be running for election if he had.

Mr. O’Mahony

I understand that my role is to give the committee information rather than opinions.

It has been a long day. We have been here since 10 o'clock this morning. Many of us have not had much of a break.

Mr. O’Mahony

All new cars must show information on carbon emissions. Such information must be labelled in the showroom. Deputy Durkan is aware that draft planning guidelines on wind energy have been developed. When local authorities produce development plans, they will have to indicate areas of significant wind energy potential. The guidelines are in their final draft form and will be published fairly soon.

I can inform Deputy Eamon Ryan that we are at the early stages of the post-2012 implementation process. We will be guided by the overall approach adopted by the EU. It is obvious that Ireland makes an input into that process, but it is just one player among 25.

Mr. Macken

Some questions were asked about market pricing and the clean development mechanism. I ask Mr. Conor Barry to speak about the matter on behalf of the Environmental Protection Agency.

Mr. Conor Barry

We were asked how real the price could be identified and how trading actually occurs. Like any market price, the price in this instance is the price somebody actually pays for it at a given point in time. If an oil price of $50 or $60 a barrel is quoted, that price is the West Texas Intermediate price of oil on the New York mercantile exchange, which is considered to be the benchmark. When one is commenting on changes in the price of oil, one can also quote the European Brent price of oil, which is always slightly lower.

The five exchanges which are involved in the trading of carbon emissions operate in the Nordic energy market; in Paris, for the French energy market; in Leipzig, for the German energy market; in the international petroleum exchange, which is where Brent operates; and in Amsterdam. It expected that a sixth exchange for the Spanish market will be opened in the coming weeks. Carbon emissions are also being traded in brokerages on a daily basis. A number of information companies publish indices on a daily basis.

The price of €23 per tonne that was mentioned refers to the price of an allowance that was traded for delivery in the first week of December 2005. Different prices are used because there are four different types of this commodity. As the interest rates trade at a slightly higher price, it is obvious that prices vary depending on whether the allowance can be delivered immediately, or in March or December of next year.

Each of the different exchanges and news agencies comes up with a different estimation on a daily basis, although they are usually within a few cent of each other. It also depends on whether one looks at the closing price or the price over the day. The two prices also tend to be quite similar. If one follows the prices over approximately six months on a daily basis, even within a fairly thin market, one will find that they match each other to within a few cent.

If a market is to operate, people trading on different exchanges need to be aware of the prices on other exchanges. That is important if balance is to be achieved. It seems to be operating at present on the basis of quite a low spread between bids and offers, which is usually a good indication of liquidity.

I was asked whether the clean development mechanism and the joint implementation programme are operating. No joint implementation projects are registered because joint implementation cannot start before 2008. The development of some projects is ongoing, but no joint implementation credits are being given. Credits under the clean development mechanism can be given under the so-called prompt start system. Any emission reductions which have occurred since 2000 can be credited under the clean development mechanism to incentivise technology transfer from the developed world to the developing world. That is a very important part of the Kyoto Protocol.

Very few projects have finished the registration process. Three or four projects have been formally registered. They will be issued with certified emission reductions, with credits arising. These credits cannot be transferred into the Irish registry until a UN transaction log is up and running, which is expected in 2006. These credits can then be used under the European emissions trading directive for compliance with companies' obligations. It is expected that there will be a very marginal contribution to compliance during the pilot phase in 2008-09 or so.

Mr. O'Mahony, before we finish, given the impact on the environment and so on and the Common Agricultural Policy, is it timely to have a common EU energy policy? Is the commission to which Mr. O'Mahony referred earlier moving in this direction? Given the impact on the environment and so on, perhaps we should have a common energy policy to examine renewables, savings on energy and different types of energy.

Mr. O’Mahony

I do not know. From my perspective, I do not think I am well equipped to answer that question. A number of energy issues would go far beyond my area of expertise.

I wish Mr. O'Mahony luck in his job. I do not know where he is going after this, but I wish him luck and hope he will have a view on other issues that will get him to where he is going.

I thank Mr. O'Mahony, assistant secretary at the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government, and Mr. Maughan, Dr. Macken, Ms Martin and Mr. Barry for attending on behalf of the Environmental Protection Agency.

Representatives of the ESRI and IBEC have been waiting for some time. I have no doubt they will have some comments to make on the presentations that were made, which will add further to the debate. We will suspend the meeting for five minutes while I ask the two groups to come in. While we will have the same format, we recognise that the two groups will have two different points of view.

Sitting suspended at 3.32 p.m. and resumed at 3.38 p.m.

I welcome Dr. John Fitzgerald from the Economic and Social Research Institute and thank him for coming at such short notice. I welcome also members of the climate change working group from IBEC. I understand the group comprises Mr. Donal Buckley, Mr. David Manning, Mr. Owen Wilson, Mr. John Reilly and Ms Paula Nielan. We recognise the two groups are different with two different points of view. We thank them for being present during the earlier debate. We will hear a presentation from both groups, followed by a question and answer session. I thank the representatives for submitting their submissions to the committee. As we are in the middle of an energy module, the views of the representatives will be much appreciated by members of the committee before we conclude our report.

I draw attention to the fact that members of the committee have absolute privilege, but the same privilege does not apply to witnesses appearing before it. The committee cannot guarantee any level of privilege to witnesses appearing before it. Furthermore, under the salient rulings of the Chair members should not comment on, criticise or make charges against a person outside the House or any official in such a way as to make him or her identifiable.

Some members of the committee are engaged in other parliamentary work. This is the last week of the Dáil session so it is a hectic week for the Oireachtas. It is not true, as the press would have people believe, that we have three months off. I call first on Dr. John FitzGerald.

The job of policy makers in the energy area is particularly difficult. There are many different objectives such as minimising costs, making sure the country's lights do not go off and meeting environmental objectives. The overall objective must be to simplify decision making.

The job of the energy policy maker is to minimise the cost of providing energy, subject to two constraints. First, the Department of Environment, Heritage and Local Government or the EU sets out the environmental objectives to be met. The second relates to security of supply. For instance, it might be an objective that the lights do not go off for more than eight hours a year. Subject to those, the aim must be to provide energy at minimum cost.

Ideally there should be one policy instrument for one policy objective. If there are several it becomes very complex for the regulator, for the policy maker and for those who are being regulated. It also becomes very expensive so a minimum number of instruments is desirable.

The EU means well but it is utterly incoherent in the way it puts its policies in place. What it is trying to achieve in terms of the Kyoto agreement is admirable but the way it is going about it is not designed to achieve the targets at minimum cost. If the emissions trading regime was designed correctly it would be effective and efficient. However the EU has also introduced renewables obligations. If the emissions trading regime worked there would be incentives to have the optimal deployment of renewables in Europe. Putting the two together, however, makes for a mishmash.

Research and development is hugely important. It was announced yesterday that the world is going to spend €8 billion on research on nuclear fusion. If a tiny fraction of that were spent on research in other areas of energy, energy efficiency and other technologies, we would see results. At that level the EU is doing something positive although it has spent a disproportionate amount on nuclear research over the past twenty years.

The policy on emissions trading should work, although what may be described as the 'grandparenting', identified by Deputy Fiona O'Malley, is a huge problem. As governments do not get revenue from selling a permit they cannot offset the costs for society as a whole. A study published by the EPA last year showed that it would have been better for the Government to have auctioned the permits and used the revenue to cut taxes elsewhere. If it was done correctly, going back to what Deputy Durkan said earlier, there would have been a reduction in emissions and a higher level of GNP.

Allocating the permits free instead of auctioning them causes serious problems. It introduces distortions into the market and these will affect the all-island electricity market, a matter to which I will return. If one country has one policy and a second country another, distortions are inevitable.

Deputy Fiona O'Malley's economic analysis of the problem is correct. If the permits were only given out once the incentive would be to either shut down and sell the permit or continue in business. If somebody has a dirty plant such as a coke plant in Yorkshire — let us not get personal — and it stays in business until 2008 they will get another allocation of permits which, because they are free, they will be able to recover through the price. It incentivises a dirty plant to stay in business for multiple rounds. Similarly, if in 2008 people feel they will be in another round after 2012 they will continue to stay in business.

One of the reasons the price is rising so much is that it does not pay anyone to shut down because they will get an allocation of permits the next time. Furthermore, if somebody built a new combined cycle gas turbine power station in Yorkshire and obtained permits for it they would be able to sell those permits on for a higher price. It is a subsidy for the development. If they built a windmill in Yorkshire they would not receive a subsidy. It provides a large capital subsidy to dirty plant which is causing a disadvantage to the use of renewables. If the policy was right it would incentivise renewables.

Ireland, as I understand it, has been more on the side of the angels in this regard, pressing for more auctioning while the British Government, for all that it proclaims its commitment to the environment, sabotaged at the last moment what the European Parliament wanted, which was more auctioning of permits. We need to look behind what people say.

Domestic policy is incoherent when it comes to implementing the environmental requirements but not nearly as incoherent as the UK policy. One area where it is incoherent is that of peat. At the current price of carbon, and certainly if it goes higher, it would pay Ireland to shut down the peat stations and just pay everybody off, in spite of the fact they are only opening this year. That would be the cheapest way for the Irish to meet the requirement of reducing our emissions. However, the policy has been to promote peat.

Ireland has made the best of a bad job in terms of emissions trading. The national allocation plan seems to have been implemented very efficiently, given the parameters that were set. I do not see renewables as being beautiful but as a means to an end. It is necessary to get the price right but the emissions trading scheme does not provide the right incentives. In some ways it advantages fossil fuels over renewables in the form of the capital subsidy in the first round. Some instrument is needed to offset that. If emissions trading was made to work properly in the next round I do not think a special renewables policy would be needed, although renewables bring other advantages such as security.

The all-island electricity market is due to be active from 2007. Emissions trading is going to cause problems. This time, the Irish and British Governments had similar policies so there was not much distortion. If in 2008 Ireland was to offer permits for new plants opening but the British were not then all the new power plant would locate south of the border and we would have to lay numerous wires to the north. There is a potential for distortion and there is an imperative for greater co-ordination in the context of the all-island electricity market. I am a member of the Northern Ireland authority for energy regulation and my experience is that nobody in London realises that Northern Ireland is part of the UK. They seem more inclined to realise that the Republic is separate so they engage more readily with us.

The UK has an incoherent renewables policy and provides a huge subsidy for wind power. In view of this, all the wind operations are likely to migrate north of the border. It would, however, be inefficient for it all to be located in the same area. The answer is not for us to do the wrong thing but for the British to do the right thing, but that is the job of the Government.

Carbon tax will have a small effect on transport because tax is already so high. The main environmental issue in transport is congestion. If congestion is tackled first it will solve the carbon problem or go a long way towards it. The solution is to be found in investment in urban public transport to make sustainable cities. Congestion charging would be part of that. There would be a much greater emissions reduction from doing that properly than there would be from carbon taxes. The EU can make a real difference. When California said "jump", the US motor industry jumped to improve their emissions. If the Government said "jump", the car industry would tell Ireland to walk but if the EU said "jump" there would be a big difference. The entire world would produce cars to meet that standard.

With regard to carbon taxes, emissions trading only covers one-third of emissions. It would be exceptionally inefficient if all the burden was put on the electricity, cement and other sectors while the rest of us did nothing. A carbon tax is needed. It is all very well telling people to be good. I refer to my own children. If one child was beside me and I asked him or her to be good, there would be a chance of progress. However, if three of them disappear out of the house, there is no chance they will always be good. Telling the public to be good rather than giving them incentives will not work and, therefore, a carbon tax is needed.

Mr. Donal Buckley

I thank the committee for the opportunity to make a presentation. I am part of a delegation representing the IBEC climate change working group. Climate change is a significant issue for society and, in particular, for business. Climate change and energy policies are inextricably linked and the measures taken will impact on prices. We are worried about the detrimental impact on competitiveness and, therefore, economic growth.

It is a difficult background against which to construct a climate change policy, given the increase in fuel prices, energy demand and competitiveness within the EU. At international level, there is a global problem, which requires a global solution. With regard to competitiveness, significant trading partners such as the US, Australia, China India and Brazil do not have targets. That is an issue and post-2012 the inclusion of all countries is very much required. If that happens and the playing field is level, the issue of competitiveness will be mitigated substantially. As Deputy Durkan stated, neither Ireland not the EU can do this alone. Ireland contributes a reducing portion of the EU's emissions and, therefore, the global aspect to this issue is important.

Ireland has a 13% target and it was mentioned that we were set an allegedly generous target. We experience significant disadvantages relative to our EU trading partners. Ireland imports a significant amount of energy, it is dependent on fossil fuels, it has a large agriculture sector and so on. Significant changes have occurred since 1990 and Ireland is a much different place but we are working on the 1990 level.

I refer to the equity issue. The business sector and, in particular, the trading sector, as stated by Mr. O'Mahony, has made a significant contribution to reductions thus far. The burden is still being placed on that sector and we seek equity by involving other sectors. The sectoral breakdowns have been mentioned. Since 1990, Ireland has experienced large increases in energy efficiency and it has one of the most energy efficient economies in Europe following large reductions in intensity. Because of that, it must be recognised there is not significant room for improvement in many sectors. That is important in the context of emissions trading.

The business sector has positively and proactively engaged. I refer to the figures for 2002 and 2003, the latest year for which figures are available. There was a reduction of 14% in emissions by the energy and industrial sectors, which represents approximately 3.82 million tonnes. People have said various fertiliser plants are responsible for that but this must be put in context. These plants were responsible for approximately 1 million tonnes. Fuel switching has been adopted and many efficiency gains have also contributed, which should be recognised.

The primary mechanism for reducing emissions is the EU emissions trading scheme. I agree with Dr. FitzGerald it is not perfect, although we may not agree on what is imperfect. However, it covers only a number of sectors and the trading sector cannot be overburdened. If there are cutbacks, given how energy efficient Ireland is, costs will be added, which will impact on competitiveness and, possibly, jobs.

I refer to the issue of grandfathering, which one of my colleagues might address later. A good analogy to that is if somebody has a house and somebody else says he will give that person 90% of his current house for free and every five years he will give him less than 90% back for free, he must consider whether that is a burden or an allocation. The incentives depend on the allocation mechanism as we move forward.

Solutions were mentioned by Deputy Eamon Ryan. Many mechanisms are available and we need to use those that are economically and environmentally efficient. Dr. FitzGerald mentioned a tax but given the small emission reduction it would account for and the amount it would raise, it would not change behaviour and, therefore, we do not consider it to be environmentally or economically efficient. An equitable allocation must be made to the trading sector. The difficulty is if we only have one significant policy mechanism, which is emissions trading, we need to be careful we do not put all our eggs in one basket. We must be aware that sector has taken a significant amount of the pain and, therefore, other sectors must share the burden equally. This issue is critical in terms of research and development and many alternatives are available. Ultimately, a change is needed and research and development and the alternatives will provide that. A greater level of public education is needed so that people are aware of the challenge facing us.

This is a critical issue, which must be addressed. The business sector has played its part and will continue to do so but other sectors must engage and share the burden equitably. Environmentally and economically efficient measures are needed. A number of key decisions will have to be taken by Ireland, some of which are coming up soon. It must be ensured these decisions are pragmatic and sensible and Ireland continues to prosper as an economy and a society.

The committee has a good idea relating to a common energy policy in the EU, which would cover renewables, biomass, biofuels, transport, all forms of energy, education and public awareness. The Common Agricultural Policy has been in place for some time, for example. Does Dr. FitzGerald have a view on that?

The EU has an energy policy in terms of liberalisation and emissions trading. However, the Union needs more coherence in what it does. The problems facing the island of Ireland, for example, in electricity generation are completely different from those facing much of the rest of the Union. Some of the measures in the Union's policy on liberalisation are not sensible for Ireland. I would be reluctant to see the EU going much further in some areas in terms of a common policy. Currently, the Union has common principles, which need to be implemented through policy in different ways in different countries.

The committee is examining short, medium and long-term energy policy and the question of the long term was raised. As Keynes said, in the long term we are all dead and by 2050 a few of us will be biomass in the ground. Given the overlap between environmental and energy policy and the comments made by the Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government, the long-term projection is that by 2050 our emissions will have to reduce by between 60% and 80%. Efficiency may increase or decrease in particular activities but national energy usage will have to decrease by a similar amount in that period. Is it plausible to set 2050 as the long-term date and taking some of the environmental assumptions about reduction in CO2, to work back from that date? Are we stupid to start thinking about 2050, although some people blushed when I made the point that it is only as far away as 1960 if one looks in the opposite direction. Some people here can remember 1960.

The term "rephrase objective" could also be rephrase energy policy. We have not really had an energy policy for the last 25 or 30 years. This could create a clause stating that the policy should be to minimise costs of energy subject to specified objects and security in the environment. The best analysis, however, is one which looks at total primary energy requirements by fuel in the country, before breaking it down by uses.

A clever way to look at energy policy on a broad basis is to see the objectives in terms of security of supply or the environment, given that fuels are interchangeable. That method also takes into account the remarkable waste of energy up Moneypoint and every other generating chimney. In electricity generation 60% of the fuel is wasted heat so looking at primary energy supply is the right way to look at it from a policy viewpoint.

Everyone's first reaction to the Kyoto protocols is to say we are not the only ones at fault, and what is to be done about the Chinese and Americans. We all agree that for something to work everyone must be involved. The only system that can be agreed is a per capita allocation of carbon to each person on the planet which has the benefit of equity and enables countries to set up trading systems that are not too complex.

It avoids questions such as whether the Iranians are using the proper certificate procedure or whatever. At least one knows how many Iranians there are and how much carbon Iran has to trade. It also benefits Iran in development terms because there could be significant reallocation of funding from the developed world to the poorer world which might get the Taoiseach off the hook in terms of trying to achieve 0.7% of GDP in development aid.

Those are three large questions for Dr. Fitzgerald. I might have questions later for Mr. Buckley.

Did Deputy Durkan have questions for Dr. Fitzgerald?

I was going to do them all together.

The allocation of emissions per head seems to be the only just solution to dealing with the Kyoto protocol. We published an OECD paper in 1992 modelling this at world level. It did major work on this subject between 1990 and 1992, led by an Irishman, John Martin. The paper showed this system could work and the developing world would have much to gain from it, particularly China and India. China, however, is growing so rapidly that it may look different now.

In terms of buy-in from non-OECD countries there is a clear attraction. It is possible and I would support it politically. The Deputy however is seeking my expert opinion. The committee members are the experts on what will run at a world level.

I was a member of UN Framework Convention for Climate Change delegation examining Belgium's compliance with the climate change protocol. We met the Belgian department of foreign affairs which was privately incandescent with rage at the idea that the payments made by the developed world to the developing world to buy permits should be counted as development aid. It viewed that as a case of the developed world making life easy for itself and maintained that development aid should be additional to that. It is a strong argument. There is an issue therefore as to whether this should be included as aid.

In regard to the 2050 target, I agree that one should look at total primary energy. Anybody planning for the future needs to plan for a world in which carbon will be much more expensive than it is now. It is necessary to signal that to the market and that is why I favour a carbon tax. Research and development takes a very long time.

The significant improvement in energy efficiency which took place as a result of the oil price increase in 1973-74 and 1979 did not occur until 1986 when the oil price plummeted. It takes at least a decade.

The former Taoiseach, Charles Haughey, chaired a conference on wind energy in 1992 where he was very cross that I, as an economist, said it was not the right time to invest in wind energy. It was about 10-11 cent a unit at the time. He said I had no vision. However, had we invested then what we are investing now in windmills we would have a lot of expensive electricity. The way to proceed is to invest when the technology has reached a plateau of efficiency. We need to incentivise the research and development now. Wind is quite efficient now although the price may fall a little.

There will be new technologies such as tidal and biomass. There is much research and development to be done in that area but one should not invest heavily until one is ready. We need continuing efficient fossil fuel generation probably for the next decade. The Commission for Energy Regulation in its best new entrant calculation assumes that plant will be written off over 15 years. Plant may last 20 not 40 years, given the rapid rise in carbon use and it might not last that long for peat.

The energy industry is not co-ordinated in any particular way. Every sector has its own idea as to what it can do but there is no overall co-ordination. Dr. FitzGerald already referred to that. It is a significant chink in the armour of the industry.

It should be possible at a glance to figure out the cost per megawatt or litre instantly. It should not be necessary to spend a week doing research in order to establish that. Once that is established it becomes a matter for competition between the various service providers to compete with one another and be of benefit to the consumer. Otherwise it does not happen.

I strongly support the promotion of research and development which has been inadequate. There should have been much heavier investment in that area heretofore. We cannot do anything that will cut the power, for want of a better expression in the short term because we might never reach 2050 if the chill sets in before then.

We need short, medium and long-term plans. The long-term energy philosophy may well change as a result of developments in the meantime. Hence the need for very precise investment in research and development to achieve the mid-term forecast first in order to invest properly in the long term.

The emerging Chinese and Indian markets will have a significant impact on energy consumption. We should not forget however, that the Chinese and Indians have nuclear power. The Chinese were the first people ever to produce a rocket, thousands of years ago. Those peoples will not be sleeping while these negotiations proceed.

I am sorry to disagree with Dr. FitzGerald on the congestion tax. It exists for no other purpose than to make money for governments. I apologise personally to the Chairman for saying this because he has an interest in the Government. The congestion tax in London, and penalty points, serve no purpose other than raising revenue.

I doubt the City of London would agree with the Deputy.

The Deputy should confine himself to asking questions.

That is a question and an answer, and it is a comment at the same time. For example, why should a village of 1,000 houses in the middle of the country have a traffic jam? There should be no traffic jam there. Energy is being wasted left right and centre.

Does Deputy Durkan have any specific questions for the visitors?

I do but the Chairman is wasting my energy by interrupting me.

The Deputy is wasting his own energy.

I want to mention the fact that we need alternatives in the shape of renewable energy. We also need alternatives regarding traffic, which is having a great impact on energy consumption. We need more underground metros or whatever the case may be. I do not mean bringing trains onto the streets when they are already crowded.

I have already referred to co-ordination authorities and complementary policies. IBEC must also examine that area. For instance, there are all those other people in the marketplace who are providing alternatives and conserving. They need to co-ordinate their efforts too so that one group is not pulling against the other.

Simplification is of great importance when dealing with the energy industry. There is jargon to beat the band. It is the most jargonised sector I have ever come across. We must eliminate that jargon and make things simple. It is not only possible to do so but quite easy; simplicity is always attainable. I forgot about the carbon tax, but I will not go there, since it will upset the Chairman. If he thinks I will make a suggestion that we have a carbon tax here tomorrow, I will not do that.

I note there is a vote in the Dáil, but I also want to make this point. Why do we not exercise our minds a little more to capture carbon? It is a valuable product. It is used in the motor industry to build car clutches and so on. To what extent can we capture carbon for manufacturing purposes? Is it done in the power stations? Once upon a time we used to do it in the famous power station, now defunct, in Allenwood. That is gone, and so is the carbon manufacturing plant. I see members are looking expectantly at the clock.

There is a vote.

Are we going to——

We can deal with it quickly.

We had better go to the vótáil.

I am going to the vote, but could we get the responses quickly?

I am going to vote too.

It is important, we have to go.

We want to be fair to the two groups that came before us.

We can come back. That might be the fairest course of action to the groups.

We will suspend until after the vote, which will take 15 minutes at most. The witnesses can go upstairs and have a cup of coffee. It would not be fair if we did not give them a chance to answer some of the questions and put their own views.

Sitting suspended at 4.13 p.m. and resumed at 4.31 p.m.

On a point of information, I draw the attention of members to the news that five citizens from the Erris area of north County Mayo were sent to prison earlier today. Mr. Justice McMenamin said in his ruling that they could not take the law into their own hands. These five men, Philip McGrath, William Corduff, Vincent McGrath, James Philbin and Micheál Ó Seighin, were taken to the Bridewell Garda station and thenceforth possibly to Mountjoy Prison. I understand our colleague, Deputy Cowley, who represents Mayo as an Independent, is with them.

This committee's remit includes issues of energy and natural resources. It is deplorable that these five citizens are in prison tonight. The latest phase of the Corrib gas development involves the laying of a pipeline across north Mayo. I understand there was no consultation with local people in regard to this development and that their environmental concerns were not addressed. It is also deplorable that Statoil and Shell have seen fit to allow the situation to escalate in this manner and did not engage in the type of thorough consultations with local residents that might have avoided this appalling outcome.

We have discussed this matter many times under the natural resources and energy section of this committee's portfolio. All members are anxious to ensure the outstanding deposits of our north-west coast will benefit the Irish economy and become a key resource for our future energy projections. It seems many commentators on this subject may even have underestimated the level of energy available from this resource.

Our earlier debate about the onshore facility to take the gas ashore showed it is critical that the local population is involved in such developments. In the Shetland Islands and north Scotland in general, for example, there has been a major pay-off for the locality from the oil companies bringing ashore an important natural resource. However, no commitments of any type have been made to the people of Mayo. It is an appalling development that five citizens from the area have been imprisoned. I propose that the committee makes known it deplores this development and asks the companies concerned to embark urgently on widespread consultations which could immediately ensure these men are released.

The committee should note the Deputy's statement. However, we should not proceed further in this matter until we have had a chance to examine all the facts.

The committee should add its voice in deploring what has happened.

I have been in this meeting all day and do not know what has happened. If a judgment has been handed down, that is a matter for the courts.

The Deputy is aware of the requirement in regard to the separation of powers. If there are other issues which need to be dealt with, I advise the Deputy to inform the clerk in the normal way that he wishes to propose the matter as an item for discussion. We will have a meeting soon to discuss the general difficulties in regard to energy, including proposals for the Corrib.

I accept that. However, given that the Dáil will rise for three months on Friday, perhaps the Chairman and clerk will review this matter tomorrow. I hope it might be possible to arrange a meeting specifically to discuss this matter if such is necessary.

I presume the Deputy will raise this matter in the House tomorrow morning. That is the correct forum for discussing the issue at this point.

This committee is concerned with energy and natural resources. These citizens are in jail and their case is in the public domain through the media. The issues the five men have highlighted are issues that must be addressed. This matter is relevant to the remit of this committee given that it involves an important national resource——

I accept that.

——and an area that has been neglected in the past.

The Deputy is aware of the relevant Standing Orders and the timeframe involved in preparing meetings, notifying people and so on. I cannot see how such a meeting can be arranged this week. The Deputy will take the opportunity to raise the matter in the House tomorrow.

We will now proceed with the business of this meeting. Deputy Durkan put a number of questions before the meeting was suspended to which the delegation might like to respond.

Another vote has been called in the Dáil.

I am willing to stay on if somebody will pair me, as agreed by the Whips. I ask Mr. Fitzgerald to respond to Deputy Durkan's questions.

In regard to the issue raised by Deputy Durkan about co-ordination, I agree it is important to have an energy policy. We must bring together a range of different elements in terms of how we design the electricity and gas markets, deal with environmental issues and so on. I also acknowledge the Deputy's point about the need for simplicity. This is a complex area and we must try to use simple instruments and minimise the number of complex issues with which policymakers must contend. There is much to be said for that.

Mr. Buckley

I, too, agree with Deputy Durkan on the need for co-ordination. There are a number of different elements that must be taken into account in terms of an energy policy, including security, competitiveness and environmental considerations. I also agree that we must do more in the area of research and development.

Deputy Durkan also raised the issue of the carbon capture and I will ask my colleague, Mr. Owen Wilson, to comment on that.

Mr. Owen Wilson

A significant amount of research is being undertaken but that is primarily focussed on the capture and storage of carbon dioxide rather than the carbon in its elemental form. Even in this case, one is looking at, in the case of power generation, for example, a 20% increase in costs in terms of capture. There are still problems associated with the subsequent storage of carbon dioxide. The further energy cost involved in converting carbon dioxide into its elemental form, whereby it could be used in production processes in other industries, make that infeasible.

It is taking place in other jurisdictions within Europe even as we speak.

Mr. Wilson

Does the Deputy refer to carbon capture?

I refer to carbon manufacture from energy plants and so on. The reason I mention this is that there used to be a plant in my own constituency which exported to the motor industry overseas. That activity has ceased, however, because the plant has closed down.

Mr. Wilson

In the Allenwood plant to which the Deputy refers, the carbon was collected from the ash that was produced rather than being extracted from the gaseous emissions.

It is still being used. The waste is being utilised.

Mr. Wilson

That waste is being utilised.

Between what years did the 3.8 million tonne reduction in the industry occur?

Mr. Buckley

Between 2001 and 2003, covering 2002 and 2003.

Was a 1 million tonne reduction made in respect of each fertiliser plant?

Mr. Buckley

I believe that was a cumulative figure.

Would Irish Steel represent a similar figure?

Mr. Buckley

Offhand, I do not know the figure for Irish Steel.

I understood it was far higher. I wanted to check the figure because I was surprised by it. Was the 2.8 million reduction due to increases in energy efficiency?

Mr. Buckley

I refer to efficiency in its widest usage. It includes fuel switching and efficiencies of various types. The Deputy is correct in that additional closures to the fertiliser plants were made. However, it would be unfair to claim that all of the reduction was due to closures.

Mr. John Reilly

The cumulative total per annum closure over the period realised a saving of approximately 1 million tonnes of CO2.

Mr. Reilly

Per annum. The major contributors were Irish ISPAT, formerly Irish Steel, and the fertiliser plants. It came to a cumulative 1 million tonnes per annum. I hope we do not suggest plant closures as a way to tackle climate change. The remaining 2.8 million per annum came primarily from fuel switching in power generation.

A switch towards gas fired heating.

Mr. Reilly

A shift to gas fired plants.

Are electricity generation switches included in that industrial reduction?

Mr. Reilly

That is correct.

Mr. Buckley

That is against a background of increasing industrial production and economic growth.

Given what we have heard from Professor FitzGerald about the wonders of auction and the upcoming review by the EPA and the Government on the 2007 allocation system, I presume IBEC will call for the auction of the full 10% under the second stage national allocation plan.

Mr. Buckley

Those rules are set at a level other than national.

Mr. Reilly

The rules in terms of the percentage of emissions allowances that should be auctioned are primarily set at an EU level. The pros and cons of Professor FitzGerald's remarks with regard to the auctioning of all the allowances for the scheme are beyond the remit of this group. Somebody referred earlier to the free allocation of allowances. It needs to remembered that the non-traded sector of the economy is, in a sense, allocated a significant portion of emissions allowances for nothing. The proposed Government purchases to cover the non-traded sector and the gap amounts to approximately 3.7 million tonnes. I assume that the remaining 40 million tonnes is being allocated to that sector for free.

I take the point that the 10% allocation limit is set in the EU rather than here. Correct me if I am wrong in saying that the previous trading round allowed for 5% auctioning. We went for 1% or 2% but did not go to our full 5%. Given that we have national choice in terms of the level of auctioning, up to 10%, to which we go, would IBEC argue that a full 10% should be taken up and auctioned?

Mr. Buckley

The pilot scheme on emissions trading proposed to learn by doing. As Dr. Macken noted, the scheme is only now up and running. We will have to observe the operation of the scheme. The reason for the EU's decision ahead of the international emissions trading scheme was to learn. We would like to learn the scheme's operations before we recommend a direction. That covers a number of issues, not only auctioning.

The characters in "Yes Minister" would be proud of that answer. I will have to return to this matter. Sometimes when we discuss international arrangements, we claim that we cannot take a certain action because 160 countries are involved. I am one Deputy among 166. That does not stop me from saying what I think. Putting the international perspective to one side, as we are in the middle of the first phase and approaching a second allocation, we have a choice to make nationally in terms of the percentage to auction. It does not matter what anyone else thinks.

Mr. Buckley

We are not yet sure of the answer to that. Trading has not yet properly begun.

Mr. Wilson

There are a number of factors which influence the percentage of auctioning a Government might consider. Ideally, IBEC would like to see, if there will be auctioning co-ordination across the 25 member states, the amount that is set so that each country undertakes the same level of auctioning. The difficulty with maximising the level of auctioning here is that, effectively, we are transferring allowances from this country into the wider EU market where they are available to everybody rather than within this economy. We will place ourselves at a disadvantage by going beyond the steps taken by colleagues in other member states.

If a reasonable pool of auctioned carbon exists, will auctioning not encourage innovation and enterprise and allow for new businesses which may be able to bid? A low level will prevent the establishment of new businesses.

Mr. Wilson

Auctioning occurs at EU rather than national level.

Is the percentage of the Irish quota that is auctionable not set at an Irish level?

Mr. Reilly

That can be purchased by installations in other EU member states. The cap was originally set aside for the traded sector. The problem with auctioning is that the allowances we will require to meet our commitments can be taken to other member states. One of the major problems with what is an infantile system is the lack of harmonisation in the approach to allocation plans across the EU. We discussed distortion effects. The lack of harmonisation and plans are introducing distortion effects in the carbon trading market across Europe, yet we are supposed to operate within a common market. These are the types of issues we need to address when Mr. Buckley refers to the learning by doing phase. A significant demand comes not only from industry across Europe but also from member states and other bodies for a harmonisation of the approach to NAP 2 so that we will, at least, operate on a level playing field.

As Dr. Wilson stated, the allowances, if every member state auctioned 10%, could wash around the entire trading scheme. We could participate by, for example, buying German allowances on auctioning. At present, if we were to put on offer our entire 10% for NAP 2 and other member states did not do likewise, an outflow of allowances from Ireland would ensue. As we know, the target we must meet is difficult enough to achieve. In terms of policy measures, that might not be the way to go at this point.

What is the cost implication of compliance for IBEC and the industry?

Mr. Buckley

It depends on the allocation. Given that allowances currently stand at approximately €23 per tonne, the probable Irish shortfall of a few million tonnes may be multiplied by €23 per tonne. If a deep cut will be made in the second allocation period, there will be insufficient to meet needs and more will have to be bought. This may have significant implications for a number of companies. It depends on the decisions that need to be taken shortly in terms of the overall allocation.

The industry is adapting and ensuring reductions in emissions.

Mr. Buckley

Significant improvements have been made in terms of efficiency. Companies under the first allocation period received cuts of 27% and 28%. That has significant implications. Some sectors received more. There is a cost implication, which is almost on an individual site by site basis. Climate change measures will incur costs.

Mr. Reilly

The monitoring and reporting requirements at installation level are also costly. Only 108 installations are currently required to participate on a mandatory basis. Some of the soft costs we encounter in terms of monitoring, reporting and verification requirements, and implementation measures introduced with the scheme are likely to be significant. Those are all soft costs, apart from the 2.5 million tonnes of CO2 we must purchase. In general, Irish industry is quite efficient and there is no low-hanging fruit. This will be seen in time. The investment decisions for significant changes in how we operate will be made as we enter the second stage.

Is that 2.5 million tonnes only for the electricity generation sector? Do we also have to make a significant purchase for industry?

Mr. Reilly

The biggest shortfall will be in the power generation sector.

The cement and concrete industries are significant. Is there a figure for what Irish industry must buy this year?

Mr. Reilly

It is hard to gauge as it depends on production levels. A figure of approximately 2.5 million tonnes is probably——

Is that 5 million tonnes in total, including power generation with 2.5 million tonnes?

Mr. Buckley

No.

If there are questions the delegation feels it did not have sufficient information to answer, it may send it on as clarification to the clerk.

Professor Fitzgerald discussed introducing carbon taxes for every household and voter in the country. What if the other EU member states or trading blocs within other EU member states do not follow suit? Does Professor Fitzgerald suggest that Ireland lead the way?

First, a number of member states have already led the way. This is not new. To answer the question, yes, I would suggest it. The Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government stated that current policy means we will buy permits for 3.7 million tonnes to cover the sectors not covered by emissions trading, in other words, households. At current prices, the best part of €100 million will leave the country to buy permits. If, instead, a tax is imposed to reduce the emissions by 3.7 million tonnes, all that money goes to the Government which either gives it back to reduce taxes or as expenditure and no money leaves the country. One can see this policy of buying permits seems cheap but that is because nobody values the money that goes to the Government. I believe taxpayers' money is important, and that the tax which would accrue to the Government is valuable either to allow a reduction of taxes elsewhere or to pay for expenditure. It may be a short-term policy; it may seem the cheaper route but it is not a cheap route for the nation in the long term.

I thank Professor Fitzgerald from the ESRI for attending today. I apologise to everyone for the interruption. I thank Mr. Buckley from the climate change working group within IBEC and his colleagues for attending today's meeting. It was a most useful presentation that has given us a clear understanding on a number of issues and will be helpful to us in our deliberations.

The clerk has circulated a draft report on the consideration by the joint committee of the motion regarding the criminal law framework for enforcement of law against ship-source pollution. Is the report agreed? Agreed.

I thank committee members for attending the meeting. It has been a long day and I apologise for having so much on.

The joint committee adjourned at 4.55 p.m. sine die

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