I thank the Chairman for accommodating us. We welcome the opportunity to discuss the issue of the minimum wage with the members. It is an important issue and one that is of concern certainly to employers generally. The context for this discussion is very much what we are experiencing in the environment in which businesses operate. What has been brought sharply into focus during recent years in particular as a result of the international downturn is the unsustainable nature of the cost base in Ireland. An element of that is regulation and how we regulate our labour market. Notwithstanding the fact that, technically, as recent economic forecasters suggested, we are out of recession, the ordinary citizen and those engaged in business know it does not necessarily feel like that.
To summarise our sense of what is happening in the business community, there are two parts to this, one of which is that multinational organisations, many of which are engaged in the export sector, are starting to experience some pick-up in demand as the global economy has begun to show signs of recovery and exchange rate movement in those circumstances has improved to the benefit of exporter in this country. However, the reality is that there are many businesses that are hugely dependent on the domestic market. Those businesses are experiencing extremely difficult trading circumstances. In terms of gross national product, GNP, figures, we know that activity in the domestic economy has fallen by about 25% in money terms since the start of the crisis. While the gross domestic product, GDP, figures show reductions of 3.5% and 7.6% for 2008 and 2009, respectively, the more accurate picture of the scale of the recession is the one quarter fall in nominal GNP that has occurred. The fact that this has happened essentially matches the drop in turnover that many businesses are experiencing in the domestic market. However, many businesses have fared worse than that depending on what has been happening in their sectors. In the retail sector, turnover has fallen by up to 30% in some cases and similar reductions in turnover have occurred in the hospitality sector and elsewhere. While everyone is trying to cut prices and costs as best they can, costs have not fallen in proportion to the reduction in business turnover. That is why we have seen many businesses go to the wall. People in business have been trying to tackle their cost structures in whatever areas they can, whether it be rent, local authority charges, energy charges and so on. Those issues, as cost headings, remain a significant challenge for business.
We are now in a period of potentially jobless growth. The number on the live register is startling. Some 270,000 jobs have been lost during the past two years. In terms of the sectoral spread of job losses, 60,000 jobs have been lost in the manufacturing sector, 25,000 jobs have been loss in administration and support services and 12,000 jobs have been lost in the hospitality sector. There is now a risk of embedded long-term unemployment. Youth unemployment is at the level of affecting about a quarter of all those aged under 24 years of age. That is a significant structural issue in the approach to what needs to be done in terms of the labour market.
As far as the minimum wage is concerned, I will not labour the history in terms of percentage adjustments, but it is important that members understand that this does have a disproportionate effect on employers in particular sectors such as the hospitality sector, the retail sector and parts of the manufacturing sector. In those sectors, contrary to some analysis, labour costs are a very high percentage of operating costs. That means that any adjustment in the minimum wage has an acute effect in that regard.
During the Celtic tiger years many aspects of Government policy were focused on managing the transition to the higher value economy, to which we all signed up, but it gave rise to difficulties in the higher price of labour. Unfortunately, it was a higher price for labour in a bubble economy. The bubble has certainly burst, with implications in terms of job losses. In areas in which wages are regulated we are left with the implications of these decisions. Typically, it was the ESRI which undertook the analysis and it tended to come to the view that the minimum wage had minimum effect on unemployment levels. Arguably, that is understandable, bearing in mind that it was at a time of full employment, when the domestic economy was booming and prices were rising. However, the world has changed utterly and the minimum wage is becoming a deterrent to companies in hiring new staff. We, therefore, press the committee to call for a detailed assessment of the impact of the minimum wage on key sectors in keeping with a commitment made by a previous Minister of State with responsibility for labour affairs when the minimum wage was last adjusted. We should also examine the manner in which the minimum wage is adjusted and its frequency. This must be actively pursued.
Consistent with the debate on the minimum wage, there should be a sustainable employment test in the making of all employment regulations. Ministers and officials should explain to the public and the Houses how proposals will contribute positively to the sustainability of employment. We are all seized by the potential to galvanise the nation of the opportunity for Ireland to achieve sustainable growth and employment, regardless of our perspective. This needs to be debated with the public. Current Government policy is not oblivious to these challenges. Our paper acknowledges the decision to provide an incentive for employers to recruit additional staff through the PRSI exemption scheme. It is about trying to reduce the cost of employment to employers and encouraging them to creat more jobs. The wider debate about the minimum wage needs to be seen in that context.
A further observation is important. In the drive towards higher value activity there is a tendency to give up much too easily on aspects of the manufacturing sector. That is a mistake, as there are many valuable manufacturing jobs to be created in our towns and cities if priced properly to ensure sustainability in the longer term. Through productivity gains and cost adjustments, we can price ourselves back into international markets. There is some evidence of this happening in the export sector but we are failing miserably to achieve the same goal in the domestic sector.
Regarding the minimum wage and our competitive position, average wage rates have grown to 20% above the EU15 average. This is a factor in our high wage costs. The minimum wage is the third highest in the European Union, after Luxembourg and France, and approximately 30% above the EU15 average. Whether we like, this is a serious issue in terms of our competitiveness. The minimum wage in the United Kingdom is currently £5.80 or approximately €6.80. That represents a competitive advantage of 20% in terms of wage cost for businesses in the United Kingdom. If it were not for what has happened to sterling in the past number of months, the differential would be as high as 30%. The minimum wage acts against the directing downwards of wages, costs and prices and if in the single currency environment wages do not reduce, the only result will be higher unemployment. Wage rates have been falling across the economy and in the private sector, but the real difficulty has been experienced in those sectors in which wages are regulated. It seems the debate on the minimum wage has not kept pace with developments in the economy as a whole.
A factor that must be considered in the debate on incomes policy is the positioning of social welfare in addressing the challenge presented by the unemployment crisis. Our view is that social welfare rates should be adjusted in line with wage and price trends across the economy. There must be fundamental reform of the unemployment benefit and tax systems to create stronger incentives to encourage people to take up employment. We are raising for discussion the notion of refundable tax credits or a more streamlined family income supplement scheme which might prove helpful in this regard.
Those who have jumped to the defence of the minimum wage have sometimes pointed to the provision in legislation under which employers can claim inability to pay. While that provision is in place, it has never been used. One of the requirements to be met before an application can be made is that one must have the consent of the majority of employees affected by the measure which is narrowly drawn; therefore, the scope for access to it is limited. The requirement to secure consent should be removed. A counter-balance is needed, whereby the Labour Court, in reviewing any case, would be required to ensure any outcome would not result in a figure of less than 70% of the minimum wage at the time of application.
As we were coming in, I heard references to the JLCs in the responses to committee members' questions. This is a serious issue, given that the national minimum wage is the third highest in the European Union and affects a significant number of employers in a number of important domestic sectors. This is in contrast to the position in the United Kingdom in which wage councils were abolished some years ago. There is divergence in statutory wage rates between businesses here and those in Northern Ireland. It is striking that a hotel worker receives the JLC rate of €9.08, compared to a figure of £6.80 in Northern Ireland, a difference of 34%. Likewise, in categories such as catering, contract cleaning and security the difference in rates is up to 58%. With these numbers, there is a serious question to be asked about the relevance of the JLC system. There is also a question about its constitutionality. The Industrial Relations (Amendment) Bill, currently before the House, seeks to amend the existing legislation. We argue that the JLC system should be abolished for the reasons detailed in the paper we have presented. We believe it has outlived its usefulness, not least because the minimum wage is now in place. An additional 40 employment protection statutes protect the legal rights of employees. This country has developed a significant number of employment rights which are available to employees.
Without prejudice to that position, we recognise that public policy favours the retention of the JLC system in some form. We understand that is the policy position of all the main political parties. We have made it clear, however, that if public policy continues to support the JLC system, radical reforms need to be introduced to make it fit for purpose. If there is to be any potential for the system to be supported by employers, the introduction of a non-bureaucratic mechanism, whereby an employer could seek a temporary exemption from the terms of an employment regulation order, is an absolute requirement. We are not satisfied that the current contents of the Bill will make it fit for purpose in that regard. We need to see the retrospection periods for claims being brought into line with the payment of wages legislation. The chairs of the joint labour committees need to have non-voting roles if they are to replicate the principle of genuine agreement between the parties, as would otherwise happen in a collective bargaining environment. A job sustainability focus and requirement need to be introduced to the principles and policies underpinning the JLCs. That would be consistent with our general policy on what needs to be introduced in employment policy generally.
I have outlined some of the main issues we want to raise with the committee in the context of the wider debate about the minimum wage. We understand the process has been formally deferred, in terms of engagement between IBEC and the ICTU at the Labour Court. That is where the matter rests.