I am not concerned now about Party politics. The times are too serious to have such things present to our minds. When war broke out, it struck me that we should take immediate steps to have a policy put into operation that would enable us to make the best use of our land, and get the Government to adopt it. At that time I introduced a motion asking the Seanad to agree to the fixing of prices for agricultural products. I did that when the first Compulsory Tillage Order was made. The Seanad, in its unwisdom, in my judgment, rejected the motion. Its action had considerable backing from Government supporters, let by the Minister. All sorts of arguments were advanced to the effect that what I asked could not be done. Twelve months later I put forward the motion again, pointing out that what I sought had been achieved in the Six Counties. I was able to point out that there had been increased food production there because prices had been fixed. By a majority, the Seanad decided against the motion. I was told that you could not fix prices, that there was no necessity to do so and that it would be unwise. What has happened since? A month ago an order was made fixing prices. What I urged should have been done before the seed of the 1938 harvest went into the ground for the following year could not be done, but it can be done in 1941. In my opinion that was an error of judgment on the part of the Government. What the Government are doing now should have been done in 1939. The Government should consider the farmers of the country. They have not been too kind to them.
If many of our farmers have remained on the land it is largely due to their marvellous tenacity and to their love of the land. Despite everything the Government have done to drive them from it, they still hold on and stick to it. I suggest to the Government that they should do something to make friends of the farmers and to restore faith and confidence in them. The Government could have done two years ago what they are doing to-day. That would have been of considerable help to our farmers.
I will return later to the question of prices. At the moment I want to deal with the preliminary returns which are available with regard to the acreage under crops. These figures will, I imagine, be subject to a final check.
As far as I can gather from the figures available, the acreage under crops this year shows an increase, over last year, of 300,000. Perhaps somebody else will check up on that. Perhaps Senator check up on figures which will enable him to check up on it, because I think it is of very considerable importance. Last year, as far as I remember, we were informed, in a speech made by the Minister for the Co-ordination of Defensive Measures in the other House, that we had got something over 300,000 acres of an increase on the previous year. It is of interest to not that in the same year there was an increase, in the Six Counties, of about 260,000 acres over the previous year, while we had only got an increase of 300,000 acres in 26 counties. This year, we had an additional 300,000 acres added on to that, but from the statements made by Ministers we were given to understand that in order to maintain our human and animal population we would need anything up to an increase of 750,000 acres of tillage.
Now, we presume that Ministers knew what they were talking about and that they were calculating on the total food units which could be obtained from a certain acreage under wheat, oats, barley, beet, and various other crops, such as kale, mangolds, turnips and so on, and their calculation was that we wanted 750,000 acres of an increase in 1941 in order to maintain our human and animal population. Now, it happens that we have not got that acreage or anything like it. I am not blaming the Government because to do so, at the moment, would not get us another acre, but I am going to urge on them that in the situation which confronts the Government and which confronts all of us—because, if there is going to be hunger it will come to all of us, and I do not think there will be loaves of bread for sale in the shop windows while people outside are hungry, or that there will be pits of potatoes in the country while there are hungry men and women in the towns and cities: I do not think that will happen ever—I am going to urge on the Government that they will have to take certain action now to deal with the situation which will confront us during the coming months.
Some of us are reproached for making suggestions which appear almost to be silly or stupid because we say things that we believe to be related to the facts, but we are the sort of people who believe in being realists and in facing the problems which confront us. I think that the situation with regard to our area under tillage, and the danger which it holds for us, before another 12 months will have passed—even assuming that no invader crosses our shores—is so grave that the Government must now formulate a policy with regard to it, and as far as I am concerned I am just wondering whether the Government are contemplating it or not. It seems to me, on the figures that we have got, that from our own resources we can do nothing like maintaining our present human and animal population for 12 months to come. If the figures which Ministers have given us are anything approaching correct, it cannot be done. I believe that that situation has been precipitated for want of a more forward Government policy with regard to fixing and guaranteeing prices in 1939 and 1940, apart altogether from what they have done in the tail-end of the season of 1941. I think that it is lack of policy that has been responsible for a lower acreage under tillage than we should have had.
There were other circumstances of course, such as requirements of artificial manures and capital requirements of various kinds, for which we have been pleading and which we have not been getting. There were capital requirements of all kinds, understocked fields, with less farm-yard manure as a consequence and less fertility than was necessary to grow the kind of crops that you would want to grow if you were to adopt the proper line of crop rotation, and so on. I believe that if guaranteed prices had been given two years ago the position with regard to our tillage area would be better than it is, but such as it is we have got to see what we are going to do about it, and I believe that this is the time to think about it.
I can assure the Ministry that the situation in the country at present is very serious. According to the figures, the decline in our pig population is really alarming, from my point of view. I have not the actual figures here with me, but I doubt if our pig population was ever as low as it is to-day. I know that the figures show that at the moment our pig population is lower than it was even at the worst period in in the last war. There has been a drop of 25 per cent. in our pig population in 12 months, and that is very grave from the point of view of our internal economy, but the truth is that even the small number of pigs and poultry that we have in the country are not being even half nourished.
I could tell stories with regard to the types of breeding and the conditions with regard to muscle, bone and shape, in connection with our pigs and poultry, that are really alarming-and all because of the lack of rations and the balanced ration that we are not able to provide. That is a fact, but I want to put this before the House: that if we are going to be faced with a situation where we have only got food supplies for six months— I have not attempted to calculate what number of food units the area under tillage, of both root and grain crops, can provide us with, but even assuming that the harvest, with the help of God, will be as fruitful as it appears to be, and it certainly looks fruitful—if it appears that we are only going to have food for men and animals for four months or so, then the time to consider what to do with the animals is before the end of the next December. Nothing could be more unwise than to take a decision to carry on an animal population beyond our capacity to carry if we see no prospect of importing foreign foodstuffs.
We are going to be faced with a situation at the end of next winter or the beginning of next spring, when we will have hundreds of thousands of animals, which are now fairly well fleshed, coming off the grass reduced and emaciated and, as we say in the country, just skin and bone. Now, these animals will have eaten, during the winter months, much of the food that will be absolutely essential, perhaps, for human consumption and also essential for that portion of our animal population—particularly, dairy cows—which is the foundation of our whole live-stock industry. These animals will have consumed much of this food and will have reduced the productive capacity of all our stock to such a level that we will be able to sell nothing even to our own people at home, or to people outside the country either, because they will be in such a condition that people outside the country would not wish to but them from us.
Now, I have not anything like the information that is available to the Minister for Agriculture, but I suggest that that aspect of the problem ought to be considered very quickly. If we are going to delete our food stocks during the winter months at a rate that will clearly demonstrate that we are not going to be able to carry the present animal population on through the winter and spring and into the next grass season, then I think that the right thing for us to do is to decide now to get rid of them, whether we slaughter them here at home or get them sent out of the country for slaughter. I hold that we should slaughter, in that way, a considerably higher proportion of our young stock, that are now fairly well covered with flesh, than we would ordinarily slaughter, because I believe that that is essential unless we are going to create a very grave situation for our human as well as our animal population.
Now, I understand that we have made an order fixing the prices of grain. I am rather slow to enter into a discussion at this stage on the decision which the Ministry has taken with regard to the prices which have been made under the order, but I think that this will have to be faced.
I think that unless the Ministry make up their minds to raise these prices you will precipitate a situation which will be very unfavourable, not only from the point of getting an increased area under tillage next year, but from the point of view of those people who have not land of their own and who have not food of their own and are depending on what our farmers produce for their foodstuffs during the coming winter. I believe that unless those prices are raised you will not have the food coming on the market. I am all against taking up the attitude. that we must raise food prices to such a level as will appear to put the farmer into a position where he is a profiteer. I am dead against that. It would be bad policy for our farmers to take their stand on that position. But I think it would be a very sound policy for the farmers in their production of all crops to get reasonable security and a reasonable return in cash. If we can put our farmers in that position, agriculture will be much more stable and the stability of the country will be much more secure.
I think, however, the prices which the Ministry have fixed are not adequate to the situation which confronts the farmers. I think the net result is that you will not have the grain put on the market. Take wheat. A man who has wheat to-day has to sell it as 16/- per cwt. I cannot buy one cwt. of the worst good that a miller can get together at 25/- a cwt.—the worst food, probably no protein in it at all. I cannot get it; neither can any man down the country. I know men from Cork and kerry who have been trying for the last six weeks, or perhaps two months, to get grain sent to them from my part of the country. They have not succeeded because the supply is not available. It seems to me that if you are to provide the people in the towns and cities with food during the next year you will have to ensure that the food will come on the market. You cannot treat the farmers as the Bolsheviks treated the Kulaks. You cannot succeed in that and you do not want to do it. None of us wants to see such a situation precipitated, and nobody wants to create a position like that. It will not be happier or easier or simpler for any group. It is not by the prosecution of a policy like that or the presecution of a limited number of people that we will hold together and whether the storms which will confront us.
My view is that you have not fixed the prices for grain high enough to encourage the farmers to put the grain on the market after the experience they had last year. The industrious farmer, the type of farmer we have been taught to admire and to encourage in the past, is the man who does a bit of everything. He has dairy cows; he has calves and pigs and poultry and various tillage crops that are related to the capacity of his soil to produce. That farmer has been regulating his own farm. That farmer who has stock is going to hold off payment of his just debts rather than cash his grain; he is going to feed it to his stock which he knows, if they are well covered with flesh, will bring him a good return in cash. He will feed to the stock the grain that ought to be put on the market for the feeding of human beings.
That is a situation that you have to guard against, that probably a considerable quantity of the stock of wheat which we apparently will have out of the 490,000 acres will not come on the market. It may pass from one man to another. They may exchange a bag of wheat for a bag of barley. Man to another. They may exchange and the grain for other people will go short. I suggest that you want to do what you can to overcome that situation by increasing the price the farmer has been offered up to the present. I know all the arguments on the other side. I could make the argument very strong on the other side about the difficulty of the man who has to buy grain and feed it to animals to finish them for food to be exported out of the country. Our primary consideration apparently for some time to come is to be able to feed our own people and keep them warm and clothed. It seems to me that we will have to do that ourselves out of what we have, because others do not seem to be putting themselves do not seem us anything. If that is the attitude of the world, I am prepared to fall back on our own resources, on any number of things that I never thought we would be pressed into doing. In the sort of inhuman, barbarous existence to which man has been reduced, he must strike out as well as he can. If he is forced into the forest, he will have to strive to live in the forest.
I urge that the grain prices are too low and that they ought to be raised. I think it would be very wise if some of those prices were fixed in consultation with representative groups of farmers.