The “PEX” Jobseeker profile model used by the Department predicts, with a high level of accuracy, the likelihood of those who are recently unemployed, exiting the Live Register (LR) to employment within 12 months. The model uses a set of characteristics, combined with coefficients reflecting their relative importance, to statistically calculate the probability of an unemployed person exiting to employment. The result is referred to as the Probability of Exit, or PEX score. The calculation of these scores facilitates segmentation of those who join the LR into Low, Medium and High risk cohorts and more intensive engagement with those who need most employment service type supports as early as possible.
The distribution of the scores is Low - 1 to 39, Medium - 40 to 79 and High - 80 to 100.
On average, across the network of Intreo Centres, the percentages of those jobseekers with these scores are as follows: High - 20%; Medium - 60%; and Low - 20%.
The distribution of scores by Intreo Centre is not available.