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Fiscal Policy

Dáil Éireann Debate, Thursday - 16 June 2016

Thursday, 16 June 2016

Questions (78, 81)

Pearse Doherty

Question:

78. Deputy Pearse Doherty asked the Minister for Finance if he will release compliance figures to 2021 that reflect the reality that is incorporating his policy intentions, given the April 2015 spring economic statement in which the previous Government stated that it intended to adopt a fiscal policy stance that would meet minimum compliance with the fiscal rules and acknowledged that tax and spending projections in the stability programme update 2016 from 2017 onwards were purely technical and did not include policy changes consistent with this intention; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [16434/16]

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Pearse Doherty

Question:

81. Deputy Pearse Doherty asked the Minister for Finance the reason for non-compliance with the budgetary frameworks directive to date and if the Government will enhance the quality of its medium-term budgetary forecasts by providing projections based on a realistic set of assumptions in line with the requirements of the directive and the requirement under the medium-term budgetary frameworks directive that budgetary forecasts also be provided on the basis of envisaged policies and hence the Government’s medium-term fiscal plans would include the major tax and spending priorities outlined in the programme for Government; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [16437/16]

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Written answers

I propose to take Questions Nos. 78 and 81 together.

Ireland complies with the requirements of the Budgetary Frameworks Directive, which was adopted as part of the 'Six Pack' reforms of the Stability and Growth Pact in 2011. In line with these provisions, we have established a credible medium term budgetary framework that ensures our fiscal planning follows a multiannual perspective. Furthermore, as required under the 'Two Pack' reforms, our macroeconomic forecasts, which underpin both the annual budget and Stability Programme Update (SPU), are assessed and endorsed by the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council.

The Government will be publishing the Summer Economic Statement shortly. This will represent the first opportunity to publish our medium-term fiscal plans since the Government was formed. The forecasts in the Statement will reflect the tax and spending priorities set out in the Programme for Partnership Government.

The SPU submitted to the European Commission in April was completed before the formation of the current Government. For this reason, it was prepared on a purely technical no-policy change basis. This is the accepted practice in circumstances where elections are underway or governments remain to be formed in post election circumstances. Accordingly, prior to the formation of the current Government, there were no policy decisions in place on the use of the fiscal space for the coming years. As the use of the fiscal space, for example on expenditure, tax reductions or improving the general government balance, has major impacts on multiannual forecasts, it could not be reflected in the SPU projections.

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