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State Examinations

Dáil Éireann Debate, Tuesday - 22 September 2020

Tuesday, 22 September 2020

Questions (423)

Catherine Connolly

Question:

423. Deputy Catherine Connolly asked the Minister for Education the number of teacher predicted leaving certificate grades which were downgraded in the standardisation process by more than 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 percentage points, respectively; if an analysis has been carried out regarding the number of students that received downgrades across several subjects; and if she will make a statement on the matter. [24841/20]

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Written answers

The decision to adopt a model of Calculated Grades by my Department was a direct result of COVID-19, which prevented the state from running the conventional Leaving Certificate Examinations. The purpose of this process is to allow as many students as possible to progress to employment, further education and training, or higher education in a way that is fair and equitable to all Leaving Certificate students.

Schools provided an estimated percentage mark and a rank order (the student's place in the class group) for each student’s subjects. We know from research that teachers are very good at making judgements about their students in the local context of the school.

The process of national standardisation was applied to the school information in order to ensure comparability between the standards applied by individual schools and the national standard. It is important to note that, unlike in other jurisdictions, the starting point for the standardisation process was the estimated percentage marks provided by the school.

The adjustments that occurred through standardisation resulted in the school estimates staying the same or being revised upwards or downwards. While the estimated marks have been subject to a process of adjustment to ensure fairness and comparability across schools, the national standardisation process operated on the premise that the school estimates should only be adjusted through the standardisation process where there was credible statistical evidence to justify changing them.

Following the standardisation process, the estimated percentage mark was converted to a calculated mark and subsequently, a calculated grade which was provided to students on 7 September. It is only at this point that students were awarded a grade therefore, it is not accurate to state that student(s) were downgraded, or upgraded, through the standardisation process. Rather the grade that was awarded following the standardisation process is the grade for the 2020 Leaving Certificate Calculated Grades. The degree to which mark changes occurred related to the degree of over or underestimation in the school estimates for each subject and each level. This means that some students experienced mark changes from the school estimates but no changes to the grades based on the school estimates; while others will have experienced changes to the marks leading to a change in the grade that would have been awarded based on the school estimates in one or more of their subjects.

In terms of the grades awarded, 83% (almost 340,000) of all Leaving Certificate subject grades are either the same or higher than the school estimates while 17% (under 70,000) grades are lower. More detailed statistics are available on my department’s website at: https://www.education.ie/en/Press-Events/Press-Releases/2020-press-releases/PR20-09-07.html

In particular the degree of mark changes between the school estimated marks and the calculated marks are documented in Section 8.2 of the Report of the National Standardisation Group, which is available on www.gov.ie/leavingcert.

It can be seen from the data that only 0.5% all Higher Level and 0.1% of Ordinary Level school estimates (fewer than 2000 results out of a total of 408,000) were reduced by more than 10 marks through the standardisation process.

The degree to which mark changes occurred related to the degree of over or underestimation in the school estimates for each subject and each level. This means that some students experienced mark changes from the school estimates but no changes to the grades based on the school estimates; while others will have experienced changes to the marks leading to a change in the grade that would have been awarded based on the school estimates in one or more of their subjects.

Of the students due to take examinations in the Leaving Certificate (including the Leaving Certificate Vocational) programme, the data requested on the number of students whose grades were different to those that would have been awarded based on the school estimates are set out in the following tables. It should be noted that some students had grades which were higher than the school estimates in some subjects and lower in others.

Number of grades which were lower than the school estimates by student

No of grades

No of students

Percent

0

19,596

34.0

1

18,584

32.3

2

11,663

20.2

3

5,288

9.2

4

1,885

3.3

5

488

0.8

6

83

0.1

7+

11

0.0

Total

57598

100.0

Number of grades which were higher than the school estimates by student

No of grades

No of Students

Percent

0

44572

77.4

1

10842

18.8

2

1843

3.2

3

297

0.5

4

38

0.1

5

6

0.0

Total

57598

100.0

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