I attended the meeting of the European Council of Heads of State or of Government and of Foreign Ministers in Luxembourg on Sunday and Monday last, 27 and 28 April. At the meeting I was accompanied by Deputy Lenihan, Minister for Foreign Affairs. As Deputies will be aware, meetings of the Agriculture Ministers of the Nine were taking place concurrently in Luxembourg, and Deputy MacSharry, Minister for Agriculture, attended.
The agenda for the Council was:
(1) (a) economic and social issues; (b) energy; (c) the Report of the Committee of Three on the functioning of the Community institutions; (d) pollution of the sea;
(2) (a) convergence and budgetary questions; (b) monetary and financial co-operation;
(3) Political co-operation items including Afghanistan, Iran and the Middle East.
The agenda does not convey the number and complexity of the problems confronting the Community before the Luxembourg meeting. These include, in particular, the difficulties over the British contribution to the Community budget, a number of extremely important items relating to agriculture, the rapidity with which Community expenditure is moving towards the 1 per cent VAT limit, an increase in the amount of the regional fund and the blocking of the non-quota section, the failure of the Community to establish a credible and viable energy policy and differences over sheepmeat, fisheries and other matters. I am not listing these items for their own sake but to illustrate the range, importance and diversity of subjects on which deep differences now exist within the Community. However important any one of these subjects is to the Community or any grouping of countries within the Community, it cannot be the main concern. That must now be the proper functioning of the Community and the role of Europe in the world—how we can co-operate and act, at the political level, in the maintenance of world peace. The real issue now is whether we can maintain and increase the cohesiveness and solidarity of the Community so that in an increasingly dangerous world it can exercise its great influence in the interests of moderation.
The Community cannot be complacent or negative in its approach. And, above all, members should not seek solutions separately or nationally—as might have been possible before. This is the era of the super-powers and small or even medium sized states have little influences unless they can co-ordinate their policies to achieve what must always be the principal objective—world peace and stability. It is for us in Europe to find methods to improve the procedures which will enable us to co-ordinate our policies in the interests of prosperity, progress and peace.
While economic policies are important for the attainment of these objectives, they cannot be the only consideration. While national objectives obviously can never be far from our minds, they, in the reality of today's conditions, can never be the final motivation. To my mind, Europe and its peoples depend on each other now in a way which is without precedent in history.
That is why I regard the outcome of the Luxembourg Council with such disappointment. We were faced with problems in a number of areas, each of which was, and still is, difficult but each of which was, and still is, capable of resolution, given an understanding and acceptance of the purpose and principles of the Community. Differences might have remained in a number of these areas, as happens on most occasions when councils meet. Each country would have gained something and each would have given away something but, in total, the Community and the people of Europe would have gained. I do not think that anyone gained from what happened in Luxembourg on this occasion.
There was real and serious damage done to the morale of the Community and to the effectiveness of its institutions. That is the main comment I would like to make in this House on the outcome of the council; and that is the main problem we must face in our deliberations in the months ahead.
I outlined our attitude and approach in a meeting I had with the President of the Council, the Italian Prime Minister, Signor Cossiga, on Sunday morning last and in my contributions in the meeting itself. I stressed that we were particularly anxious to see a solution to the British problem but that any settlement must be set within a wider framework of convergence. I referred to the inadequate progress achieved so far in narrowing the disparities between member states' economies and the need for a sustained Community effort to this end. I underlined our strongly held view that any solution to the immediate issue before us should not underline the achievements of the Community or the fundamental principles on which its dynamic development depends. There must be no resort to juste retour or retreat from basic principles of the CAP such as financial solidarity and common organisation of markets. At the same time, if it is to be true to its essential nature, the Community must show itself ready to help resolve exceptional difficulties facing any member state.
There is strong resistance to the idea of discussing the problem of the UK contribution to the Community Budget at a European Council once again; but the problem remains and must be tackled, with the other problems facing Europe, if the Community is to function properly. We will support any Presidency initiative towards this and would certainly favour concentrated discussions at ministerial level. An early meeting of Foreign Ministers might indeed evoke the beginning of an understanding.
The Council in Luxembourg did discuss and come to conclusions on a number of issues, which are detailed in a Presidency document which I will be laying before the House. I apologise to the House for the delay in putting this document before the House. I assure Deputies that this is through no fault of the Government but is due to unavoidable delay in getting the document prepared in the Community and having clarification of different aspects of it.
The discussion on the British budgetary contribution took place, mainly, on the second day. It was long and detailed. What emerged was an acceptance by the Council that the British contribution should be frozen, in 1980, at the average of its amount for the preceding two years. This meant that the British would have secured a reduction of almost 1.2 billion EUAs in their net contribution to the Budget in 1980. Of course, this figure is not final. It is based on many estimates. There were difficulties over the method to be used to calculate the contribution in 1981 and 1982. I do not think that it is necessary to go, here, into details of these difficulties.
It is sufficient to say that the calculations would have been based on the figure of 538 million EUAs contributed, on average, by the UK to the budget in 1978 and 1979 and would have been influenced by the development of the budget, in total, in 1981 and 1982. This of course would have been constrained under the existing 1 per cent VAT ceiling. In the end the difference was calculated to be equivalent to a figure of approximately £100 million or less— though, of course, it is impossible in a situation like this, where there are so many imponderables, to be precise. It was on this issue of amount and the duration of the solution, basically, though perhaps also on a number of the other items I have mentioned, that the meeting failed to reach agreement. I think that the real tragedy is that, having got so near to a solution, it failed in the end.
Agriculture is of fundamental importance to Ireland and to a large section of the population of the Community. Policy in the sector has political and social as well as economic implications. I personally feel that it is particularly unwise now, in the present state of the world, even to begin thinking of policies which, by undermining the Common Agricultural Policy—a cornerstone of the Community—could threaten the production in Europe of the food which man needs for his very survival. Surely we have learned from the hard experience of oil the dangers of permitting dependence on external sources for vital commodities to grow excessively? The confidence of farmers must be maintained and agriculture must be given the support which other industries get, in other ways, from the balance and mechanisms of the common market.
Deputies will be aware that in an effort to secure a settlement of the interlinked problems facing the Community, the Presidency took the unprecedented step of convening the Agricultural Council in parallel with the meeting of the European Council. Following an informal session, an intensive round of bilateral discussions and a meeting of the Council into the early hours of Monday morning, all the delegations were agreed on the elements of the package, though this was subject to a general reservation by the UK. It was not possible to reach agreement on the inclusion in the draft conclusions of certain words relating to the responsibility of producers for the cost of disposal of milk surpluses. The Minister for Agriculture and I stood firm against conceding, even for future years, the principle of a super-levy on farmers who increase production and when the agriculture item came before the European Council the members, with two exceptions, accepted our approach.
Had we been able to bridge the gap in respect of the British budgetary contribution I have no doubt that there would have been full agreement on a satisfactory package with price increases in the range of 4 to 5 per cent for the main products of Irish interest, agreement on the main features of a Community policy for sheepmeat and adoption of the special structures programme for the West of Ireland together with the dropping of the unacceptable elements in the market balance proposals of the Commission. In the event the whole subject was referred back to the Agriculture Council.
There was a similar outcome to the discussion in the European Council on fisheries where it was not possible for the UK to accept one aspect of the proposals put before the Council.
On the economic and social situation, there was a consensus that for 1980, largely as a consequence of the further large increase in oil prices, the growth rate for the Community as a whole would fall, unemployment would rise and inflation could reach over 11 per cent.
There was also agreement with the Commission's view that the current stance of policy should be broadly unchanged. In the course of the discussion our own budget was noted as an example of the type of policy response appropriate to the current circumstances.
We also discussed the high level of interest rates. As the Minister for Finance recently said in the House, the level of rates in Ireland cannot be isolated from the realities of the international markets or of our own rate of inflation and external payments deficit. Nevertheless, none of us wants rates to be even one point higher than they have to be or maintained at current levels for a moment longer than is inescapably necessary. I am, therefore, glad to tell the House that, largely at our instance, the Conclusions of the Council invite the Council of Finance Ministers and the Committee of Central Bank Governors to maintain close co-ordination of their interest rate policies with a view to a reduction in the current high rates as soon as the necessary conditions are fulfilled.
There was considerable emphasis in our discussion on the problems created for the world economy by the huge increase in the balance of payments surplus of the oil-exporting countries and the corresponding drain on the assets of other countries, especially the developing countries which are not petroleum producers. The OPEC current surplus, having fallen to $5 billion in 1978, rose to about $68 billion last year and is expected to rise to $115 billion in 1980. The combined deficits of the non-oil developing countries may reach $68 billion this year and $78 billion in 1981. The financing of these deficits which has been effected largely through private credits could cause problems of major dimensions.
I was one of a number of Heads of State or Government in Luxembourg who raised the question of intensifying efforts at international level to developing suitable channels for recycling these funds. While there were some differences of view of the best approach—for example, as to the extent to which the ECU should be promoted and developed as a genuine international reserve asset—the Conclusions of the meeting endorsed the call to step up action on this subject and asked the Finance Council to give the matter particular attention.
This brings me to the review we undertook of progress with the European Monetary System. There was general agreement and considerable satisfaction that the exchange rate system has worked well. The Council confirmed our commitment to monetary integration and asked the Community bodies concerned to push on with their work which is designed to prepared the way for the institutional phase, embracing the definition of the role of the European Currency Unit and the establishment of the European Monetary Fund. While there are differences of view as to the pace at which progress can be made, the commitment to the objectives set at previous meetings remains strong, and such caution as has been manifested is motivated purely by the wish to ensure that the development of the system is founded on such sure foundations that it will be both successful and irreversible.
Europe's pattern of energy demand and supply is now a major danger to our future and a major constraint on progress. There was agreement that every effort must be made to reduce dependence on oil and increase recourse to other forms of energy.
Under the political co-operation heading the European Council discussed Afghanistan emphasising that the objective was not an imposed neutrality but a free decision of the Afghan people.
On Iran our main points were to indicate solidarity with the United States in their efforts to secure the release of the hostages by political and diplomatic means and to re-affirm the decisions of the Foreign Ministers of 22 April. We also wished to encourage the UN Secretary General in his effort to play a useful role in the present crisis.
On the Middle East, the Nine reiterated our belief that only a comprehensive, just and lasting settlement can bring true peace to that region. The European Council were conscious that Europe may in due course have a constructive role to play to that end and we therefore asked the Foreign Ministers to prepare a report so that we could consider the problem fully on the occasion of our next session in Venice in six weeks' time.
The European Council denounced the acts of violence committed in Southern Lebanon against members of UNIFIL and demanded that they cease immediately and that the force be permitted to carry out in full its mandate from the United Nations Security Council. Throughout we stressed the need for positive efforts to maintain world peace through dialogue at the present time.
I was glad to have the opportunity, while in Luxembourg, of having a brief private meeting with the British Prime Minister. It is not customary to say, in detail, what is discussed at meetings of this nature. Deputies will, however, wish to be aware that we agreed on a substantive meeting to be held in a matter of weeks for a discussion of a number of issues of mutual interest.
In conclusion, I should like to say that, apart from the outcome, the arrangements for this most disappointing and protracted of Councils were excellent and to congratulate Mr. Cossiga, in his capacity as President of the Council, on the hard work, patience and tenacity which he put into seeking a solution. I am sure that we are all conscious of the magnitude of the difficulties he faced and deeply appreciative of his efforts, personally and through his Ministers and officials to overcome them, in the common interest of the peoples of Europe.