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Dáil Éireann díospóireacht -
Wednesday, 3 Jul 1996

Vol. 468 No. 1

Written Answers. - Budgetary Discipline.

Bertie Ahern

Ceist:

68 Mr. B. Ahern asked the Minister for Finance whether Ireland has agreed, in the context of preparations for stage 3 of economic and monetary union, that in order to allow the automatic stabilisers to work in times of economic downturn, each member state should aim for a budgetary position close to balance or in surplus in the medium term; and the plans, if any, he has to move to that position; if so, the time-scale involved, assuming no major downturn in the interim. [14725/96]

The need to secure budgetary discipline in stage 3 of economic and monetary union has been a key element of the preparatory work at the level of the European Union in recent years.

Article 103 of the Treaty on European Union provides for the adoption by the Council of recommendations on the broad guidelines for the economic policies of the member states and the Union. In December 1993 the first such guidelines, which were adopted by ECOFIN following discussion at the European Council, envisaged that, in the long term, member states' budgetary policies would be directed towards contributing to higher national savings and investment and that this would entail much lower budget deficits, "perhaps close to balance by 2000". In July, 1995 the broad economic guidelines adopted by ECOFIN repeated the goal, which they now referred to as a medium-term one, of bringing budget deficits "close to balance". They noted that, in some countries, the structure of the pension system calls for surpluses in the public accounts.

More recently, discussions have taken place at ECOFIN on ways to ensure budgetary discipline in stage 3 of economic and monetary union, including consideration of proposals put forward last autumn by Germany for a stability pact. In this context it has been argued that, in favourable times, member states should aim for general government deficits comfortably below the reference value of 3 per cent of GDP referred to in Article 104c of the Treaty in order to ensure that they can keep such deficits to or below the 3 per cent reference value over the course of a normal economic cycle. In that context, the need to maintain such a budgetary position has recently been restated by ECOFIN.
In Ireland's case, despite varying rates of GDP growth, the budget deficit has been kept well below the 3 per cent reference value every year since and including 1989. The objective of keeping the budget deficit below the 3 per cent reference value will continue to inform the development of budgetary policy.
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