Last Thursday the Minister for Finance made a lengthy statement in which he clearly signalled that he favoured a regionalisation approach so that additional Structural Funds could be obtained in the next tranche of funds covering the period 2000-6 which is being negotiated. He strongly indicated that Objective One status would be sought for three sub-regions, the west, the midlands and the Border counties, an area comprising 13 counties. The Government took its decision yesterday and added two further counties, Clare and Kerry, to these sub-regions.
So far the Government has provided no estimate of the amount of money it expects to receive in the next tranche of Structural Funds. About £1 billion accrues annually to the Exchequer in Structural and Cohesion Funds.
The expectation of the rainbow coalition Government was that, while there would be a scaling down of this sum, it would still be possible to negotiate about £700 million for each of the seven years from 2000 to 2006 giving a total of slightly under £5 billion which by any standards is an enormous amount of money. Will the Minister of State confirm that the estimate of the previous Government is still in line with Government expectations?
The debate on Structural Funds which has followed the Government's decision has concentrated on the additional amount which could be delivered through a regionalisation approach. A figure of £120 million over five years has been mentioned. While this is a significant amount, it is relatively small in contrast with the expectations of £5 billion, the figure in circulation when we left office. The Minister of State should clarify the situation.
I congratulate everybody in the 13 counties whose areas are included. The Celtic tiger's influence has been spread unevenly. While GDP in the country as a whole increased by 21 per cent in the period 1991-5, in the three sub-regions in question it increased only by between 13 and 15 per cent.
The change in the distribution of the population which has occurred in the past 30 years also supports a regional approach. The proportion of the national population in the regional authority areas of Dublin and the mid-east has risen from 34 to 39 per cent while it has fallen in the west, midlands and Border counties from 30 to 27 per cent. Last week the Minister informed us that only 23 per cent of grant-aided jobs created in the years 1995, 1996 and 1997 were created in the west, the midlands and Border counties. This is due principally to poor infrastructure.
Many Deputies are concerned that their constituencies have not been included in the Government's application. They could hold the line if the application was confined to the 13 counties originally chosen but the inclusion of Kerry and Clare has undermined the position of many Deputies in their constituencies. It is not the Structural Funds issue that is of primary concern but the fact that a higher level of grant aid may be paid to industries setting up in the favoured regions. Many fear that the counties not included will experience a kind of industrial blight along their boundaries.
Will the Minister consider including DEDs outside the 15 counties but contiguous with them in the Government's application to Brussels? The DED is the smallest unit used for statistical mapping by EUROSTAT. We are familiar with its use as the smallest unit in relation to the disadvantaged areas scheme. If the Government accepts this proposal, it will ensure areas as disadvantaged as the areas included in the application but contiguous to them are considered by EUROSTAT.
There is no doubt that the Minister, when he made his statement last Thursday, did not expect Clare and Kerry to be added to the sub-regions. He said:
Consideration could be given to including some adjoining counties in the new NUTS II region with Objective One status. This would, however, involve consequential changes at the next level, NUTS III, which might not be acceptable to EUROSTAT and might also endanger qualification for Objective One status by breaching the 75 per cent GDP threshold.
It is clear that neither the Minister nor the Department favoured the addition of the two counties mentioned in the application. It is also clear that political pressure was exerted during the weekend which influenced the political decision made by the Cabinet at its meeting on Tuesday.
The criteria for inclusion in Objective One is that the per capita income of a region be less than 75 per cent of GDP. The Government has made its case on the basis of the 1995 figures. I understand that at noon tomorrow EUROSTAT will publish the 1996 figures. As the CSO prepared these figures for EUROSTAT, I presume the Government had access to them in advance of the decision. Will the Commission make its decision on the basis of the 1996 figures or taking into account the average over 1994, 1995 and 1996? Will the per capita figures announced tomorrow strengthen or weaken the Government's position in respect of the 15 counties for which Objective One status has been sought?