I move:
That a sum not exceeding £153,762,000 be granted to defray the charge which will come in course of payment during the year ending on the 31st day of December, 1988, for the salaries and expenses of the Office of the Minister for Agriculture and Food, including certain services administered by that Office, and of the Irish Land Commission, and for payment of certain grants, subsidies and sundry grants-in-aid.
The Estimate is for a gross amount of some £330 million. However this represents only a minor part of the total spending by my Department. As part of ongoing support from the EC for Irish agriculture my Department oversee and supervise a large number of support measures and special aids which are fully funded by Brussels. These measures will result in expenditure of some £840 million being paid by my Department in 1988 to farmers and agri-business. In addition the Department spend some £460 million funded from borrowings on the purchase of products into intervention. The services being provided by my Department, including staff costs, are vitally necessary to meet our EC obligations and to maintain well-established standards for our agricultural exports. There is much continuing misconception regarding the staff numbers employed in the Department. In that regard I must reiterate that the Department are involved in disbursing funds in the region of £1,630 million and staff costs must be viewed in that overall content and not just in relation to the voted moneys.
The past year has seen a remarkable turnabout in Irish agriculture. The slide in farm incomes was not only halted but was well and truly reversed. It would have been difficult to believe that this was possible at the end of 1986 when farmers' confidence was at a low ebb. The year's achievements in agriculture have been all the more remarkable given the restrictions in the operation of the Common Agricultural Policy.
The indications now are that in the first year in office of this Government farm incomes increased by over 20 per cent. This boost in farm incomes is responsible in no small measure for the upward revision in GNP growth for 1987 to 5 per cent and I am glad to say that the trends in 1988 are showing further significant increases.
A major element in this income increase is the reversal of the so-called price/cost squeeze. Up to last year farm input prices have risen more quickly than farm gate prices for the products sold by the farmer. Between 1980 and 1985, agricultural output prices rose by 35.6 per cent while input prices rose by 47.5 per cent. Recently this trend was reversed. Farm output prices were particularly strong last year and increased in real terms for the first time since 1978.
A further element in the substantial increase in farm incomes has been the steady decline in interest rates over the year. In addition, inflation has been at its lowest level in two decades. The general economic signals coming through this year are more positive than they have been for many years and have brought considerable benefits to the agricultural sector.
Looking to the future, I feel there is still scope for an increase in farm incomes this year. The reductions in the national quota will probably cause some reduction in the volume of milk output. However, I am very happy to report that market buoyancy in the dairy sector is such that further increases in milk prices are imminent. Indeed one major co-op yesterday announced a retrospective rise of 1p per gallon from 1 May and a further 2p per gallon from 1 June. I expect that the general increase will be of the same order.
It is also likely that there will be an expansion in other sectors — sheep, poultry, crops etc. On the inputs side, there should be a further reduction in volume, particularly feeding stuffs and fertilisers, as farmers make more economies in the usage of farm materials and services. It is a bit early yet to be predicting the outturn for 1988. Still I think we can expect agricultural output prices to show further increases even though the downward trend in input prices of the past two years appears to be levelling off.
There is no reason why farmers cannot build on the achievements of this year despite the difficulties that lie ahead. The expansion of the agriculture and food industry is a central element of the Government's Programme for National Recovery. It is of crucial importance to the economy as a whole in the years ahead that agriculture maintains the momentum generated in 1987. In the EC context, the European Council at its meeting on 11/12 February last decided on a range of issues designed to strengthen the Community's ability to act arising from the entry into force of the Single European Act. From an Irish viewpoint the main issues decided on were a larger and more equitably designed financial base for the Community, a doubling by 1992 of the Structural Funds for the less developed regions, including Ireland, and tighter budgetary discipline and management, including stabilisation measures for a number of sectors. The European Council also laid down an overall guideline for agricultural expenditure, provision for its growth over the next four years and separate arrangements to deal with monetary fluctuations and to dispose of existing stocks. These latter parts of the agreement are crucial for the future of Irish agriculture as they ensure a reasonable level of financing for the CAP well into the nineties.
The doubling of EC Structural Funds should benefit farmers and rural areas generally in a special way. Ireland has obtained substantial amounts under the various funds heretofore and it is certain that we can look forward to a greater flow of funds in the years ahead. In my own Department we are considering urgently how to ensure that we get maximum benefit from the enlarged funds. We are examining how to make greater use of the existing structural schemes and also new initiatives such as integrated rural programmes aimed at encouraging broadly based development in rural areas. While agriculture will remain the cornerstone of rural prosperity, it must be accompanied in the future by other enterprises. The enlarged Structural Funds can provide the impetus for such diversified development.
The Commission's proposals on farm prices and related measures for 1988-89 represent a continuation of the restrictive approach which has applied to CAP expenditure in recent years culminating in the European Council's conclusions on stabilisation measures and application of tighter budgetary controls. I will be heavily engaged this coming week in the final stage of these negotiations and I hope that we can achieve some improvement on the very restrictive proposals of the Commission. The outcome of the Uruguay round of the GATT negotiations, which are likely to extend over the next few years, will be crucial to the future of international trade in agriculture and further reform of the CAP will have to be carried out in tandem with these new developments. Our concern must be to secure a continuing return to our farmers and a commitment by all trading partners to bring about a better balance between supply and demand in the short and longer term.
As regards disease eradication I have been impressed by the enthusiasm and commitment shown by the new management board in setting about its task. This bodes well for the achievement of the Government's target of reducing the levels of bovine TB by one half over the new four year programme. The Government's approval of my proposal to maintain their commitment to the funding of the scheme over that period is a particular source of satisfaction to me. It should bring to an end the continual uncertainty and dissatisfaction about the resources to be made available in any year and allows all the parties concerned to co-operate in removing the remaining obstacles to eradication.
I should now like to refer to the main areas of agricultural production, starting with dairying. Intervention costs continue to be a substantial burden on the Exchequer. However the position has improved enormously on the dairying side. No skim powder has been taken into intervention either this year or last year and all our stock and virtually all the Community stock has been disposed of. As regards butter, the situation has also improved dramatically. Intake has fallen considerably from the levels experienced in 1986 and in early 1987. So far this year only 2,200 tonnes have been taken in while disposal of the order of 60,000 tonnes have been achieved. The infamous food mountains as far as dairy products are concerned are fast disappearing. The Community now has virtually no stocks of skim powder. Butter stocks, which exceeded 1.3 million tonnes at the beginning of 1987, are rapidly being reduced to normal levels and are currently below a half million tonnes.
These rather dramatic changes reflect changed circumstances in the milk sector and a greatly improved environment on international markets. We had an exceptionally good year in the export market in 1987 and 1988 looks like being better. Our milk industry has broken free from its former dependence on intervention. There is now an eagerness in the industry to broaden its range of products and to embark on new projects. Practically all our major co-operatives are involved in rationalisation and modernisation projects. What is particularly encouraging is that these involve value-added products. In recent weeks a number of significant projects have been announced and there are more in the pipeline. This has been helped by the improved financial performance of milk processors during 1987 — the reality is that processors cannot develop or expand unless they have the financial resources. Another major factor is the availability once again of FEOGA grants for projects from the milk sector. It must also be recognised that the improved economic situation, with inflation and interest rates at exceptionally low levels, has had a major influence.
Recently, the Commission through Management Committee procedure reduced the level of aid for a number of support schemes including the aid for skim milk used in casein manufacture. Prices for skim powder have been very buoyant and in that sense it was to be expected that the support measures would come under review. However, the levels of reduction sought by the Commission were quite draconian. I immediately made direct contact with the Commission and I am pleased that they eventually agreed to reduce the cutbacks by approximately a half which has been a matter of relief for our dairy co-operatives and Bord Bainne. Overall, the reductions must be balanced against the improvements which have occurred on the international market and falling production of skim powder in the Community.
The broader question of rationalisation and amalgamation among co-operatives remains unresolved. This is an issue which will not go away because the facts are that our industry is highly exportoriented and must compete in a very demanding and competitive international market and in a market which is becoming increasingly dominated by a smaller number of larger firms. Therefore, we must have the kind of structures which will enable us to survive in that environment and to compete with the large scale operators.
At farm level dairying continues to be a very important and attractive enterprise. The strengthening of international markets and the improving balance in the Community's milk regime have been translated into improved returns for farmers. Dairy farmers have received very worthwhile increases over the past year and indeed during recent weeks. The reality is that dairy farmers are now receiving very good returns for their milk. For the short term at least the quota system is here to stay. Dairy farmers must maximise their returns within their permitted quotas and this involves adopting systems of production which are most suited to their own individual circumstances.
I have endeavoured to introduce some flexibility into the quota system and to make provision for farmers with small quotas and others with particular difficulties. The milk quota restructuring scheme which I negotiated as part of last year's price fixing package has met with a good response. Under this scheme, and under the temporary leasing scheme I recently announced, special priority has been given to small quota holders and young farmers. I am satisfied that this is a very effective attempt to manage the consequences of the quota decisions which are imposing quite severe restriction not just in Ireland but throughout the Community. I want to put on record that the small farmers and young producers can be assured that they will remain my priority in the context of the quota free arrangements.
The cattle and beef industry had a reasonably satisfying year in 1987. Although cattle numbers declined, there is strong evidence that the fall has bottomed out. The yearly decline recorded at the December 1987 livestock enumeration was some 47,000 head compared with a decline of 153,000 head in the previous year. I am glad to be able to say that now the national beef cow herd is recovering. The fall in beef cow numbers has been reversed, cow slaughterings over the last 18 months have shown a significant decline. They reduced by 13 per cent in 1987 and were down 18 per cent in the first four months of 1988 as compared to the same period last year. Artificial inseminations so far this year are showing a substantial increase on last year. In the first four months of this year they were up 12 per cent on the same period last year. The very good cattle and, in particular, calf prices so far this year should give further encouragement to farmers to increase the breeding herd.
Another encouraging development is that there are signs that the quality of our national herd is improving. Inseminations of continental breeds were up from 14 per cent in 1983 to 32 per cent in 1987. This clearly indicates that our producers recognise that there is a stable market for beef from quality cattle.
There were satisfactory developments also in the processing industry. Live exports continued to fall and cattle slaughterings at meat export plants were one of the highest ever recorded. Exports of beef in carcase weight equivalent terms increased by 4 per cent while exports to the United Kingdom increased by about 13 per cent. Exports of vacuum packed beef increased by 50 per cent with exports in this form to the United Kingdom increasing by over 70 per cent.
The salaries of the Department's staff at meat export plants are charged to subhead A1. These staff are performing an essential task in ensuring that our meat exports are wholesome and produced under the most hygienic of conditions and all importing countries require veterinary certification to that effect. Our task is to make certain that the highest possible standards are achieved at our meat plants. In this way we can ensure the wide acceptability of our meat products on world markets at premium prices. Receipts of £6.5 million from inspection fees are provided for under subheads M27 and M30 towards the cost of providing this service to the meat industry.
Sheep farming is an expanding area and one in which I am glad to say that there is still considerable growth potential. Although budgetary stabilisers have recently been applied to the sector, the common organisation of the market for sheepmeat continues to afford Irish producers important support through the ewe premium and producers can look to the future with confidence. The Commission proposal to have a single ewe premium based on a single income loss for the entire Community ignores Ireland's dependency on export markets and the fact that our prices are at the lower end of the Community range. This, therefore, is a proposal which I will resist since it is imperative that producer income is protected in the move to a single market.
Last July, I was pleased to be able to announce a major plan for the development of the slaughtering/processing sector of the pigmeat industry. The plan involves a total investment, including contributions from the State and from FEOGA, of up to £140 million by 1992 and is designed to create a number of centralised slaughtering units licensed to the highest EC and USDA standards.
Increasing pig output from the existing 2.1 million to 3 million by 1992 is crucial to the success of the programme. The report of the study group recently presented to me outlines a number of measures for achieving the necessary expansion. At my request the group have now initiated discussions with the various sectors of the industry so that a specific action programme can be agreed upon and set in motion as quickly as possible. I feel that the pigmeat industry is on the threshold of a new and brighter future. Much, however, remains to be done and it is in the interests of all to ensure that the sector achieves its full potential.
After two bad harvests and continuing pressure on returns to producers, the area under cereals decreased by 7 per cent in 1987. However, production in 1987 increased by nearly 8 per cent over 1986. Production of malting barley increased significantly. The quality was generally good and markets were available at premium prices both at home and in Europe. Producers are looking to malting barley to help offset some of the reduction in their returns as a result of cuts in support prices.
Cereals were the major target of the European Commission's efforts to reduce the cost of the Common Agricultural Policy. The stabiliser measures agreed recently by the European Council — a maximum guaranteed production threshold and an increase in the coresponsibility levy — may seem harsh, particularly as Ireland does not contribute to any significant degree of support costs. The new measures are, however, mild compared with the first draconian proposals from the Commission.
On the positive side, the Commission have agreed to tackle, in the context of the ongoing GATT negotiations, the problem of increasing imports of cheap cereal substitutes. A scheme is also being devised to encourage the use of additional cereals in animal feed. The proposals for set-aside of arable land being discussed at present will benefit some cereal producers.
I am glad we are proceeding with the reinstallation of the installation aid scheme for young farmers. I submitted details of this scheme to the European Commission some time ago, and I hope their approval will be forthcoming in the near future. It is my intention that the revised scheme should apply retrospectively to 1 April 1987.
Two notable improvements are being included in the 1988 schemes for disadvantaged areas. The first which I announced recently is the extension of headage payments at the higher rates of £70 and £66 to suckling cows kept by dairy farmers throughout the disadvantaged areas. I estimate that up to 12,000 farmers will, as a result, get higher grants in 1988 and this improvement will make a vital contribution to increasing beef cow numbers. The second innovation is the payment of grants of £32 or £28 on the non-thoroughbred brood mares registered in the Irish horse register. This will encourage growth in the numbers of horses kept by farmers in the areas.
I am providing £23.1 million under subhead B4 for agricultural research, training and advisory services. This is an increase of £3.1 million on the original £20 million allocation and is mainly in lieu of the local contributions by county councils for agricultural services which arrangement is now being terminated arising from the Teagasc legislation.
The food and drink industry is of particular importance to the Irish economy in terms of production, employment and exports. Approximately 23 per cent of all those employed in manufacturing industry are engaged in the food and drink sector. Exports in 1987 of drink and agrifood products accounted for close to £3 billion which represents about one-third of all our exports. In order to fully exploit the potential of this sector it is essential to increase the added-value input through further processing. Over £200 million of food imports can be substituted by home-produced products and the achievement of this target will result in a significant benefit to our balance of trade.
I am sorry to have to rush through this estimate and give what is only a brief summary of the current position of what is a vital and healthy sector of the Irish Government's programme — agriculture and food.
What I have said is only a brief summary which will enable the House to debate the issues. In conclusion, we have seen what can be called extraordinary and beneficial changes in agriculture in the past year, despite the adverse market and other factors to which I referred earlier. I am confident that we can build on the achievements and that the agriculture and food sector will continue to play its pivotal role in the development of the economy as a whole.
I recommend to the House the adoption of the Estimate.