I thank the Chairman, members of the joint committee and its staff for inviting me to speak today on Serbia and its preparedness for EU candidate status. I thank the ad hoc international coalition for the arrest of Ratko Mladic for recommending me to the committee. Its persistence in demanding that Serbia adhere to the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia, ICTY, condition of full co-operation with the Hague tribunal, along with the persistence of the Dutch Government and the understanding of this, significantly contributed to the fact that the remaining two fugitives, Ratko Mladic and Goran Hadic, were recently arrested and handed over to the tribunal. The arrests are good news in many respects, in addition to being an opportunity for Serbia to put in order its overall security sector, including its judiciary, army, police, intelligence agencies, customs and private security sector, so as to be in compliance with good EU practice.
Thus far, Serbia has adopted almost all laws indicated in the 2010 EU Commission progress report on Serbia. The European Commission will give its opinion on the Serbian candidacy bid next month, and the Council will announce its decision in December 2011. I hope it will be positive. Unfortunately, the news I hear today is not very promising. The latest developments in north Kosovo are not working in Serbia's favour. Unfortunately, Serbia is responsible for that set of events. Nevertheless, I must draw attention to four interrelated areas I closely follow and believe should be taken into consideration during the deliberative period and later if Serbia obtains candidacy status.
First, is the willingness and capability of the Serbian authorities to investigate, disclose and prosecute all those who have been supporting Mladic and other ICTY fugitives for so long, the means by which they have done so and the cost, as a prerequisite for more comprehensive security sector reform. Second, is the level of commitment of the Serbian authorities to regional reconciliation, as demonstrated by their actual policies and behaviour on the ground. There is frequently a disceprency between those two.
Third, is the readiness of Serbian authorities to close comprehensively the gaps in Serbian security sector reform, both structurally and in its personnel, and to continue to improve democratic control of the armed forces, police forces and intelligence agencies. Fourth, is the Serbian Government's willingness to change its policies towards Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo. The need for a comprehensive EU approach in evaluation and assistance to Serbia to complete its security sector reform, including of the Judiciary, is the main topic of my presentation. Without security sector reform, all other reform attempts, including those related to Serbian preparedness for EU candidacy status will be severely impeded. Oddly, this program of reform is rarely mentioned in the context of Serbian EU integration.
I deeply believe that current gaps in security sector reform seriously affect other internal policies in Serbia and its foreign orientation and relations. Unfortunately, the current EU approach to this subject is ad hoc, occasionally self-contradictory and sometimes based on wishful thinking. I will not go into details on other important fields related to Serbian progress towards the EU as I find that EC progress reports present very well the topics they cover. This is why I recommend the above-mentioned comprehensive EU approach for overall security sector reform. The EU has at its disposal tools to assume this approach. By combining its common foreign, security and defence policy and enlargement policy, the EU can better connect its technical and political conditions and make it easier for Serbia to understand and meet them.
Belgrade's current policies, including those towards Kosovo, Bosnia-Herzegovina and the region are severely affected by three problems with the current state of affairs in the country's security sector. The decision-making process on crucial issues is still made outside the legal institutions that just serve to give them "democratic" cover-up. The decision-making process, if it occurs within the institutions, is often influenced by persons, still employed therein, who are compromised by their activities in the 1990s and afterwards. An overall problem is a lack of harmonisation of legislation throughout the security sector and poor law enforcement in Serbia in general.
In its conclusion, the European Commission's Serbia 2010 Progress Report states:
Overall, there was further progress towards completing the legislation providing for a civilian oversight of security forces and implementing constitutionally guaranteed rights. However, civilian oversight, including the work of the relevant parliamentary committee, needs to be reinforced.
The European Union, in the Commission's annual progress reports, covers many segments of security sector reform, such as reform of the Judiciary and the role of the Parliament in democratic oversight. It also covers many aspects through the questionnaire it prepares for an applicant country. Nevertheless, in the case of Serbia, it should map out and analyse the achievements of the security sector reform process overall. Based on these findings, the EU should shape and present its expectations regarding the future steps that Serbia should undertake, as it does in the other fields of primary concern such as the fight against corruption and organised crime. Without this additional effort, the EU risks significantly undermining all material and political support provided to Serbia and the region to date.
In the days prior to this presentation, Serbian authorities made a significant step toward the further cleansing of its ranks in the security sector. Several former members of the notorious Unit for Special Operations - known for its participation in numerous war crimes during the 1990s - who participated in the unit's upheaval in 2001 that led to the assassination of Serbian Prime Minister Zoran Ðindic in 2003 were arrested. It is alarming that some of those arrested remained active employees of the Serbian Ministry of the Interior and the Security Intelligence Agency until last week. It is extremely important for Serbia to continue seeking answers regarding those who ordered Prime Minister Dindic's assassination.
It is also crucial that Serbia arrest and prosecute those who were assisting and protecting Mladic and other ICTY fugitives, and obtain clarification of all the circumstances that led to the violent deaths of five Serbian conscript soldiers in the period 2004 to 2005. There are suspicions that these violent deaths were related to the hiding of Ratko Mladic in military facilities. Action on the aforementioned fronts would finally create an environment in which the Serbian security sector could undergo thorough and comprehensive reform.
It is my deep conviction that these issues constitute a knot that genuine pro-EU forces in Serbia cannot untangle without much stronger EU support and involvement, with clear requirements and rewards for achieving them. The EU has demonstrated its capacity to have the enlargement process tailor made, recognising the specific circumstances of the applicant countries by, for example, including full co-operation with the ICTY for western Balkan countries, while maintaining its own standards. Similar logic should be applied in the case of Serbia and the need for security sector reform.
In my written presentation to the committee, I highlighted some circumstances in which Serbian security sector reform is taking place and outlined the main reforms and achievements to date. The incompleteness of the process of security sector reform related to democratic oversight of military security and intelligence agencies, and regulation in defence industry exports that is not in compliance with EU expectations and recommendations, is confirmed by the Serbian Government itself in its answers to the EU questionnaire.
There are two possible explanations for Serbia's failure to push for more comprehensive security sector reform and to reinforce oversight referred to by itself. First, Serbian authorities wish to do it but do not control the full security apparatus. Alternatively, they wish to control, but not reform, the sector and are, therefore, acting to strengthen informal political parties' instruments of control, making unacceptable compromises along the road. Serbian policy towards Kosovo, which overarches and dictates the scope of all other policies, also significantly reduces Serbian capability to complete security sector reform. The lack of successful judiciary reform indicated in the EU Commission's progress report for 2010 - we shall see how the EU will evaluate it this year - has an ongoing impact on the security sector that has been rarely analysed.
While co-operation with the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia, ICTY, and domestic prosecution for war crimes has been slow in coming, it has contributed significantly to security sector reform in Serbia. ICTY co-operation, which resulted in the transfer of some active staff, as well of those retired but well connected and still influential, in the ICTY detention and its external scrutiny, has been the greatest single contributor to one extremely important track of security sector reform, namely, the transfer of compromised personnel from the ranks of the Serbian security sector.
Unfortunately, this is not enough. Only a fraction of those personnel in the Serbian security services who were involved in committing crimes in the 1990s have been charged, much less convicted, by the ICTY or domestic courts. The continued presence of remaining perpetrators, their accomplices, commanders and allies in Serbian security sector units, including the Judiciary and other parts of the Serbian administration, in political and business life, in the poorly regulated private security sector and in the media, significantly influences the overall political landscape within Serbia, including the scope of the security sector reform and policies towards Kosovo and Bosnia-Herzegovina. It is the elephant in the room that no one wants to talk about.
Against this background, let me draw the attention of members once again to four interrelated key issues that I closely follow and believe should have an impact on the Commission, Council, and member states' decisions on the Serbian candidacy bid. The first is the willingness and capability of the Serbian authorities to investigate, disclose, and prosecute those who have been supporting Mladic and other ICTY fugitives for so long, by what means they have done so and at what cost, as a precondition for more comprehensive security sector reform. Another is the level of Serbian authorities' commitment to regional reconciliation as demonstrated by their actual policies and behaviour on the ground. The next is the readiness of Serbian authorities to close comprehensively the gaps in Serbian security sector reform, both structurally and in its personnel, and to continue to improve democratic control of the armed forces and intelligence services. The fourth is the Serbian Government's willingness to change its policies towards Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo. In my written presentation, all four points are covered in more detail, including suggestions for further action, and I ask members to take them into consideration.
In conclusion, despite all the above-mentioned open issues, if Serbia meets other EU expectations from last year's progress report, which will be evaluated in the Commission's findings the recommendations of which are to be announced on 12 October, and if the situation in Kosovo does not deteriorate and dialogue with Pristina resumes and if the state demonstrates it can provide for the protection of the constitutionally-granted rights of the participants in the forthcoming pride parade, Serbia should be given candidacy status. I ask members to allow me to justify the reason I suggest this approach. This will provide some support for genuine pro-EU forces within Serbia and pre-empt a drop in public support for the EU integration process in advance of the 2012 general election in Serbia. At present, public support for EU integration is slightly above 50% but there has been a downward trend over the past year from approximately 65%. The date of the EU negotiations should then be announced and organised as quickly as possible but should be firmly and clearly conditional.
Continued Serbian progress towards EU membership, if predicated on the strengthening of institutions and regulatory bodies within Serbia, would weaken the principal opponents of the pro-EU agenda. These opponents are beneficiaries of the status quo, including lax control of the security services, often possess unregulated monopolies and influence current policies towards Kosovo and Bosnia-Herzegovina. Further progress would both be a setback for them and provide a new set of tools for the genuine pro-EU forces to reduce or eliminate their influence.
I now wish to give a few suggestions on where Ireland can help Serbia on this tough and demanding road. Ireland has been a role model for many in Serbia regarding its own successful EU integration. It also can have a role in supporting the strengthening of democratic institutions in Serbia. Ireland, which like Serbia is not a member of NATO, will assume the presidency of the OSCE in 2012. It also will assume the EU Presidency in 2015. These are additional channels through which it is to be hoped Ireland can increasingly support crucial areas of reform necessary for my country. In addition, Ireland has one of the best developed and coherent systems regarding the protection of the human rights of the members of its Defence Forces. This can also serve as a role model for Serbia, as the current structure in this regard is poor in mandate, coherence and resources.
I am firmly convinced the approach I have recommended, namely, a combination of clear conditions and support for their fulfilment, would be in the mutual interests of both Serbia and the EU. A similar approach has delivered thus far, significantly helping genuine pro-EU forces in Serbia in their support for Serbia's bid for candidacy. I believe this approach would also have a positive impact on the further democratisation of the region as a whole. Bearing in mind the very dynamic period in the Middle East and North Africa, I dare say the EU needs practical confirmation that it is evolving from regional payer to global player and that it still is a significant influence for good on the world stage. I sincerely hope its further involvement in the region of the western Balkans and Serbia will prove it has both the willingness and the capabilities to do so. I look forward to questions raised by members and I thank the Vice Chairman.