I move that the Estimate be referred back for reconsideration. The procedure of discussing Estimates at this time of the year is unsatisfactory from the point of view of having a proper discussion on the results of the previous year and comparing the figures for the previous year with the prospects for the current year, but a situation has developed here in which business has got into arrears, and I suppose there is no alternative to discussing Estimates whenever it is possible to get them considered by the House.
I believe that the results contained in various publications published by different Government Departments, as well as the statistics available, show that it is time to consider what hasbeen achieved in the industrial sphere. Looking back over the results for, say, the past 30 years, a considerable amount has been achieved. Progress in many directions has been made and, in other directions, maintained, but the overall picture requires definite examination in order to see whether the results that have been achieved and the progress that has been made justify the co-operative complacency which sometimes appears in statements by the Ministers and which is shown by a cursory glance at the statistics for industrial employment, as well as the figures for new industries.
If the figures are examined, it is apparent that, although there has been a substantial rise, from something over 100,000 persons in insurable industrial employment in 1926, when the first census was taken, to something approximating to 220,000 persons in 1951-52, and although that figure is itself satisfactory, when account is taken of the large numbers who have left employment on the land, it is true to say that those who have been absorbed into industrial employment no more than compensate for the large numbers who have left work on the land. In fact, the only compensatory feature from an employment point of view is that if the industrial expansion had not proceeded as rapidly as it has, a much larger number would have been obliged to seek work elsewhere.
There are, of course, many other advantages from the point of view of trade and from the point of view of the general economic strength of the country in that we have produced here, as a result of the expansion of industry, goods which we formerly imported or goods which we imported to a greater extent; but the position which has developed shows that there has been very little real progress in the sense of providing employment here for the large number each year who reach employable age, because the majority of those people reaching employable age each year seek employment either locally or in our cities and towns, and those who fail to find it emigrate. The emigration figures, I believe, prove that the trend which has manifested itself over the years hascontinued in this year and, with a few exceptions in odd years, the numbers emigrating show little tendency towards abatement or substantial reduction.
When the Industrial Development Authority was established, one of its functions was to examine the effect of protection on industrial development, to ascertain what had been achieved and inquire into what prospects there were of further development or what prospects might be available if certain proposals were adopted. I believe that, since the alteration in the work of the Industrial Development Authority, no body is charged with that responsibility, and I think it is correct to say that some body, other than the Dáil or Seanad, should inquire into the effect of protection in order to ascertain what has happened and in order to get a general picture, so that the House and the country may have available up-to-date information on the results of protection in particular industries.
It is not possible to get a complete survey in a short period or a complete survey over the whole field, but, selecting at intervals particular industries, it ought to be possible to get a picture of the effect of protection, the long term prospects before these industries and the incidence of costs and other matters which affect those industries, or which affect consumers or customers who buy in the case of certain industries and who are obliged to pay higher charges because of any assistance which is provided here. That position, if it were examined, would, I believe, reveal information on which it would be possible to assess the future policy which should be adopted and from which useful particulars could be presented to Deputies and to the country as to the effects in various spheres of the industrial expansion. The Industrial Development Authority is, I understand, now solely confined to an examination of new industrial projects, to assisting the establishment of new projects or the extension of existing projects. It was certainly understood when that body was established, that while engaged in that particular aspect ofthe work, it would take into account and examine other matters such as those to which I have referred.
The Minister in the course of his speech referred to the fact that the Prices Advisory Body was still in existence. It seems strange that he had to give that assurance to the House. I had, as one of the matters which I intended to raise on this Estimate, a note to inquire as to what had happened the Prices Advisory Body, had it ceased to function or had it been shorn of its activities, because it is functioning nominally but not effectively and is doing nothing to operate an efficient system of price control. It is, I think, well to remind the House that one of the published terms of the present Government's programme, immediately prior to its advent to office, was to operate an effective system of price control and, incidentally, to maintain food subsidies. Since then the cost of living in this country has reached the highest level ever known.
It is true that there was an insignificant drop in the figures for August last of one point. Is the Prices Advisory Body to be superseded or replaced by some permanent body set up under legislation in the future, or is it to be assumed that its days are numbered? I believe there is still useful work before it if it is allowed to function effectively and if the general picture of prices, costs and so forth, is placed before it or even if specific cases are referred to it for examination. When the Prices Advisory Body examined particular cases referred to it either in public or in private, in some cases the public, if they did not get a reduction, at any rate got reasons for the high cost of the commodities in question. In other cases, they were fortunate enough to get a small reduction and, in one particular instance that comes to mind, a substantial reduction was effected as the result of an inquiry by the Prices Advisory Body. This year has shown that import prices in almost all countries have fallen and, as a result of the fall in import prices, the cost of living in a number ofcountries showed a reduction as well. In some cases there was a small increase.
Recently the O.E.E.C. published the result of a survey carried out by that organisation for the Council of Europe. That survey showed, for a number of member countries, the position in regard to the cost of living for the first six months of 1953 and for the first six months of 1952. It is significant that the biggest rise in the cost of living of any of the member countries as published in that report occurred in Ireland. The figures in that report on page 12 show that for the first six months of 1953 as compared with the first six months of last year, the cost of living had risen in this country by plus nine, or nine points. Norway and Britain were the two countries, next to Ireland, in which the largest rise occurred and they showed an increase of four points. In some countries there was a small reduction and in some others the change was negligible. But the two countries that showed the largest increase in the cost of living other than this country were Britain and Norway, each of which showed an increase of four points. In this country during the first six months of this year there was a rise of nine points. We know that the figures published recently for the August indices have shown a drop of one point. In that situation, the Minister for Posts and Telegraphs recently described 1953 as being the best year ever. In what way the description "the best year ever" was intended to apply, it is difficult to understand.
Pending the dissolution or the death of the Prices Advisory Body, and in order that some effort may be made to implement the undertaking given in the programme published by the Government before it was elected, I would suggest that a number of categories of foodstuffs or a number of commodities should be referred to that body for examination. Even if it may not be possible to get a reduction in prices, at any rate the public will be afforded,by a careful examination by that body and by the report which will be published afterwards, reasons which will enable them to decide what are the factors which are responsible for the rise in the cost of living in the first six months of this year, a rise which surpasses that of any other member-country of the O.E.E.C. and which brought the cost of living to the highest level we have seen since figures were first compiled for the country.
That high cost of living has had its effect not merely on those people who are in employment but has pressed even more heavily on those who are seeking work. The whole aim of industrial development, as well as to provide the goods we require, is to provide employment. Despite the claim which the Minister made that the trade recession has passed, I think anyone who is familiar with the conditions in at least one trade will agree that there is as great a recession, if not a greater recession, in the building industry at the present time than at any time in recent years. There are fewer people employed at present, according to the figures published by the Central Statistics Office, on house building and construction than in any recent year, either in the immediate past years or in the years since the war ended and the industry got going again when supplies became available. The latest figures show that there are approximately 7,000 operatives, including skilled and unskilled, employed as against 12,000 or 13,000 in the same industry within the last two years. That recession in the building industry has been reflected in a general recession throughout the City of Dublin and in many parts of the country as well.
As far as the recession in building is concerned, the main effect of it has been felt in Dublin. There is a paper reduction in the figures on the unemployment register—and I use the words "paper reduction" advisedly—but it is a matter of comment that only this week I saw Gardaí controlling the traffic outside the labour exchanges so great was the queue of those wishing to register. It is significant in the light of that set of circumstances that any claim can be made that the traderecession has passed. It is true that it has eased for some businesses. Some businesses have found conditions easier. Some of the stocks that were accumulated in the past have been disposed of and more normal conditions appear to be returning. But as far as the building workers are concerned, and from the point of view of the City of Dublin the building industry is one of the most important if not the most important industry, the effects not only on those directly employed but indirectly on business and trade have been considerable.
The situation is such that not merely is there no ground for complacency, but I believe the large numbers seeking work, the large numbers registering, according to the published figures of the Department of Social Welfare or the Central Statistics Office, must give the House and the country cause for the gravest concern. If the trend as shown by the numbers employed in the building industry continues, then the situation which has developed over the last couple of years will have serious repercussions not only on those directly concerned but throughout this city and the other cities and towns where a similar situation has developed.
The Minister referred to the establishment of Córas Tráchtála and to the reports of the American experts who visited this country and who examined the prospect of increasing exports to the dollar area. If there is one matter which has been the subject of careful examination it is the possibility of extending and developing our trade to the dollar area. The reports which were published and which have been circulated by Córas Tráchtála referred to a number of factors and to the difficulties which confront manufacturers in this country and exporters to the United States as well as the problem of maintaining supplies of goods which are already sold there in small quantities.
What I think the House would like to find out is to what extent industrial concerns in this country have benefited by or paid attention to the reports as affecting their particularconcerns. It is entirely within the choice of any industrial concern whether they decide to sell in the dollar area or not. But I think that in the case of the concerns which enjoy the benefit of protection and which get from the State any assistance by way of tariff or quota or are in any other way beholden to the State for help and assistance, where an examination has taken place either by officers of Córas Tráchtála or by any of the team of experts who have visited this country and carried out an investigation under the auspices of that body, they should be required to furnish to the Department of Industry and Commerce the reasons why they are not making greater efforts to sell in the dollar area or, if they find particular difficulties, what these difficulties are.
I have no doubt that a number of bodies and organisations and individual firms which have endeavoured to get into the American market have gone to Córas Tráchtála and have benefited by the advice given. But as the team of experts commented on the fact that it was possible for this country to sell $1,000,000 worth annually of woollen and worsted goods on what was taken to be a conservative estimate, then I believe that the concerns which enjoy any measure of protection here should be required to furnish the Department of Finance an explanation, or reasons if they find difficulty, for not extending their sales to the dollar area.
It is satisfactory to note that in some commodities a substantial improvement has taken place and that exports have been developed. I note particularly that according to the September issue of the Irish Trade Journal and Statistical Bulletin, whiskey is one of the commodities that shows prospects of increased exports. In that connection, I think it is not generally understood that distillers have particular problems which other concerns are not obliged to face. They have the problem that when a distilling programme is undertaken in any particular year the whiskey will not be sold that year or the next year, but that in five or seven years' time a particular quantitydistilled will be sold either on the home or the export market.
They have to take into account the effect of taxation in the home market as well as the prospects abroad. I believe it would be informative to get a statement from the distilling industry as to the effect the heavy rate of taxation at home has on the distilling programme. There is no doubt that, while the export trade and home trade are entirely different from the point of view of price, the effect of the present high rate of taxation and the substantial drop in consumption, if it continues, must provide problems for the industry which no incentives from the point of view of offering facilities can affect if the high rate of taxation continues and if no accurate estimate of the future trend is available to them.
I believe that for a variety of commodities we have good prospects in the dollar area if we avail of the facilities, if the quality of the goods measures up to the samples initially sent abroad, and if the production is adequate to the demand. In a great number of cases these different reports refer to the fact that initial consignments sent abroad were excellent but that when additional consignments were ordered either the quality was not up to standard or the volume of production was not adequate to the demand. That situation is one which only the manufacturers can remedy themselves. If it is brought home to them that it is in their own interests as well as in the interests of the country, then we can maintain the market which has already been secured for some commodities and extend the others.
I should like to have from the Minister, when he is concluding, some account of his visit to the United States and Canada and what he considers are the prospects for a further extension of goods to the dollar area and what the general picture of trade may be for our exporters who wish to develop trade there.
The establishment last year of two bodies to manage the tourist industry, was, in our view, unnecessary overlapping. I do not think that anything hashappened since the bodies were set up last year which would bring us to alter that view or bring anyone who examines the position to alter that view. The most recent figures show the tourist trade is either static or shows a slight decline. The year 1952 shows that, although there were probably more tourists or visitors here than in the previous year, the expenditure declined by almost £2,000,000.
The figures for this year, so far as it is possible to assess from reports, would indicate that there is no substantial improvement. I believe that there is a great deal of unnecessary overlapping and duplication. It is not within the rules of order to discuss here any alterations in the legislation but certainly nobody can be satisfied with the publicity arrangements which were made in connection with An Tóstal last April.
In that connection, I think it is well that serious consideration should be given, between now and the opening of An Tóstal next year, to an altered date for the future. I know that this matter has been the subject of considerable discussion between the Department of Industry and Commerce, An Bord Fáilte and Fógra Fáilte. In addition, numerous references have been made to it by local organisations throughout the country.
While one view may be on the basis of local requirements and tradition, the Department, An Bord Fáilte and Fógra Fáilte have to take into account the avowed object of An Tóstal which was to extend the tourist season. It was initially undertaken, I think, at the behest of the experts who came here from America and examined the whole tourist trade. Initially, it was to be held around St. Patrick's Day in order to attract visitors of Irish extraction who would come here in order to celebrate the national festival. This year it was undertaken during the Easter season and, because of the gap between Easter and the beginning of the normal tourist season, a great number of people considered that it was undertaken too soon.
The results next year may give a better estimate on which to base the decision to run An Tóstal during future years but certainly the decisiontaken this year before An Tóstal had ended to run next year's An Tóstal without any proper assessment of the results which had been achieved was, I believe, taken without due consideration of the factors involved.
A number of hoteliers have remarked to me that if An Tóstal could be undertaken immediately prior to the normal tourist season some extension of the season might flow from it. The general impression appears to be that because it was taken this year at Eastertime and because Easter was fairly early there was too wide a gap between the ending of An Tóstal and the beginning of the normal tourist season. Certainly, the whole question requires careful consideration and, if possible, the harmonising of conflicting views.
The publicity arrangements which were undertaken this year in many parts of the Continent and the United States were entirely inadequate and were undertaken far too late to have any effective result. Many people who came from abroad expressed the view that they saw, except in one or two cases, very little about the arrangements for An Tóstal and very little which would indicate to them that this country was making a serious effort to attract a larger number of tourists.
The figures appear to indicate that, despite the efforts that have been made, there has been no substantial increase in the number of tourists. There may have been special circumstances this year because of the Coronation in Britain which attracted tourists from America who would normally have come here. If that is a reason for the lack of any substantial improvement, then it may be understandable. But so far as it is possible to gauge the position, no substantial improvement has taken place in the number of visitors being attracted to this country by the amenities we offer and by the prospects of an enjoyable holiday here.
I believe that the new grading system which is being operated by An Bord Fáilte should enable people to get a better picture of the facilities which are available in Irish hotels andwill generally give a better picture from the point of view of the various organisations in this country to assess the facilities which are available. In addition, it will provide proper standards which visitors and even people from this country enjoying holidays at home may expect to get.
In that connection, the loan facilities which are provided under the legislation could be availed of to a far greater extent by hoteliers. I believe it would pay hoteliers themselves to avail of these facilities. It is satisfactory to know that some loans have already been made and many hoteliers are showing their willingness to make improvements in order to attract tourists to the country or get greater business for themselves.
The Minister referred to the fact that it was proposed to bring in amending legislation in connection with mineral development. As I understand the position, the present prospecting programme in Avoca will shortly come to an end and the money provided will either be exhausted or exceeded in the near future. I think that, before further legislation is undertaken, the House should be given a more comprehensive picture of the position.
The initial reports of the prospecting work which had been undertaken there held out fairly optimistic prospects. The money which was provided over the last few years enabled continuous work to be carried on, and it was anticipated that by now sufficient data would be available on which to base a permanent programme for the future. Certainly, before amending legislation is introduced, the House should be given more information, and facilities should be provided for a full examination of the position. I hope that the reasonably optimistic prospects that were held out some time ago, of a long time development in Avoca, have not been lessened by recent discoveries or results there.
The most significant feature of our trade in the past year has been the reduction in the balance of payments deficit. That reduction has also brought about a change which is worthy of comment. Last year, of ourtotal exports over 86 per cent. went to Britain and the Six Counties as against 84 per cent. in the previous year. That figure shows, despite the efforts that have been made to secure alternative markets and despite the various trade agreements which have been negotiated over the last few years that, if anything, our dependency on our nearest neighbour for the bulk of our exports appears to have increased rather than diminished.
The figure is significant from many points of view, but especially because of the fact that a substantial proportion of our exports are of agricultural origin. The Minister for Agriculture, in reply to a recent parliamentary question, referred to the fact that, before the British Ministry of Food is disbanded, or handed back to private enterprise for the buying of food, consultations will take place between the Government, or his Department, and the appropriate Departments at the other side. I hope that as long notice as possible of that decision will be given to Irish exporters. Mention has been made in articles in the British Press, as well as in statements in the House of Commons, of the intention to wind up the Ministry of Food this year. What effect that will have on prices, on marketing conditions and on our pattern of trade is a matter of speculation, but it is reasonable to assume that some results will flow from it. The longer the notice that our people, particularly our exporters and those interested in the live-stock trade, can get of that decision the better it will be so as to enable them to base their immediate plans and aims. It is to be hoped that the Government will give adequate notice of the proposed decision in so far as it is possible for them to do so.
In the Estimates this year, there is a reduction of over £2,000,000 in the sum required to subsidise flour and wheaten meal. I wonder if the Minister can say whether that reduction is due to a reduction in the price of imported wheat?