Before Question Time, I was saying that this Budget imposes additional burdens without providing any incentives and I asked the question: what does the Budget do to provide an incentive for industrial or agricultural expansion? The publication Economic Development published a little over four years ago expressed the view on page 24 that:
Hopes of reducing taxation are, however, being thwarted by the yearly increase in debt service and other charges. As a result, not only is the entry of foreign capital, enterprise and experience being discouraged but home industry and trade are being deprived, by high taxation, of the capital and incentive to pursue a vigorous programme of modernisation and expansion, a matter of particular concern because of the adjustments required by the prospects of freer trade in Europe.
That was all prior to the increase in taxation levied in this Budget.
The two factors which affect industry so far as taxation is concerned in this Budget are the increase in surtax and the limitless tax involved in the turnover tax in respect of an unnamed or an unnumbered variety of commodities and services. The Budget, instead of preparing the country to meet the new trading arrangements involved either in ultimate membership of the EEC or some other trading arrangement, has made no alteration in policy or no change to meet the situation, with the one exception that the introduction for the first time of the turnover tax introduces a tax similar to that which operates in continental countries. That surely is a doubtful advantage.
The approach of the Budget is negative and depressive and provides no incentive. Economic Development to which I have referred expressed the view that:
The positive objective of financial policy must be to arrive as quickly as possible at the point at which it will be possible to give the economy the tonic of significant reduction, above all, in direct taxes on incomes, profits and savings—
and it went on to say that it "should take precedence over any reduction in indirect taxes."
The total capital Budget this year shows a substantial rise, a rise of £14.56 million over last year. This substantial growth in capital expenditure, while welcome as an objective, will pose the serious problem of securing the necessary finance to undertake it, the necessary finance not only for the current year but for the continuing projects in the years ahead. The burden of the national debt and the finances necessary to meet it have increased at a staggering rate and now involve an estimated sum for the service of public debt, in the current financial year, of £38,289,000 compared with £22,900,000 in 1958. This increase is an inescapable burden of a permanent character and requires the closest scrutiny to ensure that capital expenditure is directed exclusively to essential productive needs and for socially necessary and other similar essential services. With the decline in population and the continued high rate of emigration, despite the spurious claims of Government spokesmen to the contrary, with the increased trend away from agricultural employment and the inability of industrial and other employment to absorb those leaving the land, the maintenance of the capital development programme is becoming a major problem.
The figures available would indicate that the number securing employment in non-agricultural occupations is not sufficient to absorb the number leaving agricultural employment. I have here the estimated number of persons at work in non-agricultural activity. The total for 1962 was 708,000. These figures, of course, are provisional. The figure for agricultural employment was 360.8 thousand, making a total of 1,068.8 thousand compared with—and this is a fact which should be borne in mind when claims are made for the success of the policy of the Government—a total number in employment in 1956 of 1,127.3 thousand. Compared with 1956, there is a drop in those in employment of over 58,000.
What I want to urge on the Government is the necessity to channel capital development into essential services, first of all, productive services and then socially desirable or necessary services such as housing, hospitals or similar categories. There is general agreement on the objective of developing our resources, developing the productive capacity, by expanding services such as electricity supply, providing better roads, improved drainage, and so on, but in the provision of socially desirable services such as housing there has been a very serious decline in the last few years. The figures show that the number of dwellings erected by local authorities fell from 4,000 in 1956 to 1,463 in 1961. So far as the provisional figures would indicate, there was some improvement last year. At the same time the number of dwellings erected by private persons with the aid of State grants under the Housing Acts fell from 5,300 in 1956 to 3,895 in 1961 and the number of dwellings erected by Dublin Corporation dropped from 1,564 in 1956-57 to 277 in 1960-61. Again, the provisional figures would indicate an improvement last year.
It has been announced that it is proposed to establish a National Advisory Council on building. This idea is generally welcomed. In fact, it was suggested a considerable time ago but nothing was done about it. Surely, however, in this matter the State and State bodies should set an example? There is, as the figures I have given would show, in Dublin, Dún Laoghaire and other urban centres, a long waiting list of families living in overcrowded, unsuitable and unhealthy dwellings. Many of these families have been many years on the waiting list for accommodation. At the same time, the State and State bodies are building expensive, elaborate emporia, many of them being constructed simultaneously, few of them providing an incentive for economic expansion or contributing to the development of the economy. These are merely staff buildings. Nobody could seriously suggest that they improve the efficiency of the undertakings. I yield to no one in my admiration of the efficiency of State bodies like the ESB, the Sugar Company or other organisations that have been established but there should be a rational approach to the building problem, a rational approach to the capital needs of the country, particularly when we relate that programme and the effect on the economy to the need for more houses in Dublin, Dún Laoghaire and other urban centres.
I speak more familiarly about my own constituency of Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown and the fact that I get representations from persons looking for houses in Dublin also means that I am reasonably familiar with the circumstances there. The need to channel essential supplies and to press on with the building programme so far as housing is concerned should take precedence and absolute priority over any of these other projects.
It is, therefore, essential that some rational approach should be made to the building of headoffices or other office accommodation by State and semi-State bodies. In that regard, it would not interfere greatly with the efficiency of the running of the Dáil if the programme for a new building were postponed or at least extended so that not all of these projects would proceed simultaneously because the situation is that capital is both scarce and difficult to secure. The dramatic drop in the number of houses being built has not merely aggravated the position but has extended by years the length of time each family and individual applicant will have to wait before being accommodated.
A definite social advantage would accrue by giving absolute priority to housing, hospitals and other necessary and urgent social requirements and by postponing and planning on a rational basis the building of new offices and other accommodation for State and semi-State bodies.
The Minister's speech made only a passing reference to trading arrangements and I want to enquire what plan, if any, the Government have decided upon for the future trading arrangements of this country. Is there any policy or is everything in the melting pot since the failure of the Brussels negotiations? References which the Minister made were vague and indefinite. What are the Government going to do about revising bilateral trading agreements? Will we make a direct approach to the countries with which we have bilateral trading agreements, the principal one, of course, being our trade agreements with Britain? In addition, we have a number of other trade agreements with Continental countries. All of these agreements have now been in operation for many years, in some cases without any modification and in others with only slight changes.
The phrase in the Minister's speech, "... the Government will do all in its power to secure, in bilateral or multilateral arrangements, improved openings for our exports, particularly agricultural exports," in effect, means little. Are we going to pursue our application to the GATT or are we going to consider further the question of EFTA, particularly the revised EFTA arrangements which may come into effect or, as I say, are we going to revise the bilateral agreements with Britain and the continental countries?
The recent announcements resulting from the EFTA discussions which took place in February would appear to indicate that the EFTA group are now considering, if not the inclusion, certainly the question of extending some of these advantages to agriculture. Comment was made in the March, 1963, Banking Review, and reference was made to EFTA membership. It is stated on page 19 of that review:
Nevertheless, it must be noted that Denmark, in particular, is pressing for wider exports to the United Kingdom. British Government spokesmen have already indicated that it might be possible to give additional concessions to Denmark without conflicting with the Commonwealth position in the British agricultural market.
That, I believe, poses very serious problems for this country. A recent announcement of the revised British quota for butter indicated that the Danish quota is about eight times our quota. From recollection, the figures are that Denmark will be entitled to 96,000 tons this year compared with a quota for this country of 12,000 tons. There is little use in establishing bodies like Bord Bainne or any other State organisation unless we secure either from their direct intervention or from bilateral or, if possible, wider multilateral trading arrangements, a market for the commodities we have to sell. Deputy Norton said that increased butter production is now the enemy of the taxpayers because a heavy subsidy has to be provided. I believe we should be far more alert and far more active in our approach to this problem, and I believe we should have at least observer status at the EFTA discussions. The trading arrangements existing at the moment will not remain static indefinitely. While it may well be that ultimate membership of the EEC offers the best prospect for our economy, with Britain as a member also, nevertheless the very substantial change that has occurred in the EFTA discussions and the fact that we are committed to a policy of tariff reduction must be a consideration.
Here again I believe it is vital that we should consider most carefully proceeding unilaterally with tariff reductions without getting some quid pro quo in return. It may well be that it will enable us to become more competitive and efficient, but if we revise the tariff barriers either bilaterally, or better still, by some multi-lateral agreement, it may well happen that we will have given over some of the bargaining power we possess, although admittedly in some respects it is not particularly strong.
I believe we should think very seriously before we reduce our tariff arrangements unilaterally or consider them in conjunction with entering further bilateral discussions with countries with which we have agreements. Alternatively, we should endeavour to be associated in some way with another multilateral arrangement which may flow from EFTA or a combination of the EEC and EFTA countries. At any rate, the prospects for our trade are so serious and the prospects of the effect of those changes on our economy warrant that we should ensure that we at least have observer status at the discussions in order to be fully and accurately informed on whatever action may flow from those talks.
In the course of his remarks yesterday, the Taoiseach expressed satisfaction at the fact that it was possible to increase social services in the Budget. Everyone welcomes an increase in social services but the credit which the Taoiseach sought for the increase in social services would be more impressive if there had not been an equally steep rise—in fact, a very sharp rise— in the cost of living over the past six years. In 1957, the figure for the consumer price index was 135. The figure for March of this year showed that it has risen to 160. In addition, increased taxation has been imposed on a variety of commodities: petrol, oil, tobacco, transport charges, bus fares, and so on; so that a great number of people have to pay not merely for the increased cost of living but in addition, for many other charges as well.
I do not think anyone would claim that the increase in children's allowances and in non-contributory old age pensions will compensate for the rise in the cost of essential commodities and in the cost of living which will flow from the turnover tax. There is, however, a particular section of the community that I believe has been forgotten, not only in this Budget but in the past few Budgets. I refer in particular to retired personnel who will be severely hit by the turnover tax as well as by the rise which has already taken place in the cost of living.
Many of those people live on fixed incomes, either from pensions which have a diminishing value or from a pension and some income accumulated from past savings and at present invested. They have got no allowance in the Budget to alleviate the additional burden which will be placed upon them by the proposed turnover tax. Numerous cases are brought to my attention of persons in that category. Their pensions are treated for taxation purposes as earned income and they get the earned income relief, but many of them have accumulated some small savings and the income derived from the investment of those small savings is regarded as unearned income, and consequently the tax payable is higher.
In recent years in Britain, the unearned income allowance was brought up from £600 to £800 a year. I believe there is a very strong case for bringing up the limit here. It would not cost a great deal of money and it would alleviate real difficulties and, indeed, real hardship in some cases. We must remember that those persons are outside any social welfare benefits. In most cases, they are also outside voluntary health insurance because they were too advanced in years when it was introduced. Consequently, they are liable for tax as far as their income from earnings are concerned at the unearned rate. They are not entitled to social welfare benefits or to participate in the voluntary health scheme.
I believe there is a very strong case to be made in this connection. I have raised this matter on previous Budget discussions and on the Finance Bill, and if we compare the position of these pensioners with that of pensioners in Britain, we find that there is a still stronger case. Naturally, most of these people are elderly and are incapable of earning anything extra through any position they may obtain. They are beyond their capacity to work and few of them are able to undertake any part-time employment to supplement their pensions.
I want to advert to a remark made by the Taoiseach in yesterday's debate which has been the subject of such comment and which probably shook some of the more lethargic Deputies in their somnolence. The Taoiseach said that the economy should take a swing to the left. This statement was probably made for the purpose of making a verbal concession to socialist theoreticians who may find temporary consolation in it. It probably does not mean very much because, to satisfy the subscriber to the Party funds, he went on to say that it was not intended further to develop State intervention in industry.