It is to the Minister's Department that the main bulk of our people look with hope and enthusiasm for the strengthening of our economy and the provision of full employment, adequate wage standards, and equilibrium in our balance of payments. We look to the Department of Industry and Commerce for the establishment of new industries. The assistance, guidance and advice of the Minister's Department are fundamental to the growth of our economy, if we are to reduce the incidence of unemployment and stem the haemorrhage of emigration. It is again to this vitally important Department that we look to to remedy the social disadvantages of our society.
If one is to judge by the history of events since the inception of this State, the facts are that the action taken by the various Ministers for Industry and Commerce has been totally inadequate to bring about the happy situation we have in mind. The reliance on private enterprise, in the main, to absorb our unemployed has been an abject failure. Despite the advocacy of the Labour Party, the various Departments have shown a reluctance and a hostility to intervene directly and establish the industries themselves.
Much play has been made about the First Programme for Economic Expansion. The Government give us to believe that this Programme from 1958 to 1963 was a great success and an achievement. We have now launched the Second Programme for Economic Expansion, which will end in 1970. The target set in the First Programme was the attainment of 100,000 jobs. A degree of near full employment for our people and an era of prosperity was forecast on the termination of that five-year plan. In the White Paper issued at the end of that period, the Government chose to pick out certain attainments but to ignore the overall fact that, in respect of the creation of anything like full employment, this First Programme was a failure.
The Second Programme now forecasts the attainment of a growth rate which will mean an increase of 78,000 jobs by 1970. This represents an increase of approximately 8,000 a year. If one analyses that figure, one finds it is less than half the number of jobs required to give anything like full employment. From the Labour point of view, it is extremely disquieting that, even if all goes well with this Second Programme, by 1970, we shall have an unemployment rate of three and a half per cent and an emigration rate of 10,000 persons per year.
It has been an integral part of Labour policy and philosophy that the State should intervene directly in the affairs of the nation, that there should be positive planning at Government level to absorb our unemployed, to give a rising standard of living and to end the state of affairs in which we have been regarded as a vanishing race. That intelligent, organised planning of our society is laid down in the constitution of our Party going back to 1912. Therefore, it is nothing new for us to advocate that, where private enterprise is unable or unwilling to do the job, there is a moral duty on the State to create the circumstances, establish the industries and put human beings to work. As far as we are concerned, our most cherished asset is not the land, the capital, the machinery, the credit system of our country, or even its beauty, but its human beings. The Government who fail to absorb these persons into society are failing in their first duty. It is the height of criminal folly that the resources of our country and the rich harvest abounding our shores should be so underdeveloped and underutilised and that the talents of so many of our people should not have been tapped and put to useful and productive work.
It is a source of some gratification to us in the Labour Party that what we have been advocating down the years is now meeting with a response in other spheres and that intelligent, organised planning of our society is no longer regarded here as a dirty word. More and more political Parties are vying with one another as to which will go farthest to the left in order that this principle be adhered to.
Our main complaint with the Second Programme for Economic Expansion is that it is nothing more than a programme. It is merely an indication or a forecast; it is not a plan. No concrete steps have as yet been taken to ensure by Government action that the targets set out will be achieved and that the plan in its entirety will become a reality. The Government are relying mainly on advocacy. They feel the most they can do is to advocate and entice. They are afraid to intervene directly in order to make the plan a success. We reject this attitude of helplessness on the part of the Government. We feel there is a duty on them to ensure that the plan is attained. If I am regarded as carping or critical in respect of this Programme, it is only because I want to be constructive. I want the Minister to take the necessary steps to ensure it is perfected and pursued to its final implementation. At the termination of the plan in 1970, I do not want to see the nation again confronted with 170,000 emigrants as happened during the First Programme from 1958 to 1963. I do not want to see the nation faced with a standing unemployment figure of between 60,000 and 80,000.
That is the kind of planless planning we deplore. Therefore, we in the Labour Party advocate the setting up of a national board to see that this Second Programme is implemented. We advocate that the targets set out in the Programme be raised, if need be, to ensure that the plan will be successfully terminated. We advocate that the national planning board should consist of economic experts removed from interference of any kind from the Government and we suggest that there should be a second tier comprising all the facets in our society—industry, agriculture, the trade unions, and, of course, the Minister and his Department.
It is only by such positive measures that we will be able to transform this Programme—this indicative forecast, to use economic jargon — into a positive plan. In this Programme, we submit that the four per cent improvement envisaged will not even bridge the present gap between the standard of living here and that of the people of Britain and continental countries. A revealing table in the Second Programme forecasts that the gross national product per head of the population by 1970 will be £360. The same table reveals that the gross national product per head in Great Britain in 1961, three years ago, was £510. It will be seen clearly, therefore, that though our relative standard will have improved considerably we will have done nothing to make up the leeway between the standard of life of our people and that of the people of Great Britain or the EEC countries by 1970.
I have said that the present target in this respect should be raised, realising that there are certain difficulties involved, that radical changes in policy may be necessary. We are prepared to see these radical changes take place if this plan is properly to be implemented. When the First Programme was announced, the Labour and trade union movements pointed out the feasibility at that time of increasing the forecast growth rate of two per cent to a higher figure of something like four to five per cent. We were told by the Government then that we were unrealistic in hoping that the anticipated growth rate could be improved on.
As a matter of fact, the growth rate achieved in the period 1958 to 1963 was something like 4½ per cent. Again at the expense of being told we are unrealistic, we suggest that the present anticipated growth rate of four per cent be increased. We believe that by proper management of the affairs of the nation and the utilisation of the land, capital resources and highly-talented and adaptable labour force available, we can achieve a higher rate than four per cent.
I should like the Minister to indicate what machinery, if any, he has established or what arrangements he has made to ensure that the targets and objectives of the Second Programme will be realised. If it is the attitude of the Government that they can only assist, guide and persuade, then, in my opinion, this Second Programme will come to nothing. We will still have to contend in 1970 with a comparatively low standard of living; we will still have to contend with a high degree of unemployment; and we will still have the spectre of emigration.
Therefore, we in the Labour Party make no apology for seeking an extension of the public enterprise sector —that it be pursued with all vigour. We are proud of the attainments of the various Governments in respect of many of the State or semi-State enterprises. Today, much valuable, secure and remunerative employment is provided for thousands of men and women by such bodies as the ESB, Comhlucht Siúicre Éireann, Bord na Móna, Irish Shipping and CIE. In this respect I extend to the Minister my personal congratulations for any hand, act or part he may have played in the establishment or extension of these industries. On them is conferred the badge of permanency, unlike the private enterprise sector in respect of which we have heard such alarming statements in the House as to the amount of public money expended by way of grants and loans to persons whose character and intentions were not of the highest calibre.
There have been allegations that substantial amounts of the taxpayers' money are being dissipated. I do not lend my voice to that type of allegation, but if it is true, I suggest we should have the facts. I should not like anybody to infer I would say anything to undermine any Irish industry giving good employment: rather would I support and applaud that industry and do all in my power to shelter and protect it, if only for the sake of those at present depending on it for their livelihood.
I think it fair to point out that during the past 40 years private enterprise has failed miserably to do its job. During that period, we have lost a million of our race through emigration. During the five years of the First Programme, the figure was 170,000 people. Employment in this country today is lower than it was a few years ago. If the Minister does not intervene directly to establish these industries, there is no hope for our people in a private enterprise economy. Without doing the things which the Labour Party say should be done to perfect the Second Programme for Economic Expansion, the Government are merely hoping for a solution of our emigration problem without taking the necessary steps to attain it.
Many Deputies have adverted to the CIO reports and to likely redundancy in certain industries investigated by the Committee on Industrial Organisation. The revelations of these fact-finding committees were a source of deep anxiety to the industries involved in the investigations. References are made in the CIO reports to the boot and shoe industry and there is also the report of the Footwear Adaptation Council recently set up. As one who entered into this industry at a very tender age and who derived his livelihood from it for a long number of years, I have a natural interest in its welfare. Up to now, it has been sheltered by way of quota protection. It was a protected industry all down through the years and it now produces 97 per cent of the home requirements. The Minister and his Party may take a large measure of credit for the development of many of these factories in the late thirties. They helped in no small way to develop this industry and they did that by way of providing adequate protection against outside competition of an unfair character.
That industry has grown in strength and prestige and it now employs 5,822 people in safe and remunerative employment. There are 27 factories associated with the Footwear Adaptation Council and the production in this important industry now amounts to 7,000,000 pairs of footwear last year. The value of that production was £8,682,000. The industry was able to export 1,000,000 pairs of shoes last year at a value of £2 million. It can never be said that this industry abused the protection afforded to it. Rather did it avail of every opportunity given to it to strengthen itself. That is amply manifested by the high quality of the footwear produced, by the style and by the prices. Profits in the industry were not unfair and certainly not abnormally high.
My concern is that this industry is now facing a transition period which will determine whether it is to go forward or recede. When the possibility of entering the EEC was a live issue some two years ago, many industries in which quota protection was in operation were advised that it would have to be dismantled and replaced by a tariff system. The boot and shoe industry, being directly involved, agreed with the Department of Industry and Commerce that they had no option but to forgo the quota system of protection and revert to a tariff system instead.
This advice of the Department was the best possible at the time because of the real possibility of our entry into the Common Market. The chances of our entry to that Community have receded rather than improved, owing to the rebuff given by General de Gaulle to the British application. No one now knows the true position. We have had M. Couve de Murville visiting us here recently and there is now talk of some loose association with the Community rather than full or associate membership. With the likely change of Government in Britain and with the upsurge of Labour support there, there is a real possibility that Mr. Harold Wilson will lead the new Government of that country and it is widely held that there is no great anxiety on the part of an English Labour Government to enter the Community. Again Ireland's chances will have greatly diminished.
In these circumstances, when there is no known prospect of our entering the Community, when we do not even have the advantage of association with the Common Market, it surprises me that the Minister or his Government should proceed to dismantle the protection of Irish industry, that they should continue to substitute tariffs for quotas, without being able to give us an assurance of reciprocal contracts with the EEC. In these circumstances, it is the desire of the whole boot and shoe industry, the manufacturers, the trade unions and the adaptation council that the Minister should see that there will be no quick change from quota to tariff. There is no doubt or ambiguity in the minds of the people in direct control of this industry that any quick change from a quota to a tariff system will have disastrous results, will cause dislocation of the industry and mass unemployment among operatives.
The inherent fear is that no matter what tariff is fixed, there will of necessity be an amount of dumping. This small market of ours will be used as a dumping ground for the producers of cheap and shoddy footwear all over Europe and the measure which was passed in this House last week, the Control of Imports (Amendment) Bill 1964, is, regrettably, inadequate to cope with the kind of dumping envisaged by this industry. The kind of dumping which has been taken care of in that Bill is dumping from low-cost production countries, from faraway places, perhaps, like Japan, but we are concerned about dumping from countries closer to home, from the vast industrial towns of Britain, where one factory can produce twice as many boots and shoes as are manufactured by the whole boot and shoe industry in this country in one year.
I know the Minister, being responsible for nurturing and developing this industry over the years, will see to it that the result of the matter that now rests with the Industrial Development Authority in respect of arranging the tariffs on this commodity and the outcome of the negotiations between the British Ministry of Trade and the IDA will be such as to provide adequate measures of protection for the industry, especially as the industry has progressed so far. It has been the first industry in this country to establish a joint board of conciliation and arbitration and has set a headline for all industries by reason of the harmony and good relations that such a board can achieve and has achieved. At the behest of the Minister, it has been the first industry to establish an adaptation council and that adaptation council has reported and every Deputy has been furnished with a copy of the report.
That adaptation council has made tremendous strides, despite the gloomy report of the CIO which indicated that the boot and shoe industry might expect by reason of the technological changes which the CIO personnel recommended to lose at least 1,000 operatives; that the new techniques and devices and technological changes recommended would bring about a reduction of 1,000 operatives without our entering the Common Market and that if and when we did enter, another 1,000 operatives would be lost through redundancy, having regard to the stiffer competition we will have to contend with. That would represent 2,000 operatives out of a total labour force of 5,822. That was the forecast, which was not merely gloomy, but was going to scourge out of existence one-third of the labour force in the industry.
Despite these reports, that adaptation council had progressed with all speed and energy to readapting itself, to re-energising itself, adopting the most modern techniques and methods known to the industry in the world, and is rapidly gaining new strength for the kind of rigorous competition envisaged in freer trade circumstances.
There is a lot of work yet to be done, as the Minister and his Department well know, and it would be a great tragedy if at the end of this year, by reason of the matter now before the IDA, the transition from quota to tariff, anything was done to hinder or retard the great work of this adaptation council, speaking for and acting for the whole boot and shoe industry.
It is my ardent appeal to the Minister today to have regard to the appeals made to him and the concrete and cogent reasons given to him by the representatives of the adaptation council by the boot and shoe manufacturers and the officers of the Irish Shoe and Leather Workers Union, who are gravely perturbed that the policy now being pursued is an erroneous policy and will bring about disastrous results in this industry if it is not arrested by the direct intervention of the Minister himself.
I have been thinking over the history of events in this industry. I know what redundancy and unemployment mean. I know what a reduction in the quota or relaxation of protection can mean to the industry, particularly to the men and women who are dependent on it for their livelihood. We have a vivid recollection that when the then Minister for Industry and Commerce, the present Taoiseach, for some reason best known to himself relaxed control of this industry in 1947, some two million pairs of shoes were dumped in this country. The dislocation of the industry here was appalling, as the Dáil debates of that period, which I took care to read, reveal; unemployment was rife in every town where a boot and shoe factory existed. I and my colleagues walked the streets of Clonmel for many months before it was possible to achieve again anything like full production.
We have sad memories of the importation of some two million pairs of footwear in that year and the tragic events which followed. Many of the people who were dismissed as redundant at that time were never again re-employed and many industries that went to the wall were never reopened. I earnestly beseech the Minister, therefore, to see to it that we do not have a recurrence of what took place in 1947 for the purpose of teaching the manufacturers a lesson at the termination of the second Great War in respect of the shoddy materials used during that period. The attitude was that the consumer was entitled to a good quality commodity, a decent style and fair price, and rightly so. However, it was rugged for the workers that, in order that some people should be taught that kind of lesson, the workers should suffer the hardship and privation of near-poverty for such a considerable number of months until the protection was restored and the industry given a chance to accelerate and improve its position.
From that moment, the industry has never looked back. It has now achieved a high degree of efficiency. The extent of its export trade is an indication of the intrinsic worth of that industry. Some £2 million worth of shoes were exported last year, not only to Britain, to which some 80 per cent went, but to places as far afield as America. This then is an industry which is well worth caring for and protecting, and I hope the discussions taking place in respect of the substitution of tariff for quota will be watched carefully by the Minister, as indeed they will be watched in the intervening months by the captains of industry, by the captains of the trade unions and by the watchdogs of that industry in this House.
In my contribution on the Second Programme for Economic Expansion, I omitted to mention that the implementation of this plan necessitates in very large measure a greater increase in tax revenue. We do not begrudge an increase in taxation of this kind for the essential facets of our economy, to improve social welfare benefits, to make possible education for all our children, to give us the free health scheme to which we all aspire and, above all else, to accelerate the sluggish wheels of industry and to improve out of all proportion the growth rate of agriculture. In respect of taxation, the philosophy of our Party has always been that it should be apportioned in accordance with the ability of people to pay.