When the Minister in introducing the Bill indicated that Fóir has a particularly difficult job, like so much that comes from the Minister, it was a masterful understatement. I would like in the first instance to make the point that the Bill we are now discussing is one that warrants major consideration of this House not just over days but over a number of weeks, not so as to enable us here to look at the details of the Bill, which are not too complex, but so that this House would have an opportunity, quite frankly, of looking at the situation, with our native industry particularly, which is demonstrated very clearly in the figures the Minister himself has mentioned in introducing the Bill. It is time that we had a full debate in this House on the total failure of Government policies to create a climate in which industry, and particularly native industry, can survive much less thrive and that is what this Bill is about.
The Minister's opening speech highlights the fact that whatever we are going to do here by agreement at this stage— and I am not going to make Fóir's role more difficult by opposing this Bill — but whatever we are going to do by agreement will unfortunately only be remedying after the event. Let me demonstrate from the Minister's own figures. I am quoting where he says, in paragraph 2:
There has been an enormous increase in Fóir's spending on rescue cases in recent years: in 1981 Fóir spent £4.8 million. In 1982 annual spending had grown to £14.1 million and this year's outturn is likely to be as high as £23 million.
Further on, the Minister indicated that Fóir had at the end of 1982 a cumulative deficit of almost £20 million. So, there we get a stark admission on the part of the Minister that within two years the rescue operation necessary to help some of these industries to survive — and we are talking basically in almost all of these cases of native industries — increased four to fivefold. The Minister, I have to suggest, is being unduly optimistic in the light of current policies — I should not say being pursued — but not being pursued and the lack of any overall policy. He is being optimistic in his assessment that the extended borrowing capacity we are now prepared to agree to will last for four years at current trends. If the rate of demand on Fóir Teoranta continues at the level experienced over the last two years, it is regrettable but it is true that within two years again the Minister of the day—and the indications are that it will be a Minister of a different side—will be coming back asking again for an increase in the borrowing capacity of Fóir because of the lack of any management policies in this Government and particularly in the Minister who, unfortunately now appears to be too busily engaged elsewhere to deal with this very important legislation in this House. It is the Government who have ordered the business of this day and if the Minister who is responsible for Fóir Teoranta cannot, frankly, manage his business, as we have had to do, so as to be here for this debate, it is too bad, because it is obviously as a result of a policy that might be identified with what is seen simply as a policy of fiscal orthodoxy—which, of course, is not the policy in any event—that we are in here today discussing this inadequate response to Irish industry. It gives me no pleasure to say from this side of the House, because there is enough depression around the place, that wherever you turn in these days you find that the statistics, the indicators, are all in one direction.
It is not enough for a Government to draw up a series of reports, analyses, to ask committees of various types to look at trends and to inform us, as they have in the last week, that the trend will continue — I am talking about the drastic unemployment trend — until 1992. That is the kind of comment that one might expect from the OECD, from economists, from others whose role it is objectively to analyse, in the absence of corrective policies, what the trend will be; but it is not what one expects from Government. The people have been waiting 12 months for this Government — and the events of recent days, with which I will not deal, out of charity as much as anything else, underline this — to supply what has been lacking — any central, co-ordinated, agreed policy which would create the conditions in which the Irish people themselves would respond and do it for themselves. That is not what has happened. Let me just say in passing — because I will deal with it further during the course of the Adjournment debate — we have waited for this Bill for some time; we have waited also for the Estimates for some time.
If we are looking for a sign of management policy, from the Government from the Estimates that have been published, I am afraid we had better tell all of those who believe that our resources should be developed to bring us through this recession that the Government are turning their backs on any such hope or direction. Fisheries is down in real terms, forestry is down in money terms, education, the real guarantee for the future, is down and agriculture is down. What is growing? This seems to be the characteristic of this administration, the administrative costs of trying to convey the notion that we are providing services for the unemployed, which are of no consequence if the climate for industry in this context is not such as to encourage people to go and do it for themselves. The fall off in investment in industry is so bad at the moment that we are now at a level of just over 22 or 23 per cent of our GNP. This figure compares unfavourably with every year with the exception of the depressing years of the mid-seventies. The downturn in investment in this country at the moment is one of the clearest indicators that confidence is missing and that those who should be encouraged to go and do it for themselves and for the rest of us have no such intention.
There was a very interesting set of articles in The Irish Times about the climate for business activities. A couple of matters emerged very clearly from those articles. If you have a person with a project with the expertise, the entrepreneurial interest and the determination to deal with it, before that person starts, as a person in one of those articles indicated, he must have the services of an accountant, preferably as a member of the company, to bring him through the maze of the tax laws, the tax provisions, the PRSI and the VAT. All of those have been increasing at such a rate in recent times that before such a man begins to start he should, first of all, consider the cost of this enormous State burden on his effort and the disincentive effect of this. It is not surprising that even the money provided for the IDA and SFADCo in relation to advance factories is being wasted at the moment. We have advance factories in our constituencies but we cannot get businessmen or investors who are foolhardy enough to go in at this time and use them. We can build the advance factories, we can use them for storage, we can tarmacadam the entrances, have nice entrances and layouts but people are not using the advance factories. This is the position in relation to new industry, never mind the position of existing industries.
I want to make two preliminary points in relation to our attitude to this Bill over and above the general criticism I want to make of Government policy, which I will follow through later on the Adjournment Debate. One relates specifically to employment in industry. An issue which arises in this case is the whole question of the role of the State and semi-State bodies and the confidence we repose in them, the particular responsibility which they have and in this case the responsibility which Fóir Teoranta have had delegated to them since 1970 since this Bill was first introduced. The Minister is proposing a few things. He will add two civil servants to the board of Fóir Teoranta, one from the Department of Finance and one from the Department of Trade, Commerce and Tourism, thereby ensuring that, whatever degree of independence, autonomy or capacity to react to events would be demonstrated by the activities of this board, that will be undermined under the enveloping role of an administration which is growing and growing. The basic independence of these State bodies, which were particularly underlined when this Bill was introduced, is now being undermined.
I am trying to find the source in relation to the attitude taken by the Government when they were in Opposition and the Fóir Teoranta Bill was introduced. We will see what was said by the Minister's party when this Bill was introduced in 1970. I will quote from Volume 256 of the Official Report of 1971. The Bill was introduced then so that we could have a new body that would be able to respond quickly and that would be linked in to the needs of industry because of the expertise the people on the boards would have in business themselves, so that it would be removed from the administrative preoccupation, which was a characteristic of Taiscí Stáit Teoranta, Fóir Teoranta's predecessor.
The purpose of the Bill was to ensure that Fóir Teoranta would not only be aware of the problems but, having regard to the expertise of the people on the board, would be equipped from their experience to deal with those problems. When the late Deputy Colley introduced the Bill here he got full support from all sides of the House. The present Minister for Defence had very encouraging words to say at that time for the then Minister and the approach he was taking in bringing about a better type of representation on the board and, particularly, making it more sensitive to the needs of industry as distinct from the conservative approach that had been adopted by Taiscí Stáit Teoranta.
It is very important that the actual references are stitched into the record of the House to demonstrate that this particular Bill is moving in the other direction in ensuring that we have two further representatives from the Department of Finance and the Department of Trade, Commerce and Tourism not just to monitor what is happening on the board but to guarantee that the board are subject immediately to expenditure control and a naturally fiscal preoccupation, which I understand perfectly well from my time in the Department, of the Department of Finance, but not such as to enable the board to react in the way that was intended when the Bill was introduced.
In the Official Report of 17 November 1971, Volume 256, column 2215, Deputy Cooney said in relation to the constitution of the board at that stage:
I do not know how the Minister is going to constitute the new board. As he indicated, up to now the board has been comprised of civil servants — the secretaries of four Departments. Without any disrespect to the gentlemen of the present board, people of wider commercial experience would be required. I think the Minister should consider as members of this board people who are prepared to experiment in matters of industrial management, who are willing to get away from the traditional management philosophies we have had in this country and which we have had to import from differently structured societies because of the size of our country and the average size of firms.
At column 2212 of the same volume he said in relation to the orthodox approach which was being adopted hitherto by Taiscí Stáit which was, as he indicated, controlled almost by the civil service at the time:
In the past few years, as the Minister pointed out, the direction of Taiscí Stáit in involvement and investment has been in fire brigade operations rescuing firms on their last legs. The Minister has indicated this has not been very profitable, not through any fault of Taiscí Stáit, but because the firms concerned have left their approach for help too late....
He went on to indicate that the orthodox and conservative commercial criteria being applied by Taiscí Stáit up to this were not appropriate to the needs of industry at that stage, that the approach adopted was too conservative and "too bureaucratic". He was supported by Deputy Tully who represented the Labour Party in Opposition at that time. They described the approach of Taiscí Stáit as being too conservative and, without being ultra-critical of civil servants, questioned whether they were the people equipped to deal with the needs of industry. That was the position argued by the Opposition of that time in support of the Bill being introduced by the then Minister for Finance, Deputy Colley. All the reasons they gave then are equally valid now.
What is the purpose of this Minister and this Government in ensuring that they will have a greater degree of direct representation from the civil service? What is that purpose in the light of the need to ensure that Fóir Teoranta are capable, through the representation on the board, of acting quickly and effectively in the rescue operation for which they were launched? What is their purpose, having regard to the track record of this Government in relation to State boards?
We have seen in recent times indications of what this Government think about the autonomy of State boards. They can be autonomous so long as the membership on those boards happens to coincide with the views of Government as to the suitability of the people involved. It is clear that this Government particularly have one end in view and that is to undermine what always was the respected tradition and precedent of Government succeeding another Government and to ensure that wherever there seemed to be a balance of Fianna Fáil Government nominees they must be removed. The board that looks like being a Fianna Fáil board must be dealt with. Some type of implication that they will not discharge their responsibilities properly prompted the extraordinary decision of the then Minister to endeavour — because he has not been quite successful yet — to abolish An Board Pleanála without adhering to the terms of the legislation under which that board was set up. The terms of that legislation provided that if members of the board were to be removed from office the stated reasons should be notified to them and also to this House. That was not the way this Government went about it. No stated reasons were notified to the members or to this House and suddenly the members are fired, but of course the matter is now sub judice, not surprisingly. We will wait to see whether the Judiciary take the same view as to the autonomy of State boards who have not a majority of appointees from this Government.
Whatever the rights or wrongs, one thing has resulted from the Udarás na Gaeltachta debacle. Udarás na Gaeltachta have been undermined. Confidence in their capacity by industrialists or investors has been undermined. These trends, taken in conjunction with what the Government are now proposing to appropriate to civil servants who will be immediately amenable to the direction of the Ministers involved, never mind the appointments made from time to time, indicate quite clearly that the whole role of the State boards is being undermined without any review of Government policy in relation to that role. We on this side of the House would welcome an opportunity to review the role of the administration generally and of the semi-State sector also in many areas. We are prepared to take a very responsible and, I hope, consistent approach in relation to the level of public expenditure being applied, the answerability of these companies to this Oireachtas and to the people through this Oireachtas, to ensure that not one penny of taxpayers' money is wasted. I will go along with the Government on that if they bring in here some general policy in relation to State bodies that we would now, late in 1983, be allowed to consider and analyse. Some of those bodies had been allowed to be very successful in the sixties and seventies. The role of Government and Parliament is to review the role of these bodies, but this party will not go along with this kind of chipping away of individual State bodies in the exercise of their executive functions to ensure that they are brought into the maw of the Government in every possible area. We will not go along with the appointment to these boards of people nominated from outside who would have a certain sympathy for Government policy nor with the overloading of the boards with civil servants who will diligently do the job required of them. Nothing I say here is to be taken as undue criticism of civil servants as such. I have had the experience of working with them for a considerable time and I know the capacity they have and the motivation that can exist among them, but if more of them are appointed to State boards the reaction of the private sector to what they would see as the Government bureaucratic control will be strong.
At the moment Fóir Teoranta are handling about 200 cases per annum. The pattern used to be that after the rescue effort was tried approximately one-third of the firms would have to be dissolved in liquidation or otherwise, approximately one-third remained marginal for some time and one-third survived and became healthy. Unfortunately the indications now are that the percentage of firms who will have to close will grow, those marginal companies are finding it more difficult to stave off closure and those surviving find it very difficult to survive, never mind to thrive. This is because of a most unfavourable climate for investment.
The Minister referred to the economic recovery, implying that the problems of industry will fade away in the next few years. Even if the Minister is not aware of it, economic recovery has been underway in the United States, which country has a major impact on the world economy, in Japan, in the Federal Republic of Germany and even in Britain. The trends are favourable particularly for an open trading economy such as ours. Demand is growing and representatives of the FUE or the CII will confirm that at this stage demand is buoyant. The problem they face is to satisfy that demand at a level that will not drive them further into debt because of the excessive costs here and the unduly unhealthy climate for industrial activity.
Does one have to mention the level of indirect taxation which is oppressive in the extreme in comparison with other countries? Does one have to mention the level of direct taxation? As I told the Minister at the beginning of the year, not surprisingly the income tax yield is lower than the figure for which the Minister budgeted. Does one need to mention the levies imposed on industry and the extra costs of electricity, transport and so on? All these factors make it impossible for our industry to avail of opportunities that exist now.
The Minister and his colleagues in Government should turn their attention to this matter. They have been in office for a year but they have not yet come forward with any policy in this area. Yesterday Deputy Cluskey spoke about the Joint Programme for Government and what it did not include. He feels free to be critical of the lack of an adequate programme in relation to our resources. Of course there was no agreement in relation to that matter in the joint programme. They were too busy agreeing about matters that do not matter. We are all aware of the little sop about the income related property tax — the major achievement of the Labour Party. At the end of the day perhaps we will get £400,000 or £500,000 out of that tax, but what was not in the programme and is not there now is an overall agreement on the development of industry, agriculture, fisheries, forestry and education. They have no policy to which the people can respond and that is why we are here today, reacting to the growing problems of Irish industry.
When Fóir Teoranta come into the picture they do so at a late stage. I agree that Fóir Teoranta try to promote the idea that their services, as distinct from their rescue element, should be sought much earlier than has been the case up to recently. It is not right to wait until the liquidator is about to come in before calling on the services of Fóir Teoranta. Their services, particularly in the management advisory area, are quite sophisticated and I should like to compliment the organisation on developments here. Firms should call on them much earlier than has been the practice. By the time many companies come to Fóir Teoranta they already have commitments to the banks who will be the first creditors with legal rights to take certain actions. I know that Fóir Teoranta consult with the banks to get a certain understanding from them that they will not move in to liquidate their assets while Fóir Teoranta are engaged in their rescue operation. However, in view of recent events with regard to the chipboard firm, where the Government were the majority shareholders, can we be assured that the banks will not be encouraged to take the action they are entitled to take as the secured creditors with the first right to realise their assets? What guarantee do we have that the State will not sit back, leaving Fóir Teoranta with no guarantee to protect the industry concerned? What will happen if the banks decide to realise their assets by putting a firm into liquidation?
The banks are in a privileged position in our society. Our financial structures give the associated banks in particular a very privileged position in relation to, say, rates of interest which are fixed after consultation with the Central Bank. However, the obligation that follows from that privilege cannot be discharged by the banks encouraging people to borrow in good times and then taking action against them in bad times. In this connection I am referring to farmers, small builders, agricultural contractors or business people. I hope we will have an opportunity in this House in the near future to look at the role of the banks and the structure of our financial institutions. I have never tried to argue against profits in the banking sector but they should not be realised in good times and secured in bad times by the liquidation of companies. That is something about which one cannot feel too reassured having regard to developments in relation to the chipboard factory recently. In that case the Government, although they were the majority shareholder, did nothing to head off that difficulty.
I should like to make the point that the export trends have been reasonably encouraging for the manufacturing industry in recent times. But we might as well recognise — and the Minister should also recognise this — that the growth is due almost entirely to new industries brought in here in the sixties and seventies, especially technological, pharmaceutical and the para-medical industries. Although I do not want to make party politics, all the industries which the Government have been boasting about are attributable to the Fianna Fáil Government. If you inquire as to the trends of any of the established industries it is clear that, far from growth, it is quite the reverse. The food industry, the drink and tobacco industry, the textile industry, the clothing, leather and footwear industry, the timber industry, the paper and printing industry are not experiencing any growth. They are more and more calling on the services of Fóir Teoranta.
In 1973 there were approximately 213,000 people employed in manufacturing industry. In 1983 there is a very considerable drop which brings the figure down to 195,000 people employed in the manufacturing industry. We should remember that the figure includes all the new industries which were brought in since 1973. The level of employment in manufacturing industry has dropped and yet the Government are supposed to be concerned about unemployment or, looking at it more positively, with policies for employment. Even in 1979 the level of employment in total manufacturing industries was in excess of that in 1973. It was approximately 219,000 by December 1979.
They are the numbers employed, but do the Government know that we have a growth area here apart from the black economy? We have a growth area in our population and if the employment level is dropping in net terms to the extent that it has in the last ten years and there is growth in the labour market, clearly the trend in unemployment will continue to expand, as even the Government have mildly acknowledged, until 1992. With these kinds of policies it will not end in 1992, if we ever get that far, if the social order and the stability of society is not undermined in the meantime.
That is why all the efforts of Fóir Teoranta, unfortunately, will not enable industry to overcome their problems. The best opportunity and assistance to industry is to create a climate in which they will do it themselves. A small businessman in his own town with a sense of commitment from his work force will do it. You and I, a Leas-Cheann Comhairle, know this because we have seen them grow in our towns. However, if you ask them now to invest in further expansion they will tell you fairly smartly where to go with your advice. They will launch nothing now. We are waiting with all the empty shelves, SFADCo bays and IDA factories. I am afraid we will be waiting much longer unless the Government create some kind of climate to avail of the boom — I use the word advisedly — that is now under way in the United States of America. If the Minister went to Shannon or Dublin Airports any day he would see small business people going out there for three or six months and investing in the new economic boom. It is not just banks which are involved, printing and stationery businesses are also involved. They are investing in America and in Britain, and who is to say they are wrong?
In December 1979, when I was Minister for Finance, although that is not the reason I am mentioning these figures, the level of unemployment was 85,000. Now it is well over 200,000 and growing, like the black economy. What has been happening to industry? The Minister will find figures in the Industrial News Report No. 39 of 19 October 1983 which says that company closures are increasing at an alarming rate. The latest figures released by Dun and Bradstreet, publishers of Stubbs Gazette, show that the number of company collapses is increasing at an alarming rate. Figures for September show that 54 firms went into liquidation, receivership or were wound up. This represents an increase of up to 26 per cent on the same period last year and that surely is a growth area. Broken down, that means that 35 firms went into liquidation, 13 had receivers appointed and six were wound up. The picture for the first nine months of this year is not encouraging. During this period a total of 574 firms went to the wall compared with 518 firms in the same period last year. The worst affected areas were manufacturing, construction, wholesalers and retailers. It is no wonder, having regard to the level of indirect taxation. General services and engineering are also affected. We are aware of that problem in view of the extraordinary decision of the Government in their public expenditure allocations to cut back on the capital programme for development of roads, housing and so on, and to waste it in other areas. Garages and the hotel sector are also suffering.
The prediction for 1983, unfortunately, is not much better. Dun and Bradstreet say that up to 800 companies will collapse before the end of the year, a rise of about 15 per cent on last year's figures. If you think of the effect of a 15 per cent rise on a diminishing number of survivors the impact should hit even this Government and bring home to them that they just cannot sit back and wait for others to suggest, in committees and otherwise, how to solve the problem. Something much more direct is called for from the Government in terms of their fiscal and taxation policies, which everybody now realises has been the biggest single disincentive to industry. The complexity of taxation, which the Commission on Taxation recognised when I established them in 1979 has increased much more since then.
All of these factors are driving industry to the wall as any Deputy with experience will realise. Apart from the problems created by the Revenue Commissioners for industrialists, their greatest problem these days is in coping with those who are there to help from the State side. These agencies are proliferating at such a rate under this Government that any small industry would almost need a separate section to deal with them. To that extent, I would put the word assistance in inverted commas. Is it not time that on both sides we had a good look at this whole area and acknowledged that the role of Government is not necessarily to convey the notion that they are providing assistance, services and advice? President Reagan may not have been too far wrong when he said, "get the Government off your backs". Instead of nailing industrialists to the ground with taxation, with bureaucratic forms and so on, we should create a climate in which they know that when they develop their ideas, their efforts will be rewarded in terms of profit, not only for the investor but for the worker. The tax level is hitting both investor and worker equally. Instead of this bringing about a degree of cohesion in common suffering, it is creating further tensions and divisions as between employers and employees and that is something that we need least of all at this stage.
We have a level of income which is about half that of countries with the same degree of public expenditure as we have. There are other ways of considering the situation. If we take public expenditure, most of which goes towards feeding the administration, as a proportion of GNP for this year we find that it is of the order of 70 per cent while the corresponding figure for 1970 was 37 per cent. If we take those countries with a low level of public expenditure in proportion to GNP, we find that those are the ones which had the biggest rate of income growth in the past ten years. This is according to OECD figures. We find that those with a level of public expenditure in proporation to GNP of below 30 per cent have a growth rate in real income of more than 5½ per cent, while those in respect of whom the corresponding figure is more than 50 per cent — and we are well above that — have a growth rate in real income of marginally 1 per cent on average. Does that not indicate that the growth of administration is the problem and not the solution? This Bill is merely moving in the traditional way. There will be more administration and we will have two further representatives from the Civil Service to ensure that whatever autonomy, independence or effectiveness this body may have will be undermined.
I trust that the scenario I am portraying is not too gloomy, but there is not much cause for optimism when we have regard to the fall-off in employment, the growth in unemployment and a dependency rate that is now the highest in the OECD countries. For how long more are we going to merely sit back and engage in the kind of wasteful discussions with which this Government have been preoccupied in the past number of months? The level of dependency at 2.8 per cent or almost three dependants to each person at work refers not only to manufacturing productive employment but to the service industries and to the Public Service. Do we really think that any economy can survive with that sort of trend? Obviously, we have not been insulated against the economic recession. I am not suggesting that all of this is attributable to the failure of Government policies, even the policies of this Government. Times are difficult for any Government but I am suggesting that in the face of the realities of the deepening recession here and the recovery outside, the inertia of this Government, their lack of direction, of policies and of motivation are killing the spirit of our people. The Government do not even seem to be aware of this situation, much less have a plan to promote small industries, craft industries and so on.
The level of VAT increases speaks for itself. I recall telling the Minister for Finance on at least two or three occasions at the beginning of the year that to achieve the figure he mentioned in his budget statement in respect of VAT he did not need a 15 per cent increase all round. I said that specifically at the beginning of the year on a "Today Tonight" programme in which the Minister for Finance took part also. I have the transcripts and the Minister's response was that it was just as well I was not Minister for Finance if that was the way I did my calculations.
Before the debate adjourns I shall read into the record exactly what the Minister said in this House on this matter. In the course of the year I told him that on the basis of advice available to me, the sort of advice he must have ignored, the level of VAT he had imposed was far in excess of what he required to bring in the amount estimated in the budget in this respect. The position now is that VAT is about £150 million in excess of what the Minister budgeted for. I told him also that in view of the depressing effects of the policies being pursued by the Government, income tax receipts would be less because there would not be people to pay the tax. The Minister would not accept that either, and we find now that the income tax receipts are down, not quite as much as the VAT receipts are up, but more or less of the same order. To complete the picture, our appeals to the Minister in regard to the increases in excise duties and indirect taxation were ignored also. We said that these increases would dampen the economy and kill the services and tourist industries as well as the drinks industry and all the others. The Minister has one capacity and that is to become fixed in a certain way. It is a condition that a Professor Laffer who is an adviser to President Regan has referred to as the MEGO or, my-eyes-glaze-over, complex. In other words, in concentrating on the budget deficit the Minister's eyes became glazed to the extent that he could see nothing else. We have reached the point of diminishing returns in so far as excise duties are concerned. Is it any wonder that apart from the black economy the biggest growth must be in the transport industry to Newry and Jonesboro? People from the Republic are spending up to £2 million per day in those towns. Fair weather to those who can buy the goods cheaper than the prices at which they are available here. Unfortunately, it is not to the Exchequer that their payments are accruing but to the Exchequer of Her Majesty across the water. There may be a new relationship between both Governments but I hope it does not get to the point that that relationship is based on the fact that we will have to contribute significantly more to their Exchequer than we do to our own. The reality is that in those three areas the Minister and the Government got it wrong. Excise duties are much less than budgeted for and we told the Minister so. VAT will be much more than budgeted for and income tax will be less than budgeted for. In those three instances we told the Minister that his figures were wrong.