I propose to take Questions Nos. 11, 38, 69 and 70 together.
I am aware of the decrease in employment in the bakery industry in recent years. I am also aware of the views of the Flour Confectionery and Bakers' Association that this decline is attributable to the 21 per cent rate of VAT on flour confectionery and biscuits. However, studies by the sectoral development committee (1990) and the IDA (1987) both highlight a heavy over-capacity in the industry, particularly in the bread baking sector, and indicate that the closures are part of a rationalisation process for a more efficient, market-led industry.
I should point out that bread is zero-rated for VAT and that the standard rate of VAT applies to all flour confectionery and biscuits sold in this country, irrespective of country of origin. Similarly, cakes and biscuits produced in the State and sold in the North are liable to the rate of VAT pertaining there, generally the zero rate. Thus, the VAT treatment is of no relevance to purchasing patterns at trade level; this will reflect consumer preference and relative cost competitiveness at the production level.
Application of the zero rate to flour confectionery and non-chocolate biscuits, that is parity of treatment with Northern Ireland, would give rise to a substantial loss in revenue and, accordingly, consideration of any such measure can be carried out only in the context of the normal budgetary process. Deputies will appreciate that it would not be appropriate for me to detail my budgetary plans at this stage.