The data requested by the Deputy are contained in a following tabular statement. The table shows that the social insurance surplus is projected to be £198 million in 2000. However, the figures for potential surpluses contained in the table for 2001 and 2002 do not take into account increases in excess of prices inflation, in the rates of social insurance benefits and pensions, which may be introduced in those years. In this regard, the Government is already committed to raising the maximum personal rates of the lowest old age pensions to a figure of £100 per week by 2002. In addition, the Government has entered a commitment with the social partners as part of the Programme for Prosperity and Fairness to increase the rates of all social welfare payments in real terms over the lifetime of the programme and to make substantial progress towards a target of £100 per week for the lowest rates over the period of the programme. Clearly, these and other developments are likely to have a significant impact on any emerging surpluses over the next two years.
PRSI income is currently buoyant due to the increased numbers of persons in the workforce and the economic climate generally. The availability of social insurance fund resources has enabled me to widen the contingencies covered by the social insurance system. The Social Welfare Bill provides, among other provisions, for the introduction of a carer's benefit which will be paid, without a means test, to all workers who are required to take time out of the workforce to provide full time care and attention for incapacitated persons. This is an innovative enhancement of the social insurance system and will be of significant value to all workers who have to balance work responsibilities with their responsibilities to care for persons who are sick or incapacitated.
While the financial position of the fund is secure in the short-term, significant funding challenges lie ahead in the medium and long-term. These arise mainly from the increase in the numbers of older persons in society, the majority of whom will be entitled to a pension paid from the fund. The Government decision to set up a reserve fund to part pre-fund social welfare pensions in the long-term represents a significant commitment by the Exchequer towards ensuring pensions will be paid in the future. The current social insurance fund surplus will play an important role in the financing of projected growth in social insurance expenditure in the medium term as well as improvements in the rate and range of benefits provided.
I am fully committed to safeguarding the fund and to the enhancement of the social insurance system so that it continues to be a key component in the delivery of social protection in this country in the years ahead.
Projected income, expenditure and surplus of the Social Insurance Fund, 2000 to 2002.
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
|
£ million
|
£ million
|
£ million
|
Income (a)
|
2,753
|
2,960
|
3,270
|
Expenditure (b)
|
2,555
|
2,648
|
2,750
|
Surplus (c)
|
198
|
312
|
520
|
(a)Provides for projected changes in employment and earnings; assumes no change in PRSI contribution rates.
(b)Provides for the cost of budget 2000 improvements and for increases in weekly rates of payment in 2001 and 2002 in line with projected increases in the Consumer Price Index – CPI.
(c)The surplus figures for 2001 and 2002 are likely to be reduced by further increases in expenditure arising from various commitments to increase rates of payment during this period over and above indexation to CPI.