All sides of the House recognise that in 2000 there will be no increases in social welfare benefit or social welfare assistance. It is clear that the rates of inflation which the CPI disclosed yesterday show that the increases across the assistance range, from unemployment assistance through to the carer's allowance, survivor's pensions etc., have been wiped out. Indeed, we face the awful prospect of an inflation rate of up to 7% this year and a real decrease in social welfare rates.
Yesterday when I heard the Minister for Finance, Deputy McCreevy, on the radio, I thought he displayed a breath-taking arrogance in this regard when he stated that unfortunately while it would be possible to meet the social partners regarding wage rates and a review of the Programme for Prosperity and Fairness, the 1.5 million people dependent completely on social welfare must wait for budget 2001. That means there will be no change until May 2001 or certainly mid-April 2001. Therefore, for the next ten months, with an inflation rate of 5.2%, which is rising, the Minister, the Minister for Social, Community and Family Affairs, Deputy Dermot Ahern, and their colleagues are saying that there will be no further increases whatsoever in social welfare.
The CPI May figure of 5.2% is certainly bad news for the poorest segments of society. The prospect of inflation of 6% or 7% with an actual decrease in social welfare is a horrendous prospect. It is probably the most serious issue to have been raised today in the House.
The Taoiseach and the Minister for Social, Community and Family Affairs, Deputy Dermot Ahern, indicated that they can go back to the social partners regarding wage rises, but wage rises are averaging 8% or 9% while there is no way in which most assistance schemes will be able to catch up on the inflation rate. The key problem is that in the PPF there is no review mechanism for social welfare and nothing can be done, as the Minister, Deputy McCreevy, told us.
The poor, in effect, can eat cake. According to the CPI figures, housing costs are rising at 2.2% per month, tobacco at 1.4%, food at 1.3%, drink at 1.2%, transport at 8.3%, fuel and light at 7.1% and services and related expenditure at 6.4% – that is an appalling figure for anybody who can expect an increase of only 5.2%. Of course the figures are on a year on year basis.
Some of the senior constituents in Tipperary, where I have spent a significant time over the past few weeks, reminded me that the cost of a sliced pan has risen by 6p or 7p this year. They asked why politicians were placing emphasis on the increase in the price of drink when the price of bread, the most fundamental food, is rising dramatically. As Dr. Michael Smurfit noted a few years ago, the poorest people in society spend a far higher proportion of their income on food and basic services, and the types of food which have been affected by the CPI rises include poultry, fresh fruit and vegetables. In all those areas the Minister can expect that people must change to poorer quality food, and the impact on the poorest in society will be dramatic. Likewise the rising cost of transport will have a major impact on those 1.5 million people.
Although the House has not been told, two days ago we received information through the Irish Independent regarding the levels of child poverty in society. According to an article in that newspaper, one in six, that is nearly 17%, of Irish children live in poverty and only the UK, Turkey, Italy and Mexico have a worse child poverty rate than Ireland. In that context this year the Minister is not prepared to give any further increases across the range of social welfare schemes. Basically the Minister granted an increase of £4. For example, unemployment assistance rose from £73.50 to £77.50, carer's received £80.50 instead of £76.50, blind pensioners received £77.50 instead of £73.50 etc.
It seems it is critical that the Minister come into the House with a Finance (No. 2) Bill and a new social welfare Bill. The constituents of the Leas-Cheann Comhairle and the Minister of State at the Department of Finance, Deputy Cullen, in Waterford, and my constituents are most dependent on social welfare. We urgently need a new social welfare Bill with adequate increases. The Labour Party asked for an increase of £10 per week and the Minister for Social, Community and Family Affairs, Deputy Dermot Ahern, said "No".