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Dáil Éireann debate -
Wednesday, 31 Oct 2007

Vol. 640 No. 4

Other Questions.

Anti-Poverty Strategy.

Róisín Shortall

Question:

63 Deputy Róisín Shortall asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs the action he is taking to reduce child poverty; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26262/07]

John Perry

Question:

75 Deputy John Perry asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs his views on the statement by The Combat Poverty Agency in its annual report that over one in ten children are living in consistent poverty, that Ireland’s level of child poverty remains high by European standards and that Ireland has a relatively low level of service provision for families and children; the measures he plans to take to alleviate child poverty in view of same; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26170/07]

Olivia Mitchell

Question:

101 Deputy Olivia Mitchell asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs if he will carry out research on the mechanism for reducing child and family poverty, both in terms of income and service support, aimed at streamlining access to supports and minimising poverty traps in this area; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26184/07]

I propose to take Questions Nos. 63, 75 and 101 together.

The reduction and eventual elimination of child poverty is a national priority and at the very core of the strategic process to combat poverty and social exclusion, as set out in Towards 2016, the NAPinclusion, and the social inclusion commitments in the NDP.

One of the 12 high level goals set out in the NAPinclusion focuses on achieving significant real increases in income supports for children. Three others address education initiatives. In addition, the detailed action targets in the plan cover services, such as health, education, income support, early childhood development and care, identified by The Combat Poverty Agency as highly important in tackling poverty in families and ensuring that children reach their true potential.

Children growing up in low income or jobless households are the most vulnerable to poverty. Many of these households are composed of large families with three or more children, and those headed by lone parents. The responsibilities involved in providing proper care for children can create obstacles for parents in taking up employment that provides a decent household income for their family. The NAPinclusion addresses this by providing for a case management approach that will encompass, in an integrated way, appropriate income support, child care services, and education and training to enable parents overcome these obstacles. National and international evidence shows that employment participation is, as I stated earlier, the main route out of poverty.

Research has a key role in supporting and facilitating policy development and the evaluation of policies, with particular reference to the outcomes being achieved. The Office for Social Inclusion commissioned the ESRI to produce a series of social portraits on the various life cycle groups. One such portrait, on children, published earlier this year, shows the current situation. This will form a basis to track progress of the ten year national action plan over the period of its implementation. Similar evidence of progress over this period will emerge from the seven year National Longitudinal Study of Children which commenced in May last. This outcomes based approach will also assist in identifying policy areas where more specific, tailored research is required. Furthermore, policy development will build on the excellent research already completed at national level and comparative research at international levels will enable us to learn from best practice in other countries.

Significant progress has been made in reducing child poverty and material deprivation. The latest EU-SILC survey shows, for example, that in the period 2003 to 2005 the proportion of children in consistent poverty has reduced from 12.2% to 10.2%. I am confident we can build on this over the next ten years and the specific targets set in the NAPinclusion can be achieved.

By anybody's standards a 40% uptake in family income supplement is very disappointing. This measure is targeted towards low income families where one parent is in employment, yet a considerable number appear to be unaware of it. The Minister referred to Towards 2016. Is he aware a commitment was made in Sustaining Progress to examine the possibility of combining the family income supplement and the qualified child payment in order to make a payment to help children in low income families where the income would taper if one or both parents went into the workforce? There is a difficulty in treating poor children differently depending on whether their parents are poor because they are on welfare or due to low paid employment. There is a need to streamline the system. The fact the uptake in family income supplement is only 40% should spur on the Minister to address the matter. It appears no action has been taken on the commitment that was given and I wish to know why that is the case.

My second question relates to a matter we discussed earlier. Not alone are children affected by income poverty, but they are also affected by public service poverty. Children in poor areas have to wait over a year for a psychological assessment. Is the Minister aware that children in certain areas have to wait over a year for assessment by an occupational therapist?

I remind the Deputy that questions should not exceed one minute. Likewise, replies from the Minister to supplementary questions should not exceed one minute.

The Leas-Cheann Comhairle is being hard on me.

This is what I mean by public service poverty. What is the Department doing to address the matter? I accept the problem does not relate to the Minister's area of responsibility alone but the social inclusion unit is based there and I wish to hear what level of co-ordination is involved.

Deputy Shortall is correct to some degree regarding the family income supplement and the other payments in that there is a myriad of payments. I think the question the Deputy is trying to ask is how one can amalgamate the payments to get the best from them. The problem is that when one puts the figures together, one hits the barrier to what people are entitled on a means tested basis. In order to encourage them to get back into the workforce, the question is how much a person can earn without losing rent support and all of the other incomes also.

What I said is that 60% of people who are entitled to the family income supplement are not claiming it.

I am answering the Deputy's question. I agree——

My question was about a narrower area.

As the Deputy well knows, one cannot just pick one payment in isolation from all the different payments that exist.

I am asking the Minister about one payment.

That has been the curse of it.

The Minister gets lost in generalisations and waffle. I am asking a specific question.

The Minister should be allowed to speak without interruption.

Ten minutes ago Deputy Shortall was suggesting the opposite to me. The Deputy is correct that one cannot look at these payments in isolation from each other. One has to look at them as a cohort of payments and examine how one can get the maximum benefit from them. I do not argue with that point.

The Deputy is correct about access to public services. As much as any Deputy in the House, I hold clinics every week and there is a significant shortage of people, for instance, in occupational therapy. We have thousands of vacancies and we do not have persons qualified to take up the posts.

There is an embargo.

That is a significant problem. There is no point——

On a point of order, that is not true.

There is no point——

We have time to return to this question. The Minister should finish his reply to this supplementary question. I will then call Deputy Enright and Deputy Ó Caoláin and return to Deputy Shortall.

On a point of information——

As the Deputy is aware, there is no such thing as a point of information but she is going to proceed anyway.

A total of 150 occupational therapists are waiting to be employed. They are on a panel but the embargo has prevented their employment.

I thank the Deputy. Does the Minister wish to conclude his reply to the supplementary question?

Perhaps the Leas-Cheann Comhairle would protect me from being interrupted. I have interrupted nobody.

It is important for the Minister to be accurate in his statements.

I wish to revert to the Minister on two points.

I would rather the Deputy asked a question.

It is a question. Good policies are in place and I am not critical of them. What I want the Minister to accept is that there is a gap between what is decided as policy and what will happen on the ground. In light of that, can I return to the priority question and ask the Minister again whether there is a mechanism within the policy format that has been put forward to evaluate it as it is being implemented to ensure that by the time we reach the 2012 and 2016 deadlines we will have achieved what we set out to achieve, which did not happen in terms of the 2007 deadline, regardless of the data change?

The simple answer is "Yes". I have set it out for the Deputy. Clear measurements are being put in place to ensure we can measure the outcomes.

The Deputy is correct — I have no argument with that point. There is a policy on one side but there is a question as to whether we are maximising the outcomes on the other. This is why, within NAPinclusion and the measurements being put in place and monitored by the Department and a number of the agencies, we will be able specifically to judge what outcomes we are achieving with the families with whom we are interacting. We should be able to learn from this whether the mix is correct or incorrect.

Does the Minister agree it is time to review the benchmarking against which social welfare payments are set in order to ensure they are adequate to meet the cost of living needs — I emphasise "needs" — of those dependent on social welfare payments and their children? Did the Minister examine the report produced last year by the Vincentian Partnership for Social Justice? If so, can he advise whether he has taken on board the recommendations contained therein regarding the minimum essential budget necessary for the various household formations that make up Irish society today?

Only two weeks ago I met all 32 of the different groups involved at a pre-budget forum. To be fair, all of the groups put forward a very reasoned and reasonable case. However, the cost of doing what they requested for this year alone would be €3 billion to €4 billion, which is not feasible or realistic. Therefore, we are trying to identify the key issues that can be funded and prioritised. In conjunction with the Government, I must make a choice as to where we maximise funding.

I favour targeting the less well off. I do not look to a general universal payment as I am not sure it would offer the best outcome and would cost a lot of money to implement. Moreover, the benefit for some families would be marginal because they do not need it in many cases. I tend to favour prioritising resources and directly targeting in a maximum way families who are less well off, particularly where children are clearly in danger of poverty.

These are choices that must be made as we go forward. Our social welfare system is universal, fair, open and well funded, and is indicative of why many people are in this country. It is accepted this country makes payments that are comparable to those made in many other countries.

Many representations have been made to Members with regard to the proposed changes to the funding of child care in disadvantaged areas. This is exactly the type of public service to which I refer, where low income earners and children living in poverty are being denied access to quality services. This is an issue that has arisen under the Minister of State with responsibility for children, Deputy Brendan Smith, but it will have a direct impact on many recipients of social welfare and those who have managed to get off social welfare and into the workforce but who now find there is a serious incentive for them to return to welfare.

A cross-departmental approach needs to be taken in this area. Is the Minister aware of this looming issue? Has it been discussed in the social inclusion unit in his Department? Have the alarms bells rung for the Minister yet? What specific action will the Department take, given its responsibility to deal with child poverty, but also with regard to encouraging people to move off welfare and into the workforce?

What was the original question?

I referred to the new payment arrangements for child care services in disadvantaged areas, which is looming as quite a significant issue. It has been forecast that it will act as a disincentive for people moving off welfare and into the workforce and encourage others back onto welfare. Is the Minister aware of the issue and what action does he propose to take?

We are aware of the issue. It is being considered at present because it highlights exactly the trap in which one can end up when instigating and trying to target new and better policies. One can end up creating a situation which was not foreseen but which appears on the horizon.

This is not unique and has happened before in other areas. The Department, with the Minister of State with responsibility for children, is examining this issue to ensure the policy, which is intended to have a beneficial effect, does not have negative consequences. The last thing we want is to encourage people to leave the workforce and re-enter the social welfare system. We want people to move in the opposite direction.

Data Protection.

Jack Wall

Question:

64 Deputy Jack Wall asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs the action he is taking to ensure his Department is fully compliant with the Data Protection Act 1988; and the steps, in view of recent newspaper reports, that have been taken to ensure data stored by his Department is properly secured and unavailable to third parties. [26278/07]

My Department, owing to the nature of its work, holds extensive and detailed personal information about customers. Most employees of the Department need and have access to this information to deliver the Department's services. The Department is aware of its obligations to its customers under the Data Protection Acts 1988 and 2003 to ensure information is collected appropriately, maintained securely and used only for the purpose for which it was intended. The Department takes these obligations very seriously and takes the strongest line on the misuse of customer information by any of its staff. Any breach of trust with regard to the confidentiality of information is treated as serious misconduct under the disciplinary code and comes under immediate consideration for dismissal.

Since the incidents referred to in the media, the Department has strengthened security and data protection protocols. The security of systems and processes is regularly reviewed and there is password protection on all accounts. A dedicated unit has been established to oversee business information protection across the Department and has developed and communicated policies and procedures covering the use of systems and data. This unit also investigates alleged breaches that arise.

Staff are regularly reminded of their obligations under data protection and security policies and the penalties applied to such misuse. In addition, the ongoing development of computer systems continues to incorporate further security and logging facilities. The protection of personal data is a matter for the Department. The Secretary General, as part of the risk management process, has established a high level group to review all aspects of access controls and security management.

Earlier, in reply to a similar question, the Minister stated that improper access to confidential information occurred in only three cases. Given that just three cases came to the attention of the media, I find it impossible to believe these are the only cases in which improper access was gained to confidential information. On what basis did the Minister make a categorical statement on the number of cases? In the aftermath of three cases highlighted in the media, what look-back procedure was employed to assess access to confidential information and how did it enable the Minister to make such a categorical statement?

What role did the Data Protection Commissioner have in respect of the three cases that have come to light? What sanctions or recommendations did he make in respect of the operation of the Department?

I confirm my earlier statement that since 2002 three investigations have been concluded which highlighted unauthorised disclosure of personal data by officials of the Department.

That is a different issue.

There are six investigations——

The Minister indicated earlier that there were only three cases. He now states that three cases were investigated.

No, I said three investigations have been concluded since 2003.

The Minister said there had only been three cases since 2002.

There have only been three——

How does the Minister know there have only been three cases?

All I can do is ask the question and secure the relevant information. It is as simple as that. Six investigations are under way. Two cases were referred to the Department by the Office of the Data Protection Commissioner, while five further cases relate to the disclosure of personal information and two further cases relate to alleged disclosure of personal information. The six investigations under way are current whereas the three cases to which I referred arose between 2003 and 2005.

Potentially, there may be many more cases.

The number is not large. I am giving the Deputy the accurate figure which, in the scheme of things, is very low.

Has a look-back procedure been employed?

There is constant look-back and study of all cases and the information gleaned is used to improve the security of the Department's systems.

How many cases are there?

Exactly what spot checks are in place? The Minister stated the Department is aware of only three cases while six cases are under investigation. Will he clarify whether the latter figure includes the three cases under discussion or whether the overall number is nine? In each of the three specific cases investigated since 2002, how exactly did the breaches come to the attention of the Minister or his Department?

The Department has taken a number of initiatives. Since 2004, presentations have been given to more than 1,200 departmental staff, including 600 in the past 12 months. An Internet site is being developed to support staff in protecting the confidentiality, integrity and availability of the Department's business information. The Department regularly produces posters on information security for distribution and display in its offices and to date in 2007 two such campaigns have been completed. Articles on information security and data protection are published regularly in the Department's social affairs and training magazines. Furthermore, the business information security e-learning programme was launched this summer to increase and announce the options available to staff and complement the Department's other activities. This programme comprises five modules focusing on information and PC security awareness. Log-on messages are regularly displayed on computer systems and are usually run for a week at a time. In September 2005, the Secretary General issued two e-mails to all staff on the issues of internal fraud, failure to follow procedures and abuse and misuse of personal data and information. Subsequent messages have issued from the personnel section of the Department.

The Minister did not answer the specific question.

Given that there seems to be some uncertainty as to the number of such abuses — while the Minister spoke of a number of cases of which he is aware, he must accept that there may be many more cases of which he is not aware or which have not yet come to light — in trying to address all these issues, what additional security measures has the Department introduced to prevent the disclosure of personal information relating to social welfare recipients to whatever interest? To the Minister's knowledge, have concerns been raised in the Department regarding the feeding of information to commercial interests? I speak specifically with regard to insurance companies, an issue addressed in the House on a previous occasion. Recognising that such a practice would be an absolute breach of the data protection legislation, what steps are being taken to close off that avenue?

I assure the Deputy that I raised this issue in the Department. One of the first steps I took in discussions with senior management was to raise this issue and I indicated that it would be intolerable if further breaches of security were to arise in the Department's systems. I cannot deal with hypothetical questions but only the facts available to me, nor can I speculate as to whether there have been other cases because I simply do not know the answer. I can only deal with facts. I asked the Department for information and provided the accurate information available in the Department to the House. The security procedures for internal computer systems, which are significant in the Department of Social and Family Affairs, are up to the mark and up to date. All accounts have specific log-on security details.

This issue must be viewed in context. Given the scale of the Department's activities and the number of customers with whom it deals, the number of cases is minuscule. Nevertheless, I do not minimise their importance and the Secretary General, other senior staff in the Department and I take the matter seriously.

How were the breaches involved in each of the cases referred to brought to the attention of the Department and the Minister?

I am concerned that the Minister has been less than forthcoming with information. First, he informed the House that there were only three cases. One hour later, he informed us that there are a further six cases. We still do not know whether any look-back procedure has been used or whether a spot-checking mechanism was introduced to determine the extent to which access to information was abused by his officials. I will repeat my earlier question. What role has the Data Protection Commissioner had in this debacle and what sanctions or recommendations has he made regarding the operation of the Department?

That information is not available, but I will get it if the Deputy tables a question on this matter. Deputy Enright asked how the information became available in the Department, but I do not have the details in front of me.

The Minister told the House that the information did not become available through leaks in the media. If the Minister knows this, then he knows how the information came to light.

I call Question No. 65.

I referred to the fact that the information was in the media. I did not refer to the fact that——

The Minister did not. He should read the record.

I ask that the Minister and the Deputy obey the Chair.

Pension Provisions.

Richard Bruton

Question:

65 Deputy Richard Bruton asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs the number of working and non-working women respectively who have personal or occupational pensions; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26169/07]

Phil Hogan

Question:

66 Deputy Phil Hogan asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs the steps he will take to facilitate women forced out of employment due to the marriage rule to avail of contributory pensions; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26174/07]

Bernard Allen

Question:

83 Deputy Bernard Allen asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs the steps he will take to fulfil the commitment in An Agreed Programme for Government to ensure women are treated fairly in terms of pension provision; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26172/07]

Bernard J. Durkan

Question:

98 Deputy Bernard J. Durkan asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs if he will award credited contributions for old age pension purposes to persons who have been carers for a protracted period; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26240/07]

Emmet Stagg

Question:

104 Deputy Emmet Stagg asked the Minister for Social and Family Affairs his intentions on the awarding of credits to home-makers and other carers for years spent on caring duties in circumstances that are not covered by legislation; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [26290/07]

I propose to take Questions Nos. 65, 66, 83, 98 and 104 together.

The most recent figures published by the Central Statistics Office for supplementary pensions coverage relate to the fourth quarter of 2005 and showed that 50.6% of women in employment had private or occupational pensions, a significant improvement on 2002 when 44.6% of women had such coverage. Based on these figures, we can estimate that there are approximately 475,000 women in employment with private or occupational pensions and 464,000 without such coverage. No statistics are available regarding pensions coverage for those outside the workforce.

The results of the Quarterly National Household Survey are useful in tracking the overall pension coverage rate, but there is a lack of qualitative data on people's attitudes to pensions and on the differences between male and female uptake levels. This was recognised in the national pensions review published by the Pensions Board in 2006 and a commitment was given by the board to do follow-up research.

The board is finalising its research on this matter and hopes to publish its findings by the end of the year, which will form the basis of the information sought in the questions. The research involves a comprehensive survey on pension uptake and the behaviours behind it. The survey is, to the knowledge of the board, the largest of its kind undertaken and will provide fresh data on pensions coverage and information to draw out the reasons contributing to below-average coverage rates among women.

Many women in the private and the public sectors left employment upon marrying because they were required to or it was the societal norm at the time. Women who left the workforce through the operation of the marriage bar were primarily public servants who were not insured for social welfare pension purposes. Their loss of pension rights relates more to their occupational positions rather than social welfare pension entitlements.

The Government is anxious to ensure that as many people as possible can be accommodated within the social welfare pensions system with due regard being paid to the contributory principle underlying entitlement to contributory payments and the need to ensure that resources are directed to those most in need. In the past ten years, means tests have been improved and qualifying conditions for contributory payments made easier.

I published the Green Paper on Pensions on 17 October. It includes a full discussion on the issues raised by the Deputies. To address these issues, the Green Paper covers a range of reforms, including the use of universal entitlements and backdating the home-makers scheme.

My Department is carrying out a technical review of the entire social welfare code to examine its compatibility with the Equal Status Act 2000, as amended. This will identify any instances of direct or indirect discrimination on any of the nine grounds under the Act, including gender, sexual orientation, marital status and family status, that are not justified by a legitimate social policy objective or where the means of achieving that objective are either unnecessary or inappropriate.

I thank the Minister for his reply. I appreciate that the report will contain some of the statistics I seek, but will it detail the age categories of women who take up pensions? It would help to inform the House as we proceed with the Green Paper's provisions.

I will probably be referred to the Green Paper, but does the Minister intend to take steps to incentivise the uptake of personal pensions among women, particularly younger women? The Minister shares my concern regarding the large number of female employees in low-paid employment, such as in hotels and restaurants. They comprise a vulnerable category. Are there plans to target such employees through advertisements or promotions? May I ask another question?

I will revert to the Deputy.

The Pensions Board has been doing what the Deputy has suggested. She identified a key sector in which pension penetration is poor, namely, general hospitality. Many women are employed in that sector and the awareness and uptake of pensions therein is among the poorest by a long way.

The report of the Pensions Board will be the largest and most fundamental of its kind and is due by the end of the year. It will consider all pension issues, including specific issues relating to women. These matters are also addressed in the Green Paper, which must form part of the debate during the coming months.

I compliment those involved in drafting the Green Paper because it is an excellent document, but some of the pressing pension issues will be deferred for a minimum of one year or, in all likelihood, longer. We cannot afford that.

The Minister accepts that there is a specific problem in respect of women, as nearly 90% of women working in catering have no supplementary pensions. Does the Minister accept that, from a policy perspective, the reliance on tax-based pension schemes will not do much to help people in these categories of employment? Does he accept that the current system of tax relief given at the top rate up to a substantial limit militates against the women in question and other people on low incomes or who have taken time away from the workforce to perform caring duties? From a policy perspective, there has been no equity to date in the approach to tax relief.

The situation is more complex than that and I would not accept that we are putting everything on the long finger. In recent years, investment in the National Pensions Reserve Fund has been significant and innovative. Many European countries would like to do the same. The investment in the social welfare system and the increase in the non-contributory pension in recent years have been significant.

The Deputy addressed precisely the complexity of the points raised in the Green Paper, namely, how to deal with the issues in the long term. I do not have the answers with me. I have a number of ideas, but I must interact with the social partners and all of the stakeholders in the system. I worry that everyone will approach the debate with vested interests, namely, to pay as little as possible and leave the problem for someone else. If that is the approach, we will get nowhere. The debate must be comprehensive and get buy-in from trade unions, employers, the financial markets and the State. Only in that context can we address specific issues. For example, not only is there a poor take-up of pensions in the hospitality and tourism sectors in which many women are employed, but the level of pensions awareness therein is one of the lowest.

I wish to allow a number of Deputies to contribute.

The Pensions Board has embarked on this campaign. The awareness of pensions has risen dramatically in the past number of years and will continue to do so.

I am mindful of the Minister's previous response in respect of targeting those most in need. In this context, does he not agree that the current tax incentives surrounding pension provision are skewed in the interests of those who are able to afford pensions or are the most well off, with a resultant significant cost to the Exchequer, and that they are ineffective policy instruments in terms of addressing the needs of the lowest paid workers, many of whom are women?

Is the Minister mindful of the average earnings of women? They are some 15% less than their male counterparts across the board. In terms of pension provision for those most in need and for the greatest swathe of women workers, does the Minister agree the current policy of open-ended tax incentives, which is certainly the case for those in the most well off sector, has not served us well?

Incentives through the tax system are a legitimate part of a package of measures to encourage people to take up pensions. We need to get many more people to take up pensions, particularly young people joining the jobs market. I have said this publicly and clearly. People must see a pension as an asset and as desirable as owning one's own home. The SSIA scheme was a specific type of programme and would not solve a person's pension requirements for 25 or 30 years, so it is not the answer. However, the SSIA scheme demonstrated that if one makes something clear and tangible to people and allows them to see their asset, they are more likely to participate in a scheme. The question is how we can bridge the gap in people's understanding of their pension needs, get them to invest and help them view a pension as a mobile asset. If people change jobs, that pension must be a mobile asset belonging to them. That is one of the issues we must address in the debate surrounding the Green Paper.

As the Minister said, this is a complex issue and there are many problems, especially concerning women. I refer to farming——

A questions please, Deputy.

Yes. Is the Minister examining the situation whereby farmers' wives have been carrying on the business of farming, while in many cases the farm is taxed only in the name of the husband? This must be addressed. Does the Minister have a figure regarding the number of women dependants involved in the pension scheme who were forced to give up their jobs in earlier years? The Minister recently said 47,000 people were on non-contributory social welfare pensions but 30,000 of those were women. How many of those were forced out of jobs? Self-employed people need to be dealt with and properly advised. Is the Department making any effort to do that?

There are no statistics available on those affected by the public service marriage bar. However, the requirement to leave work on marriage also applied in many private sector areas, where it was customary. The Department estimates that approximately 30,000 women do not receive support through the social welfare system in their own right or as qualified adults.

Regarding farming, at the launch of this Green Paper I made it clear that we cannot begin this debate on an exclusive basis. It must be inclusive so that all elements in society must be included in the debate.

What about the self-employed?

All workers, self-employed and PAYE, who join the jobs market at 18, 19 or 22 years of age must participate and be accounted for in the overall context of how we will deal with pensions as a society over the next 30 or 40 years. As we know, the starting age is increasing while the retirement age is decreasing, which means we are being squeezed at both ends of the scale.

We are fortunate that this window, albeit short, to deal with this is available to us, unlike the UK, Germany and other countries where the demographics have changed significantly to the rates we have. We have six people working to support each pensioner, but within 40 years that will change to almost one to one. Those entering the jobs market now will be in that position in 40 years' time.

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