The first issue that arises is that of security of supply. In this regard, the world has had several warning shots, including in 1973 and 1979, and many others since. However, we are now reaching a turning point. It is generally considered that we have reached our peak in terms of oil production. At a minimum, it is increasingly clear that all the easy large deposits have been discovered. One will note from press reports that this issue is high on the agenda for the forthcoming G8 seminar in St. Petersburg.
We fully support the recommendations made in the joint committee's seventh report. However, we ask that it recognise that measures such as the use of alternative fuels or renewables are, to a certain extent, limited in their effect for the reasons set out in our paper. Similarly, liquefied natural gas, although it makes an important contribution, remains an import. The ultimate security lies in our own resources produced under our own control, for which there is no substitute. In the circumstances it is of crucial importance that exploration for indigenous oil and gas is encouraged and supported.
In this context, we note and thank the committed for its support for the development of the Corrib field. In the absence of further discoveries, this will only provide temporary relief. The graph on page 3 of our document shows that in the absence of further discoveries, we will be back in the same position as today by 2013 or 2014, importing a similar proportion of our gas. We were somewhat puzzled that there was no reference in the committee's report to the necessity to go beyond Corrib and encourage further exploration and development.
In addition to security of supply, there are considerable other benefits, for example, price. People frequently perceive the way in which gas or oil is sold as the market price, which is correct, but it is only part of the story. What we pay for our gas currently is market price plus import costs and the cost of transporting the gas into Ireland. If, on the other hand, we find so much gas that we are in the happy position of exporting it, the margin a producer here will get is market price less the cost of transporting it. Therefore, some large finds would tend to depress the price in the local market. A simple analogy is if a farmer was selling cattle at a fair and there were more buyers than sellers, the price would go up, but if there were more sellers than buyers, the price would go down. It is exactly the same in the oil and gas market.
Gas will bring growth opportunities. We only have to look at what has happened in Cork in terms of process industry to see what can be done. We have no doubt that the new north-west gas pipeline being built by Bord Gáis will bring similar opportunities and prosperity to the north-western area. We also note the recommendation of the joint committee in this regard.
The industry spends a great deal of money. It has spent in excess of €2 billion at current values exploring offshore Ireland and we have a specific policy of affording full and fair opportunity to Irish suppliers of goods and services. We work with FÁS to maximise employment opportunities. I have just returned from the Fish Ireland exhibition in Killybegs. Five or six years ago, anybody going to Killybegs to the Fish Ireland exhibition would have had to park one or two miles out the road and walk into town. This year people could drive into Killybegs and park on the Diamond because, for practical purposes, fishing is dead. There are 15 or 16 big modern trawlers tied up in Killybegs and they will remain tied up until October. It is the work related to servicing offshore operations that is keeping Killybegs going, as can be seen clearly and as is acknowledged by everybody there.
In Cork, Marathon has a big spend. Lansdowne Oil & Gas, formerly Ramco, spent approximately €14 million developing the Seven Heads field which provided much employment. During construction the Corrib project will generate in excess of 700 jobs in the north Mayo area and provide at least 50 skilled long-term jobs. This is the good news.
The difficult side is that Ireland remains a high risk area of operation. Geology is a problem. We have drilled in the order of 150 exploration and appraisal wells to make four commercial finds, which is a poor record by international standards. Wood MacKenzie, which is based in Edinburgh and is probably the foremost international petroleum consultant in this part of the world, placed Ireland at 49th out of 57 countries it reviewed for success in exploration. Exploration is also a high cost environment. I have listed the factors that make it high cost. Wood MacKenzie lists Ireland as 51 out of 57 in terms of cost.
From the point of view of risk and cost, exploration is a difficult area and this is reflected in the number of companies which are active offshore Ireland. In 1998 our organisation had 16 members. We fell as low as six about two years ago, but now we are up to eight. The recent Rockall licensing round attracted only two applicants. While there was some improvement in the Slyne-Erris round, similar rounds in Norway attracted 44 and 99 applicants respectively. Of the eight licences which were issued in 1995, all have been surrendered and of the 11 licences issued in 1997, ten have been returned.
The Kinsale Head field was discovered in 1972 and we had to wait 24 years before we made another significant discovery, namely, Corrib in 1996. Now, another ten years later we have not yet made a further discovery, with the exception of the small Seven Heads field. Therefore, it is not surprising that a degree of pessimism has developed, but we remain optimistic. There have been numerous shows of oil and gas, technology is improving, petroleum prices seem set to stay at current levels and our members are working hard to try and persuade companies to commit exploration funds. We acknowledge the work which has been done by the petroleum affairs division of the Department of Communications, Marine and Natural Resources in trying to market exploration offshore Ireland and we acknowledge the support of the Minister, Deputy Noel Dempsey, not least in launching our document in recent weeks. These factors have led to some renewal of interest in areas which were previously considered less attractive and have increased the probability of further commercial discoveries. While some caution is necessary, undue pessimism is not.
Having regard to all of the foregoing, we invite the joint committee to recognise the validity of the current policy of encouraging exploration offshore Ireland.