I thank the committee for giving the IFA the opportunity to make this presentation. My area of responsibility is the renewable energy sector and the biomass and renewable transport bio-fuels area. My colleague, Mr. Seán O'Leary, Munster vice president, is responsible for the areas of microgeneration and anaerobic digestion and Mr. Pat Hennessy, IFA forestry chairman, covers the forestry area.
The economy, after a period of growth, rapidly deteriorated in 2008 and fell into recession mid-way through the year. There have been many contributory factors to this decline. The country faces a period of uncertainty. However, it is clear that economic recovery will depend on revitalising and expanding the productive sector. Renewable energy production offers an opportunity to expand employment, particularly in rural areas, while addressing energy security concerns.
In the midst of economic downturn Ireland faces a significant challenge in meeting environmental commitments on renewable energy generation and emission reduction. The current EU proposal is that 16% of all energy consumed in Ireland must come from renewable sources by 2020. In addition, under the Kyoto Protocol, reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are required by 2012. Ireland has a target of 62.8 million tonnes of CO2 emissions by 2012, with further reductions required by 2020, under EU proposals. In 2007, Ireland's renewable energy use was approximately 3.3% of the total while emissions were 68.2 million tonnes of CO2 , or 13% above the 2012 target. The target has been set by Ireland through the EU proposal that 16% of all energy consumed should come from renewable sources by 2020. However, the energy White Paper has set its own independent targets for renewable energy consumption, resulting in an overall target of 18% by 2020. The White Paper targets are set out in detail in the printed presentation, copies of which have been circulated to members of the committee. The target for use of renewables in electricity is 40% by 2020 while the achievement in 2007 was 9.4%. The target for heat is 12% by 2020 while 3.4% was achieved in 2007. The transport bio-fuel target is 10% by 2020 while we achieved 0.5% in 2007. Our target for 2020 is 18% and, so far, we have achieved 3.3%.
In recent years, there has been growth in the production and use of renewable energy. In 2007, the percentage of energy consumed from renewable sources was 3.3% of the total. Utilisation remains low, particularly of bio-fuels in transport. In 2007, only 0.5% of total transport fuels used were bio-fuels. Through the efficient utilisation and management of the natural resources available, the agriculture and forestry sector has significant and positive contributions to make towards the achievement of Ireland's target for renewable energy and emission reductions. The sector has particular potential for the generation of renewable energy. Managed correctly, renewable energy production will not adversely affect food security or cause volatility in food prices.
Mr. O'Leary and Mr. Hennessy will expand on the opportunities that microgeneration, anaerobic digestion and forestry have to offer. The IFA proposes that, to maximise the contribution the sector can make, support structures must be put in place to facilitate and encourage renewable energy production. In addition, a number of overarching issues must be resolved to create an equitable policy environment within which the contribution of agriculture and forestry is actively measured and recognised. Bioenergy is a new market, requiring investment in infrastructure, specialised equipment and training to create a viable market. An integrated programme of funding is needed to create confidence in the supply chain.
Biomass offers farmers the greatest opportunity in the context of a renewable electricity target. To achieve a 30% co-firing target alone will demand an estimated 1 million tonnes of biomass per annum. If the 2020 target of 8 MW was to be achieved using specialised energy crops it would demand in excess of 400,000 hectares and there would need to be a significant increase in biomass resources.
The White Paper has set out a minimum heat penetration target of 5% for renewables by 2010, increasing to 12% by 2020. Taking into account the 30% co-firing target in peat stations by 2015, the tables which we have provided to members give an indication of the land area required if specialised renewable energy crops are to be used to satisfy these targets. The dramatic growth in emissions for the transport sector, allied with our increased dependence on import energy, has been a key driver behind the EU transport bio-fuel targets. The potential of road transport bio-fuels to abate greenhouse gases has been widely contested. However, EU research has clearly demonstrated that employing up-to-date technology and efficient design of modern processing facilities, using crop residues to produce combined heat and power, will achieve greenhouse gas savings of up to 90% from ethanol and wheat, 60% from pure plant oil, PPO, and 40% from biodiesel from oilseed rape.
The limited amount of land currently available for feedstock will be a factor. However, moving to second and third generation will substantially increase feedstock and it is critical that first generation technologies are built in order to allow a seamless move to newer technologies when they become commercially viable.
The energy White Paper has a transport bio-fuels target of 5.75% market penetration by 2010, increasing to 10% by 2020, as shown on the graph. The main production of indigenous bio-fuels has been of pure vegetable oil from oilseed rape, some has come from bio-diesel and small volumes of ethanol have been produced from whey. No commercial production of ethanol from energy crops has happened as yet. Oilseed rape production reduced from 7,000 hectares in 2007 to 4,000 in 2008, a dramatic increase in world cereal prices being the key influencing factor in this swing. It is likely that there will be a bigger swing to oilseed rape production in the medium term but prices will be a key determining factor. Oilseed prices tend to follow crude oil prices.
The bio-fuels mineral oil taxation relief is a bio-fuel excise relief package, valued at €200 million and targeted at placing 163 million litres of bio-fuels on the Irish market by 2010. This represents a 2.2% penetration of the transport market and would abate 1.2 million tonnes of CO2 over the lifetime of the scheme. Ireland's transport sector recorded a 7.2% growth in energy consumption during 2006 and a similar 7.1% in energy related emissions, making it the fastest growing sector in this regard, with €5.5 billion spent on oil products to fuel the transport sector. The road sector is 99% dependent on imported fuel and oil freight transport is the biggest contributor to growth in energy use.
Using first-time technologies, a 5.75% substitution rate represents a significant opportunity for farmers. It is estimated that every 1% substitution of road transport fuel will require approximately 32,000 hectares of tillage and production on 1,800 hectares to achieve the energy target in the White Paper. The use of recoverable vegetable oil and beef tallow would reduce the requirement by approximately 20,000 hectares. There are considerable opportunities in the renewable energy sector.
My two colleagues will now present their papers on micro wind energy generation, anaerobic digestion and forestry.