I thank the Cathaoirleach for inviting us to join the committee today. With regard to the electricity market and pricing, at our previous committee hearing, we noted our intent to share with the committee an update on key retail market indicators following quarter 1 of 2023. I will outline some of the key retail trends identified. With regard to prices, falling wholesale prices have resulted in retail prices remaining stable since December 2022, but still at significantly elevated levels compared to pre-2021. Approximately 20% of domestic electricity customers and 22% of domestic gas customers switched supplier in the year November 2021 to October 2022. However, I will provide a clarification on these figures. They include customers who switched suppliers as a result of supplier-of-last-resort events. They automatically moved to a new supplier as a consequence of that supplier exiting the market. What we have done as a clarification is remove those automatic switches to see the normal or self-selecting switches. Those figures are 16% of domestic electricity customers and 18% of domestic gas customers. We felt it was important to reflect the real and supplier-of-last-resort figures. I apologise for not clarifying that in the text, but we felt it was important to provide it. Switching figures have since declined by more than 50% in both electricity and gas, from their peak rates in September 2022. That figure is not affected by the supplier-of-last-resort events. It coincides with the decline or slowing in supplier price increases.
On customer arrears, the number of domestic electricity customers in arrears remains below pre-Ukraine war levels. The Government emergency electricity credits have had a positive impact on electricity arrears, with the level of arrears reducing. However, they have tended to rebound quickly to pre-credit levels after the application. The impact of the credit has also had less of an observable impact more recently, perhaps due to contributing factors, including high prices elevated by winter consumption, and the extended moratorium on disconnections. We collated the figures as a full quarter 1 update following the issuance of our opening statement, and these are the figures the committee received yesterday. We will continue to provide those on a quarterly basis in a timely fashion.
The moratorium on disconnections ended on 31 March. The CRU does not expect to see any marked rise in disconnections given the thorough process suppliers must follow, and the fact that suppliers will not disconnect engaging customers. The commission is awaiting the data for customer disconnections for April 2023, and we will provide this to the committee in due course.
The CRU remains very concerned at the impact of high energy prices on households and businesses. The recent reductions in wholesale gas and electricity prices are welcome, and we have seen recent announcements by some suppliers of price reductions in certain customer segments. However, it is important to note that the wholesale gas prices remain at more than two times the historic norms. Due to supplier hedging, the majority of customers were protected from the worst impacts of the volatility and extremely high prices of 2022 when wholesale gas prices peaked at ten times the historic norms. However, the same hedging contracts and practices that protected customers can mean that the pass-through of wholesale gas price reductions to the retail market are not seen for a period of time. While the commission notes that hedging practices are likely to be significantly different across suppliers, we continue to encourage all suppliers to reduce prices as soon as possible.
We note recent coverage of Irish retail prices. The Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland, SEAI and EUROSTAT publish comprehensive EU electricity and gas price comparison data, in line with a methodology established by EU law. These are the price comparisons that the CRU considers to be authoritative. Using these comparisons, over the years leading up to 2021, Irish household electricity prices, in the consumption bands most relevant to Ireland, have been at or close to the euro area average. However, the high wholesale gas prices noted above had a disproportionate impact on the Irish market, with analysis by the EU Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators, ACER highlighting that peripheral energy markets such as Ireland, which have a higher dependency on gas in their power generation mix, as well as relatively lower levels of interconnection, were hit particularly hard by these higher gas prices.
The CRU continues to monitor the market and is also reviewing the effectiveness of the enhanced consumer protection measures we have put in place over the recent winter months. The commission will continue to encourage suppliers to pass through price reductions as soon as possible, while at the same time preparing for the winter ahead so Irish customers are protected. The commission is also engaging in a review of the supplier of last resort, SOLR process, following the first, second and third ever SOLR events arising between June and October 2022. This illustrates the impact of the volatility in the wholesale global gas markets, which made it commercially unviable for some suppliers to remain in the Irish retail market.
The review will include scenario planning should more suppliers exit the market. The CRU is seeking learnings from these market exits regarding the transition of consumers to the suppliers of last resort, and also the costs associated with these events. The commission will conduct its annual review of the retail market to evaluate the trends and behaviours in the marketplace to assist in any potential regulatory response. Following a request at our most recent appearance before the committee, we have also separately provided an information memo on hedging in the single electricity market. We would like to invite the committee to review this document, and would welcome the opportunity to meet with any committee members who may wish to discuss it in more detail.
The committee has also asked for an update on the large energy user, LEU rebalancing process. As noted at our most recent appearance before the committee, the CRU has been engaging with ESB Networks, ESBN, following the identification of an administrative error in their implementation of this Government policy over the duration of its delivery. The CRU is currently engaging in a review of ESBN’s initial submission on the quantitative assessment of the error to fully identify the impact on consumer bills across all of the distribution tariff groups affected by the error. As part of the revenue and tariff determination process for 2023 and 2024, the CRU is also exploring the reconciliation options available. The commission intends that the full error amount is returned to domestic customers, and any other affected customers, within the single 2023-24 tariff year. It is important to identify the bill impacts for the range of consumers involved, where there is an applicable revenue recovery. The commission has just received the ESBN 2023-24 revenue submission, and is working through this to determine the allowed revenue for 2023-24.
We are also engaging with ESBN to identify mitigation options to prevent any potential inaccuracies or errors in the future. A stand-alone information paper, setting out quantitative assessment, reconciliation approach, indicative consumer impact and mitigation measures will be drafted for publication in August 2023, in parallel with the revenue and tariff decision for 2023-24. As noted, the CRU will be seeking to redistribute the excess tariff quantum to consumers through the tariff mechanism, in as short a time as possible. This is part of an annual tariff setting process, which is not subject to public consultation. The CRU welcomes any feedback the committee may have on this or any other matter in the discussion.
Regarding active consumers, the commission notes to the committee the progress with regard to smart metering and active consumers. In excess of 1.2 million smart meters have now been installed in Ireland, with the ESB customer portal now providing access for consumers to their data in approximately 85% of cases, with this percentage increasing over time. We currently have more than 160,000 consumers availing of smart data services, and close to 80,000 consumers on smart tariffs. We note that for the majority of suppliers, the estimated annual bills for smart services tariffs are now better value for consumers than the traditional 24-hour tariffs, and that there are continued positive trends on the competitiveness of these tariffs.
Smart meters, and more active consumers, will remain a critical part in a secure, low-carbon transition, where consumers benefit from our deployment of renewables and a more flexible power system. Critical to this transition is the ability of a range of stakeholders to have access to, at an appropriate level, the data collected by smart meters. Further strengthening of legislation in this regard could help to provide greater value for consumers in our low-carbon transition.
On decarbonisation, the CRU has recently announced a further round of connections in 2023 for renewable and other generators to continue the roll-out of renewable energy in Ireland, including a dedicated pathway for community projects. The commission will also engage in a consultation in the coming months regarding the future of generator connections policy, with a view to aligning with upcoming EU requirements in relation to swifter delivery of the consenting, licensing and deployment of renewable energy.
The CRU has also recently published our decision on the regulatory treatment of offshore connection assets, in advance of the recent offshore renewable energy support scheme, ORESS auction, providing clarity to offshore wind developers on the funding and ownership arrangements for connection assets. The commission also finalised the competition ratio for the ORESS auction, aligning the need for competitive forces within the auction to protect consumers, while facilitating significant levels of deployment in advance of 2030.
The CRU welcomes the recent publication of the Government review relating to the North-South interconnector, which now allows this project to proceed, and Irish consumers to enjoy the security of supply, decarbonisation, and cost reduction benefits of this critical piece of infrastructure. The commission also notes the significant progress being made on the Greenlink electricity interconnector to the Great Britain, GB market, and the progress being made on the Celtic electricity interconnector to France. The commission further notes the evolving policy framework on interconnection, led by the Department of the Environment, Climate and Communications, DECC. This will set the scene for future electrical interconnection and will allow Irish renewable energy to find a market as we move from a position of primarily serving our own demand, to a position where we begin to export ever more renewable electricity.
Demand-side flexibility will play a central role in Ireland’s decarbonisation, while supporting both security of supply and providing greater value to consumers. While the policy framework for smaller-scale consumers is relatively well-formed, on the basis of smart meters, smart tariffs and the provision of value to consumers relating to their demand flexibility, the framework for larger-scale consumers is far less well-formed. With a target of 30% electricity demand flexibility by 2030 enshrined within the climate action plan 2023, which notes a need for large energy users to contribute more to this target, a specific action for the CRU is to develop a demand-side strategy, and this will be a key activity for the commission in the coming period. With a focus on the decarbonisation of our economic growth, aligning our national ambitions for both a growing and decarbonising economy, this will involve significant public consultation and an initial focus on those aspects of demand which are within the remit of the CRU, such as connections policy and pricing signals through network tariffs. However, we note that to deliver the level of demand flexibility required to match our decarbonisation ambition, a whole-of-government and multi-agency approach will be needed to ensure those businesses providing growth in our economy are appropriately incentivised to be more flexible in their demand.
On the market revenue cap legislation, the CRU welcomes the committee's scrutiny of the legislation relating to the European Commission emergency measure regarding a market cap on revenues in the electricity sector. The commission awaits the outcome of the final detailed legislative proposal but is securing the necessary support to be able to follow through on the requirements and ensure that, in line with the requirements and detail of Government policy, the surplus revenues identified by the policy will be collected in a timely fashion.
With regard to our organisation, the CRU continues to recruit resources in line with our sanction for a total of 196 staff. This represents an increase of 60% from the end of 2021. We note that since we submitted our resource request, Ireland’s low-carbon ambitions have increased, energy security and pricing crises have imposed new challenges to the organisation, and the potential for additional functions to be added to the organisation continues. With this in mind, we are engaging in a short organisational review to understand what additional capacity and expertise we may need on top of the already sanctioned positions. Ireland currently has a very tight labour market, with a particular shortage being experienced in the energy sector. The CRU will continue to develop our organisation to protect the consumer interest in energy, water and energy safety over the coming years, and welcomes the support of the committee in this regard.
That concludes our opening statement and we are happy to take questions from the committee.