I would like to start with a quotation from Mr. Peter Mandelson. He said: "The EU's goal [...] remains using trade to promote economic development, build regional markets and help lift people out of poverty." It is worthwhile examining whether what he has said is being lived up to in reality. Another statement to match it is the verdict of the Financial Times on the conclusion of the interim economic partnership agreements at the end of last year: that the European Union had tried stuffing the deals with familiar excess baggage, including rules on foreign investment, and used the threat of a less generous scheme to dragoon reluctant countries into signing. That seems to be a very accurate description of what happened at the end of last year.
I would like to briefly look at some of the specifics of the agreements. What do the agreements ask developing countries to do? One thing they ask them to do is to eliminate 80% of their tariffs vis-à-vis the European Union, that is, vis-à-vis a highly developed, rich block of economies. What will the impact of this vast unprecedented opening be on developing countries, 39 of which are among the poorest in the world? They are the 39 least developed countries and include several of Ireland’s partner priority aid countries. The first impact is job losses. When a country opens up its markets to a developed economy with competitive industries overseas, there are job losses. The second is revenue losses. Many developing countries rely heavily on trade taxes as a form of government revenue simply because they are easy to generate. If they are removed, it removes some government revenue. Some estimates of the costs of this which we have seen include the fact that African countries are expected to lose $359 million per year. Côte d’Ivoire, one of the countries that initialled an interim partnership agreement, is likely to lose an estimated $83 million per annum, equivalent to its current health spending for 500,000 people. We are talking about very significant losses of jobs and revenue.
Part of the trade agreements goes beyond what is necessary under WTO agreements. The Commission has sought to maximise its position vis-à-vis the very poorest countries and included a whole range of measures which have no standing under WTO rules and there is no requirement that they be included. It has, therefore, insisted that developing countries stand their trade taxes still - that they do not raise them in the short term - as well as eliminating them in the long term. It has also asked for most favoured nation clauses which means that the European Union will automatically gain the same privileged access that any other country gains to the markets of ACP countries. That removes the incentives for ACP countries in doing trade deals with developing countries. That is a barrier to development.
Alongside this, the European Union has insisted, also with no legal requirements to do so, on agreements on investment, services and intellectual property, among other matters. What will this mean?
In the area of intellectual property those members who are familiar with the World Trade Organisation talks in the mid-1990s will know how badly the developing world emerged from them. For example, many developing countries have experienced problems with access to medicines as a result of intellectual property trade rules but the European Union now proposes to extend these rules across the ACP countries. Their very nature is to raise the cost of technology and make it more difficult to access. For developing countries, it means they will find it more difficult to bridge the digital divide, use on-line educational materials and share seed technology. We are all aware of the crisis in food prices and the need to boost food production. Ultimately, it may affect any number of technologies for developing countries.
The European Union is looking to liberalise services in developing countries. Past experience tells us that this often leads to a diminution in services. For example, the International Monetary Fund has shown that liberalisation of financial services has led to a diminution in access to credit, with less available as a result of opening up the market to foreign service providers. The price of services in developing countries has risen since they liberalised their markets and opened them up to foreign investors. Oxfam has seen water charges escalate by up to 600% in some developing countries once liberalisation occurs.
The European Union has sought to impose investment agreements on developing countries. What does that mean? Investment agreements rule out a number of strategies that other developing countries such as east Asian countries have used successfully. They rule out tools that have been successfully used to develop economies. Included in that are joint ownership schemes which provide for technology transfer to build up local skills. Investment agreements will also open developing countries to being sued by foreign investors who feel they are negatively affected by local regulations. This will affect the ability of developing countries to regulate foreign investors, with huge implications for public policy.
The European Commission has stated investment agreements are good for regional development but they split up regions in the developing world. For example, Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire which are part of the west African region are now in separate trade agreements to the rest of the region, which acts against the supposed rationale for the agreements in the first place. This has happened across several regions of the Pacific and elsewhere in Africa.
Mr. Hans-Joachim Keil, Associate Minister of Trade in Samoa, said at the Council of ACP Trade Ministers at the end of last year: "Ministers deplore the enormous pressure that has been brought to bear on the ACP states by the European Commission to initial trade arrangements." The Foreign Minister of the Cook Islands, Mr. Wilkie Rasmussen, in reference to negotiations held last year, said:
We suffered the indignity of the rudeness of the European Commissioner, Mr. Peter Mandelson, on all the Pacific islands. In my eyes and those of other people he threw tantrums to get us into positions where we would agree to negotiate with him but we were absolutely railroaded by him in the negotiations, which drove a wedge into the Pacific Islands' sense of working together.
We have very serious problems with the process of negotiation in terms of the pressure developing countries were put under. Many who had already signed or initialled agreements faced the prospect of higher tariffs at the end of last year. The European Commission needs to undertake a serious review of its approach. Ireland can play a useful part as a partner for some of the countries involved in the negotiations. We hope the committee can urge the Minister of State, Deputy Peter Power, to speak to the Commission with a view to allowing developing countries to renegotiate those deals that are harmful to development, to allow the maximum flexibility in further negotiations and to allow for a review and an impact assessment of what has previously been agreed. While I may have taken more time than I should have, I hope it was enlightening.