This motion has been a considerable time on the Order Paper. It has been under discussion on two occasions already. It should be remembered that it was first introduced by Senator Tunney on 7th December. I should like, first of all, to draw attention to what actually is proposed in the motion, because I had a feeling that when Senator Counihan moved his amendment he was not quite clear as to what was proposed. You will observe that, at the outset, emphasis is laid on the importance to the community of the agricultural industry and that, then, the motion goes on to claim that the economic interests of the country demand that the maximum number of persons should be gainfully employed; and that, in order to do that, it is proposed to assure to the farmer an adequate remuneration, and to the agricultural worker a reasonable standard of living. Now, that is what is proposed, and I doubt whether anybody who thinks seriously about the position is going to argue that these proposals are not desirable. I do not think it will be argued, even, that they are not practicable. I think they are.
Senator Counihan offered two objections to the motion. He said that, so far as stock was concerned, the Minister or the Government would not accept it. Now, that is a most extraordinary contention, coming from Senator Counihan. I have often heard the epithet "Yes-men" being applied to certain people, but I did not know until Senator Counihan moved his amendment, that he was a "Yes-man" to the Minister for Agriculture. His second objection was that the cattle trade does not like this. That is not an overwhelming or overpowering objection, however, because I think that the cattle trade would not represent more than one-tenth of 1 per cent. of those engaged in agriculture or in the cultivation of the soil of this country. As against the views of those people, I should like to consider the position of the small farmers, or even the big farmers, and the agricultural workers, who must derive their livelihood from the soil of this country. The small farmers and their relatives, working holdings under 30 acres, along with the agricultural labourers, total 376,000, or almost 60 per cent. of all the people engaged in agriculture, and I suggest that their interests are bound up very closely with the policy set out in this motion.
It is an important consideration to bear in mind that five out of every eight men gainfully employed in this country are engaged in agriculture or in the industries ancillary to agriculture. Those are the considerations that must be uppermost in our minds when we come to consider whether it is good national policy to accept the suggestions put forward in this motion.
One of the first considerations we must have regard to is the fact that agriculture is in a very precarious condition. If the situation in the next two or three years were to develop on the same lines as after the war in 1918, the agricultural economy of the country might very well collapse. As a matter of fact, while Senator Counihan was speaking here on the 7th December, he drew attention to a published statement appearing in a newspaper two or three days old, showing the fall there had been in the price of cattle. I think there has been a recovery since then, but the fact that that fall in price took place at a time when there is need for more and more cattle and cattle products in what is spoken of as our external market, should be a warning to us that the situation is anything but rosy and that we have got to guard against another collapse in agriculture. I need hardly remind members of the House of the serious effect which agricultural depression has had on the country as a whole. It is not merely a question affecting the people of rural Ireland or the people in urban Ireland. It is a question which affects the whole population of the country. The population has been drifting away from the country for a century, very largely because conditions in rural Ireland were such that people were unwilling to tolerate them indefinitely. As was often said, the flower of the manhood and the womanhood of this country drifted away and found a living elsewhere which was denied to them at home.
Reference is frequently made to the considerable increase which has taken place in the volume of agricultural output during the last five or six years, but the figures which are quoted in that connection are fallacious. I think it is said that the figures for agricultural production in 1944 were somewhere in the neighbourhood of £95,000,000, but that figure is based on prices which have increased somewhere about 90 per cent. over those ruling in 1938. I have endeavoured to calculate from the different statistics issued by the Government the pre-war value of present-day production in agriculture. If the output of agriculture were valued at the 1929-30 prices these are the figures which would result. In 1939-40 the figure would be £62.1 million, for 1940-41, £58 million; for 1941-42, £60.2 million; for 1942-43, £58.5 million and for 1943-44, £54.2 million.
There has, therefore, been a drop of £8,000,000 in the output of agriculture between 1939-40 and 1943-44. I do not think Senator Counihan or any member of this House can be complacent in face of these figures. It seems to me as obvious as daylight that something has got to be done if, in the first place, we are even to maintain the stability of the agricultural production of the country—and to do that merely should not be our aim. It should certainly be our aim to double it. In my opinion the value of agricultural output in this country should be three times that at which it stood in 1940.
I wonder is it possible even in the conditions of emergency to increase the volume of agricultural output? I think it is. It has been done elsewhere in emergency conditions. I take this calculation from the Economist of the 21st October, 1944:—
"Despite a fall of 38 per cent. in the area under permanent grass, there was actually more cattle than before the war in Great Britain and the arable acreage of Great Britain increased by one-half since 1939."
These are results achieved in Great Britain during the period of the war. Bear in mind, the yield of our land, so far as it is cultivated, is not less than the yield of British soil.
The wheat yield in Britain in 1939, was 18.6 cwts. to the acre. It was increased in 1944, to 19.4 cwts. Or, take the figures for all grain crops. The figure for Great Britain in 1939 was 17.4 cwts. for the acre, and in 1944, 17.7 cwts., a slight increase over the war period in respect of the yield of all grain crops. But our figures in certain cases for output per acre are higher in respect of crops than those of Great Britain. This brings me to a point which is of material importance.
Where the productivity is low in this country is in respect of land under grass. The yield is desperately low in the country as a whole, and as it is a reasonably good average for the tilled land, it is obvious that the depression applies to about 8,000,000 acres of land which are under grass. Some time ago, I think it was in 1943, Doctor Henry Kennedy, in a lecture which he delivered at Cork, and which is published by his office with the title, "Agricultural Prosperity and Urban Employment", made this point as a comparison between our country and Denmark. He said:—
"The most striking fact of our agriculture is that production has remained almost stationary for the last 40 years. In contrast with the relative stagnation in this country, progress in Denmark is very striking. The agricultural acreage of that country is approximately two-thirds of the agricultural acreage of Eire, and the population is approximately 3,500,000. Since 1903, milch cows have increased by 65 per cent., total cattle by 70 per cent., the number of pigs has more than trebled, and the number of poultry more than doubled. The export of butter in 1937, was 2½ times the export in 1900, the export of bacon almost three times, and the export of pigs almost three times the figure for 1900. In 1937, the exports were: Butter, approximately, eight times; bacon, seven times; and eggs, five times the quantities from here. In 1925, the net value of the agricultural exports from Denmark was three times the value of the net exports from Eire."
That is a statement by Dr. Henry Kennedy. Bear in mind that the area of Denmark is only three-fifths of that of Eire, and that the population is roughly half a million more than ours.
To calculate the value of the agricultural output, I think the best way to approach it is to consider the value of the output per acre, and, if possible, to make a comparison between the figures for this country and those of other countries similarly situated. In 1929-30 the total value of the output per acre was £5; in 1943-44, it was roughly £8. If the production of 1943-44 were valued at 1929 prices the figure would be lower than it is. In 1938 the value of output per acre in Switzerland was £21, and in Denmark it was £15, as against our £5. If we could obtain the Danish figure of production—I am speaking as it will be understood of pre-war figures, the year 1938—our pre-war output would have been not £62,000,000 but £172,000,000.
Let me put these contrasts in another way. The Irish farmer feeds a family and a half in addition to his own. I would respectfully suggest that very many of these families are fed at a low level of subsistence. But the French and German farmer feeds 3½ families in addition to his own, while the Dutch and Danish farmer feeds four families in addition to his own. I think these contrasts are striking, and the point is that if we can establish our agricultural industry on progressive scientific lines, with ample finance for the farmer to procure technical equipment for his work, there is no reason I can see why we cannot multiply, by two at least, the present productivity of agriculture.
I gathered from Senator Counihan when he was speaking that he has an impression that the low output of agriculture is due largely to small farms. He talked enthusiastically about large farms of 700 and 800 acres, but the experiences of other countries do not confirm the view that large farms can give a bigger output, or indeed that they can be more profitable or useful economically to the country.