I will come back to that later. The tax induced differential of 3.5p in the pound as between North and South can probably be sustained on the vast majority, if not all, of the goods from those regions. In relation to petrol and drinks, we have been very careful. The main reason I kept excise duty on drinks and cigarettes this year was for Border reasons. I am very disappointed with Guinness who have broken ranks and who, because they believe it is an annual increase, have announced in the last few days that they are putting up their price by 2p. I got agreement from the city licensed vintners, the rural and city pubs and the trade generally. I did a deal with them. Guinness were part of that deal. I spent a long meeting in January discussing it. We made a deal, shook hands on it and Guinness were very much a part of that deal. The trade around the country voted on it and they voted on it in Dublin. Irish Distillers and Gilbeys, who were about to increase their price, pulled back and we had total agreement that there would be no increases in 1993 and, lo and behold, we reach the middle of May and for whatever reason — they said it was 12 months since their last increase — Guinness broke ranks.
The trouble is that as soon as one goes that way, the rest follow suit. I was hardly out from my office with the Guinness fax, on my way to complain bitterly to my colleagues, than I received a fax from every other company involved. Now we are back again on the whole merry-go-round. Is that the honour among the trade? I want to single out who has broken ranks. Guinness are a great company employing good people and so on, but how can they support this move? We were doing this mainly for the Border areas and for inflation generally. There was no increase in drinks, petrol or diesel in the Border areas. There was a reduction of VAT on bakery products and non-chocolate biscuits, which is very important. There is hardly a town in Ireland that does not have one or two bakeries. It is one of the areas where the small industry still survives. Some of them are only at the back of the confectionery shops, others are quite large, but they are there in great numbers and are huge employers.
I want to say also that Deputy Cox has correctly assessed the entire document. I do not want to claim credit for the brief but the Deputy got it absolutely right in his analysis of what the position is. We moved in a great number of areas from 21 per cent for confectioneries and 16 per cent which was the parking rate but was higher than the 15 per cent rate, as the Deputy explained and we brought all of those back to 12.5 per cent. The quid pro quo was that something had to be increased. As soon as you increase something all the focus is in the two or three areas.
I fully accept what Deputy Yates is doing. I am glad for the understanding that the cost to the Exchequer of £300 million is not something that I will lose a vote on because it is just down for explanatory purposes.
It is useful for us to reflect — Deputy Rabbitte did this recently — on what are the VAT rates around the community. In Belgium the rate is 19.5 per cent, Denmark, 25 per cent, Germany, 15 per cent. Greece, 18 per cent — here again I am talking about the standard rate — Spain, 15 per cent, France, 18.6 per cent, Ireland 21 per cent; Italy, 19 per cent, Luxembourg, 15 per cent, the Netherlands, 17.5 per cent, Portugal — there are still difficulties with their position because they apply an increase rate of 30 per cent but they have a rate of 16 per cent and of course the 30 per cent is now out of line — and the United Kingdom, 17.5 per cent.
I have outlined the areas of flexibility. A big factor in this — I do not want to raise this on the basis that I have come to any conclusions — is when you look at your budget flexibilities and, having been through two budgets, you go around the table looking to see where you can pick up the millions that can balance the exercise. I always come back to the zero rate items. I have to put myself in the position that as a Minister and TD I get something just under £60,000 a year. I am sure Deputy Rabbitte will tell me that in Tallaght there are people who are living on £3,000 a year and when they go into a shop to buy their packet of cornflakes they pay the same zero rate VAT as I do. For a whole lot of other items it is the same. My thinking is to look to these areas. Here you are caught between rock and a hard ball and you are looking at a range of items that are on the lower rate. I have not reached any conclusions on these matters but in what Deputies Cox and Yates are seeking, you have to look at these.
Any Miniser of any party in my position would have to start asking, on equity and employment grounds, if you really believe the arguments that people are putting to us. I have set up a working group on the clothing trade, which we are working with and I will deal with that later on. It has been very useful and I acknowledge their commitment. The group deal with fashion, the manufacturing end and all the other areas. People in the clothing area have actually told me they would rather the whole lot was 12.5 per cent, even though they set up this system with Revenue in 1984 about sizes and different rates of VAT. My mind boggles trying to follow this up and down. I have done this in great detail so it is a baptism of understanding. Forty per cent of consumption is either zero-rated or exempt and this means that the positive rates have to be much higher. Twenty per cent of the base rate is zero. I put that down for the reflection of the Committee, as I have done in a number of these matters.
Everybody has spoken about casual traders. I would like to say a few words about them. I accept that this has become a growing phenomenon over a long period. Deputy Finucane has outlined this correctly. With the introduction of the Single Market movement of goods between countries of the European Community it is no longer subject to the regular border controls which is where this starts. Members will recall that I signalled this very clearly in the discussion last year. Everybody thought it was a great idea but I knew this would happen.
The Revenue Commissioners are concerned that casual traders, whether established in another member state or here, are subject to the same VAT regime as other traders. Already this year the new powers we introduced last year when I was making these arguments have been successfully used by the Commissioners. One sector to which attention has been drawn today is the large public sales by casual traders in hotels, sports halls and other premises which are hired for the day. In every such case intervention by the Revenue Commissioners has meant that either the full VAT liability was successfully collected or that the sale was stopped. The Revenue Commissioners have shown me the Leinster Leader in which there is an announcement stating that such traders will be prosecuted.