The outturn figures for the previous year are important if a comparison is to be made but these are not available until some time the following year. I am sure the Department of Finance will comply fully. However, there are constraints in that if the debate was to be brought too far forward, there would be no comparative figures available.
I am pleased to appear before the committee to introduce the Estimates for 2004 for the finance group of Votes which now stands at 12. In 2003 the Houses of the Oireachtas were funded from a dedicated Vote. However, as members will be aware, with effect from 1 January this year these costs are paid directly from the Central Fund in accordance with the Houses of the Oireachtas Commission Act 2003. I will take the Vote for the Office of Public Works, Vote 10, later and have asked my secretary to circulate a copy of my opening remarks.
Excluding the provision for the Office of Public Works, the total for the finance group of Votes amounts to almost €739 million net. The three largest Votes are the Votes for the Office of the Revenue Commissioners which amounts to €328 million; superannuation and retired allowances which amounts to €229 million, and the Department of Finance which amounts to €127 million. Members of the committee have been provided by the Department with a background briefing on the Estimates which are presented today for its approval.
Before dealing with the individual Votes, I wish to make a few brief general comments about the economic background to the Estimates, in particular, the measures taken by the Government to manage and control public expenditure. When the Minister for Finance presented the Estimates for 2004 last November, he said they were prepared on the basis of improving the capacity of the economy in order that it would be well positioned to benefit from the expected international upturn; maintaining and creating employment, and improving Ireland's competitive position. Key elements of this strategy are the creation of a low inflation environment; keeping public spending increases in line with resources; keeping debt levels low; and planning and delivering a coherent investment strategy. Over the past two years the Government has kept a tight rein on spending and reduced the gap between the growth in public spending and the growth in revenue. Such a policy of prudent management was necessary to protect the significant economic gains we have made in recent years.
In 2003 the Government introduced revised expenditure management arrangements. These included the submission by the Minister for Finance of monthly reports to Government on emerging trends in the public finances. In addition, the current four largest spending Departments, the Departments of Education and Science; Health and Children; Social and Family Affairs, and Justice, Equality and Law Reform, submit similar reports every two months. For the past two years the Minister for Finance has published monthly profiles of voted spending to facilitate public understanding of monthly trends. These measures helped to ensure spending came in on target in 2003. I reiterate the Government's determination that the 2004 allocations will be strictly adhered to.
The need for continued restraint and ongoing strict management of spending is obvious in ensuring value for money for the record amounts of public expenditure in 2004. Spending growth must remain at a reasonable level in the medium term. As the Minister has said, this means that future annual public spending increases will have to be kept very close to this year's level. The Revised Estimates for 2004 provide €41.2 billion for gross total spending on services. This represents 35% of the value of the economy and is a significant level of investment.
One of the key areas where value for money is crucial is capital investment. Under the new rolling five year multi-annual capital envelopes announced in budget 2004, the Government has committed to keeping capital investment, to address the country's infrastructural needs, at 5% of GNP over the period 2004-08, in which total investment under the capital envelopes will be €33.6 billion, of which nearly €5.6 billion in Exchequer capital will be provided in 2004.
In what is a significant development Departments will be allowed under this new arrangement to carry over unspent Exchequer capital of up to 10% of voted capital from one year to the next. The new capital envelopes will facilitate better planning and management of capital programmes by Departments and agencies and will be complemented by the introduction of revised capital appraisal guidelines later this year which will ensure better value for money is secured in the delivery of capital programmes and projects.
The envelopes will be underpinned by a multi-annual capital investment framework agreement between the Department of Finance and each Department. These agreements will, among other matters, set out the objectives of the capital investment and requirements with regard to reporting of financial and physical progress on major projects and all capital programmes. It is intended that future public capital programmes will include more information on major projects and programmes when the capital envelopes are fully operational. This will improve accountability and Dáil consideration of the Estimates.
Up until the international slowdown took hold, a thriving economic climate had been created and we recorded one of the best economic performances in the world. From 1997 to 2002 Irish GDP grew by an average of 9%, compared to an average of about 2.5% in the European Union. The fruits of this economic success were put to good use. The taxation system has been significantly reformed, public services have been improved while provision for the future has also been made with the establishment of the national pensions reserve fund. The public finances have been placed on a sound footing while the general government debt level has been more than halved from 73% of GDP in 1996 to 32% in 2003, the second lowest in the European Union. We will continue with this approach. For 2004 the debt-GDP ratio is forecast to remain at 32% at year end. In 2003 our sound management of the public finances resulted in the general government balance recording a surplus of 0.2% for the year. This year a general government deficit of 1.1% of GDP is expected, as we continue with the high levels of infrastructural investment of recent years.
The days of double digit economic growth are over and Ireland is moving towards a more sustainable level of annual growth of 4% to 5%. A pick-up in the international environment has been evident for some months and this will benefit Ireland. We expect GDP growth of 3.3% and GNP growth of 3% per cent this year. Even at these lower rates of growth, we are well above the European average. The European Commission expects EU area growth of an average 2% this year. Our economic record is one of which we can be proud. It far outshines that of our main European partners.
Our relatively high level of inflation has been a cause for concern. However, it has halved over the past year to 1.7% in February, its lowest level in four years. The gap between Irish inflation and the EU average is close to its lowest level since the beginning of monetary union. However, we must continue to focus on competitiveness if we are to copperfasten the economic progress we have made so far and enhance our capacity to benefit fully from the international upturn. That is the reason we must ensure wage developments remain moderate. Otherwise we will lose competitiveness and jobs.
The 2004 Revised Estimates for Public Services published on 26 February 2004 reflect changes in voted expenditure announced by the Minister for Finance in the budget together with some adjustments to voted expenditure which arose thereafter. Total net voted spending in 2004 will be €32.9 billion, an increase of 7% on the projected outturn for 2003. Total gross voted expenditure in 2004 will be €41.2 billion. Gross spending includes additional spending from the social insurance fund and the national training fund and gives a fuller picture of the level of Government investment in services and infrastructure.
The Government is committed to spending such public resources as can be made available to provide for the welfare of our people and improve the productive capacity of the economy. Within the overall spending increase of €2.9 billion, or 7%, provided in the Revised Estimates Volume, the bulk of this was provided for the Department of Social and Family Affairs, an increase of €843 million or 8% over 2003. The provision for the Department of Health and Children increased by €777 million or 8%, while funding for the Department of Education and Science increased by €725 million or 12% over 2003.
In summary, some €2.3 billion or 82% of the total increase was allocated to the key spending areas that provide for social protection and inclusion. This shows our commitment to provide resources for key areas. In improving the productive capacity of the economy, 5% of GNP is being allocated for infrastructural development while there is record investment in the area of science and technology.
The Estimate for the Department of Finance for 2004 amounts to €127 million, a net increase of €36.8 million over the 2003 outturn. Within this Estimate, the following are the major programme expenditures for 2004: €16 million is provided to meet expenditure on EU co-funded programmes, including subhead N1 — peace programme, subhead N2 — North-South INTERREG, subhead O — Ireland-Wales and Transnational INTERREG, subhead JI — Structural Funds technical assistance and other costs, subhead J2 — technical assistance costs of regional assemblies. In addition to these co-funded programmes, €1.3 million is provided in subhead N3 for the Special EU Programmes Body.
Just under €9 million is provided to support the transition of the public service to an information society. This includes a sum of €7.33 million under subhead P in respect of information society expenditure. This subhead provides a central mechanism to support Civil Service wide e-government requirements and respond to opportunities under the Government's new action plan for the information society, New Connections, approved in March 2003. Subhead P represents 17% of overall information society funding of €42.2 million allocated across 12 departmental Votes for major projects, primarily in the areas of e-government and e-business. A further €1.59 million is provided under subhead R — procurement management reform — to provide funding for a range of public procurement management reform projects and initiatives, including electronic procurement at national and local level which will modernise the public procurement environment and deliver better value for money.
A sum of €12.3 million is being provided under subhead E — Ordnance Survey Ireland — in the form of grant-in-aid. The OSI was established as a body corporate under the Ordnance Survey Ireland Act 2001 with effect from 4 March 2002.
A sum of €7.6 million is included in subhead L for payments to the promoters of certain charitable lotteries which are national lottery funded. The scheme is a focused initiative intended to address the circumstances of those private charitable lotteries which have products in the marketplace in direct competition with the national lottery.
Following the announcement in the 2004 budget regarding the new decentralisation programme which allows for the relocation of 10,300 public servants from Dublin to 53 provincial locations, a capital provision of €20 million which can be used to meet any up-front investment costs associated with the new programme is provided for in subhead S.
Vote 9 relates to the Office of the Revenue Commissioners. The net Estimate, at €327.7 million, is up €25 million or 8% on the 2003 outturn. The bulk of the Estimate, €264.3 million, is for pay and allowances for some 6,465 staff.
Outside of salaries, the main increase in absolute and percentage terms is under subhead A7 — consultancy services. This increase is required to facilitate a major computerisation project which will replace the core PAYE system by October 2005 with an improved system which, among many other matters, will provide on-line facilities for PAYE taxpayers. I should emphasise that the expenditure in this area is not on consultants of the "advise and recommend" variety but on hiring high quality computer experts to assist Revenue staff in building the new system.
The Estimate also provides continued support for the Revenue on-line service commonly known as ROS. Since it commenced in September 2000 with three simple forms and a small number of customers, the service has rapidly expanded to cover most business tax returns. Last year more than 40% of all tax returns for the self-employed were filed electronically. Up to the end of 2003, over €12 billion in tax revenues had been paid through ROS. Currently, more than 80% of vehicle registrations are processed on-line. Members of the committee may also be interested to know that ROS recently won a prestigious top award which recognised it as a leading innovator in digital media.
I have concluded my opening statement. I thank the committee for its attention and commend the Estimates to it. I will try to supply any further information or clarification that members may request.