Tuesday, 11 December 2018

Questions (206)

Declan Breathnach

Question:

206. Deputy Declan Breathnach asked the Minister for Education and Skills the estimated number of children who will be in sixth class over the next number of years; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [52031/18]

View answer

Written answers (Question to Education)

Information on projected enrolments in 6th class (mainstream classes only) for the years 2018 - 2023 is available in the table below. It can be seen that 6th class enrolments are due to rise by more than 8,000 pupils between the latest actual figures available - 63,037 in 2017/2018 - and the peak in 2020/2021 (71,466) before beginning to reduce as the demographic peak moves through the education system.

Academic Year

6th Class Pupils

2017/2018 (actual)

63,037

2018/2019

67,055

2019/2020

70,070

2020/2021

71,466

2021/2022

71,032

2022/2023

71,042

2023/2024

68,311

Ireland's particular demographic make-up, with peaks in births in 1980 (74,064) and again 30 years later in 2009 (75,554), and a low point in 1994 with just 48,255 births, has led to large fluctuations in demand across all sectors of education from primary to post-primary to third level and these fluctuations are reflected in projected enrolments.

More detailed information on projections can be found in the full projections report available on the Department's website:

www.education.ie/en/Publications/Statistics/projections-of-full-time-enrolment-primary-and-second-level-2018-2036.pdf.