Dropout rates often do not factor in those who may have moved from one course to another within an institution. That is important to say because many of us will know somebody who might have started one degree or area of study and moved to another. The Deputy is right to highlight this issue.
Ensuring that students succeed and thrive in their higher educational journey is an important issue for me and my Department. The HEA publishes data on the proportion of students who do not progress from the first to the second year of higher education. The latest figures published by the HEA relate to students who commenced in 2020-21 and consider progression to the 2021-22 academic year. Over the past decade, the data showed a gradual downward trend in non-progression rates from 16% for new entrants in 2010-11 to 12%, which is the figure the Deputy referenced, for 2020-21.
However, the figures are a little skewed because, as he pointed out, the figure dropped to 9% for 2019-20. However, this was heavily impacted by the exceptional circumstances caused by the Covid pandemic. The non-progression rate subsequently reverted to the pre-pandemic level of 12% percent. In 2010-11, approximately 16% of students did not progress. That dropped to approximately 12%. It dropped to 9% for brief period and is now back at 12%, but that is still down from 16%.
However, my Department is aware of some reporting regarding an increase in student withdrawals. The latest data and analysis is not yet available to me. My understanding is that the figures on progression rates are scheduled to be released by the HEA in the first quarter of 2024.
It is important to say that where a student withdraws from third level education, it can be for a variety of reasons. Changes in the progression rates are rarely influenced by any one single factor. In fairness, as the Deputy acknowledged, in budget 2024, I have sought to try to support students by reducing the fees, increasing grants, extending the rental tax credit and securing an additional €60 million in core funding for universities.
This means more academic tutors, guidance, medical assistance, mental health supports and counselling and other support services that could be vital to many students.