Tairgim:—
Go ndeontar suim Bhreise ná raghaidh thar £28,750 chun íoctha an Mhuirir a thiocfaidh chun bheith iníoctha i rith na bliana dar críoch an 31adh lá de Mhárta, 1941, chun Pinsean Sean-Aoise (8 Edw. 7, c. 40; 1 & 2 Geo. 5, c. 16; 9 & 10 Geo. 5, c. 102; Uimh. 19 de 1924; Uimh. 1 de 1928; Uimh. 18 de 1932; agus Uimh. 26 de 1938); chun Pinsean do Dhaill (Uimh. 18 de 1932, agus Uimh. 26 de 1938); agus chun Costaisí Riaracháin áirithe ina dtaobh san.
That a Supplmentary sum not exceeding £28,750 be granted to defray the Charge which will come in course of payment during the year ending 31st March, 1941, for Old Age Pensions (8 Edw. 7, c. 40; 1 & 2 Geo. 5, c. 16; 9 & 10 Geo. 5, c. 102; No. 19 of 1924; No. 1 of 1928; No. 18 of 1932; and No. 26 of 1938); for Pensions to Blind Persons (No. 18 of 1932, and No. 26 of 1938); and for certain Administrative Expenses in connection therewith.
The purpose of this Supplementary Estimate is to provide for anticipated increased expenditure on sub-head (A), i.e., on the actual cost of pensions. The original Estimate was based on an average number of pensioners over the year of 140,000, but it now appears certain that the average will be higher. The actual numbers at the end of March, 1940; June, 1940; September, 1940, and December, 1940, were, respectively, 138,805, 139,660, 140,604, and 141,430.
It has been estimated in a recent computation that the population over 70 would at the middle of each of the years mentioned below amount to the following:—
1939 |
185,300 |
1940 |
187,000 |
1941 |
192,900 |
It will be observed from these figures that the upward trend in the population over 70 will be sharply accelerated in the immediate future. Taking 75 per cent.—which is the normal proportion—of such population as representing the number of old age pensioners, the number of pensioners in the middle of 1941 would be about 144,700, or some 3,000 more than the number at the end of December, 1940. Payments by the Post Office averaged £68,334 per week in the nine weeks ended 28th November, 1940. In the light of the marked increase in septuagenarians referred to above, it is considered that provision should be made for an average weekly expenditure of £69,000 for the remainder of the year. In addition, a sum of £10,000 is being provided to cover contingencies. On this basis, the Estimate has been revised to £3,560,000, i.e., £30,000 increase on the original Estimate.
It is anticipated that receipts under Subhead C—recoveries of overpayments—will realise £1,250 more than was estimated. The surplus will be offset against the additional sum required for Subhead A, so that the net supplementary amount required for the Vote is £28,750.