That comes under another Bill which I hope to bring before the House tomorrow but this Bill is based entirely on the insurance principle and relates only to those persons who have been in insurable employment during their lifetime. Therefore, so far as the dependants of these persons who become entitled to contributory old age pensions are concerned, there is no means test. I think that represents very much more than the Leader of the Opposition adverted to when he was speaking to me because this concerns not merely a man, but a spouse; not merely a woman, but her spouse and it means that there will be some provision made for them during their lifetime.
No short-circuiting of the Budget is taking place under this Bill, as the Leader of the Opposition alleged. The provisions of the Bill were envisaged in the Budget speech and it was quite clearly indicated there what the additional net contribution from the Exchequer would be. There was also a very clear indication that these proposals were based, as I have said, on the principle of insurance and, of course, that principle involves the payment of premiums at whatever rate may be regarded as equitable.
The Deputy put a question as to whether the whole scheme had been offered to an insurance company and asked would we get better value from an insurance company. First of all, in our circumstances, I do not think any of our insurance companies would be prepared to take the risk. The fact of the matter, quite frankly, is that the Exchequer is taking what might be described as an open risk in regard to this matter because we have not been able, despite everything we have done, to get very close estimates as to what this will cost the Exchequer.
I am coming to the House on the basis of what I think is a comprehensive estimate. I do not want to state what the cost will be to the Exchequer. I am saying that this is what we expect it will be but there are so many imponderables, such lack of any data on which we could base an actuarial calculation, that I think we can say we are coming here with an open risk, the extent of which we do not know, but we are assuming for the purposes of the Budget in this year that it will amount to about £334,000 or something like that. It may be a great deal more; it may be a little less; but it certainly will not be very much less than £334,000.
So far as the scheme is concerned, this represents what can be done immediately for all those persons who come within its ambit, the old as well as the young, and it is true that, perhaps, we are weighing the balance a little bit in favour of the elders. I do not think that we have any great need on either side of the House— because this is not the Bill of the Government; this will be the Bill of the Dáil — to be very apologetic for anything we may do now for that age group who, say, are over 65 or 70 years of age, because do not let us forget that that was the generation which bore the brunt of the last phase of our struggle for independence and, if we are able to do this for them now, we are only giving them a little bit, a very small proportion, of the fruits which younger generations will, I hope, live to enjoy.
So far as the future is concerned, I think, the position will be that, without increasing the rates of contribution, we ought to be able, within a very few years, substantially to increase the benefits and in that way the people who are now entering into insurance at a comparatively early age will obtain the due measure of what they might be properly entitled to under any contractual engagement which they might enter into with an insurance company.
I do not know that there is any other aspect of this matter which the Leader of the Opposition raised which calls for any comment at this stage.