The Deputy should do the lotto on the way home. He has done very well in the lottery on this occasion.
The 2009 EU Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC set Ireland a legally binding target of meeting 16% of our energy requirements from renewable sources by 2020. In order to meet this target, Ireland is committed to meeting 40% of electricity demand from renewable sources. We also plan to achieve 12% renewables in the heating sector and 10% in transport. The Government has adopted a range of support measures designed to meet our binding target and although good progress towards our target has been made to date, meeting the 16% target remains challenging. Provisional data from the Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland, or SEAI, indicates that we had reached 9.2% of the overall 16% target at the end of 2015. In the electricity sector, the primary support mechanisms introduced for renewable electricity are the alternative energy requirement, or AER, schemes and the renewable energy feed-in-tariff, or REFIT, schemes. These schemes have proved successful at incentivising the development of the renewable electricity generation capacity necessary to meet our 40% renewable electricity target. Provisional figures show that in 2015, some 25.3% of electricity demand was met by renewable sources.
In the heating sector, my Department is working on the introduction of a new renewable heat incentive, or RHI, to support the deployment of renewable energy in the sector. The primary aim of the RHI is to build on the progress already made in heating and to help reach our 12% target by 2020. In 2015, it is estimated that 6.8% of heat was derived from renewable sources. In the transport sector, Ireland aims to meet its renewable target mainly through the increased use of sustainable biofuels with electric vehicles also making a small contribution. In 2015, provisional figures indicate 5.7% of our energy needs in the transport sector were met from renewable sources.
In the event of a member state not meeting its targets, the renewable energy directive sets out arrangements to purchase compliance and thereby avoid infringement proceedings by the EU Commission. These include a flexibility measure known as a statistical transfer. While the precise cost of purchasing statistical transfers or of any potential shortfall in Ireland's target of 16% has yet to be established and will depend on a number of factors, the focus remains firmly on meeting our 2020 target. The SEAI has estimated that the cost to Ireland may be in the range of €100 million to €150 million for each percentage point Ireland falls short of the overall 16% renewable energy target. The energy White Paper, Ireland's Transition to a Low Carbon Energy Future, published in December 2015 sets out a vision for transforming Ireland's fossil-fuel based energy sector into a clean, low carbon system by 2050. The clear focus of my Department is on implementing the range of actions set out in the White Paper and the programme for Government which are aimed at meeting our energy and climate change targets.