(Dublin Central): To clarify the position when we are discussing the Wealth Tax Bill, first, we must not discuss it in isolation. Anyone coming into this House will see that we are discussing a Wealth Tax Bill and nothing else. But the Minister over the past ten minutes has been describing and giving examples as to how people would be exempt throughout the country as regards farms where death duties are concerned. I have mentioned on several occasions that I welcome the fact that death duties are abolished. I think everybody on this side of the House and on the far side of the House has mentioned this on several occasions. But we must be perfectly clear that when we abolish death duties they are being replaced by three capital taxation Bills, not one. We discussed the Capital Gains Tax Bill on its own merits; we are now discussing the Wealth Tax Bill and, to follow later on, will be the Capital Acquisitions Bill. It takes three Bills to replace death duties, not one. When the Minister comes into the House and says that this is what people will pay in death duties, with the examples which he has quoted over the past ten minutes, we must ensure that we take the entire package into consideration when we are discussing the abolition of death duties. Then one will see how it will affect one generally.
I believe myself that the return of revenue from wealth tax will be very small. The examples which the Minister has given as regards the exemptions are fairly accurate. This is the basis on which I am against wealth tax because it is going to be directed at a very small minority of people but a very important section. That is the important thing. We are directing it at a section of people who have invested in and built up the industrial arm of this country. We must be very careful to ensure that we do not undermine confidence in that section. There are other Deputies in the House who would be able to make the case for the agricultural sector. The Minister has made these cases as to how it could be exempt. I am concerned about the industrial sector, job creation. This is what is of vital importance today.
When we are trying to create an economic climate whereby we have an inflow of capital, whereby we will be able to curb inflation—at least let us curb it and then get a downward trend—we must bring in appropriate measures. I believe that very shortly the Minister for Finance will be coming before the House, next Thursday week I am informed, with measures intended to bring a downward trend in the inflationary spiral which we are experiencing today. But if one looks at this whole concept, do you not think that this in its own right is inflationary? I believe it is. The Minister has stated, of course, that private companies are exempt, trading companies are exempt; we know all that, but what about shareholders in companies? That is the important factor. There are many productive and expanding companies here. Perhaps 51 per cent or perhaps 70 per cent of the shares are held by a managing director or in fact by the man who started the company. Indeed, some of the most progressive companies here, quite a substantial number of them, are organised in this way. It is at these people you will be directing this tax.
If I thought for one moment—and I have mentioned this on the Second Reading—that this would bring a substantial inflow of capital into the Exchequer, if I thought it would bring in £50 or £60 million, I could certainly say that we had a reason for introducing it because we could channel this money back into industry, recycle it, and recycle it into a more productive field. Some of the logic supposed to be behind this is that it will penalise non-productive assets, more so than productive assets. That is some of the philosophy and thinking behind it. But the amount of money that will be directed, will not be very large: I think it will be infinitesimal in comparison to the current budget which went through this House in January.
Last January a budget of £1,200 million went through this House. The very maximum that can be got out of this legislation is £6 or £7 million. Any expert forecast that I have seen as to the very maximum that may be got from wealth tax, estimates £6 or £7 million. When we add that figure to a current budget of £1,200 million which it was last January—probably next Thursday it will be considerably more—we will find that it will not represent 1 per cent of the current budget. That is what we are talking about here with all this capital taxation. We must realise what it is worth—that is the important factor—from the economic point of view. Will it enrich the country? Will the amount of money which will come back into the Exchequer be deployed in building up industry, helping the weaker section of the community by being channelled into health or education? Of course not: it will be of no significance. But when you look at the other side of the coin and see the damage that this tax has done, then you will realise that it is detrimental and represents a bad decision. For the sake of the £5 or £6 million we have certainly undermined confidence, and confidence is the most important thing to be built up in any country. You might be able to increase taxation in current budgets by increasing taxes; you might be able to borrow for a capital budget to expand hospitals and provide roads, but there is one thing you cannot buy, and that is confidence. You can travel all the Arab countries or European countries but you will have to build up confidence within the country itself. It is something that cannot be bought. The people must have confidence in themselves, confidence in the future that industry is going to expand. Young people must have confidence when they are leaving schools that they have an opportunity in life afterwards. The people in international money markets must have confidence that you are able to absorb the loans which are given to you and to repay them.
This is the thing which we should be aiming at when confidence is undoubtedly at a low ebb. During this week when the Minister for Finance, whether through the European banks or through the Arab countries, is involved in negotiating a loan of any description they may suggest certain remedial action here but I bet my bottom dollar, that not one of them will suggest a wealth tax when they are lending money to this country. They may point out to the Government the actions they think should be taken to bring inflation under control; they may point out how the Government can reduce their unit costs or ways and means of reducing unemployment, but I would be amazed if the Minister for Finance when he comes back could tell me that any of those countries would say, that in a rundown economy you should introduce a wealth tax or a capital taxation package such as we are introducing at present. I do not believe that there are any financiers in Europe who would recommend capital taxation in a weak and struggling economy.
We know that countries such as America and Japan have not a wealth tax, and these are countries which we are hoping will give this country a substantial financial injection over the next few years. Coming nearer home, some of the most advanced European countries such as Belgium have no wealth tax. Belgium is a small country, probably half the size of Ireland, with twice the population. It is the headquarters of the European Community and we can imagine the amount of finance which has gone into their construction industry. There is real wealth there which has accumulated within the past ten years, since the establishment of the Community. We know it was always a wealthy little nation but they have not opted for a wealth tax.
France is another country which does not have a wealth tax. America has huge technological and electronics investments in France. They have not a wealth tax and we know they have a large tourist industry. The same situation exists in Italy where there is no wealth tax. These are major countries within the EEC which have developed their industrial arm many years before us. We know the wealth of some of these European countries. We may have the same wealth in ten years' time and then we will be in a position to speak about a wealth tax.
In the United Kingdom, our nearest neighbour, they have been talking about a wealth tax but that is as far as they have gone. In legislation before the House of Commons at present there is no question of a wealth tax. There was a White Paper circulated with regard to intentions but there was many a White Paper circulated before which was never implemented. The decision to go before the United Kingdom into a wealth tax was unwise. We could find ourselves in the position that England may change her mind about such a tax. The British economy is under very heavy pressure at present, and so is this country's. I doubt very much if England has any intention of introducing a wealth tax in the depressed state of the British economy. I do not think Mr. Wilson would be so foolish as to try to push such legislation through the House when he is trying to build up confidence, build up exports and curb inflation.
These are the fundamental aspects of the Bill. It is the philosophy behind the Bill which we are objecting to. We do not object to taxing the rich. If one reads the debate on the Second Reading of the Capital Gains Tax Bill, it will be seen that Fianna Fáil criticised the Bill because there was no limitation to the thresholds and so on. That is the kind of provision we criticised on the Capital Gains Tax Bill. The Committee Stage served a useful purpose because there were many anomalies in the Bill and the Minister saw one point of view and many amendments were made.
We favour a taxation on short-term speculation. It will be seen from the speeches of members of this side of the House on the Capital Acquisitions Bill that they welcomed sections of it. When the Committee Stage of that Bill comes before the House, I shall have no hesitation in welcoming certain sections of the Bill. Some of them I should like to see changed, and we can discuss them. That is what we should have done when we abolished death duties. If we had any common sense, we should have discussed the Capital Acquisitions Tax Bill first and it would have been through the House long ago. If we wanted to put through the Capital Gains Tax Bill, there is a certain merit in it, and it should have come next. Neither of those Bills is a direct taxation on investments.
I believe the Government should have put those two Bills through the House early in January, when they made their decision. There is plenty of time for the Wealth Tax Bill. When we build up our economy we can go after the wealth. There is no good in trying to bring in a Wealth Tax Bill until the wealth is first created. That is not here at this particular time. We know that the whole of Europe is in economic difficulties at present but we are more vulnerable than Europe. A small country such as ours must have some encouragement in order to attract investors.
If we are to have our taxation level the same as obtains in sophisticated European countries, there is no great attraction to foreign investors to come here. First of all, we must look at our geographical situation in Western Europe. Ninety-five per cent of our manufactured goods must be exported, the major part to the United Kingdom and the European Community. Any manufacturer must take transport costs into account. We must import a large part of our raw material. This is expensive as regards transportation. Then, when it is manufactured, we must export it again, either to the United Kingdom or the Community. This can be an expensive process; and unless we decide to keep our unit cost under that of the United Kingdom and the other European countries, we will have no hope of competing in the export market.
Up to now, I agree, our exports have been going well. We know that over the years we always had that advantage in the unit cost in regard to our exports. We kept that unit cost up to two years ago, but it has been diminishing since and now it is on a par with that of any of the European countries and the United Kingdom. If we reach that level, it will be very difficult to attract capital investment because manufacturers will go instead to the heart of the activities, to the Ruhr or the Golden Triangle and set up their factories where the raw material is available, where the distribution of the manufactured articles will be at a very low cost.
It is only on these two fiscal policies, two budgetary proposals, that we can hope to keep this country attractive for investors. We are evidently bent on the highly sophisticated taxation system of some of the European countries and we are not developed for it. Whether we like it or not this is the reality of the situation and it will be brought home to us very forcibly in a few years, if we continue with this policy, the particular type of person who can create jobs by expanding industry. We know too well from reading the forecasts put forward by economists that we will have to create 25,000 new jobs per year up to 1980 and, unless there is a dramatic change, there is no hope of achieving this figure; if anything, we will have a contraction in industry over the next year. We will certainly have no expansion if this policy is pursued. We could not hope to have an expansion in industry in the present financial climate. The Government should be directing their attention to trying to curb inflation. That is the greatest problem today. We have wasted more time in this House since Christmas discussing capital taxation, which will not create one job and which will certainly not contribute to reducing inflation.