Deputy McGahon raised some very relevant points in the course of his contribution on this section and, in particular, he questioned the extent of abuse. I think I have indicated as clearly as I could the nature and extent of fraudulent claiming, abuse and unwarranted claiming and tried to put them into context. He asked me very specifically what the position would be in relation to the special investigation unit. I can assure him that the activities of the unit will continue and be intensified and we will review their position in relation to the forthcoming budgetary figures and targets. The Estimates are prepared well in advance of the end of the year and published in October. Of course, that means that included in the Estimates are those figures which we could estimate at that time — at the latest in September. Obviously we have some further knowledge of the outcome of the various investigations and activities which we were engaged in towards the end of the year and they have turned out to be somewhat more productive than anticipated. For that reason we will look again, particularly in the context of the budget, at the activities of this unit and the possible returns from them. I take the point raised by Deputy McGahon that the special investigation unit have an important part to play. They will continue to operate and we will be looking at their intensification.
Deputy McGahon mentioned a figure in excess of £200 million in terms of potential savings from fraud and abuse. This is a complete misconception of the position. If one talks about a level of fraud of even 5 per cent, or whatever the percentage might be at the end of the day, one can only apply that to the work that is being done in relation to unemployment benefit, unemployment assistance and disability benefit. Any figures that might apply to other schemes such as old age pensions or widows' pensions would of course be very small by comparison. You cannot just take the total expenditure and apply a percentage such as that to it. The other matter one must take into consideration is the fact that these percentages apply to people who, at some stage of their claims, are guilty of an abuse of the system or of defrauding the system. It does not mean that each person has been defrauding the system for the whole year and therefore the amounts of money saved are consequently much less than one would think. Nevertheless they are substantial. They are greater this year than at any time previously as a result of the various activities and we will certainly be giving every attention to them.
Deputy Mitchell asked me a very interesting question, that of the continuing benefit of the savings for this year. I would have to let Deputy Mitchell meet with some of the economists in the Department of Finance to work that out between themselves.