If the Vice Chairman interprets fairness as equality of time I will not hold him to it but will be brief. I agree with much of what Professor Kenny said and, as Senator Regan pointed out, there are essential truths which should not be lost sight of.
My paper informed members of the nature of the forum and the work we have been doing. We were set up to provide the basis for an inclusive and broadly based debate on Ireland's participation in the European Union and the overall functioning and future developments of the Union. I understood the brief to impose an obligation of fairness on me in allowing voices to be heard. I did not want to use a stopwatch but wanted to allow people who were regarded by the steering committee as representative of a particular sector of society to make their contribution in the formal meetings of the forum.
We were set up after the first referendum when there had been a turnout of 34%. It was thought that it was necessary to create interest to increase the turnout, which went up to 50% for Nice II. The forum does not claim any particular credit for the increase as other agencies were involved. The turnout for the referendum on the Lisbon treaty was 53% and a "No" voter would regard that as a success.
We considered recruiting experts but I felt the best way to deal with the issues was by good, robust arguments. I had a feeling the more cogent and stronger arguments would drive out the weaker ones.
I do not want to look back on the referendum campaign in a recriminatory manner, to use Senator White's term. However, we need to draw lessons from it. When we analysed the results of the first Nice treaty referendum, we found that four groups — women, farmers, blue collar workers and young people — either had not voted or had voted "No". One could argue the groups in question had benefited greatly from Ireland's membership of the European Union. When we considered why they had not voted "Yes", we learned that they had not made a connection between the benefits that had flowed to them from the European Union. We put a great deal of time and effort into this. We were surprised, therefore, that Professor Sinnott's analysis of this year's referendum results had found that the same four groups had not voted or had voted "No" on this occasion. It was even more surprising, in many ways, to learn that new voters — younger people — tended to be in the "No" camp.
One of the forum's recent workshops was addressed by Professor Matt Qvortrup of University College London. He argues that people behave differently in referendums than they do in elections. I accept this. Previous delegates at this committee have asked how the country's main political parties which usually deliver 90% of first preference votes at general elections could not get 30% of the people to vote for the proposition they had put before the electorate earlier this year. It is a question of how people receive information. Professor Qvortrup has made the point that when voters do not have total knowledge, they tend to take information from intermediaries in society — people in authority such as local community leaders and teachers. Deputy Kennedy mentioned the role of teachers, for example.
As I watched the referendum campaign unfold, it struck me that one of the great difficulties was that the text of the Lisbon treaty was not available for a long time. For a couple of months we held meetings in the absence of a text. When it arrived, it was extremely complex and required cross-references, etc. Mr. Charles Sheehan of the forum produced a summary of the treaty. The various parties represented on the steering committee helped us to ensure it was broadly fair. Some 45,000 copies were issued. It was a useful document. However, the main problem was that there was no text. In its absence, the doubts came first. By the time the "Yes" groups got their thoughts together, the agenda had been set. Those on the "Yes" side spent their time rebutting things that had been said, rather than setting out the benefits of the treaty.
Another difficulty with the referendum was that unlike previous treaties put to the people, the Lisbon treaty did not have any particular selling point. We were able to focus on money during the referendum on the Maastricht treaty. In the case of the Nice treaty, we could concentrate on the accession of Poland, the Czech Republic and other east European countries to the European Union. The focus of the Lisbon treaty is governance which is not a very sexy thing to talk to people about. They do not want to hear about qualified majority voting on the doorstep.
Another point made by Professor Qvortrup was that Irish political parties were geared more towards fighting elections than participating in referendum campaigns. Such campaigns tend to necessitate the selling of ideas, at which Irish political parties are somehow not very good. Those who advocated a "No" vote were much more ready to speak at the various meetings the forum organised throughout the country than those who advocated a "Yes" vote. I do not doubt the effort made——