I have not a great deal to add to what I have already said. During my speech before Questions I gave the justifications for the Budget proposals, which appeared to the Government to be reasonable. I tried to indicate the alternative courses on which the Government had to take a decision; the options which were open to them; the choice there was in closing the gap between revenue and expenditure by increasing the revenue or cutting expenditure. I commented upon the failure of the Opposition Parties to face up in a constructive and realistic way—so far in this discussion at any rate—to the Budget problem of the country in this year. I then proceeded to discuss the economic prospects for the year as they could now be forecast and I referred briefly to the good prospects as well as to those which are not so good. I tried to relate the Budget and this economic forecast to the international situation into which the country is now moving. We realise very well that the changes which are required, not only in our economic organisation but in mental attitudes at all levels of activity, are considerable, even revolutionary. But we cannot achieve the high targets at which we are aiming by pettifogging for the adjustments. We have to prove ourselves to be as well fit to live in the conditions of the future as any other Western European country, and as well able as they are to adapt to new circumstances.
I want to emphasise that in the opinion of the Government there is no reason for pessimism about the future. We envisage a rate of economic growth this year, notwithstanding all the difficulties of the year, higher than many other countries in the world will attain and a great deal higher than was attained before the introduction of the Programme for Expansion. If we do achieve, in very difficult circumstances, the rate which has been forecast as possible we can be fairly certain that conditions will continue to improve and permit us to maintain this rate of growth in the future.
It cannot be achieved, and I want to say this as deliberately and solemnly as I can so that the mind of the Government on the subject may be well known to everybody, unless the guide line set by the Government in respect of overall income increases is maintained. A serious breach of this guide line could result in a set-back to all our hopes and to a serious worsening of the national situation. This is not new. I have said this here before and I repeat it in order to make it clear to everybody who is seriously interested in the welfare of the people, whether farmers or workers or any other section occupied in this country, so that they will recognise this and seek to act accordingly.
If we should fail in the test it will not matter very much on whom we will place the blame. That is not very important. What is important is that the reality of our situation should not be obscured so that every section of the people, farmers, workers, businessmen, industrialists and managers should know clearly with what we have to contend and should be willing to co-operate to every possible extent. It is the Government's duty to publicise the facts of the national situation and never before in our history has there been such a spate of publication of details in this regard. We have done everything possible to publicise the course of action which in our judgment can best help the country in this period of difficulty. This is what we have done and this is what we are trying to do.
The conditions which are essential for the nation's material and social progress envisage increasing competitiveness in every sort of activity, the raising of production both in industry and in agriculture, the expanding of exports so that we can pay our way in the world and sustain our living standards during the period necessary until our external balance of payments can be brought again under control. If we cannot get it under control, we face a grave economic crisis. All this has been said before, but it must be said over and over again until the truth of the situation penetrates to every mind.
The forecast for economic expansion this year is based on various assumptions. Not all these assumptions, such as those relating to normal weather for agricultural production or the withdrawal of the British import surcharge, can be altered in any way by our own actions but others can be so affected and those include the cooperation of all concerned in keeping aggregate incomes in line with the increase in the national production and the avoidance of grave industrial disputes. I felt a sense of frustration when I heard Deputy Corish relating this three per cent overall increase in incomes to the man with eight or ten pounds a week and trying to calculate what that increase meant for him in weekly terms. If there is a desire that workers in the lower income groups should get reasonable increases, the possibility of giving such increases depends on the willingness of the people in the better off sections to refrain from looking for increases for themselves.
We have fixed a line at £1,200 and we have asked that people over that limit should be willing to forgo seeking any increases in this year so that the benefits of the three per cent growth rate should be confined to those who most need it. The only means by which the Government can make this assumption of growth of production come true, apart from continuous explanation and exhortation, is price control. This instrument of price control is at the best a very uncertain and haphazard instrument but it is our intention to use it. Prices have been stable since the spring of last year because since then the rise in productivity has outstripped the rise in incomes. This is a position that can be maintained throughout the year and which will be maintained if everybody will co-operate with the Government in bringing it about.
Deputy O'Higgins and Deputy Corish yesterday and Deputy Cosgrave and Deputy Tully today said that the Government have made mistakes. I would not have the arrogance or complacency to say that the Government have not made mistakes. In the past we have made many miscalculations and mistakes and probably will do so in the future but I do not think we have made any mistake about the aims we have set before the country. These are to put this country into good economic shape, to increase efficiency in every sector of industrial activity so that it can live in the highly competitive world in which we have to live, in which the old methods of tariff protection are no longer appropriate, to stimulate the growth of our national resources through the expansion of production and exports in agriculture and industry so that our people can seek and get increased standards of living.
We do not intend to allow these aims to be frustrated by irresponsible actions on the part of any section of the community so long as it is within our power to prevent it. We mean to ensure that these objectives will be achieved by keeping our national finances in order, by making sure that the Budget is balanced. All these conditions are essential to our progress. That is why I say that this is a good Budget and one which will contribute to the welfare of the State. That is what we set out to achieve and that is what I believe we have achieved.