Demand for coal has been exceptionally heavy this year and it has been suggested that some consumers may have purchased stocks in excess of their likely winter requirements. Up to the end of October the estimated total quantity of coal imported into the country was substantially in excess of imports for the whole of 1978. The coal merchants had, in general, planned to meet a demand about 50 per cent higher than last year. I have been informed by them that consignments from America and Poland expected during the coming months should prove adequate to meet demand. However, it has been difficult for the trade, in the face of the exceptional demand, to maintain a constant rate of supply because of production difficulties at American mines and railroad congestion there which have disrupted shipping schedules. Problems have also arisen because of the abnormally high slack content of some shipments of American coal.
The information available to me at this time suggests that coal stocks in the hands of consumers and the trade together with planned imports until the end of the winter should in the aggregate be sufficient to meet normal requirements and to offset a shortfall in heating oil supplies of somewhat greater proportions than would be expected in the light of the immediate oil situation. There are, however, a number of factors which could distort this position. If it is a fact that some customers have already purchased more coal than they will need this winter then, to that extent, some of this year's additional imports may be hoarded. For a variety of reasons the stocks and delivery position is not uniform throughout the country as a whole.
Demand from now on will be materially influenced by the weather conditions. While the immediate oil situation has shown an improvement, the supply-demand balance is delicate and, therefore, vulnerable to unforeseen events. For these reasons I have been keeping the coal supply situation under constant surveillance and my Department have maintained close contact with coal traders in various parts of the country.
Bord na Móna have informed me that availability of machine turf to the domestic market this winter will be about the same as last year, but this is unlikely to meet demand. While the maximum possible output of briquettes from existing production facilities is expected to be achieved, this also is likely to be less than demand. A new briquette factory is under construction and further production capacity is also planned. These will not, of course, contribute to supplies this winter but they will assist the position from 1980-81 onwards.
As regards oil, the Deputy will be aware that I have authorised oil suppliers to make an initial delivery of 1,000 litres of heating oil for each domestic customer. Here again I have been keeping the situation under close review and there have been continuous consultations between my Department and representatives of the trade. Information available from these consultations and the fact that the National Petroleum Corporation has been able to make arrangements for a substantial purchase of gas-diesel oil, indicate some improvement in our general supply position. I am now giving active consideration to the possibility of authorising a second delivery of 1,000 litres for domestic consumers to commence as soon as the oil companies facilities permit.
I understand from the bottled gas companies that they have been preparing to meet a reasonable increase in demand for LPG over the coming winter.
As regards the position of lower income groups, I understand that the Minister for Social Welfare has dealt with a number of questions from the Deputy relating to fuel arrangements. If major difficulties which are specifically related to the non-availability of supplies come to my notice I will make every effort to alleviate the position.